All posts by Joe Duffy

Week 1 NCAA Football Betting Trends, Labor Day Weekend Saturday 2023

Labor Day weekend football, Saturday, September 2, week 1 of 2023. It is the first full week of college football betting. The place to go for sports picks is OffshoreInsiders.com

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CFB trends. All records ATS unless otherwise noted. 

Fresno 25-12 road

Louisiana Tech 1-9 road

Tennessee 9-3 grass

Northern Illinois 46-21-2 road

Arkansas State 10-2 nonconference 

Utah State 3-7 filedturf

Kentucky 21-10 home 

Bowling Green 7-18-1 nonconference 

Michigan 18-7-1 fieldturf 

Colorado 8-20 road

Akron 2-10 nonconfernece 

Temple 6-1 home

Baylor 10-3 home

UMass 9-0 to SEC but 4-10 overall road

Buffalo 7-2 to Big Ten

Wisconsin 8-1 to MAC

WKU 11-3 fieldturf

Washington 5-0 outside conference 

Texas 9-2 non-conference 

Indiana 7-19 overall

North Texas 13-6 outside conference 

Nevada 2-8 overall 

Washington State 16-7 all 

UTSA 5-1 turf 

Houston 0-6 turf

New Mexico 16-43 overall 

Texas A&M 16-6 nonconference 

Army 12-4 grass

ULM 4-12 outside conference 

Middle Tennessee State 3-8 to SEC

Penn State 7-0 overall 

South Carolina 7-3 neutral field 

ODU 6-0 to ACC

VA Tech 1-7 outside conference 

Tulane 44-21 home

BYU 3-8 overall

UCLA 7-20 outside conference 

Week 1 College Football Betting 2023: ATS Trends and OU Report

College football week 1 of 2023 and OffshoreInsiders.com is ready for more winning. Please keep info free by setting up an account at vetted sportsbook GT Bets! 100% bonus on initial deposit, 50% on 2nd. This is for games of Thursday, August 31

Week 1 NCAA Football Betting 2023

UCF 7-1 on Thursday nights

UCF under 9-2 to MAC

NC State 7-19 road

NC State under 17-3 Thursdays

Nebraska under 7-1 fieldturf 
Florida 4-10 road

Utah 9-3 home

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Week 0, 2023 Top Football Handicapper Releases Trends For Opening Night!

It’s opening night of college football season 2023 and we have ATS trends and over-unders up. All records ATS unless otherwise noted. 

Week 0 College Football Betting Trends 2023

Hawaii 9-1 fieldturf, but 3-7 outside conference

Vanderbilt 6-20 home

Vanderbilt over six straight outside conference

San Jose State on 0-7 skid

USC over 8 straight overall, 13-3 at home

FIU 7-20 inside conference

LA Tech 5-0 home

LA Tech over 17-7 road

Best College Football Sports Service 

EARLY BIRD PRICE. Once preseason starts, will be $1714. Get every Joe Duffy pick, college and NFL, preseason through CFP and Super Bowl, for just $1,549. Again, this is FOOTBALL ONLY PICKS.

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Home Run Derby Odds 2023

The Home Run Derby goes down Monday night ahead of next week’s MLB All-Star Game, and the reigning champ is favored to repeat.

SportsBetting not only has odds for the Derby champion, but also who will hit the most/least home runs in Round 1, the longest home run, total HRs hit and more. Joe Duffy will have expert picks on these at OffshoreInsiders.com

Additionally, there are head-to-head matchups available for Round 1. 

The American League is listed as a slight, -125 favorite for the All-Star Game itself, while the NL comes back as a +115 underdog.

If you are able to use this information, please consider citing the source.

