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Fresno State-UCLA Preview

The fans at Rose Bowl will be treated to a game between the Fresno State Bulldogs and the UCLA Bruins when they take their seats on Saturday.
Oddsmakers currently have the Bulldogs listed as 7½-point favorites versus the Bruins, while the game's total is sitting at 47.
Tom Brandstater threw four TD passes and ran for another as Fresno State defeated Toledo 55-54 in double overtime in Week 4, as 6.5-point favorites on the road. The combined 109 points sailed OVER the posted total of 52.
Brandstater completed 22-of-28 pass attempts for 240 yards in the win.
Korey Bosworth scored the only touchdown for UCLA when he returned a fumble in the first half in a 31-10 loss to Arizona in Week 4.
The Bruins did not cover the 3.5-point spread, while the combined score played UNDER the day's posted total of 51.5.
Current streak:
UCLA has lost 2 straight games.
Team records:
Fresno State: 2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS
UCLA: 1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS
Fresno State most recently:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 8-2
When playing outside the conference are 5-5

UCLA most recently:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on grass are 4-6
After being outgained are 2-8
When playing outside the conference are 4-6
A few trends to consider:
Fresno State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Fresno State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
UCLA is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games at home
UCLA is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Next up:
Fresno State home to Hawaii, Saturday, October 4
UCLA home to Washington State, Saturday, October

Arkansas-Texas Preview

The Arkansas Razorbacks and the Texas Longhorns will both be trying to pick up a win on Saturday when they battle at Memorial Stadium.
Oddsmakers currently have the Longhorns listed as 27½-point favorites versus the Razorbacks, while the game's total is sitting at 60.
Casey Dick threw for 187 yards and one TD for Arkansas in a 49-14 loss to Alabama in Week 4.
The Razorbacks were never close to covering the 9.5-point spread, the final score played OVER the day's posted total of 47.5.
Texas scored 24 points in the first half and went on to a 52-10 rout of Rice in Week 4. Texas covered the 29-point spread, while the 62 points fell UNDER the posted total of 68.
Colt McCoy completed 19-of-23 for 327 yards with four touchdowns to propel Texas.
Current streak:
Texas has won 3 straight games.
Team records:
Arkansas: 2-1 SU, 0-2 ATS
Texas: 3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS
Arkansas most recently:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the conference are 8-2

Texas most recently:
When playing in September are 9-1
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the conference are 10-0
A few trends to consider:
Arkansas is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Arkansas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Texas is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Texas is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
Next up:
Arkansas home to Florida, Saturday, October 4
Texas at Colorado, Saturday, October 4

GodsTips With the Biggest Card of the Year

Saturday, September 27, 2008

SEASON HIGH 7 WISE GUYS +7 MAJORS, ALL CFB SIDES; ALREADY IN MIDST OF HISTORIC YEAR

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CFB

DUKE -7 Virginia

This is a classic example of “listen to what the oddsmakers are telling you…use their knowledge against them.” They have not been a conference chalk in a decade, but there is a reason for sure.

The oddsmakers know they have not won a conference game straight up since 2004, yet made them a TD favorite. They are the only BCS team that has not won a conference game the last two years.

This is a Duke team playing at home in the conference opener against an inferior team. It’s the closest they will have to a Cameron Indoor Stadium atmosphere.

Again, newbies may raise an eyebrow if they have not seen us exploit this theory before, but the fact a team is a seven-point conference favorite yet with a 25-game winning streak tells us this game is so big for Duke, it’s virtually impossible for Virginia to keep up with the intensity of a team playing their biggest home game in many years.

