All posts by Joe Duffy

Week 4 NFL Opening Lines, With Line Moves From Lookahead

Every Thursday or Friday, Betonline opens up look-ahead lines for the following week. They are taken down on Sunday right before the games start. Here are the opening lines and lookahead lines for week 4. 

Then they are re-opened once the games end. OffshoreInsiders.com exploits this intel. 

Sometimes there can be a massive change based on injuries or poor play. 

If there’s a big line movement from the look-ahead lines, that will be notated.

As you’ll see below, Week 4 has had by far the biggest changes from the look-ahead lines.

NFL Week 4 Lines

Thursday, September 26, 2024

  • Dallas (-5½) @ New York Giants
    • Note: Dallas opened -6½.

Sunday, September 29, 2024

  • New Orleans @ Atlanta (-1½)
  • Los Angeles Rams (-1) @ Chicago
    • Note: Chicago opened -3.
  • Minnesota @ Green Bay (-2)
  • Pittsburgh (-2) @ Indianapolis
    • Note: Indianapolis opened -1.
  • Denver @ New York Jets (-7½)
  • Philadelphia (-2½) @ Tampa Bay
    • Note: Game opened as a pick’em.
  • Cincinnati (-6½) @ Carolina
  • Jacksonville @ Houston (-4½)
  • Washington @ Arizona (-4½)
  • New England @ San Francisco (-10½) 
  • Cleveland (-1½) @ Las Vegas
  • Kansas City (-9) @ Los Angeles Chargers
    • Note: KC opened -3½.
  • Buffalo @ Baltimore (-2½)

Monday, September 30, 2024

  • Tennessee (-1) @ Miami
    • Note: Miami opened -2½.
  • Seattle @ Detroit (-4½)

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Biggest Public Betting Moves For Saturday College Football

As we dive into the latest college football betting landscape, it’s essential to understand where the public money is going, which teams are seeing sharp action, and how line moves are reflecting market sentiment. This week’s college football betting activity is a fascinating mix of heavy public support, sharp bettor interest, and significant line movement. Let’s take a closer look at the trends that we bet at MYBookie is one of the best sportsbooks in the world! Check out the review of MyBookie:

Public Betting Trends: % of Bets

📊 Ohio State, Army, Iowa
The Buckeyes of Ohio State are once again a public favorite, with a large percentage of bettors throwing their support behind the perennial powerhouse. Army and Iowa round out the teams receiving the majority of public backing. This trend indicates strong confidence in these teams’ ability to cover the spread, even as oddsmakers adjust lines to account for this wave of betting activity.

Where the Big Money is: % of Money

💵 Duke, UTSA, Toledo, Ohio State
While Ohio State dominates in terms of the number of bets, larger amounts of money are also coming in on the Blue Devils of Duke, UTSA, and Toledo. When big money is flowing in a particular direction, it often suggests that more experienced or high-stakes bettors are confident in their picks. Keep an eye on these teams as they could be indicators of where the sharps are leaning.

Sharp Action

🔪 Troy, Boise State
The sharp bettors—those considered to have inside information or advanced analytical skills—are targeting Troy and Boise State this week. When sharp action piles up on a team, it often means there’s hidden value in the lines that the general public hasn’t spotted yet. This sharp action could lead to further line movement as sportsbooks adjust to balance their risk.

Line Movements

📈 Line moves are an essential tool in any bettor’s arsenal, as they reflect how sportsbooks are reacting to incoming bets. This week, we’ve seen significant movement in several games:

  • Clemson opened at -14.5 and has been bet up to -18.5, indicating strong confidence in the Tigers to cover a big spread.
  • FAU opened at -2 but is now sitting at +1.5, a 3.5-point swing. This kind of movement suggests heavy action on their opponent.
  • SMSU has seen its line move from -13 to -16.5, reflecting increased belief in a dominant performance.
  • Memphis saw their line shrink from -12.5 to -9.5, which may indicate concerns about their ability to cover a double-digit spread.
  • North Texas opened at -10 but has moved to -7, a key move around a critical number in football betting.
  • Baylor flipped from a 1-point underdog to a 2-point favorite, a massive swing suggesting strong public and sharp confidence in the Bears.
  • Oregon State opened as a 6-point favorite but now sits at -3, reflecting significant action on their opponent.

