All posts by JoeDuffy.net Administrator

Joe Biden His Time

Joe Biden, left-wing attack dog, has been chosen as Barack Obama’s running mate. The Delaware senator was a relative long shot at 15/2 on July 1.

But how does his selection affect the political betting odds? The movement has been minimal, though Big Red, one of the founders of offshore betting, notes that the low betting limits on who will be the next president of the US will mean there won’t be the drastic line changes that exist in sports betting.

Obama is -200 to win POTUS, McCain +140. On the political betting odds page, note that Itrade has Obama with a 58.4 percent chance for the White House, compared to just 36.4.

The cone of silence is over, the vetting done on the Democratic side. Oddsmakers still have Mitt Romney as the Republican favorite.

Saturday Preseason Primer

Top-rated Sportsbook

Ravens-Rams

Troy Smith starts at quarterback for the Ravens. He may play as much as three quarters. “Head coach John Harbaugh knows that Kyle Boller is terrible. He will give Smith every chance to win the job,” says NFL betting guru Mike Godsey of GodsTips. Godsey seems to imply a lot of passing will be done by the normally ball control Ravens.

However Smith has been terrible so far completing just 8-of-17 for no touchdowns and one pick.  Rams star running back Steven Jackson is still a holdout. Though reports say that may end soon, it is extremely unlikely he would play Saturday.

Wide receiver Torry Holt is questionable because of a tight back. The Rams best OL Orlando Pace is slowed by a sore shoulder and will be limited.

Already in with the Exhibition Football Game of the Year on Denver last week, Stevie Vincent has the Exhibition Football Game of the Year, Part 2 on this contest. Get it now at OffshoreInsiders.com   

Saints-Bengals

New Orleans TE Jeremy Shockey is practicing and may get his first action of the preseason. The Bengals are without their top four receivers Chad Johnson, T.J. Houshmandzadeh and Andre Caldwell head the list.

Steelers-Vikings

Tavaris Jackson is questionable for Minnesota. The middling starting quarterback would likely see limited action anyway because of a knee injury. The Steelers are still without backup QB Charlie Batch.

Jaguars-Buccaneers

Bucs starting quarterback Jeff Garcia will make his preseason debut. Jacksonville has won the last four preseason games.

Giants-Jets

Brett Favre will start for the Jets but head coach Eric Mangini has not specified how much he will play. WR Laveranues Coles is questionable for the Jets.

Browns-Lions

Browns starting quarterback Derek Anderson is out, so Brady Quinn gets the start for the Browns.  America‘s Greatest sports service, GodsTips has a season high four NFL Wise Guy plays. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy’s GodsTips are widely accepted by high rollers, bookmakers, linesmakers, and fellow handicappers as the biggest play in the handicapping abyss. This is just fact.  Watch the sweep clinch the fourth winning week in as many tries in football this year. Click now to purchase

Chiefs-Dolphins

Miami star running back Ronnie Brown is very doubtful.

Cardinals-Raiders

Raiders coach Lane Kiffin is making it no secret that he will throw a lot tonight. The Raiders ground game is pretty proven, but the baby-faced coach wants to see what strong armed QB JaMarcus Russell has has.

Arizona starting QB Matt Leinart will play into the second quarter, then be replaced by Kurt Warner. Arizona is without FS Antrel Rolle and TE Ben Patrick.

Sunday

Bills-Colts

The Bills will be without RB Willis McGahee. Colts quarterback Peyton Manning is out. Stevie Vincent Senior Analyst of OffshoreInsiders.com says that Manning may now miss the start of the season, hence “We expect Jim Sorgi to air it out as there is a very good chance that he will get playing time this regular season.”

Buffalo starting QB Trent Edwards, who suffered a contusion on his quadriceps, is out. The Colts two best defensive players Bob Sanders and Dwight Freeney are both expected to play for the first time this preseason.  

Monday

Seahawks-Chargers

Seattle starting quarterback Matt Hasselbeck is doubtful. They are also without their top two receivers Bobby Engram and Deion Branch and are adjusting to the departure or running back Shaun Alexander.

Backup Seneca Wallace has been limited, so third stringer Charlie Frye has been taking many of the snaps. Though Chargers TE Antonio Gates returned to practice, he is not expected to play.

Friday Quarterback Rotations and Notes

Bet at 5Dimes

Here are quarterback rotations, news and notes and key gambling advice for the weekend’s preseason NFL betting.

