NBA market report:

🏀 Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Lakers (public dog); Dallas OVER 

🏀 Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Denver; Miami UNDER

🏀 Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: None

🏀 Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Cleveland -4 to -4.5

College basketball market report:

🏀 Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: High Point, Charleston, Wofford

🏀 Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: UMKC, High Point, Abiline Christian

🏀 Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Oakland, UMKC 

🏀 Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Arkansas -16.5 to -20.5, Montana +2.5 to -1.5, TCU -23 to -19.5, UMBC -5.5 to -8.5

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Who is the public betting on for Friday, December 2. 

NBA betting market report:

🏀 Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Denver, Golden State, Cleveland 

🏀 Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: New Orleans, Denver; LA Lakers OVER

🏀 Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Houston; Atlanta UNDER, Boston UNDER

🏀 Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Denver -2 to -3.5

College basketball market report: 

🏀 Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Georgia, Bryant, Charleston Southern

🏀 Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: JMU, Kent State, Appalachian State, Texas Arlington, GA Tech

🏀 Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Brown, Texas Arlington

🏀 Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: none 

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Week 12 NFL betting market report. 

🏈Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: Miami, LA Chargers 

🏈Biggest bets based on percentage of money: New Orleans; Las Vegas OVER, Jacksonville UNDER

🏈Largest line moves, opener to current: Miami -11 to -14, NY Jets -4.5 to -6.5

🏈Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets: New Orleans; San Francisco UNDER

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There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale. 

The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets. 

Ohio State suffered a mauling at the claws of Michigan yesterday, and the loss pushed the Buckeyes out of the Top 4 in terms of CFP Championship chances for the first time all year. 

Additionally, Caleb Williams has put the Heisman Trophy race to bed, at least according to the odds. CJ Stroud and Max Duggan are now 25-1 longshots with Williams the overwhelming, odds-on favorite. 

Below are the latest CFP and Heisman numbers from SportsBetting   

CFP Championship

Georgia                        -165

Michigan                      +300

TCU                              +1200

USC                              +1200

Ohio State                    +1400

Alabama                       +2800

Heisman Trophy                       

Caleb Williams              -3000

CJ Stroud                      +2500

Max Duggan                 +2500

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Turkey day college and NFL market report. My word, OffshoreInsiders.com has the strongest industry bets in every football game, plus Duffy with massive college basketball portfolio. 

🏈Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: NY Giants, 

🏈Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Ole Miss

🏈Largest line moves, opener to current: Dallas -7 to -10; Ole Miss -5.5 to -1.5

🏈Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets.

There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale. 

The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets. 

[Table id=1 /] 

Below you will find a cornucopia of Thanksgiving Day props for the trio of NFL games, courtesy of at Betonline, the home of the opening line .

Also, speaking of being thankful…have you ever wondered which NFL fanbase complains the most about officiating?

Well, a semi-scientific Twitter study was recently conducted to find out which team’s fans whine about the refs the most, and the results are a bit surprising. 

BetOnline conducted the study using geo-tagged Twitter data via an API trends software. From Week 1 to Week 11, the sampling compiled and analyzed tweets, hashtags and keyword phrases tracking negative fan tweets about NFL officiating for each team. 

To find out who complains the most, the team looked at the total number of fan tweets (in general) and then determined what percentage of those tweets were complaints about refs.

For example, we looked at all tweets with the fan hashtag #ChiefsKingdom, that also included phrases like, “bad call,” “horrible call,” “bad officiating,” “horrible officiating,” “missed call,” “horrible refs,” “refs beat us,” “refs screwed us,” etc. Then repeated this for all the other teams and their hashtags. 

More than 400,000 tweets were tracked. Here is an informap to accompany the findings

As you can see from the graphic, the Chiefs, Bears and Cowboys fans have the most gripes, while Colts fans complain the least.

