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Free Pick From GodsTips For Sunday

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Sunday, September 14, 2008

25-13 LAST 2 WEEKS FOOTBALL, NFC SOUTH GOY AMONG 4 WISE GUYS + 6 MAJORS NFL

Laying eight, Western Michigan wins by 22 as the Non-BCS Nonconference Game of the Year. GodsTips is 7-3 in football Saturday, 25-13 the last two week and it looks like winning week 6-of-7 is assumed. This despite some heart-breaking losses.

Are you somehow on the outside looking in? Get the NFC South Game of the Year among 10 NFL winners, four are Wise Guy sides. No handicapper dominates any sport the way Joe Duffy’s GodsTips does the NFL. You get all of today’s Joe Duffy’s GodsTips  $17 at OffshoreInsiders.com.  

NFL

SAN FRANCISCO +7 Seattle

Seven is available most places, though some places you have to play a little juice. At 6.5 or less, it’s a Major.

Seattle is banged up. The position that has been hit the hardest is wide receiver, where the team currently is operating without its top four pass catchers — Bobby Engram, Deion Branch, Nate Burleson and Ben Obomanu.

With Engram (broken shoulder bone) and Branch (knee) widely expected to be unavailable until after the Week Four bye week (although we hear Branch could be a Week Three long shot), and both Burleson and Obomanu suffering season-ending injuries, the team is trying to get by with a real hodgepodge, consisting primarily of Courtney Taylor, Logan Payne and newcomers Billy McMullen and Samie Parker.

At running back, meanwhile, team sources tell us Maurice Morris will miss at least two games with a knee injury suffered in Week One, which means newcomer Julius Jones will be the workhorse (“He’s the guy,” the insider said. “Everybody else is purely situational.”).

If all this wasn’t bad enough, the Seahawks also have lost starting ORG Rob Sims for the season with a torn pectoral muscle suffered against the Bills in Week One.
Sims, who was getting overpowered by Bills DT Marcus Stroud before going down for the count, will be replaced by Floyd “Pork Chop” Womack, who has had big problems staying healthy throughout his eight-year career in Seattle.

And Pro Bowl cornerback Marcus Trufant will face the 49ers with a cast on his left hand because of a cracked bone.

Three-time Pro Bowl quarterback Matt Hasselbeck looked rusty against the Bills after missing most of the preseason with a back injury. He completed one of his first eight passes and finished 17-for-41 for 190 yards.

Frank Gore dominates Seattle, averaging 126.4 yards per game rushing in his last four to them.

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NFL Sunday Betting Picks Intel

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promo/euro

The staff of the top NFL picks site OffshoreInsiders.com takes a look at sports betting and fantasy football news and notes for the NFL early card on Sunday.

Giants-Rams

The Giants have won 10 straight road games. They have won the last three in the series. Going back to last year, the Rams have lost five straight games by an average of 21.8 points per game.

Saints-Redskins

The Skins were 5-3 straight up at home last year, but that includes consecutive blowout wins. The Saints though will be without key WR Marques Colston. Jeremy Shockey had six catches in his Saints debut.

Where do we go for football picks against the spread? Laying eight, Western Michigan wins by 22 as the Non-BCS Nonconference Game of the Year. With one west coast game pending, GodsTips is 7-2 in football Saturday, 25-12 the last two week and it looks like winning week 6-of-7 is assumed.

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Bears-Panthers

The Bears could be in a letdown situation, playing their second straight road game, but especially being off a big win at Indianapolis. Of course, the Panthers are off a big upset themselves, stunning the San Diego Chargers on the last play of the game.

The Panthers have lost four straight home openers and went 2-6 in North Carolina last year. Quietly Chicago starting QB Kyle Orton is 13-6 in his career.

Raiders-Chiefs

Going back to last season, the Raiders have allowed 30 or more points four times in five games. That includes last week’s abomination losing to Denver 41-14. Although Oakland was 2-6 on the highway last year, one of the wins was at Arrowhead Stadium.