What These Trends Mean for Bettors

Understanding the dynamics between public betting, sharp action, and line movement can give you a strategic edge. Public money can inflate lines, providing value on the opposite side. Sharp action often indicates hidden value, while line movements can reveal where sportsbooks are trying to balance their books.

As the week progresses, keeping an eye on line shifts and where the big money is going will help you make more informed bets. Whether you’re riding with the public on Ohio State or following sharp action on Boise State, understanding these trends can be the difference between cashing a ticket and coming up short.

Conclusion
This week’s college football betting slate offers plenty of opportunities for bettors to capitalize on public trends, sharp action, and evolving lines. Stay updated, and use these insights to make smarter wagers as the season unfolds. Keep in mind that the most successful bettors are those who combine knowledge of these factors with discipline and strategy.

Happy betting, and good luck!

Joe Duffy is the strongest gambler in history and has three Wise Guy bets leading an incredible portfolio at OffshoreInsiders.com


By using data from the betting market, including public money, sharp action, and line movements, you can better position yourself to make informed decisions when wagering on college football. Stay sharp, and watch for late line shifts as kickoff approaches!

Must-See Betting Preview of Patriots vs. Jets Thursday Night Football

New England Patriots at New York Jets Betting Preview For Thursday Night Football Picks

Game Details:

  • Line: Jets -6, Over/Under 38.5 at MYBookie  
  • Moneyline: Jets -260, Patriots +230
  • Opening Line: Jets -7.5, O/U 42; Moneyline: Jets -360
  • Betting Percentages: 51% of bets, but only 36% of the money is on the Patriots, signaling possible sharp money on the Jets.
  • Total Betting: 70% of bets and 52% of the handle are on the Over. out the review of MyBookie

The Jets and Patriots are set to face off in a divisional matchup, with both teams trying to establish dominance in the AFC East. The line has moved in favor of the Patriots since the opening, suggesting some market sentiment shifting toward New England, despite many bettors backing the Jets.

Sharp Money on Jets?

The discrepancy between bets and money is telling. While 51% of bets are on the Patriots, only 36% of the money follows suit, hinting that sharp bettors could be backing the Jets. This is often a key signal when analyzing line movements, especially when public money favors an underdog.

Patriots End Historic Streak as Underdogs

For the first time in 24 matchups, the Patriots enter this game as underdogs. New England has been the favorite in this series for a remarkable stretch, but the tide has turned. The market now seems to undervalue the Patriots, particularly with Jerod Mayo stepping in and injecting some fresh energy.

Patriots Undervalued with Better Head Coach Than Last Season

Jerod Mayo’s impact has given the Patriots a new spark, making them potentially undervalued in this matchup. Conversely, Bill Belichick’s record without Tom Brady is less impressive, winning just 45% of games. The “honeymoon period” under Mayo could give New England a surprise edge.

Key Computer Program Predictions:

  • BettingPros: Jets -6.8, 38
  • Massey: Patriots winning 20-17
  • Sportsline: Jets winning 22-13; under covering 61% of the time; Jets 56% win probability
  • BetQL: Jets winning 25-16
  • StatSharp: Patriots winning 16-15

These predictions are a mixed bag, with some simulations favoring the Jets and others siding with the Patriots. The total is another factor to watch, as the under seems to have strong support across various models.

Trends to Watch:

  • Patriots’ Dominance in Series: New England has owned this rivalry, going 15-1 straight up (SU) and 11-5 against the spread (ATS) over the last 16 matchups. They have won 8 straight on the road against the Jets and are 5-1 ATS in the NY metro area.
  • Robert Saleh’s September Struggles: Saleh is 1-10 versus the first-half line in September games, being outscored 14.3-5.4 in that period. His teams have dropped 6 straight ATS in the first half in September.
  • Under Trends: Both teams have leaned heavily toward the under in recent games:
    • Patriots: 5 straight unders and 0-5 ATS following non-conference games.
    • Jets: Saleh’s teams are 5-0 to the under in September road games, and the Jets are 11-6 to the under in their last 17.
    • Fourth Quarter Unders: Both teams have been under teams in fourth-quarter scoring, with the Patriots going under in 12 of their last 17 games and the Jets in 11 of 17.