Friday

Eagles-Patriots

Already a weakness, the Eagles are hurting out wide receiver. Kevin Curtis and Reggie Brown are both out for this game. Curtis was the leading receiver last year.  Also for Philly DE Victor Abiamiri, DE Chris Clemons, WR Jamal Jones and DT Montae Reagor are out.

New England has been outsocred 21.5-12.5 in two preseason losses so far. Most signs point towards Tom Brady being out for New England. DB Rodney Harrison is expected to play.

Titans-Falcons

Both teams are expected to play their starters well into the third quarter. Rookie Matt Ryan gets the start for the ‘Cons.

Packers-Broncos

Green Bay has lost both preseason games. Starting running back Ryan Grant will likely miss tonight for the Pack.

Texans-Cowboys

The Texans are 2-0 and the Cowboys 0-2 in preseason. Each team will play their starters for three quarters. Adam Jones starts at CB for Dallas and will return punts. Felix Jones will also get a lot of playing time.

Houston‘s top receiver Andre Johnson will get his first action, but will play much less than the other starters.

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Indians-Rangers Preview

The fans at Rangers Ballpark will be treated to a game between the Cleveland Indians and the Texas Rangers when they take their seats on Friday.
Ace Fausto Carmona will be the starting pitcher for the Indians on this day. Righthander Carmona is 5-5 this season with a 4.71 ERA.
Carmona’s opponent in this one will be Matt Harrison. The Rangers lefthander has a 5.77 ERA to go along with a 5-2 record this season.
NewBodog oddsmakers currently have the Rangers listed as 123-moneyline favorites versus the Indians, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
Grady Sizemore drove in seven runs in leading the Indians to a three-game sweep on Thursday, as they cruised past the Royals 10-3 in the finale. The Indians won the game as -270 favorites, while the 13 runs made it OVER the posted over/under (7.5).
Sizemore finished 4-for-5 at the plate, including a three-run homer. Cliff Lee improved to 18-2 with the win, allowing three runs over seven innings.
The Rangers took the series finale with a convincing 9-1 win over the Tigers last time out, as -115 favorites. The 10 runs fell UNDER the posted over/under (11.5).
Travis Metcalfe drove in three runs with two home runs to power the Rangers. Kevin Millwood went the distance, allowing one run off six hits.
Current streak:
Cleveland has won 4 straight games.
Team records:
Cleveland: 59-67 SU
Texas: 63-65 SU
Cleveland most recently:
When playing on Friday are 4-6
Before playing Texas are 3-7
After playing Kansas City are 7-3
After a win are 7-3

Texas most recently:
When playing on Friday are 5-5
Before playing Cleveland are 5-5
After playing Detroit are 2-8
After a win are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Texas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland’s last 5 games when playing Texas
Cleveland is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Texas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas’s last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas’s last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Texas is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Texas is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games at home
Next up:
Texas home to Cleveland, Saturday, August 23

 

Astros-Mets Vegas Betting Odds

The Houston Astros and the New York Mets will both be gunning for a victory on Friday when they meet at Shea Stadium.
Ace righthander Roy Oswalt will take the mound for the Astros to start this game. Oswalt is 11-8 this season with a 4.28 ERA.
It’ll be ace Johan Santana toeing the rubber for the Mets in this contest. Lefthander Santana is 11-7 with a 2.75 ERA so far this season.
NewBodog oddsmakers currently have the Mets listed as 210-moneyline favorites versus the Astros, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
The Astros fell 5-2 to the Brewers last time out, as +150 underdogs on the road. The seven runs fell UNDER the posted over/under (9).
Geoff Blum had two hits and drove in one run in a losing effort for the Astros. Wandy Rodriguez surrendered three runs off three hits over 5 1-3 innings in the loss.
The Mets completed a three-game sweep with a 5-4 win over the Braves as a -205 favorite on Thursday. The nine runs went as a PUSH against the posted over/under (9).
Carlos Delgado led the way with three RBIs and finished 3-for-5 at the plate for the Mets. Luis Ayala tossed just over an inning of relief for the victory.
Current streak:
New York has won 3 straight games.
Team records:
Houston: 64-63 SU
New York: 71-57 SU
Houston most recently:
When playing on Friday are 4-6
Before playing NY Mets are 3-7
After playing Milwaukee are 4-6
After a loss are 6-4