Wisconsin-Michigan Preview

The Wisconsin Badgers and the Michigan Wolverines will both be trying to pick up a win on Saturday when they battle at Michigan Stadium.
Oddsmakers currently have the Badgers listed as 6½-point favorites versus the Wolverines, while the game's total is sitting at 42.
Wisconsin pulled out a hard fought 13-10 win over Fresno State in Week 3. Wisconsin covered the 2-point spread, while the combined 23 points fell UNDER the posted total of 50.
Garrett Graham had five catches for 58 yards and a touchdown for Wisconsin.
Sam McGuffie led Michigan with 132 yards rushing, but it was not enough as they lost to Notre Dame 35-17 in Week 3.
The Wolverines failed to cover the 1.5-point spread in that contest, while the combined score played over the posted total of 37.
Current streak:
Wisconsin has won 3 straight games.
Team records:
Wisconsin: 3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS
Michigan: 1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS
Wisconsin most recently:
When playing in September are 9-1
When playing on turf are 8-2
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the conference are 7-3

Michigan most recently:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on turf are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 7-3
A few trends to consider:
Wisconsin is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
Wisconsin is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wisconsin's last 5 games when playing Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wisconsin's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Michigan's last 5 games when playing Wisconsin
Michigan is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Wisconsin
Michigan is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games at home
Michigan is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
Next up:
Wisconsin home to Ohio State, Saturday, October 4
Michigan home to Illinois, Saturday, October 4

Colorado-Florida State Preview

The fans at Doak Campbell Stadium will be treated to a game between the Colorado Buffaloes and the Florida State Seminoles when they take their seats on Saturday.
Oddsmakers currently have the Seminoles listed as 5-point favorites versus the Buffaloes, while the game's total is sitting at 41.
Aric Goodman kicked a 25-yard field goal to give Colorado a 17-14 upset win over West Virginia in Week 3, as 3-point underdogs. The combined 31 points fell well UNDER the posted total of 57.
Cody Hawkins completed 22-of-33 pass attempts for 178 yards and two touchdowns.
Florida State was upset 12-3 by Wake Forest in Week 4, as 4.5-point favorites at home. The combined 15 points fell well UNDER the posted total of 45.5.
Graham Gano kicked a 37-yard field goal in the loss.
Current streak:
Colorado has won 3 straight games.
Team records:
Colorado: 3-0 SU, 2-0 ATS
Florida State: 2-1 SU, 0-1 ATS
Colorado most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing outside the conference are 5-5

Florida State most recently:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the conference are 7-3
A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games on the road
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Colorado is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Colorado is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Florida State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Next up:
Colorado home to Texas, Saturday, October 4
Florida State at Miami, Saturday, October 4

Purdue-Notre Dame Preview

The Purdue Boilermakers and the Notre Dame Fighting Irish will both be gunning for a victory on Saturday when they meet at Notre Dame Stadium.
Oddsmakers currently have the Fighting Irish listed as 1-point favorites versus the Boilermakers, while the game's total is sitting at 46.
Kory Sheets' 46 yard touchdown run late in the game sealed a 32-25 win for Purdue over Central Michigan in Week 4.
Despite the victory Purdue failed to cover the 10-point spread, while the combined score played UNDER the posted total of 67.5.
Notre Dame QB Jimmy Clausen totaled 242 yards in the air while throwing one touchdown and two picks as they lost 23-7 to Michigan State in Week 4.
The Irish entered the game as 9-point underdogs, while the combined score played UNDER the day's posted total of 48.
Team records:
Purdue: 2-1 SU, 1-1 ATS
Notre Dame: 2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS
Purdue most recently:
When playing in September are 8-2
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing outside the conference are 7-3

Notre Dame most recently:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 2-8
When playing outside the conference are 5-5
A few trends to consider:
Purdue is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Purdue is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Purdue is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Notre Dame
Notre Dame is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Purdue
Notre Dame is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Notre Dame is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home
Notre Dame is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games
Next up:
Purdue home to Penn State, Saturday, October 4
Notre Dame home to Stanford, Saturday, October

Tennessee-Auburn Preview

The fans at Jordan-Hare Stadium will be treated to a game between the Tennessee Volunteers and the Auburn Tigers when they take their seats on Saturday.
Oddsmakers currently have the Tigers listed as 7-point favorites versus the Volunteers, while the game's total is sitting at 41.
Tennessee's Jonathan Crompton threw for 169 yards while rushing for 23 yards and a touchdown in a 30-6 loss to Florida in Week 4.
The Vols went into the game as 7-point underdogs, while the combined score played under the day's posted total of 51.5.
Auburn was defeated 26-21 by LSU in Week 4, as 2-point underdogs at home. The 47 points made it OVER the posted total of 37.
Robert Dunn caught four passes for 59 yards and a TD in that game.
Team records:
Tennessee: 1-2 SU, 0-3 ATS
Auburn: 3-1 SU, 1-3 ATS
Tennessee most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 6-4