The Chiefs have lost 10 consecutive games. They start Damon Huard in place of injured Brodie Croyle. He’s 9-9 all-time as a starter, but 2-0 to Oakland.

Colts-Vikings

The Colts loss last week snapped a 21-game winning streak straight up on the first two months of the year. Minnesota has lost three straight games with Tarvaris Jackson at QB, though they are a respectable 5-2 at home with him.

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Titans-Bengals

Kerry Collins takes over for Vince Young at QB this week for the Titans. Tennessee also is dealing with distractions about rumors of Young’s depression. Bengals signal caller Carson Palmer is trying to rebound from a game last week in which he didn’t even throw for 100 yards.

Going back to last year, the Titans have won four straight holding each foe to less than 17 points. Cincinnati has won the last two in the series.

Packers-Lions

Green Bay is facing a short week having won on Monday Night Football. Detroit is off a disheartening 13-point loss to the Atlanta Falcons, considered by many one of the worst teams in the NFL. They allowed 318 yards rushing most to career backup Michael Turner.

Detroit has actually won 4-of-5 home openers straight up.

Buffalo-Jaguars

A surprise to some, the Bills are off a win and the Jags off a loss. Once considered mistake free, Jacksonville QB David Garrard was picked off twice last week. He threw zero interceptions through his first game last year, but now has been picked off five times in four games. Even worse for him, both starting guards are out of the year. Vince Manuwai and Mo Williams both were hurt in last week’s 17-10 loss to Tennessee

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Steelers-Browns Pointers

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The Pittsburgh Steelers and the Cleveland Browns will meet on the gridiron at Cleveland Browns Stadium on Sunday in a battle of division rivals.
Oddsmakers currently have the Steelers listed as 6½-point favorites versus the Browns, while the game’s total is sitting at 44.
The Steelers defeated Houston 38-17 as a 7-point favorite last week. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (44).
Willie Parker rushed for 138 yards on 25 carries with three touchdowns for Pittsburgh, while Ben Roethlisberger completed 13-of-14 passes for 137 yards with a pair of TD passes to Hines Wards in the win
The Browns lost to Dallas 28-10 as a 6-point underdog last week. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (48.5).
Derek Anderson threw for 114 yards with a touchdown for Cleveland and Kellen Winslow had five catches for 47 yards and a touchdown.
Team records:
Pittsburgh: 1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS
Cleveland: 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS
Pittsburgh most recently:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the division are 7-3

Cleveland most recently:
When playing in September are 3-7
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the division are 3-7

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh’s last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Pittsburgh’s last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland’s last 5 games
Cleveland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Cleveland is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland’s last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Next up:
Pittsburgh at Philadelphia, Sunday, September 21
Cleveland at Baltimore, Sunday, September 21

 

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Chargers-Broncos Preview

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The San Diego Chargers and the Denver Broncos will both be gunning for a victory on Sunday when they meet at INVESCO Field at Mile High.
Oddsmakers currently have the Broncos listed as 1-point favorites versus the Chargers, while the game’s total is sitting at 45½.
The Chargers lost to Carolina 26-24 as a 9-point favorite last week. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (41).
Philip Rivers passed for 217 yards with three touchdowns for San Diego, while LaDainian Tomlinson rushed for 97 yards on 22 carries.
Jay Cutler went 16-of-24 for 299 yards with two touchdowns, as the Broncos rolled past the Raiders 41-14 in Week 1 action on Monday night.
Denver covered as 1-point road favorites as the teams played over the 41.5-point total posted by oddsmakers.
Team records:
San Diego: 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS
Denver: 1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS
San Diego most recently:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on grass are 8-2
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing within the division are 9-1

Denver most recently:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing within the division are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
San Diego is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
San Diego is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Diego is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
Denver is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against San Diego
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Denver’s last 13 games at home
Next up:
San Diego home to NY Jets, Monday, September 22
Denver home to New Orleans, Sunday, September 21