Jets Moneyline and Betting ROI

The Jets are 10-10 straight up (SU) but have been profitable, up 3.1 units with a 14% return on investment (ROI). However, they are just 1-6 ATS as favorites recently and 3-4 SU in such games.

Betting Systems Favor the Patriots

Several betting systems support taking the Patriots as underdogs:

  • Short-term system: Dogs of 6 or more points are 8-0 ATS this season.
  • Divisional System: Betting against divisional home favorites with a -4 or worse point margin from the previous season has hit at 46-18, favoring the Patriots.

Player Prop Bets to Target:

  1. Jacoby Brissett (NE) OVER 17 completions:
    • Some simulators predict Brissett with up to 30 completions. He is likely to rely on short, safe passes, boosting his completion numbers. Another simulation has him at 18.9 completions, still favoring the over.
  2. Antonio Gibson (NE) UNDER 1.5 receptions:
    • This is a best bet from one of the top simulators, with the expectation that Gibson won’t see many targets in the passing game.
  3. Breece Hall (NYJ) OVER 30.5 receiving yards:
    • The Patriots have a strong run defense but are more vulnerable against the pass, making Hall a key safety valve for the Jets. Expect him to play a big role in the passing game.
  4. Will McDonald (NYJ) OVER 0.5 sacks:
    • The Patriots are dealing with injuries on their offensive line, giving McDonald a prime opportunity to make an impact.
  5. Garrett Wilson (NYJ) OVER 64.5 receiving yards:
    • Aaron Rodgers has a history of favoring his top targets, and Wilson is expected to see plenty of attention. Rodgers’ comfort level with his star receiver should result in Wilson racking up yardage.

Injury Report:

  • Jets LB C.J. Mosley: Questionable. If Mosley can’t play, the Patriots will likely lean on their running game even more.
  • Patriots LB Ja’Whaun Bentley: Out for the season, which is a significant blow to New England’s defense.

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Conclusion:

This matchup between the Patriots and Jets has plenty of interesting angles. The Patriots have historically dominated this series, but the betting market and sharps seem to favor the Jets. With several betting systems supporting the underdog Patriots, this could be a game where the Pats cover the spread, even if the Jets manage to win outright. Player props offer additional value, especially on short completions and receiving yards for both teams.

💰💰💰Top NFL expert pick is from Joe Duffy’s Picks:

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Week 2 NFL Betting; Tailgate Party with Free Side ATS, Player Prop Trends, Public Betting Info

Here is the Sunday NFL Tailgate Party: everything gamblers need to know to make a bloody fortune in week 2 NFL betting!

Free:

CLEVELAND +3 Jacksonville we bet at MYBookie is one of the best sportsbooks in the world! Check out the review of MyBookie

So many super sharp systems apply here. Combo of going with a team with the much worse delta points allowed and a road underdog that has not overachieved is a sensational 36-6 ATS for about a 60 percent ROI. Delta points allowed is how many points they allowed relative to the average team total. 

The master angle about dogs that have not overachieved based on wins compared to how often they have been a favorite is a stunning 1229-1027-63 for +99.30 units. It hits 63.3 percent in first three weeks, so again overestimating short-term results is massive early season. 

Week 2 is all about square bettors panicking and oddsmakers knowing it. A big bounce back angle about going with teams that loss as a favorite in opening week, under specific situations that apply in this game are 53-29-2 for 23.4 ROI. 

Of our models, simulators, power ratings, BetQL, which tends to shade towards chalk, has this as only a one-point game and a solid bet on the Browns. 