Longest Home Run

Over/Under 488.5 feet

Total Distance – All Home Runs

Over/Under 22.5 miles

Total Home Runs Hit

Over/Under 275.5

Total Home Runs Hit – Round 1

Over/Under 169.5

Player to Hit Longest Home Run

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.     +250

Pete Alonso                  +300

Luis Robert Jr.               +350

Julio Rodriguez             +600

Adolis Garcia                 +800

Randy Arozarena           +850

Mookie Betts                +2000

Adley Rutchsman          +2200

Home Run Derby Champion                  

Pete Alonso                  +275

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.     +400

Luis Robert Jr.               +450

Julio Rodriguez             +550

Adolis Garcia                 +600

Randy Arozarena           +850

Mookie Betts                +1000

Adley Rutchsman          +1400

Fewest Home Runs – Round 1               

Adley Rutschman          +350

Randy Arozarena           +350

Adolis Garcia                 +550

Mookie Betts                +550

Julio Rodriguez             +600

Luis Robert Jr.               +600

Valdimir Guerrero Jr.     +800

Pete Alonso                  +850

Most Home Runs – Round 1                  

Pete Alonso                  +350

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.     +350

Julio Rodriguez             +550

Luis Robert Jr.               +550

Adolis Garcia                 +600

Mookie Betts                +600

Randy Arozarena           +800

Adley Rutschman          +850

Luis Robert Jr.               -200

Adley Rutschman          +160

Adolis Garcia                 -140

Randy Arozarena           +110

Pete Alonso                  -165

Julio Rodriguez             +135

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.     -165

Mookie Betts                +135

ESPYs Award Odds Released

The annual ESPYS show is set for Monday, July 12, and fans have been voting over the past week to help decide which athletes will take home honors for 22 categories.

SportsBetting has created odds for the 10 most notable categories, and the projections range from heavy favorites to tossups to wide-open races.

For the top golfer in 2023, Jon Rahm is the odds-on favorite at -250. This year, Rahm has a major championship under his belt (Masters Tournament), as well as three other victories and 10 Top 10s in total. 

Below, you will find the ESPY odds for “Best Golfer” and nine other categories.

Best Golfer                   

Jon Rahm                      -250

Scottie Scheffler            +500

Nelly Korda                   +700

Wyndham Clark            +900

Best Athlete: Men’s Sports                   

Patrick Mahomes          +120

Aaron Judge                  +250

Nikola Jokic                   +400

Lionel Messi                  +500

Best Athlete: Women’s Sports              

Iga Swiatek                   +180

A’ja Wilson                   +225

Sophia Smith                +300

Mikaela Shriffrin           +425

Best Play                      

Justin Jefferson             +180

Michael Block               +250

Trinity Thomas              +300

Ally Lemos                    +400

Best Record-Breaking Performance                   

LeBron James                -380

Novak Djokovic             +700

Mikaela Shriffrin           +900

Max Verstappen           +1000

Best MLB Player                       

Aaron Judge                  +120

Shohei Ohtani               +120

Paul Goldschmidt          +850

Justin Verlander            +1000

Best NBA Player                       

Nikola Jokic                   -300

Jimmy Butler                +650

Joel Embiid                   +650

Jayson Tatum                +1000

Best NFL Player            

Patrick Mahomes          -300

Jalen Hurts                   +550

Justin Jefferson             +800

Nick Bosa                      +1000

Best NHL Player                        

Conor McDavid             -500

Jonathan Marchessault +700

Linus Ullmark                +1000

David Pastrnak              +1600

Best Soccer Player                    

Erling Haaland              +190

Lionel Messi                  +220

Aitana Bonmati             +300

Sophia Smith                +400

Joe Duffy is widely accepted as the top college and pro football handicapper in history, hands down. His bets are exclusively on OffshoreInsiders.com handicapping network. 

Free MLB Pick Massive Free Bet

Inspired by Billy Walters and the Vegas Computer Boys, Joe Duffy has been for decades the top data scientist in sports handicapping. Spectacular anti-splits angle that wins in every sport, some great computer sim bets part of 5-0 sweep led by a Wise Guy.  Winners at OffshoreInsiders.com

Free winner from Joe Duffy is:

ATLANTA (SMITH-SHAWVER -146) Cincinnati (Weaver)

Away favorites to teams with at least an eight-game winning streak are 30-12 for +15.60 units and a 29.3 ROI. It also crushes on the runline. The ROI is even better at -130 or more. Luke Weaver has been atrocious for the Reds with a 10.12 ERA last three starts and 2.174 WHIP. A viral system says to go with non-divisional away favorites. We’ve excluded Saturdays as it is the best day for home teams. Since 2018 away interdivisional favorites are up 143.54 units. 