 

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Patriots-Jets Pointers

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The fans at Giants Stadium will be treated to a game between the New England Patriots and the New York Jets when they take their seats on Sunday.
Oddsmakers currently have the Jets listed as 1-point favorites versus the Patriots, while the game’s total is sitting at 37.
The Patriots defeated Kansas City 17-10 as a 16-point favorite last week. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (43).
Matt Cassel completed 13-of-18 passes for 152 yards with a touchdown after replacing Tom Brady, while Randy Moss hauled in six passes for 116 yards with a TD.
The Jets defeated Miami 20-14 as a 3-point underdog last week. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (37).
Brett Favre completed 15-of-22 passes or 194 yards with a pair of touchdowns for New York, while Thomas Jones rushed for 101 yards with a touchdown on 22 carries in the win.
Team records:
New England: 1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS
New York: 1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS
New England most recently:
When playing in September are 8-2
When playing on turf are 10-0
After outgaining opponent are 9-1
When playing within the division are 8-2

New York most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on turf are 2-8
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing within the division are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
New England is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
New England is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
New England is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Jets last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Jets last 6 games at home
NY Jets are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Jets last 6 games when playing New England
Next up:
New England home to Miami, Sunday, September 21
NY Jets at San Diego, Monday, September 22

 

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Dolphins-Cardinals Preview

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The Miami Dolphins and the Arizona Cardinals will both be trying to pick up a win on Sunday when they battle at University of Phoenix Stadium.
Oddsmakers currently have the Cardinals listed as 7-point favorites versus the Dolphins, while the game’s total is sitting at 39.
The Dolphins lost to the Jets 20-14 as a 3-point underdog last week. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (37).
Chad Pennington passed for 251 yards with a touchdown and an interception for Miami and Anthony Fasano caught eight passes for 84 yards with a TD.
The Cardinals defeated San Francisco 23-13 as a 2.5-point favorite last week. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (43).
Kurt Warner passed for 197 yards with a touchdown and Edgerrin James rushed for 100 yards on 26 carries.
Team records:
Miami: 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS
Arizona: 1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS
Miami most recently:
When playing in September are 2-8
When playing on grass are 1-9
After being outgained are 1-9
When playing outside the division are 1-9

Arizona most recently:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on grass are 6-4
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing outside the division are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami’s last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami’s last 6 games
Miami is 5-10-2 ATS in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona’s last 5 games at home
Arizona is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona’s last 5 games
Arizona is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Next up:
Miami at New England, Sunday, September 21
Arizona at Washington, Sunday, September 21

 

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Falcons-Buccaneers Preview

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The Atlanta Falcons and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will both be gunning for a victory on Sunday when they meet at Raymond James Stadium.
Oddsmakers currently have the Buccaneers listed as 7-point favorites versus the Falcons, while the game’s total is sitting at 37½.
The Falcons defeated Detroit 34-21 as a 3-point underdog last week. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (41).
Matt Ryan passes for 161 yards with a 62-yards TD pass to Michael Jenkins for Atlanta in the win
The Buccaneers lost to New Orleans 24-20 as a 3-point underdog last week. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (42.5).
Jeff Garcia passed for 221 yards with a touchdown and an interception for Tampa Bay and Joey Galloway caught six passes for 56 yards.
Team records:
Atlanta: 1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS
Tampa Bay: 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS
Atlanta most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on grass are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 3-7
When playing within the division are 2-8

Tampa Bay most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing within the division are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta’s last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Atlanta’s last 13 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Atlanta’s last 20 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Tampa Bay’s last 7 games
Tampa Bay is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Atlanta
Tampa Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Tampa Bay’s last 20 games when playing Atlanta
Next up:
Atlanta home to Kansas City, Sunday, September 21
Tampa Bay at Chicago, Sunday, September 21

 

