All posts by Joe Duffy

Sharp Versus Square Bets Sept 9 College Football

Who the public is betting on September 9, 2023

Joe Duffy, a nice 28-13 start to football season! Saturday, Non-Conference Game of the Year among 5 Wise Guys, 2 Majors. Get the picks now 

🏈Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: UConn, Missouri 

🏈Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Sam Houston, FAU, Memphis

🏈Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Arizona State, UNLV, SMU

🏈Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Syracuse -21 to -25, UNC -16 to -19.5, Liberty -9.5 to -13

Week 1 NFL Fantasy Football Betting Prop Stats

Joe Duffy’s Picks, already the best NFL handicapper ever, has added prop bets to the arsenal at OffshoreInsiders.com Here are free prop trends. ALL records are single game props. 

Fantasy football QB props

  • Justin Fields under 16-9 in passing yards, under 16-6 passing attempts
  • Daniel Jones under 17-8 in passing yards, under 20-9 interceptions
  • Ryan Tannehill under 18-8 pass completions 
  • Dak Prescott over 19-10 interceptions 
  • Kenny Pickett under 9-3 interceptions, under 10-2 TD passes 
  • Trevor Lawrence under 25-11 TD passes
  • Lamar Jackson under 18-6 TD passes
  • Geno Smith over 14-7 TD passes
  • Baker Mayfield under 16-8 TD passes
  • Brock Purdy over 6-1 TD passes

Best NFL Picks Week 1

Joe Duffy’s Picks  We are up to seven NFL for Sunday led by Wise Guy.2 Sunday NFL player props added. Oh Joe Duffy is 28-12 this football season at OffshoreInsiders.com  

Fantasy football rushing props

  • Nick Chubb over 21-9 rushing yards
  • Tua Tagovailoa under 15-5 rushing yards
  • Justin Fields over 17-8 rushing yards
  • Brian Robinson Jr. over 9-2 rushing yards 
  • Joe Mixon under 17-7 rushing yards 
  • Josh Jacobs over 22-10 rushing+receiving yards
  • Christian McCaffrey over 18-7 rushing+receiving yards 
  • Tony Pollard over 22-11 rushing+receiving yards 

Fantasy football receiving props 

  • Jamal Williams under 16-4 receiving yards 
  • Chase Claypool under 19-9 receiving yards
  • Josh Jacobs over 21-11 receiving yards
  • Kadarius Toney under 11-1 receiving yards
  • Christian Kirk over 24-10 receptions
  • Jaylen Waddle under 12-3 receptions
  • Van Jefferson under 15-5 receptions
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Week 2 College Football Betting Lock

There will likely be more picks added but at press time, Joe Duffy’s Picks continues to humiliate the bookies. Oh all I am is 27-12 this football season. Saturday, Non-Conference Game of the Year among 5 Wise Guys, 2 Majors. First 4 NFL for Sunday led by Wise Guy all at OffshoreInsiders.com. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy are the single strongest bet in gambling. 

FREE COLLEGE FOOTBALL PICK

SAM HOUSTON STATE +14.5 at MYBookie to Air Force 

This is one of those picks that could possibly be elevated to premium play, but not just yet. Only 37.5 points is expected to be scored in this game, making the 14.5 loom that much larger. I have an angle that says to go with a large underdog in a game anticipated to be low-scoring is 238-188-13.

Also, after an audit, we told you I am weighing some of my outsources a little heavier. When my “organic” trusted sources agree with my computer systems, the winning is insane and one of the few sharps who wins consistently in college football has my back here. 

It’s not a premium play at least yet because the quoted system isn’t as good as other ones using different parameters, but the same philosophy. This is in part due to the fact the better versions of this angle have held up even better in recent years. Also, the fact it is an early public bet has kept it from the premium threshold. But stay tuned depending on further corroboration. 

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Free College Football Pick Kent State vs. Central Florida

Thursday Wise Guy among two winning bets. Seven Saturday college bets also up! I am 15-7 this season already in football, 2-1 college football. Joe Duffy’s Picks are exclusively at OffshoreInsiders.com

Free pick

CENTRAL FLORIDA -37 Kent at MyBookie   

Early season big favorites are a 60.2 percent proposition. We have contrarian indexes worldwide: offshore, Vegas, all US states where betting is rightfully legal, and still substantial “outlaw” intel from other states. This as a very strong corroborated contrarian bet worldwide. It is possible this game could be elevated to a premium bet. Check OffshoreInsiders.com for updates. 