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🏈 Biggest Public Bets for Week 2 NFL:

  • % of Bets: 🏴‍☠️ Tampa, 🐴 Denver, 🗽 NY Giants; 🏴‍☠️ Pittsburgh OVER, 🟦 Seattle OVER
  • % of Money: 🛩️ NY Jets, 🌉 San Francisco
  • Sharp Action: 🛩️ Houston, 🛩️ NY Jets, 🐆 Jacksonville, 🦅 Philadelphia; 🏴‍☠️ New England UNDER
  • Line Moves (Open/Current):
    • 🧀 Green Bay from -5 to +2.5 (Jordan Love injury)
    • 🐏 Rams -2 now +1
    • 🛩️ Houston -3.5 now -6.5
  • OU:
    • 🧀 Green Bay OVER 47 now 40.5 (Love injury)
    • 🐴 Denver 40.5 to 36.5


📊 Top Player Prop Betting Trends:

  • 🏈 Bryce Young: under 13-4 in his career with passing yards
  • 🏈 Daniel Jones: under 17-8 last 25 with passing yards
  • 🏈 Sam Darnold: under 11-3 passing completions
  • 🏈 Jacoby Brissett: over 13-4 passing completions
  • 🏈 Trevor Lawrence: under 36-17 in his career with passing TDs
  • 🏈 Daniel Jones: under 25-11 in his career with passing TDs
  • 🏈 Kirk Cousins: over 28-14 in his career with passing TDs
  • 🏈 Aaron Rodgers: under 21-8 in his career rushing yards
  • 🏈 Miles Sanders: under 25-11 in his career with receiving yards
  • 🏈 Christian Watson: under 17-5 in his career with receiving yards

Happy betting! 📈🏆

💰💰💰Top expert pick:  

💥 Sunday: 3 powerful Wise Guy bets 💡5 Majors 📈 3 player prop bets

🔥 Includes Patrick Mahomes prop!

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NFL Award Winners Odds Updated Entering Week 2

NFL Awards odds every week courtesy of Betonline  

Here are notes for each award along with some changes from the previous week.

  • MVP
    • Patrick Mahomes Jr. is still the leader.
    • Derek Carr and Saquon Barkley went from 250/1 to 100/1.
    • Deshaun Watson went from 66/1 to 150/1.
    • Jordan Love went from 14/1 to 75/1.
    • Bryce Young went from 100/1 to 300/1.
    • Daniel Jones went from 150/1 to 300/1.
    • Drake Maye, Michael Penix, Nick Chubb, and Russell Wilson are now off the board.
  • Defensive Player of the Year
    • TJ Watt is the new favorite.
    • Khalil Mack went from 88/1 to 33/1.
    • Roquan Smith went from 75/1 to 50/1.
    • Josh Allen went from 18/1 to 50/1.
    • Montez Sweat went from 33/1 to 75/1.
    • Bradley Chubb, Jalen Ramsey, and Jonathan Greenard are now off the board.
  • Coach of the Year
    • Mike Mcdonald is still the favorite
    • Jerod Mayo went from 33/1 to 10/1.
    • Mike Tomlin went from 28/1 to 14/1.
    • Todd Bowles went from 60/1 to 22/1.
    • Dan Quinn went from 18/1 to 40/1.
    • Todd Bowles 40/1 to 100/1/
  • Offensive Rookie of the Year
    • Caleb Williams is still the favorite.
    • Xavier Worthy went from 20/1 to 10/1.
    • Brian Thomas went from 45/1 to 28/1.
    • Blake Corum and Jonathon Brooks went from 66/1 to 100/1.
    • Xavier Legette went from 66/1 to 150/1.
    • Bucky Irving is now on the board.
    • Audric Estime, Isaac Guerendo, Jalen McMillan, Ja’Lynn Polk, Jermaine Burton, Ray Davis, Roman Wilson, Spencer Rattler, and Troy Franklin are now off the board.
  • Defensive Rookie of the Year
    • Dallas Turner is still the leader.
    • Kamari Lassiter went from 50/1 to 16/1.
    • Edgerrin Cooper went from 25/1 to 50/1.
    • Adisa Isaac, Bralen Trice, Ennis Rakestraw Jr., and Jer’Zhan Newton are now off the board.
  • Comeback Player of the Year
    • Aaron Rodgers remains the leader.
    • J.K. Dobbins went from 33/1 to 7/1.
    • Justin Fields went from 50/1 to 12/1.
    • Daniel Jones went from 14/1 to 50/1.
    • Deshaun Watson 35/1 to 100/1.
    • Sam Darnold and Uchenna Nwosu are now on the board.
    • Russell Wilson, and Zach Wilson are now on the board.