Auburn most recently:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on grass are 7-3
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 6-4
A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tennessee's last 7 games on the road
Tennessee is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
Tennessee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Tennessee is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Auburn is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Auburn is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Next up:
Tennessee home to Northern Illinois, Saturday, October 4
Auburn at Vanderbilt, Saturday, October 4

Army-Texas A&M Preview

The Army Black Knights and the Texas A&M Aggies will both be trying to pick up a win on Saturday when they battle at Kyle Field.
Oddsmakers currently have the Aggies listed as 27-point favorites versus the Black Knights, while the game's total is sitting at 42.
Army extended its losing streak to nine games as they lost 22-3 to Akron in Week 4.
The Black Knights did not cover the 10-point spread, while the combined score played well UNDER the day's posted total of 47.
Jerrod Johnson had three TD strikes in the Aggies' 41-23 loss to Miami in Week 4.
The Hurricanes managed to cover the 2.5-point spread in that contest, while the combined score went OVER the day's posted total (41).
Current streak:
Army has lost 3 straight games.
Team records:
Army: 0-3 SU, 0-2 ATS
Texas A&M: 1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS
Army most recently:
When playing in September are 3-7
When playing on grass are 2-8
After being outgained are 2-8
When playing outside the conference are 2-8

Texas A&M most recently:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the conference are 5-5
A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Army's last 9 games on the road
Army is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Army is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Army is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Texas A&M is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Texas A&M is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Next up:
Army at Tulane, Saturday, October 4
Texas A&M at Oklahoma State, Saturday, October 4

Presidential Debates and Saturday College Football Betting, Who Wins and Who Covers?

No. 2 Oklahoma will get a visit from No. 24 TCU in one of the top matchups on the college football schedule for Saturday. Here’s a look in today’s Daily Sports Roundup.

The Gridiron Spotlight

The No. 2 Sooners could start tasting that top spot in the rankings after No. 1 USC was shocked by Oregon State on Thursday night. To get there, though, they’ll have to take care of business against No. 24 TCU on Saturday night. Despite sitting in the Top 25 the Horned Frogs aren’t getting much love from oddsmakers or bettors in this matchup; they’re pegged as big 18.5-point underdogs (with the total set at 54.5).

Oklahoma could have competition for that No. 1 ranking, though, from No. 3 Georgia. The Bulldogs have a tough game on tap against No. 8 Alabama on Saturday night, but if they are impressive enough in a win they could inherit top spot in the polls from the Trojans. Georgia is listed as a 6.5-point favorite, with the total pegged at 44.5 points.

There is one other matchup of ranked teams on Saturday, and that’s No. 22 Illinois vs. No. 12 Penn State. The Nittany Lions are 15.5-point faves, with the total at 55.5 points.

Other Notable Events

Other college football games involving ranked teams on Saturday: Mississippi at No. 4 Florida (-22), Mississippi State at No. 5 LSU (-25), Arkansas at No. 7 Texas (-27), No. 9 Wisconsin (-6) at Michigan, No. 13 South Florida (-9.5) at N.C. State, Minnesota at No. 14 Ohio State (-19.5), Tennessee at No. 15 Auburn (-6.5), Navy at No. 16 Wake Forest (-16), Weber State at No. 17 Utah (no line), Maryland at No. 20 Clemson (-11), Houston at No. 23 East Carolina (-10.5), and No. 25 Fresno State (-7.5) at UCLA.

The Twins will send Glen Perkins (12-4, 4.50 ERA) to the mound on Saturday afternoon against the Royals and Gil Meche (13-11, 4.05 ERA), while the White Sox will go with Javier Vazquez (12-15, 4.46 ERA) vs. the Indians’ Zach Jackson (1-3, 6.04 ERA) on Saturday night as the teams continue to jockey for top spot in the AL Central division.

Over in the National League the teams still looking to clinch playoff spots will all be at home on Saturday afternoon, with the Mets hosting Florida, the Phillies hosting Washington, and the Brewers getting another visit from the NL Central champion Cubs.