Free NFL Pick: Eagles vs. Colts Bet

Grandmaster Handicapper Joe Duffy has 2 night MLB led by a Wise Guy. We haven’t had a ton of MLB Wise Guys this season, but our ROI 10.8 percent on them. Get it all at OffshoreInsiders.com

Free pick

INDIANAPOLIS -4.5 Philadelphia

Both of our contrarian indexes, one worldwide sportsbooks, the other has to do with super-square outlaw money, has this as a very strong corroborated contrarian bet worldwide. This is very close to a premium bet, but at press time just below the threshold. You may be getting a premium pick for free. We are mere 12-4 in preseason football. 

Restructuring of OffshoreInsiders.com; More Free Content

  • Both Joe Duffy and LateInfo remain the same. Zero changes
  • Stevie Vincent will return to his roots and go from premium handicapper to free content
  • MasterLockLine will be dissolved after more than 40 years, though Biggest Play, Hottest Handicapper feature will be integrated into Joe Duffy’s Picks as “outsourced picks” a bit more
  • All MasterLockLine, Vincent, and Bet it Trinity have been or will get prorated refunds
  • Vincent and MasterLockLine final day is Sunday, August 20

Adjusting to rapid changes in the industry that have taken place since the Supreme Court lifted the draconian ban on gambling, OffshoreInsiders.com has announced restructuring limited to Stevie Vincent and the MasterLockLine. There are zero changes to Joe Duffy’s Picks and LateInfo.

Stevie Vincent Will Return as Free Content with Some Ala Carte Football Premium Picks

Before becoming a premium handicapper, Stevie Vincent was Executive Editor of the famed scorephone Tailgate Party. He will return to the that with more free content on JoeDuffy.net and @OffshoreInsider on all socials. However, he will likely have some ala carte picks at a low price. While our long-time clients are welcome too, we also desire for potential new clients to see how user friendly the system is. Our research indicates selling a pick at a low price will encourage that. These will be limited to select Perfect Plays and Named Plays from Stevie Vincent. Almost all Vincent content will be free just like the old days. 

Vincent and Trinity active clients will get prorated refunds. 

MasterlockLine Will Be Eliminated Though Top Picks Integrated Even More into Duffy Outsourced Picks

All MasterLockLine and Trinity active clients will get a prorated refund. Especially in football and basketball, the strongest bets on the MasterLockLine were often from the same sources as Duffy’s outscourced picks, which have increased in winning and frequency. Knowing there would overlapping was figured into this long-thought out decision and a final tipping point. Our audits of what is winning and working from a handicapping standpoint have Joe Duffy eyeing increasing MLB outsources picks, which will be some of the same the MasterLockLine has been crushing with this MLB season. 

You Deserve an Explanation; What Factored into this Decision? 

There were many factors involved in the restructuring, but they pretty much all fit under the umbrella of rolling with the industry chances. Since the historic aforementioned SCOTUS decision, every three and four-letter network and major newspaper has become our competition. Much like mom-and-pop hardware stores when Home Depot hit their town, it’s tough to compete against Fortune 500 companies. 

While OffshoreInsiders.com remains strong financially, we will likely never match the revenue in the days before going up against high-profile networks, regardless of the fact only a few talking heads know crap about handicapping. Fortunately, the product has enabled us to maintain many loyal clients, but it’s the new regulars that has been substantially tougher to acquire. 

Thus, the plan is a lot more free content to attract new eyes to our anchor services Duffy and LateInfo. There were other personal issues contributing to this conclusion. My youngest child is going away to college. Thus, my wife and I will soon do a lot more traveling. As our nest is emptying, this is the ideal time to streamline business “distractions” with said consolidation. I’m obsessed with handicapping and will be picking winners until I die. So, unless the guy upstairs has other plans for me, the actuary says I should have a good quarter century of winning picks left in me. 

Thank you for the understanding. I believe I’ve laid it out an easy-to-understand explanation, but feel free to ask questions via the contactus form if there are lingering issues I did not address. I hope future and current clients will enjoy the increased free content. 

Week 1 NFL Preseason Primer


Preseason primer from Joe Duffy, the top NFL handicapper in history and CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com Follow on all socials @OffshoreInsider for updates. 

Thursday

Minnesota-Seattle 

Injuries have Seattle very thin at RB position tonight. 