Awards Odds

Note: Players/Coaches with ↓ improved odds to win award, players/coaches with ↑ odds lengthened to win award. OTB ↑ means off the board. All from Betonline  

2024-25 Regular Season MVP

 9/5/249/11/24
Patrick Mahomes11/2 (+550)15/4↓ (+375)
Josh Allen6/111/2 ↓ (+550)
CJ Stroud17/2 (+850)9/1 ↑
Jalen Hurts14/110/1 ↓
Brock Purdy14/114/1 ↓
Lamar Jackson22/114/1 ↓
Joe Burrow9/116/1 ↑
Tua Tagovailoa22/116/1 ↓
Dak Prescott25/120/1 ↓
Jared Goff16/120/1 ↑
Aaron Rodgers20/125/1 ↑
Anthony Richardson25/133/1 ↑
Justin Herbert33/133/1
Matthew Stafford50/133/1 ↓
Kirk Cousins40/140/1
Trevor Lawrence45/140/1 ↓
Baker Mayfield100/166/1 ↓
Caleb Williams33/166/1 ↑
Christian McCaffrey50/166/1 ↑
Kyler Murray33/166/1 ↑
Jordan Love14/175/1 ↑
Derek Carr250/1100/1 ↓↓
Geno Smith80/1100/1 ↑
Saquon Barkley250/1100/1 ↓↓
Deshaun Watson66/1150/1 ↑
Ja’Marr Chase150/1150/1
Justin Jefferson100/1150/1 ↑
Sam Darnold150/1150/1
Tyreek Hill100/1150/1 ↑
Jayden Daniels200/1200/1
Justin Fields150/1 200/1 ↑
Micah Parsons250/1200/1 ↓
Will Levis100/1200/1 ↑
Derrick Henry250/1250/1
Bo Nix200/1300/1 ↑
Bryce Young100/1300/1 ↑
Cooper Kupp250/1 300/1 ↑
Daniel Jones150/1300/1 ↑
Gardner Minshew200/1 300/1 ↓
TJ Watt250/1300/1 ↑
Drake Maye300/1OTB ↑
Michael Penix300/1OTB ↑ 
Nick Chubb250/1OTB ↑
Russell Wilson250/1OTB ↑

2024-25 Defensive Player of the Year

 9/5/249/11/24
T.J. Watt6/17/2 ↓ (+350)
Micah Parsons11/2 (+550)17/4 ↓ (+425)
Myles Garrett6/18/1 ↑
Aidan Hutchinson12/110/1
Maxx Crosby7/110/1 ↑
Nick Bosa15/2 (+750)10/1↑ ↑
Chris Jones28/120/1 ↓
Khalil Mack88/133/1 ↓
Kyle Hamilton40/133/1 ↓
Rashan Gary28/133/1 ↑
Sauce Gardner40/133/1 ↓
Will Anderson Jr.25/133/1 ↑
Danielle Hunter33/150/1 ↑
Josh Allen (JAX)18/150/1 ↑
Quinnen Williams40/150/1 ↑↓
Roquan Smith75/150/1 ↓
Jalen Carter66/166/1
Travon Walker100/166/1 ↑
Joey Bosa55/175/1 ↑
Montez Sweat33/175/1 ↑
Trey Hendrickson50/175/1 ↑
Fred Warner100/1 100/1 
Haason Reddick50/1100/1 ↑
Jaelen Phillips100/1100/1
Jaire Alexander150/1100/1 ↓
Jaylon Johnson100/1100/1
Justin Madubuike100/1100/1
Minkah Fitzpatrick100/1125/1 ↑
Brian Burns66/1150/1 ↑
Devon Witherspoon80/1150/1 ↑
George Karlaftis150/1150/1
Jadeveon Clowney150/1150/1
Josh Sweat150/1 150/1
Kayvon Thibodeaux100/1150/1 ↑
Matthew Judon66/1150/1 ↑
Patrick Surtain II66/1150/1 ↑
Derwin James100/1200/1 ↑
Bradley Chubb100/1OTB ↑
Jalen Ramsey100/1OTB ↑
Jonathan Greenard150/1OTB ↑