Also, the third round of THE TOUR Championship will get underway Saturday morning.

The Post Debate Odds For US President

Who won the debate moderated by Jim Leher? The ideologues are spinning as we speak, but the political betting odds are the best indicator of who won the Presidential debate between John McCain and Barack Obama.

We learned about Citizens Against Government Waste, Google For Government, and debates over energy such as the Pickens Plan (PickensPlan.com), what General Petraeus, says about the war on terror, the Great Society, pork barrel spending, and what Henry Kissinger says about meeting sworn enemies of the US without preconditions.

Both Intrade and the official betting odds on that page give Obama the upper hand overall in the race for the White House. Talking heads are now spinning the Indus River and transitive verbs.

The Vice Presidential debate still has odds for the Vice Presidential debate. Brian Gould of ScoresOddsPicks.com says the undecided sometimes put more stock in intangibles than issues and that “Obama certainly came across as the most likeable”.

Biggest Betting Events

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The Rest of the Schedule

Rounding out the American League slate for Saturday: the Yankees at Boston, Tampa Bay at Detroit, Oakland at Seattle, Toronto at Baltimore, and Texas at the Angels. Meanwhile, the other National League games are Atlanta at Houston, Cincinnati at St. Louis, Colorado at Arizona, the Dodgers at San Francisco, and Pittsburgh at San Diego.

The Western Conference Finals continue in the WNBA on Saturday afternoon, with Los Angeles at San Antonio. The Sparks won Game 1 of the series at home on Thursday night  85-70 behind a 22-point performance from Lisa Leslie. Ann Wauters led the Silver Stars with 18 points. San Antonio is pegged as a 3.5-point home favorite for Game 2.

Finally, the Canadian Football League has two games on its Saturday schedule: Calgary (-9.5) at Toronto at 7pm ET, and Hamilton at British Columbia (-12.5) at 10pm .

News from the Wire

Donovan McNabb (chest), Carson Palmer (elbow), and Brett Favre (ankle) are all expected to start for their respective teams on Sunday . . . Buccaneers wide receiver Joey Galloway (foot) is not expected to be able to play this weekend . . Ravens running back Willis McGahee is still having trouble seeing, and might have to miss the team’s game on Monday night . . . Eagles RB Brian Westbrook (ankle) is questionable as well.

A Peek at the Future

Sunday is the last day of both baseball’s regular season and the PGA Tour’s FedExCup playoffs . . . the WNBA playoffs continue on Sunday, with New York at Detroit and Los Angeles at San Antonio (if necessary) . . . the Sprint Cup Series stages the Camping World RV 400 presented by Coleman at Kansas Speedway on Sunday . . . and, of course, there is plenty of NFL on Sunday, including Philly at Chicago at 8:15pm ET.

Northwestern-Iowa Preview

The fans at Kinnick Stadium will be treated to a game between the Northwestern Wildcats and the Iowa Hawkeyes when they take their seats on Saturday.
Oddsmakers currently have the Hawkeyes listed as 8-point favorites versus the Wildcats, while the game’s total is sitting at 42.
Omar Conteh scored the only touchdown for Northwestern in a 16-8 win over Ohio in Week 4.
Northwestern failed to cover the 10.5-point spread, while the combined score played way UNDER the posted total of 52.
Hawkeyes RB Shonn Greene did his best to keep Iowa in the game, rushing for 148 yards and one TD in a 21-20 loss to Pittsburgh in Week 4.
The Hawkeyes managed to cover the 2-point spread, while the final score played just UNDER the posted total of 41.5.
Current streak:
Northwestern has won 4 straight games.
Team records:
Northwestern: 4-0 SU, 1-2 ATS
Iowa: 3-1 SU, 2-1 ATS
Northwestern most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the conference are 4-6

Iowa most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on grass are 7-3
After outgaining opponent are 3-7
When playing within the conference are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
Northwestern is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Northwestern is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Northwestern is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Iowa
Northwestern is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Iowa
Iowa is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Iowa is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Iowa is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Northwestern
Iowa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Northwestern
Next up:
Northwestern home to Michigan State, Saturday, October 11
Iowa at Michigan State, Saturday, October 4

 

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