New York most recently:
When playing on Friday are 4-6
Before playing Houston are 4-6
After playing Atlanta are 5-5
After a win are 8-2

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston’s last 11 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
Houston is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Houston’s last 25 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets are 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
NY Mets are 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
NY Mets are 18-5 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of NY Mets’s last 11 games when playing at home against Houston
Next up:
NY Mets home to Houston, Saturday, August 23

 

Dodgers-Phillies Pointers

The Los Angeles Dodgers and the Philadelphia Phillies will both be gunning for a victory on Friday when they meet at Citizens Bank Park.
The Dodgers will pin their hopes on the pitching of righthander Greg Maddux in this game. Maddux has a 6-9 record and a 3.99 ERA this season.
Starting this game for the Phillies will be Kyle Kendrick. The righthander has a 5.01 ERA to go along with a 10-7 record this season.
NewBodog oddsmakers currently have the Phillies listed as 135-moneyline favorites versus the Dodgers, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
The Dodgers took the finale of a three-game series with a 3-1 win over the Rockies on Thursday, as -220 favorites. The four runs went UNDER the day’s posted over/under (8.5).
James Loney went 2-for-3 at the plate with a solo home run and two RBIs for the Dodgers. Derek Lowe tossed 6 1-3 innings for the victory, allowing one run off four hits with seven strikeouts.
The Phillies lost 4-3 to the Nationals last time out, as -260 favorites. The seven runs fell UNDER the posted over/under (9).
Carlos Ruiz homered in a losing effort for the Phillies. Ryan Madson scattered two runs off four hits in relief to suffer the loss.
Team records:
Los Angeles: 65-62 SU
Philadelphia: 68-59 SU
Los Angeles most recently:
When playing on Friday are 5-5
Before playing Philadelphia are 7-3
After playing Colorado are 3-7
After a win are 6-4

Philadelphia most recently:
When playing on Friday are 7-3
Before playing LA Dodgers are 3-7
After playing Washington are 8-2
After a loss are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
LA Dodgers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Dodgers’s last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
LA Dodgers are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
LA Dodgers are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia’s last 7 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Philadelphia is 16-8 SU in their last 24 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Next up:
Philadelphia home to LA Dodgers, Saturday, August 23

 

Yankees-Orioles Who Will Cover?

If familiarity breeds contempt, there should be animosity aplenty on Friday when the New York Yankees and the Baltimore Orioles meet at Camden Yards.
The Yankees will trot Mike Mussina out to the mound in this one. Righthander Mussina has a 16-7 record and a 3.35 ERA this season.
Mussina’s opponent in this one will be Radhames Liz. The Orioles righthander has a 7.47 ERA to go along with a 4-3 record this season.
NewBodog oddsmakers currently have the Yankees listed as 180-moneyline favorites versus the Orioles, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
The Yankees were crushed 14-3 by the Blue Jays last time out, as +170 underdogs. The 17 runs sailed OVER the posted over/under (8.5).
Hideki Matsui hit a three-run homer in a losing effort for the Yankees. Sidney Ponson gave up seven runs over two innings in the loss.
The Orioles scored 10 runs in the first four innings in an 11-6 win over the Red Sox to avoid a three-game sweep on Wednesday. The Orioles won that game as +115 underdogs, and the 17 runs sailed OVER the posted over/under (11).
Melvin Mora belted a three-run homer and finished with four RBIs for the Orioles. Chris Waters gave up five runs over five innings in earning his second straight win.
Team records:
New York: 67-60 SU
Baltimore: 61-65 SU
New York most recently:
When playing on Friday are 8-2
Before playing Baltimore are 2-8
After playing Toronto are 6-4
After a loss are 5-5

Baltimore most recently:
When playing on Friday are 3-7
Before playing NY Yankees are 7-3
After playing Boston are 4-6
After a win are 4-6

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees’s last 5 games when playing Baltimore
NY Yankees are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
NY Yankees are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore’s last 6 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore’s last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
Baltimore is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
Next up:
Baltimore home to NY Yankees, Saturday, August 23

 

