š„ The Top NFL Capper in History, by Far! š„āļø Sunday: NFL Best Bet of the Week among five Wise Guys and four Major NFL picksš Wise Guys from Joe Duffy = The strongest bet in gambling š Best Bet of the Week backed by a 44-1 system. š The most statistically significant betting angle in gambling history, Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com
In week 1, go with a team that missed the playoffs versus an opponent that made the playoffs the previous season is 86-60. Itās a classic over versus undervalued team based on perception. Home favorites under this situation are 18-6.
Kirk Cousins, while slightly overrated, is a substantial upgrade from the stiffs Atlanta has last year, namely Desmond Ridder, who couldnāt even make Arizona as a No. 3 starting QB.
Pittsburghās upgrade is slight as future Hall-of-Famer Russell Wilson hasnāt been good in four years. BetQL has Atlanta -5.5 giving us a modest edge in NFL picks.
The first week of the college football season is officially in the books, and with it, weāve seen some intriguing shifts in future odds across the betting landscape. Bettors and fans alike are keeping a close eye on how Week 1 performances have impacted the odds, especially as teams begin to reveal their true potentialāor lack thereof.
Notable Odds Shifts Among Top Contenders
Even the top teams in the nation saw slight adjustments in their odds, reflecting a nuanced response to their Week 1 performances. While the top two teamsā odds lengthened ever so slightly, USC made a more significant leap in the futures market. The Trojans, who were previously sitting at 100/1, saw their odds shorten dramatically to 25/1. This shift likely reflects a combination of a strong opening performance and growing confidence in their potential to make a deep run this season.
Meanwhile, Clemson, despite suffering a heavy defeat at the hands of Georgia, actually saw their odds improve from 50/1 to 40/1 at Betonline, the home of the opening line. This may seem counterintuitive, but Florida Stateās two conference losses have reshaped the ACC landscape, leaving Clemson as a more viable contender in the conference and, by extension, for the national title. BetOnline review.
Florida State and Florida See Odds Plummet
On the other hand, Florida Stateās chances of competing for a national title took a nosedive after their poor start. The Seminolesā odds ballooned from 66/1 to a staggering 500/1, reflecting the severe blow their championship aspirations took with those two conference losses. Florida, too, saw a significant downgrade in their odds, moving from 300/1 to 500/1. It seems that the betting markets have lost faith in both Florida schools after Week 1.
Teams on the Rise
Several teams have emerged from Week 1 with improved odds, signaling growing optimism from oddsmakers. Miami, which opened the season at 28/1, now finds itself at 18/1. The Hurricanesā strong showing in their opener has clearly impressed, suggesting that they could be a team to watch as the season progresses.
Oklahoma also saw a positive adjustment, moving from 80/1 to 50/1. The Soonersā odds shift is a reflection of their solid Week 1 performance and the potential for them to be a sleeper team this season.
Arizona and Nebraska both saw their odds improve from 250/1 to 150/1. These adjustments indicate that while they may still be long shots, their Week 1 performances have earned them a more favorable position in the eyes of bettors.
Teams on the Decline
Conversely, some teams saw their odds lengthen after disappointing Week 1 showings. James Madison, a team that had some preseason buzz, saw its odds skyrocket from 100/1 to 1000/1, indicating that their opening performance did not inspire confidence. Baylor also found themselves in a similar situation, with their odds lengthening from 500/1 to 1000/1, reflecting doubts about their ability to contend this season.
Final Thoughts
Week 1 has already had a significant impact on the futures market, with some teams emerging as stronger contenders while others have seen their odds lengthen dramatically. As the season progresses, these odds will continue to shift, providing valuable insights into the evolving perceptions of each teamās championship potential. Bettors should keep a close eye on these movements as they could offer opportunities for strategic wagering in the weeks ahead.
Joe Duffy is 16-10 in college football thus far and has an insane weekend of college football and NFL bets up. Must see to believe OffshoreInsiders.com
Taking Michigan State +9.5 is a solid bet for several reasons.
First, the large point spread combined with a low total in a conference game is a historically profitable angle, with a record of 437-321-23. This trend indicates that when the oddsmakers expect a low-scoring game, getting nearly double-digit points is a significant edge for the underdog with our free football pick.