2024-25 Coach of the Year

 9/5/249/11/24
Mike Macdonald12/17/1 ↓
Jim Harbaugh8/18/1
Matt Eberflus8/19/1 ↑
Jerod Mayo33/110/1
Kevin O’Connell18/112/1 ↓
DeMeco Ryans14/114/1
Mike Tomlin28/114/1 ↓
Raheem Morris12/116/1 ↑
Shane Steichen14/116/1 ↑
Dan Campbell28/120/1 ↓
Jonathan Gannon25/120/1 ↓
Mike McDaniel28/120/1 ↓
Matt LaFleur18/1 22/1 ↓
Todd Bowles60/122/1 ↓
Brian Callahan20/125/1 ↑
Dave Canales16/125/1 ↑
Robert Saleh18/128/1 ↑
Sean Payton25/128/1 ↑
Kyle Shanahan40/133/1 ↓
Antonio Pierce33/140/1 ↑
Dan Quinn18/140/1 ↑
Dennis Allen66/140/1 ↓
Sean McVay40/140/1
Zac Taylor33/140/1 ↑
Mike McCarthy66/150/1 ↓
Nick Sirianni66/150/1 ↓
Sean McDermott40/150/1 ↑
Andy Reid66/166/1
Doug Pederson66/166/1
John Harbaugh50/166/1 ↑
Brian Daboll40/1100/1 ↑
Kevin Stefanski66/1100/1 ↑

2024-25 Offensive Rookie of the Year

 9/5/249/11/24
Caleb Williams3/2 (+150)8/5 ↑ (+160)
Jayden Daniels19/4 (+475)5/1 ↑
Marvin Harrison Jr.6/1 8/1
Bo Nix9/110/1 ↑
Xavier Worthy20/110/1 ↓
Malik Nabers8/114/1 ↑
Drake Maye28/120/1 ↓
Brian Thomas Jr.45/128/1 ↓
Keon Coleman33/1 33/1 
Brock Bowers50/140/1 ↓
Ladd McConkey33/145/1 ↑
Bucky IrvingOTB 50/1 ↓
Michael Penix Jr.66/155/1 ↓
Rome Odunze50/175/1 ↑
Adonai Mitchell75/1100/1 ↑
Blake Corum66/1100/1 ↑
Jaylen Wright75/1100/1 ↑
Jonathon Brooks66/1100/1 ↑
MarShawn Lloyd100/1100/1
Trey Benson75/1100/1 ↑
Xavier Legette66/1150/1 ↑
Audric Estime125/1OTB ↑
Isaac Guerendo150/1OTB ↑
Jalen McMillan150/1OTB ↑
Ja’Lynn Polk100/1OTB ↑
Jermaine Burton100/1OTB ↑
Ray Davis150/1OTB ↑
Roman Wilson150/1OTB ↑
Spencer Rattler100/1OTB ↑
Troy Franklin100/1OTB ↑