Nationals-Cubs Preview

The Washington Nationals and the Chicago Cubs will both be trying to pick up a win on Friday when they battle at Wrigley Field.
The Nationals will give the ball to starter John Lannan in this one. Lefthander Lannan is 6-12 this season with a 3.81 ERA.
The Cubs will counter Lannan with Jason Marquis. Righthander Marquis has a 4.68 ERA to go along with a 8-7 record this season.
NewBodog oddsmakers currently have the Cubs listed as 290-moneyline favorites versus the Nationals, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
The Nationals avoided a three-game sweep with a close 4-3 win over the Phillies on Thursday, as +225 underdogs. The seven runs fell UNDER the posted over/under (9).
Anderson Hernandez led the way with two hits and one RBI for the Nationals. Saul Rivera tossed an inning of relief for the win, and Joel Hanrahan notched his fourth save.
Carlos Zambrano’s home run gave the Cubs a 3-2 win over the Reds on Thursday, as -360 favorites. The five runs went UNDER the posted over/under (9).
Mark DeRosa also homered for the Cubs. Zambrano improved to 13-5 with the win, and Kerry Wood closed out the ninth inning for his 26th save.
Team records:
Washington: 45-83 SU
Chicago: 78-49 SU
Washington most recently:
When playing on Friday are 5-5
Before playing Chi Cubs are 4-6
After playing Philadelphia are 3-7
After a win are 5-5

Chicago most recently:
When playing on Friday are 5-5
Before playing Washington are 7-3
After playing Cincinnati are 6-4
After a win are 7-3

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington’s last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington’s last 10 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Washington is 3-7 SU in their last 10 games when playing Chi Cubs
Washington is 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs’s last 5 games when playing Washington
Chi Cubs are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
Chi Cubs are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chi Cubs’s last 10 games when playing at home against Washington
Next up:
Chi Cubs home to Washington, Saturday, August 23

 

Thursday News and Betting Rundown

The PGA Tour’s postseason schedule gets going Thursday morning, with golfers teeing off at The Barclays at Ridgewood Country Club. Here’s your Daily Sports Roundup…

Event of the day . . .

Tiger Woods would have been pegged as the favorite to win both The Barclays and, eventually, the FedExCup, but knee surgery will keep the world’s top player out of the PGA Tour’s playoffs this season. That opens the door for everyone else to pick up some cash and titles over the next few weeks, with Phil Mickelson currently listed as the 7/1 Vegas favorite to take the trophy in The Barclays.

British Open and PGA Championship winner Padraig Harrington is next at 10/1 odds, with Sergio Garcia at 12/1, and each of Retief Goosen, Jim Furyk, and Ernie Els at 15/1. Anthony Kim, Adam Scott, and Vijay Singh are then all tied at 20/1 odds to win The Barclays, followed by Kenny Perry at 25/1, and each of Mike Weir, K.J. Choi, Geoff Ogilvy, Stewart Cink, and Stuart Appleby at 30/1.

The top 120 golfers in the FedExCup standings after this weekend will advance to next week’s event, the Deutsche Bank Championship at TPC Boston in Norton, Massachusetts. The PGA Tour playoffs then continue with 70 golfers at the BMW Championship at Bellerive Country Club from September 4-7, and finally 30 golfers at The TOUR Championship at East Lake Golf Club from September 25-28.

College football futures…

While Kentucky nabbing Morgan Newton may not affect college football futures this year, our recruiting sources say he is going to help them very soon, perhaps as early as next year.

Non sports betting events of the day…

Former OffshoreInsiders.com hottie Rumer Willis is dating actor Micah Alberti. Don’t forget our Hollywood betting odds. Another emeritus sex symbol Luciana Barroso has given birth to Matt Damon’s child.

We are still waiting on BetUs Sportsbook to post odds on the next Bigfoot sighting. They have been in a cone of silence about when. However, they likely will post odds on IOUSA’s opening box office.

Future candidates for our hottie Hall-of-Fame include comedian Laura Kightlinger and soccer player Carli Lloyd.

Olympic betting…

Recent big winners for bettors include Lucas Rossi, Hope Solo and the USA women’s soccer team, while the USA softball team won money for the sportsbooks with their early exit.

Betting events of the day…

The Bears and 49ers begin the fourth week of the NFL preseason betting and the top handicapper in the land continues your winnings. From them: we commence making it 4-of-4 winning weeks in football (got the full year pass yet?) with the 49ers-Bears side. We make it 4-of-5 with Wise Guys, a dog and a runline getting back the juice last night.