Recent Performance: Michigan Stateās recent win against Florida Atlantic (16-10) shows they can compete in low-scoring games. Their defense held strong, which is crucial when betting on an underdog with a large spread.
Marylandās Inconsistency: While Maryland had an impressive win against UConn, their performance can be inconsistent. Betting on Michigan State takes advantage of potential variability in Marylandās play.
Historical Trends: Historically, Michigan State has performed well against the spread in similar situations. This trend, combined with the large point spread, increases the likelihood of them covering.
Motivation and Rivalry: Conference games often bring out the best in teams due to the rivalry and stakes involved. Michigan State will be highly motivated to perform well against a conference opponent.
Betting Market: The betting market often overvalues favorites, especially in conference games. This can create value on the underdog side, making Michigan State +9.5 an attractive bet.
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š„ The Top NFL Capper in History, by Far! š„āļø Sunday: NFL Best Bet of the Week among five Wise Guys and four Majorsš Wise Guys from Joe Duffy = The strongest bet in gambling! š Best Bet of the Week backed by a 44-1 system. š The most statistically significant betting angle in gambling history has a loaded portfolio at OffshoreInsiders.com
Week 2 of the 2024 college football season brings an array of intriguing matchups that are sure to capture the attention of bettors. As always, lines for games involving FBS teams versus FCS opponents will typically emerge later in the week, but several key games already have odds set. Hereās a look at the lines and some early thoughts on what to watch for from OffshoreInsiders.com
Friday, September 6, 2024
BYU at SMU (-10Ā½):Ā SMU is favored by double digits at home against BYU. This matchup could hinge on how well SMUās explosive offense performs against a traditionally tough BYU defense.
Duke at Northwestern (-3):Ā A narrow line here reflects the expected competitiveness of this game. Northwestern, playing at home, gets the slight edge, but Dukeās rising program under Coach Mike Elko could present a serious challenge.
Saturday, September 7, 2024
Georgia Tech (-3) at Syracuse:Ā Georgia Tech is a slight road favorite against Syracuse. The Yellow Jacketsā improvement under Coach Brent Key is evident, but the Carrier Dome is always a tough venue for visiting teams.Ā MYBookieĀ is one of the best sportsbooks in the world! Check out theĀ review of MyBookie
Kansas State (-10) at Tulane:Ā Kansas State is favored by ten points in what could be a tricky road game against Tulane. The Green Wave have been known to pull off upsets, so this line might see movement as the week progresses.
Bowling Green at Penn State (-33):Ā Penn State is heavily favored by 33 points against Bowling Green. This should be a straightforward win for the Nittany Lions, but the spread could test the resolve of bettors.
Troy at Memphis (-17):Ā Memphis is expected to cover a 17-point spread at home against Troy. Memphis’ high-powered offense should give them the edge, but Troyās defense could keep it closer than expected.
Pittsburgh at Cincinnati (-1):Ā A virtual toss-up with Cincinnati favored by just a single point. This could be one of the closest and most exciting games of the week.
Akron at Rutgers (-23):Ā Rutgers is favored to win comfortably at home against Akron. The Scarlet Knights will look to dominate early and cover the sizable spread.
Army at Florida Atlantic (-2Ā½):Ā Florida Atlantic is a slight favorite at home against Army, but the Black Knightsā triple-option offense could present challenges for FAUās defense.
Texas (-7) at Michigan:Ā This line opened with Texas as a 3-point favorite, but itās already moved to -7. The Longhorns will be looking to prove themselves against a Michigan team that is always tough at home.
Arkansas at Oklahoma State (-7Ā½):Ā Oklahoma State is favored at home by just over a touchdown. Arkansas, however, has the potential to make this a close contest.
California at Auburn (-14):Ā Auburn is a two-touchdown favorite against Cal. The Tigersā SEC pedigree should see them through, but Calās defense could keep the margin in check.
Jacksonville State at Louisville (-28):Ā Louisville is expected to win big against Jacksonville State. A 28-point spread reflects the disparity between these programs.