2024-25 Rookie Defensive Player of the Year

 9/5/249/11/24
Dallas Turner9/2 ((+450)3/1 ↓
Laiatu Latu3/117/4 ↑ (+425)
Jared Verse8/15/1
Byron Murphy II8/110/1 ↑
Quinyon Mitchell14/114/1
Chop Robinson12/116/1 ↑
Kamari Lassiter50/116/1 ↓
Terrion Arnold10/120/1 ↑
Junior Colson25/128/1 ↑
Nate Wiggins40/128/1 ↓
Payton Wilson25/133/1 ↑
Braden Fiske50/1 40/1 ↓
Cooper DeJean33/150/1 ↑
Edgerrin Cooper25/150/1 ↑
Javon Bullard50/150/1
Kool-Aid McKinstry40/150/1 ↑
Marshawn Kneeland66/150/1
Max Melton50/150/1
Mike Sainristil33/150/1 ↑
Tyler Nubin50/150/1
Darius Robinson33/166/1 ↑
Chris Braswell66/175/1 ↑
Austin Booker50/1100/1 ↑
T.J. Tampa60/1100/1 ↑
Adisa Isaac100/1OTB ↑
Bralen Trice50/1OTB ↑
Ennis Rakestraw Jr. 75/1OTB ↑
Jer’Zhan Newton40/1OTB ↑

2024-25 Comeback Player of the Year

 9/5/249/11/24
Aaron Rodgers2/12/1
Anthony Richardson9/15/1 ↓
Joe Burrow7/2 (+350)21/4 ↑ (+525)
Kirk Cousins6/16/1 
J.K. Dobbins33/17/1 ↓
Sam DarnoldOTB10/1 ↓
Justin Fields50/112/1 ↓
Kyler Murray28/114/1 ↓
Nick Chubb8/122/1 ↑
Daniel Jones14/150/1 ↑
Joey Bosa50/150/1
Tank Dell40/155/1 ↑
Deshaun Watson35/1100/1 ↑
Harold Landry III200/1100/1 ↓
Uchenna NwosuOTB150/1 ↓
Justin Fields50/1OTB ↑
Russell Wilson28/1OTB ↑
Zach Wilson100/1OTB ↑
   
   

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• Hit Chargers UNDER 🔽 to stay undefeated in football 🏈 with named plays including NFLX.

🏆 First NCAAF 🔒 named play is the Friday Night Big 12 Game of the Year!

🔥 Saturday: 4 college football Wise Guys 💡, 12 Majors 📈

💥 Sunday: 3 powerful Wise Guy bets 💡, 4 Majors 📈 in NFL 🏈

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Week 2 NFL, Major Shifts From Lookahead Lines

Each Thursday or Friday, Betonline  releases their look-ahead lines for the following week’s NFL matchups. These lines offer bettors an early glimpse into the spreads, but they are only available for a limited time. They are taken down on Sunday before the games kick off, only to be re-opened once the day’s action concludes.

Injuries and other major developments over the weekend can lead to significant line movements, as demonstrated this week with Jordan Love’s injury. When there’s a major shift between the look-ahead lines and the new lines, these movements are highlighted below. NFL Week 2 spreads are subject to further change at Betonline  

NFL Week 2 Lines:

Thursday, September 12, 2024

  • Bills at Dolphins (-1½)

Sunday, September 15, 2024

  • Saints at Cowboys (-6½)
  • Buccaneers at Lions (-6)
  • Colts (-3) at Packers
    Note: The line opened with the Packers as -4 favorites, but shifted significantly after Jordan Love’s injury.
  • Jets (-4) at Titans
  • 49ers (-5) at Vikings
    Note: Line opened at 49ers -6½.
  • Seahawks (-3½) at Patriots
  • Giants at Commanders (-3)
  • Chargers (-4½) at Panthers
  • Browns at Jaguars (-3)
  • Raiders at Ravens (-8½)
  • Rams (-2½) at Cardinals
  • Steelers (-3) at Broncos
  • Bengals at Chiefs (-6)
    Note: Line opened at Chiefs -4.
  • Bears at Texans (-6½)
    Note: Line opened at Texans -3½.

Monday, September 16, 2024

  • Falcons at Eagles (-6)
    Note: Line opened at Eagles -4.

These lines reflect the latest updates from Betonline as of this writing. Be sure to check back frequently for adjustments, as they can shift based on news, injuries, and public betting patterns.

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NFL Betting Splits: Packers vs. Eagles – Analyzing Where the Smart Money Lies

The Green Bay Packers and Philadelphia Eagles are set to clash in what promises to be a thrilling NFL matchup. With Philadelphia currently favored by 2.5 points and the total set at 49 according to MYBookie, this game has already seen interesting movements in betting action. If you’re trying to find an edge in betting this game, examining the betting splits can offer valuable insights into where the sharp money is landing.