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Non-event of the day . . .

Kyle Orton vs. Rex Grossman? It’s like Canyon College against Belmont University. J.T. O’Sullivan vs. Alex Smith vs. Shaun Hill is like Beth Ann Chester taking on Rosie O’Donnell. As far as quarterback battles go, those ones aren’t exactly riveting. However, we’ll get to see all of those pivots on Thursday night (starting at 9:00pm ET) when the Bears host the Niners in the first game of Week 3 of the NFL’s preseason schedule. The oddsmakers have the Bears pegged as 3-point home favorites, with the total at 37.5 points.

Also on the schedule . . .

Some of the American League’s best pitchers will take to the mound on Thursday. Cliff Lee (17-2, 2.43 ERA) will try to guide the Indians past the Royals. Roy Halladay (14-9, 2.64 ERA) will take the mound for the Blue Jays against the Yankees. John Lackey (10-2, 3.22 ERA) will try to pitch the Angels to a win over the Twins. In the other Junior Circuit game on Thursday it’ll be Oakland at Seattle.

It’s busier in the National League on Thursday, with six games on the schedule. The Dodgers will host the Rockies, with Florida at San Francisco, Washington at Philadelphia, Atlanta at the Mets, and San Diego at Arizona. As well, Carlos Zambrano (12-5, 3.38 ERA) and the Cubs will be looking to pick up a victory at Wrigley Field against the Reds.

Finally, there is one Canadian Football League game on the schedule for Thursday night, with Saskatchewan at Edmonton. The Eskimos were opened as 2.5-point home favorites in that contest, with the game’s total sitting at 56 points.

News from the wire . . .

The Bears stated earlier in the week that Orton would enter the season as the team’s starting quarterback, so that will take a little bit of pressure off him on Thursday night . . . O’Sullivan will start for the Niners on Thursday night, and he’s the leading candidate to be their top quarterback when the regular season gets underway . . . the Cardinals and Anquan Boldin continue to battle over the wide receiver’s trade demands.

Peek at the future . . .

There are four more NFL games on tap for Friday night: Philadelphia at New England, Tennessee at Atlanta, Houston at Dallas, and Green Bay at Denver . . . the Yankees open a series in Baltimore on Friday night, with former Orioles ace Mike Mussina (16-7, 3.35 ERA) expected to take the mound for New York . . . the semifinals of the Olympics men’s hoops tournament will be played at 8am and 10:15am ET on Friday morning.

Bet at 5Dimes

Athletics-Mariners Pointers

The Oakland Athletics and the Seattle Mariners will meet on the field at Safeco Field on Thursday in a battle of division rivals.
Lefthander Greg Smith will take the mound for the Athletics to start this game. Smith is 5-12 this season with a 3.91 ERA.
It’ll be Ryan Rowland-Smith toeing the rubber for the Mariners in this contest. Lefthander Rowland-Smith is 0-0 with a 6.05 ERA so far this season.
NewBodog oddsmakers currently have the Mariners listed as 120-moneyline favorites versus the Athletics, while the game’s total has not yet been posted.
The A’s dropped the rubber match 3-1 to the Twins last time out, as +225 underdogs on the road. The combined four runs went UNDER the day’s posted over/under (7.5).
Jack Cust drove in the lone run for the A’s. Dallas Braden gave up three runs off six hits over 5 2-3 innings in the loss.
The Mariners were swept away on Wednesday, as they dropped the finale 15-3 to the White Sox. The Mariners were +200 road underdogs in that game, while the 18 runs sailed OVER the posted over/under (10.5).
Raul Ibanez had two hits and drove in all three runs for Seattle. R.A. Dickey was rocked for eight runs over two innings in suffering the loss.
Current streak:
Oakland has lost 2 straight games.
Seattle has lost 6 straight games.
Team records:
Oakland: 57-69 SU
Seattle: 46-80 SU
Oakland most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 5-5
Before playing Seattle are 4-6
After playing Minnesota are 4-6
After a loss are 4-6

Seattle most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 4-6
Before playing Oakland are 5-5
After playing Chi White Sox are 6-4
After a loss are 2-8

A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland’s last 5 games when playing Seattle
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Oakland is 4-18 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle’s last 5 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle’s last 8 games at home
Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oakland
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oakland
Next up:
Seattle home to Oakland, Friday, August 22