Temple at Navy (-13):Ā Navy is a 13-point favorite at home against Temple. The Midshipmenās option offense is tough to prepare for, which could make it difficult for Temple to stay within the spread.
Baylor at Utah (-15):Ā Utah is favored by 15 points against Baylor in a matchup that could see defensive battles on both sides. Utahās home-field advantage is significant in this one.
South Carolina at Kentucky (-9Ā½):Ā Kentucky is favored at home by just under ten points. South Carolinaās offense will need to step up to stay in this game.
Charlotte at North Carolina (-21Ā½):Ā North Carolina is heavily favored against Charlotte, with a spread of 21Ā½ points. The Tar Heelsā potent offense should be too much for Charlotte to handle.
Northern Illinois at Notre Dame (-29Ā½):Ā Notre Dame is a near 30-point favorite at home against Northern Illinois. The Fighting Irish will aim to dominate early and put this game out of reach.
Eastern Michigan at Washington (-25):Ā Washington is expected to cruise past Eastern Michigan with a 25-point spread in their favor.
Massachusetts at Toledo (-19Ā½):Ā Toledo is favored by nearly three touchdowns against UMass. The Rockets should be able to cover, but UMass could fight to keep it closer.
Iowa State at Iowa (-3):Ā The battle for the Cy-Hawk Trophy is expected to be close, with Iowa favored by a field goal. This rivalry game often comes down to the wire.
Michigan State at Maryland (-10):Ā Maryland is favored by ten points at home against Michigan State. The Terrapinsā offense will be key to covering this spread.
UTSA at Texas State (-2Ā½):Ā Texas State is a slight favorite at home against UTSA. This line reflects the anticipated tight nature of the contest.
Middle Tennessee State at Mississippi (-41Ā½):Ā Ole Miss is a massive 41Ā½-point favorite against Middle Tennessee State. The Rebels should win comfortably, but covering this large spread could be a challenge.
Marshall at Virginia Tech (-17):Ā Virginia Tech is favored by 17 points at home against Marshall. The Hokiesā defense will need to shine to cover this spread.
Central Michigan (-4) at Florida International:Ā Central Michigan is a 4-point favorite on the road. This line suggests a closer game than one might expect.
East Carolina (-1) at Old Dominion:Ā East Carolina is barely favored by a single point in what is expected to be a closely contested game.
South Alabama (-1Ā½) at Ohio:Ā South Alabama is slightly favored on the road, indicating a potential nail-biter in Ohio.
Sam Houston St at Central Florida (-23Ā½):Ā UCF is favored by more than three touchdowns against Sam Houston State. The Knights should cover, but Sam Houston Stateās defense could keep it interesting.
South Florida at Alabama (-31):Ā Alabama is heavily favored by 31 points at home against South Florida. The Crimson Tide should have no trouble, but the spread is sizable.
Buffalo at Missouri (-34):Ā Missouri is a 34-point favorite at home against Buffalo. This line reflects the Tigersā dominance.
Virginia at Wake Forest (-2):Ā Wake Forest is a slight favorite in this ACC matchup, suggesting a potentially close contest.
Kansas (-5Ā½) at Illinois:Ā Kansas is favored by less than a touchdown on the road. The Jayhawks will need to perform well to cover this spread.
Georgia Southern (-2Ā½) at Nevada:Ā Georgia Southern is a narrow favorite on the road against Nevada. This could be a tough game to call.
San Jose State at Air Force (-6Ā½):Ā Air Force is favored by just under a touchdown at home against San Jose State. The Falconsā unique offense will be key.
UAB (-12) at UL Monroe:Ā UAB is a 12-point favorite on the road, which indicates confidence in their ability to handle UL Monroe.
Tulsa at Arkansas State (-7):Ā Arkansas State is favored by a touchdown at home. This game could be closer than the line suggests.
UL Lafayette (-14Ā½) at Kennesaw State:Ā UL Lafayette is favored by two touchdowns plus a half-point against Kennesaw State. This line shows confidence in the Raginā Cajuns.
Western Michigan at Ohio State (-39):Ā Ohio State is a 39-point favorite against Western Michigan. The Buckeyes should dominate, but covering nearly 40 points is a tall order.