The Best Capper Sweeps Again; Massive Sale on Weekly

7=11. Today only, Wednesday, June 21, 2023, the Joe Duffy weekly is extended to 11 days. Slurp up this incredible deal now! This is the intel you get every day at OffshoreInsiders.com     

Wise Guy plays are your maximum play. Majors are .75 of Wise Guy plays. Game of the Year and Game of the Month plays still involve the same straight betting as above. While we believe all gamblers need only bet our plays we realize some pick and choose selections. Said distinction is for such ala carte players. All units won quoted on systems are based on one unit per bet. 

MLB

Major

OAKLAND (WALDICHUK +1.5 -105) Cleveland (Civale)

Yes, play stands with new Oakland pitcher. 

One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found them covering at a rate of 60 percent compared to the implied probability of the line at 51.22 percent making this great value.

SAN FRANCISCO (DESCLAFANI -110) San Diego (Lugo)

Taking advantage of oddsmaker same series adjustments is up almost 800 units. As is the case with many of our best systems, we take the oddsmakers knowledge and weaponize it against them. San Francisco wins an impressive 62 percent of simulations on our top computer model. 

NY Yankees-Seattle UNDER 7 (Cole-Kirby)

When the total is much less than the season to date average of at least one of the teams, it goes under at a rate of 6162-5253-595. 

NY Mets-Houston UNDER 7.5 (Verlander-Valdez)

When the total is much less than the season to date average of at least one of the teams, it goes under at a rate of 6162-5253-595. 

Super Bowl 58 Winner Revealed; It’s Not the Favorite

Last year’s Super Bowl opponents the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles are virtual co-favorites to win Super Bowl LVIII. The Chiefs are +600 to repeat, while the Eagles are +650. Last year’s favorite Buffalo is next at +900 or 9-1 tied with the 49ers and their deep QB depth chart. 

My pick CINCINNATI +1200: Cincinnati overcame the predictable Super Bowl hangover from the previous season, winning eight straight to end the regular season. Clearly Joe Burrow has proven he is a big-time player in both college and the NFL. Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd give the franchise signal caller some serious weapons. They are strong enough on defense. Cincy wins in February. 

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Super Bowl 58 Winner Odds

Kansas City Chiefs+600 

Philadelphia Eagles+650 

Buffalo Bills+900 

San Francisco 49ers+900 

Cincinnati Bengals+1200 

Dallas Cowboys+1400 

New York Jets+1400 

Baltimore Ravens+2000 

Detroit Lions+2200 

Miami Dolphins+2200 

Jacksonville Jaguars+2500 

Los Angeles Chargers+2800 

Seattle Seahawks+3000 

Cleveland Browns+3500 

Denver Broncos+3500 

Minnesota Vikings+3500 

New Orleans Saints+3500 

Chicago Bears+5000 

Las Vegas Raiders+5000 

Pittsburgh Steelers+5000 

Los Angeles Rams+6000 

Carolina Panthers+6500 

Green Bay Packers+6500 

New England Patriots+6500 

New York Giants+6500 

Washington Commanders+6500 

Atlanta Falcons+7000 

Tennessee Titans+8000 

Indianapolis Colts+10000 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers+10000 

Houston Texans+15000 

Arizona Cardinals+2000

Bradley Beal Trade Rocks NBA Championship Odds; Next Team for Young, Zion, Towns, Levine

The first major domino of the NBA offseason fell last night as Bradley Beal was traded to the Phoenix Suns.

Of course, that move had an impact on next year’s championship odds, as well as “next team” odds for all of the other players reportedly on the trading block. 

SportsBetting has updated its trade odds for Damian Lillard, DeAndre Ayton, Karl-Anthony Towns, Trae Young, Zach LaVine and Zion Williamson, where the Suns have been removed from some of the players’ candidates.

The Suns’ title odds for next year moved from +900 to +700 immediately after the Beal news broke. This morning, Phoenix has moved even further up the board and now has +650 odds.