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49ers-Seahawks Preview

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The San Francisco 49ers and the Seattle Seahawks will both be gunning for a victory on Sunday when they meet at Qwest Field.
Oddsmakers currently have the Seahawks listed as 7-point favorites versus the 49ers, while the game’s total is sitting at 38.
The 49ers lost to Arizona 23-13 as a 2.5-point underdog last week. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (43).
J.T. O’Sullivan threw for 195 yards with an interception for San Francisco and Frank Gore rushed for 96 yards on 14 carries with a touchdown.
The Seahawks lost to Buffalo 34-10 as a 1.5-point underdog last week. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (37.5).
Matt Hasselbeck threw for 190 yards with a touchdown and an interception for Seattle, while Nate Burleson caught five passes for 60 yards and a TD.
Team records:
San Francisco: 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS
Seattle: 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS
San Francisco most recently:
When playing in September are 3-7
When playing on turf are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the division are 4-6

Seattle most recently:
When playing in September are 8-2
When playing on turf are 7-3
After being outgained are 6-4
When playing within the division are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco’s last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Francisco’s last 9 games when playing on the road against Seattle
San Francisco is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Seattle
San Francisco is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Seattle is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle’s last 5 games
Seattle is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing San Francisco
Next up:
San Francisco home to Detroit, Sunday, September 21
Seattle home to St. Louis, Sunday, September 21

 

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Raiders-Chiefs Preview

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The Oakland Raiders and the Kansas City Chiefs will both be trying to pick up a win on Sunday when they battle at Arrowhead Stadium.
Oddsmakers currently have the Chiefs listed as 3½-point favorites versus the Raiders, while the game’s total is sitting at 36.
JaMarcus Russell was 17-of-26 for 180 yards with two touchdowns for Oakland in its 41-14 loss to Denver in Week 1 action on Monday night.
Denver covered as 1-point road favorites as the teams played over the 41.5-point total posted by oddsmakers.
The Chiefs lost to New England 17-10 as a 16-point underdog last week. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (43).
Damon Huard completed 8-of-12 passes for 118 yards with a touchdown and an interception for Kansas City and Larry Johnson rushed for 74 yards on 22 carries.
Team records:
Oakland: 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS
Kansas City: 0-1 SU, 1-0 ATS
Oakland most recently:
When playing in September are 2-8
When playing on grass are 2-8
After being outgained are 2-8
When playing within the division are 2-8

Kansas City most recently:
When playing in September are 4-6
When playing on grass are 3-7
After being outgained are 3-7
When playing within the division are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oakland’s last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland’s last 6 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland’s last 5 games on the road
Oakland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City’s last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City’s last 6 games when playing Oakland
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland
Next up:
Oakland at Buffalo, Sunday, September 21
Kansas City at Atlanta, Sunday, September 21

 

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Saints-Redskins Pointers

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The New Orleans Saints and the Washington Redskins will both be trying to pick up a win on Sunday when they battle at FedExField.
Oddsmakers currently have the Saints listed as 1-point favorites versus the Redskins, while the game’s total is sitting at 42.
The Saints defeated Tampa Bay 24-20 as a 3-point favorite last week. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (42.5).
Drew Brees passed for 343 yards with three touchdowns and an interception for New Orleans, while Reggie Bush caught eight passes for 112 yards with a touchdown in the win.
The Redskins lost their season opener 16-7 to the Giants last time out, as 5-point underdogs. The 23 combined points fell UNDER the posted total of 41.
Jason Campbell threw for 133 yards with a touchdown for the Redskins in that loss.
Team records:
New Orleans: 1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS
Washington: 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS
New Orleans most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on grass are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 3-7
When playing outside the division are 4-6

Washington most recently:
When playing in September are 5-5
When playing on grass are 5-5
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing outside the division are 5-5

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans’s last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans’s last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans’s last 7 games on the road
New Orleans is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington’s last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Washington is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing New Orleans
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Next up:
New Orleans at Denver, Sunday, September 21
Washington home to Arizona, Sunday, September 21

 

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