Friday

Pittsburgh-Tampa

Baker Mayfield gets the nod as starting QB for Buccs. For those who love QB battles as preseason motivator, he is battling Kyle Trask for the starting job. Trask is expected to get the nod next week. 

Washington-Cleveland 

Alleged franchise QB Deshaun Watson will start at QB for the Browns. Bet at Bovada also great online casino with 3K welcome bonus! Washington is struggling in new OC Eric Bieniemy’s offense. They also have a QB battle for the starting position with Sam Howell and journeyman Jacoby Brissett. 

NY Giants-Detroit

So-called intangibles players will want to note a regular season atmosphere is expected for Lions, who enter with expectations as high as it has been in years. 

Denver-Arizona

Arizona’s QB Kyler Murray is both hurt and some may say regressed. Both backup and possible temporary starting QB is up for grabs. Fifth-rounder Clayton Tune will battle career backups Jeff Driskel and David Blough. 

Saturday

Indianapolis-Buffalo

Bills will not play QB Josh Allen nor WR Stefon Diggs, not much of a surprise. 

Colts first round pick Anthony Richardson gets the start at QB. Starters will play about a quarter, minus star RB Jonathan Taylor. Richardson is battling Gardner Minshew for the starting job and has looked well in practice lately. 

Jets-Browns Preseason Primer for Betting Hall-of-Fame Game

Preseason primer for Hall of Fame game between the NY Jets and Cleveland Browns. NFL handicapping guru Joe Duffy has a full-season pick pack in its final days of a huge discount. EARLY BIRD PRICE. Once preseason starts, will be $1714. Get every Joe Duffy pick, college and NFL, preseason through CFP and Super Bowl, for just $1,549. Again, this is FOOTBALL ONLY PICKS! All at OffshoreInsiders.com

Jets (-2, 33.5) vs. Browns

Browns 5th round rookie QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson expected to play the second half in HOF game. Kellen Mond will start and probably play the first half. Some reports say Joshua Dobbs could get time, but it does look like Dobbs may not play. It is a 3-way battle for 2-3 behind DeShaun Watson. So far, 58 percent of bets on Browns, an incredible 91 percent of cash on them. Yet 63 percent of moneyline bets are on New York with the money split. There is serious action on the under with 75 percent of wagers and 83 percent of handle expecting a lower scoring game than the oddsmakers post. 

No. 2 overall draft pick in 2021, QB Zach Wilson will get the start as Aaron Rodgers won’t dress. He will have some impressive blockers in front of him with Mekhi Becton expected to play up to 25 snaps. He is 6-7 and making a comeback from an injury. Second and fourth round picks Joe Tippmann and Carter Warren will also be given a chance to prove themselves on the O-line. 

Cleveland has a new DC in Jim Shwartz. 

Week 1 NFL Betting 2023, Spread Betting Trends and Angles

Opening week NFL trends are here. Exciting matchups include Detroit Lions at Kansas City Chiefs, Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons, Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens, Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns, Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts, Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Minnesota Vikings, Tennessee Titans at New Orleans Saints, San Francisco 49ers at Pittsburgh Steelers, Arizona Cardinals at Washington Commanders, Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears, Las Vegas Raiders at Denver Broncos, Miami Dolphins at Los Angeles Chargers, Philadelphia Eagles at New England Patriots, Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks, Dallas Cowboys at New York Giants, Buffalo Bills at New York Jets, Detroit Lions at Kansas City Chiefs, Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons, Houston Texans at Baltimore Ravens, Cincinnati Bengals at Cleveland Browns. 

NFL Betting Week 1 Tips and Trends 

Panthers 6-1 to NFC

Underdog covered 6 straight in Panthers-Falcons series

Ravens 1-7-1 home 

Bengals 21-5-1 overall 

Browns 13-27 to AFC

Jaguars 7-1-1 to AFC 

Jags 13-2-1 to Colts 

Indianapolis 2-13 week 1

Tampa 2-13-1 overall 

San Francisco 23-9 overall 

Bears 4-17 to NFC North 

Green Bay 24-7 to Bears 

Raiders 10-1 against Denver 

Chargers-Dolphins series under 13-2

Seattle 1-8 last 9

Cowboys 22-8 fieldturf 

Best Sports Handicapper NFL

Joe Duffy will have the winners you need at OffshoreInsiders.com Duffy is the top NFL and college football handicapper in history. 

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