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2023-24 NBA Championship                  

Denver Nuggets                        +400

Boston Celtics                           +600

Milwaukee Bucks                      +650

Phoenix Suns                            +650

Golden State Warriors               +1200

Miami Heat                               +1400

Philadelphia 76ers                     +1400

Los Angeles Clippers                  +1600

Dallas Mavericks                       +1800

Los Angeles Lakers                    +1800

Memphis Grizzlies                     +2000

Cleveland Cavaliers                   +2800

New Orleans Pelicans                +2800

New York Knicks                        +3300

Sacramento Kings                     +3300

Minnesota Timberwolves          +5500

Atlanta Hawks                           +6600

Oklahoma City Thunder             +6600

Toronto Raptors                        +6600

Brooklyn Nets                           +9000

Houston Rockets                       +10000

Portland Trail Blazers                +10000

San Antonio Spurs                     +10000

Chicago Bulls                            +12500

Utah Jazz                                  +12500

Indiana Pacers                          +15000

Orlando Magic                          +15000

Washington Wizards                 +20000

Charlotte Hornets                     +30000

Detroit Pistons                          +40000

Damian Lillard Next Team                     

Miami Heat                               +200

Brooklyn Nets                           +300

New York Knicks                        +300

Boston Celtics                           +400

San Antonio Spurs                     +900

Los Angeles Lakers                    +1200

Dallas Mavericks                       +1400

Los Angeles Clippers                  +1400

Atlanta Hawks                           +1600

Chicago Bulls                            +1800

Memphis Grizzlies                     +2000

DeAndre Ayton Next Team                   

Dallas Mavericks                       +300

Chicago Bulls                            +400

Atlanta Hawks                           +500

Charlotte Hornets                     +600

Orlando Magic                          +600

Indiana Pacers                          +900

Portland Trail Blazers                +900

Boston Celtics                           +1000

Oklahoma City Thunder             +1200

San Antonio Spurs                     +1200

Toronto Raptors                        +1200

Golden State Warriors               +2000

New Orleans Pelicans                +2000

New York Knicks                        +2000

Minnesota Timberwolves          +2500

Karl-Anthony Towns Next Team                        

New York Knicks                        +300

Washington Wizards                 +400

Chicago Bulls                            +500

Sacramento Kings                     +550

Houston Rockets                       +600

Toronto Raptors                        +700

Brooklyn Nets                           +750

Boston Celtics                           +800

Portland Trail Blazers                +900

Miami Heat                               +1000

Golden State Warriors               +1200

Charlotte Hornets                     +1400

Trae Young Next Team             

LA Lakers                                  +125

Chicago Bulls                            +500

Miami Heat                               +550

LA Clippers                               +600

Dallas Mavericks                       +700

Washington Wizards                 +900

Boston Celtics                           +1000

Minnesota Timberwolves          +1000

Portland Trail Blazers                +1400

New Orleans Pelicans                +1800

Denver Nuggets                        +2000

Oklahoma City Thunder             +2000

San Antonio Spurs                     +2500

Utah Jazz                                  +2500

Zion Williamson Next Team                  

Portland Trail Blazers                +200

Charlotte Hornets                     +325

Houston Rockets                       +400

New York Knicks                        +400

Utah Jazz                                  +600

Minnesota Timberwolves          +800

Oklahoma City Thunder             +800

Orlando Magic                          +950

Golden State Warriors               +1200

Zach LaVine Next Team            

Miami Heat                               +300

Brooklyn Nets                           +400

Atlanta Hawks                           +500

Dallas Mavericks                       +600

Golden State Warriors               +700

Oklahoma City Thunder             +750

New York Knicks                        +800

Boston Celtics                           +900

Portland Trail Blazers                +1000

Toronto Raptors                        +1000

LA Lakers                                  +1200

Denver Nuggets                        +1400

Washington Wizards                 +1600

NCAA Football National Title Odds and Pair of Great Dark Horse Contenders

Oddsmakers deem the college football national championship race will be more competitive than in recent seasons thanks to the return to eminence of historic powers. Two conferences, the SEC and Big Ten possess the top four spots. Two-time defending national champion Georgia is the favorite at +250, followed by conference rival Alabama at +550. Ohio State, who took Georgia down to the final play in the national semi-finals is next at +700. The team that has defeated the Buckeyes in consecutive seasons, Michigan is next at +900. 

Bovada declares USC is back thanks to the Oklahoma twosome of coach Lincoln Riley and Heisman Trophy winner Caleb Williams. The Trojans also made a splash by adding quarterback whisperer Kliff Kingsbury as their new QB coach. Southern Cal is next at +1200. While Clemson is no longer the annual virtual co-favorites with Alabama, they are strong contenders at +1800. 