The top 10 fan bases that complain most about NFL officiating are as follows: (percentage of total tweets that are ref complaints)

Chiefs – 12.78%

Bears – 11.88%

Cowboys – 10.55%

Dolphins – 10.20%

Titans – 9.09%

Commanders – 8.96%

Lions – 8.00%

Eagles – 5.93%

Vikings – 5.85%

Patriots – 5.34%

Thanksgiving Records Broken                

Most Receiving Yards – A.Johnson 188                +500

Most Passing Yards – T.Aikman 455                    +700

Most Sacks – C.Jordan 4                                     +1600

Most Receiving TDs – S.Sharpe 4                        +2000

Most Passing TDs – P.Manning 6                         +2500

Most Rushing Yards – OJ.Simpson 273                +3300

Thanksgiving Passing Yards Leader                    

J.Allen                          +250

K.Cousins                      +300

D.Prescott                    +400

J.Goff                           +425

M.Jones                        +625

D.Jones                         +1000

Thanksgiving Receiving Yards Leader                

J.Jefferson                    +200

S.Diggs                         +350

A.St.Brown                   +500

C.Lamb                         +600

G.Davis                         +1000

J.Meyers                       +1400

A.Thielen                      +2000

D.Slayton                      +2000

M.Gallup                      +2000

TJ Hockenson                +2500

Thanksgiving Rushing Yards Leader                   

S.Barkley                      +350

D.Cook                         +375

T.Pollard                       +500

R.Stevenson                  +650

D.Singletary                  +750

J.Williams                     +750

Josh Allen                     +1200

E.Elliott                         +1400

Daniel Jones                 +2000

Damien Harris               +2500

Will there be a special teams/defensive TD on Thanksgiving?                

Yes                   -200

No                    +150

Will any Thanksgiving game go to overtime?                 

No                    -900

Yes                   +500

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Basketball market report for Monday. 

First to the NBA:

🏀 Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Cleveland, Oklahoma City; Atlanta OVER

🏀 Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Minnesota; Indiana UNDER, Boston OVER

🏀 Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Chicago, Cleveland UNDER, Indiana UNDER

🏀 Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: New Orleans -5.5 to -10.5, LA Clippers -4.5 to -1

Onward to college hoops:

🏀 Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Arizona 

🏀 Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Florida Gulf Coast

🏀 Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Miss State, South Florida 

🏀 Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Abilene Christian +3 to -2.5, Cal Riverside +1 to -3.5, Kansas State -8.5 to -11.5

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Thanksgiving week is one of the biggest in football betting. In between beating World Cup odds, here is the early steam report in NFL and college football betting from sportsbooks all over the world such as vetted LUX Sports. 

Early NFL steam:

🏈Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: LA Chargers, Tennessee, Miami; Minnesota UNDER

🏈Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Philadelphia, Baltimore, Washington; Minnesota UNDER

🏈Largest line moves, opener to current: No significant line moves yet

🏈Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets: LA Rams, NY Jets; San Francisco UNDER

Early college football steam:

🏈Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: LSU, Auburn, UNC

🏈Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Illinois, Kansas State, Michigan

🏈Largest line moves, opener to current: Eastern Michigan -1.5 to +1.5, Utah State -14.5 to -16.5

🏈Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets: Boston College, USC

There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale. 

The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets. 

College football top over and under teams at top sportsbooks for college football and NFL odds based on margin of cover.

Top over teams:

Team	OU Record (overs-under)	OU margin
Houston	9-2	+12.6
South Florida	7-3-1	+8.7
Toledo	6-5	+8.2

In terms of percentage, Rice, Northern Illinois, Ohio State, UCLA, Memphis, Colorado, Penn State, USC, Arkansas are all 8-3 to the over, tied for second to Houston. Rice has the highest cover margin of said teams, going over by an average of 6.0 points per game. 

Top under teams in college football:

Team	OU Record (overs-under)	OU margin
Iowa State	2-9	-12
Marshall	2-9	-11.5
Virginia	2-7-1	-11.4
Troy	4-7	-10.1
Kentucky	1-10	-9.1

 Colorado State is second in terms of under percentage at 1-9-1 but only by an average of -6.8 points per game. 

Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer. 

Today’s college football market report, Saturday, November 19 from Joe Duffy. 

🏈Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: Charlotte, Oklahoma St; TCU OVER

🏈Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Colorado St, Charlotte, Navy; MTSU UNDER, GA Southern UNDER

🏈Largest line moves, opener to current: Oregon -2 to +2.5, Utah State +3 to pick, Wisconsin -12.5 to -9.5

🏈Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets: UAB, Arizona State; Florida State UNDER

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There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale. 

The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets. 

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