Opening Line Movement

The game opened with Philadelphia as a 2.5-point favorite, and the total sitting at 49. These numbers have remained steady, but it’s important to look beyond the static odds and examine the betting activity for more context. MYBookie is one of the best sportsbooks in the world! Check out the review of MyBookie

Betting Splits: Packers Popular, But Not with Big Money

As of now, 67% of all bets are on the Green Bay Packers, indicating that the public favors Aaron Rodgers and company to cover the spread. However, just 32% of the money is backing the Packers, signaling a potential disconnect between public opinion and sharper betting activity.

When we see a high percentage of bets on one side but a lower percentage of money backing the same team, it’s often a sign that larger, more informed bets are coming in on the other side – in this case, the Eagles. Philadelphia, as the home favorite, may be the play of sharper bettors looking to capitalize on public overconfidence in Green Bay.

Over/Under: Public Loves the Over, Sharps Less Certain

On the total, 77% of tickets are on the OVER, yet just 55% of the money is following suit. This is another clear indicator that while casual bettors expect a high-scoring affair, larger wagers are more cautiously optimistic. The smaller percentage of money on the OVER suggests sharper bettors may anticipate a defensive battle or believe that the total line of 49 is a bit too high.

What the Experts Are Saying

💰💰💰 Top expert pick: Betting expert Joe Duffy is among the sharpest minds in NFL wagering, and he’s got a strong opinion on the side for this game. Duffy’s reputation for finding value where others don’t is unmatched, and he’s got his eyes not only on this NFL matchup but also on key college football plays this weekend.

For those looking to bet with confidence, Joe Duffy’s picks can be found at OffshoreInsiders.com, where his track record speaks for itself. From reading between the lines on betting splits to leveraging insider information, Duffy provides a comprehensive approach to maximizing your sports betting outcomes.

Final Thoughts

Betting splits give us insight into the minds of both public and professional bettors. In the Packers vs. Eagles matchup, the public is favoring Green Bay and the OVER, but the money percentages suggest the sharp play may be on Philadelphia and potentially the UNDER. Whether you’re tailing the sharps or following the public, make sure you have the right information to guide your betting decisions.

NFL Week 1 Prop Bet Trends

Week 1 NFL prop trends are up from OffshoreInsiders.com units won/lost based on $100 a bet.

Passing yards

  • Bryce Young under 12-4 +714
  • Daniel Jones under 22-13
  • Jared Goff over 124

Passing completions 

  • Jacoby Brissett over 13-3
  • Jordan Love OVER 12-4
  • Sam Darnold UNDER 10-2
  • Trevor Lawrence OVER 31-19

Rushing yards 

  • Christian McCaffrey OVER 29-17
  • Tua Tagovailoa UNDER 21-11
  • Brian Robinson Jr OVER 17-9

Receiving yards

  • Christian Watson UNDER 12-3
  • Cole Kmet OVER 10-3
  • Breece Hall OVER 10-3

Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com is now the source for prop bets. He has been the top capper for NFL picks since the 1980s.

College Football Betting: ATS Trends For Week 2

Here are some college football trends for week 2. All quoted records are ATS. MYBookie is one of the best sportsbooks in the world! Check out the review of MyBookie

  • Duke 30-13 non-conference 
  • Kansas State 40-22 overall 
  • UNLV 20-5 outside conference 
  • Nebraska 3-12 home 
  • Penn State 30-11 off win
  • Western Kentucky 9-21 favorites 
  • Arkansas 0-12 off straight up win 
  • Troy 16-3 away from home
  • Sam Houston State 15-3 underdogs 
  • Alabama 21-7 home
  • Bowling Green 13-30 underdogs 

Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy a solid and typical 16-10 start to the football season. Friday night college football winner plus 19 Saturday sides and totals, led by five Wise Guy bets, the strongest wager in gambling. Get the picks now