Will Brian Kelly become the fourth straight LSU coach to win a natty? The Tigers are +1600 to do so this season. Traditional powers Texas, Tennessee, Florida State, and Penn State all are returning to relevance with odds at 20-1 or less. 

The best sports handicapper looks at the best dark horses:

Texas A&M +4500: Texas A&M has had some great recruiting years but was a total bust last year. Jimbo Fisher won a national title at Florida State and brought in long-time coach Bobby Petrino to jumpstart the offense. Petrino is a terrible human being, but he knows how to coach. Conner Weigman is a strong QB. Look for Fisher’s recruiting to finally pay dividends. 

Wisconsin +5500: Luke Fickell has been atop of a lot of coaching wish lists the past two years and he landed in Madison. He dominated the transfer portal, adding depth on both sides of the ball. The defense is top shelf, the offense will be both more aggressive and talented. 

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All teams’ odds. All odds are based on $100 per bet. Hence +400 is the same is 4-1 and +1200 is the equivalent of 12-1. 

Georgia+250 

Ohio State+700 

Alabama+550 

Michigan+900 

USC+1200 

Clemson+1600 

Texas+1800 

Tennessee+2000 

Florida State+1800 

Penn State+2000 

LSU+1600 

Oregon+2500 

Notre Dame+3000 

Washington+4000 

Oklahoma+4000 

TCU+5000 

Utah+5000 

North Carolina+8000 

Texas A&M+4500 

Mississippi+8000 

UCLA+10000 

Kentucky+10000 

Auburn+10000 

Mississippi State+10000 

Wisconsin+5500 

Minnesota+10000 

Kansas State+15000 

Miami Florida+15000 

Oregon State+15000 

UCF+15000 

Florida+15000 

Iowa+15000 

Louisville+20000 

Arkansas+20000 

Tulane+20000 

South Carolina+12500 

Purdue+20000 

Illinois+20000 

Baylor+20000 

Oklahoma State+20000 

NC State+25000 

Missouri+25000 

Michigan State+25000 

Iowa State+25000 

Pittsburgh+25000 

West Virginia+25000 

Texas Tech+25000 

Nebraska+25000 

Syracuse+25000 

Virginia Tech+25000 

Maryland+25000 

Duke+30000 

Arizona State+30000 

Boise State+30000 

Wake Forest+30000 

Kansas+30000 

Colorado+30000 

California+30000 

Air Force+40000 

Georgia Tech+40000 

Memphis+40000 

SMU+40000 

Washington State+40000 

UTSA+40000 

BYU+40000 

San Jose State+50000 

Boston College+50000 

East Carolina+50000 

Indiana+50000 

Fresno State+50000 

Virginia+50000 

Cincinnati+50000 

UAB+50000 

James Madison+50000 

Liberty+50000 

Arizona+50000 

Western Kentucky+50000 

Houston+50000 

Vanderbilt+50000 

Coastal Carolina+50000 

Troy+90000 

Connecticut+90000 

Old Dominion+90000 

Massachusetts+90000 

Kent State+90000 

Ball State+90000 

Florida International+90000 

Navy+90000 

Northern Illinois+90000 

Stanford+90000 

Toledo+90000 

Charlotte+90000 

Texas State+90000 

Appalachian State+90000 

Akron+90000 

Marshall+90000 

Hawaii+90000 

Nevada+90000 

New Mexico+90000 

Army+90000 

Wyoming+90000 

Southern Mississippi+90000 

Arkansas State+90000 

UTEP+90000 

Buffalo+90000 

Miami Ohio+90000 

Georgia State+90000 

Central Michigan+90000 

Temple+90000 

Bowling Green+90000 

Florida Atlantic+90000 

Rice+90000 

Georgia Southern+90000 

New Mexico State+90000 

Colorado State+90000 

UL Lafayette+90000 

San Diego State+90000 

Utah State+90000 

UNLV+90000 

South Alabama+90000 

Western Michigan+90000 

Northwestern+90000 

North Texas+90000 

Eastern Michigan+90000 

Ohio+90000 

Tulsa+90000 

Middle Tennessee+90000 

Louisiana Tech+90000 

UL Monroe+90000 

South Florida+90000 

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