Colorado at Nebraska (-7Ā½):Ā Nebraska is favored by more than a touchdown at home against Colorado. This rivalry game could be closer than the spread indicates.
Tennessee (-7Ā½) at NC State:Ā Tennessee is a slight favorite on a neutral field in Charlotte. This game has potential to be one of the weekendās best matchups.
Houston at Oklahoma (-29Ā½):Ā Oklahoma is nearly a 30-point favorite at home against Houston. The Sooners should win big, but the spread is large.
Appalachian State at Clemson (-17):Ā Clemson is favored by 17 points at home against Appalachian State. The Tigers should cover, but App State is known for putting up a fight.
Boise State at Oregon (-18):Ā Oregon is an 18-point favorite at home against Boise State. The Ducksā offense will be key to covering this spread.
Texas Tech at Washington State (-1):Ā Washington State is favored by just a single point in what is expected to be a close game against Texas Tech.
Liberty (-22) at New Mexico State:Ā Liberty is favored by 22 points on the road. The Flames should cover, but New Mexico Stateās home field could factor in.
Oregon State (-4) at San Diego State:Ā Oregon State is favored by 4 points on the road. The Beavers will need to play well to cover this spread.
Mississippi State at Arizona State (-4):Ā Arizona State is favored by 4 points at home against Mississippi State. This could be one of the tighter games of the weekend.
Utah State at USC (-28):Ā USC is favored by 28 points at home against Utah State. The Trojans should cover, but a blowout isnāt guaranteed.
Final Thoughts
As the week progresses, expect these lines to move as bettors weigh in with their wagers. Factors like injuries, weather conditions, and public perception will play a significant role in how these lines shift.
š„ Joe Duffy is off to a 16-10 start in college football bets and wrapped up the NFL preseason at 12-7! ššŖ
šÆ Full-Time Handicapper & Pro Bettor Since 1988 š šØ Thursday & Friday NFL Sides Up! Plus Friday night college football side! š Saturday is staggering with FIVE Wise Guy bets and a stunning 14 majors on the college gridiron! šš„
š„ The Top NFL Capper in History, by Far! š„āļø Sunday: NFL Best Bet of the Week among five Wise Guys and four Majorsš Wise Guys from Joe Duffy = The strongest bet in gambling! š Best Bet of the Week backed by a 44-1 system. š The most statistically significant betting angle in gambling history! It is all at OffshoreInsiders.com
Time for yet another free pick winner from Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com on a noon ET start:
Week 1 Home Underdogs or Small Favorites Excel
Traditionally, Week 1 has favored home underdogs or small favorites, with a record of 77-47-1 against the spread (ATS) in recent years including Stanford last night
The season opener creates a unique setting where home teams, particularly those not expected to win by large margins, benefit from the enthusiastic atmosphere.
The energized crowd during the first week provides a significant advantage for the home team, boosting their performance beyond expectations.
Early season unpredictability poses a challenge for oddsmakers, presenting an opportunity for sharp bettors to capitalize on discrepancies in the betting lines.
The absence of fatigue in Week 1 levels the playing field, giving underdogs like Vanderbilt a better chance to cover the spread or secure a victory.
Free sports pick: VANDERBILT +14 Virginia Tech
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As the college football season kicks off, Week 1 always brings with it a blend of excitement and unpredictability. For savvy bettors, this is an opportunity to find value in lines that might not fully reflect the true dynamics of a matchup. One such game this week is Stanford +9 against TCU, and here’s why you should consider backing the Cardinal.
Week 1 Home Underdogs or Small Favorites Excel
Historically, Week 1 has been a fertile ground for home underdogs or small favorites. The numbers don’t lie: these teams have gone 76-47-1 against the spread (ATS) in recent years. This trend underscores the unique environment of the season opener. Home teams, especially those not expected to win by large margins, often feed off the naĆÆve enthusiasm of both the team and the crowd. For many, it’s the first taste of live college football in months, and that energy can be palpable.
NaĆÆve Enthusiasm and the Energized Crowd
Opening week crowds are unlike any other. The fresh start, combined with the pent-up anticipation, makes for an atmosphere that heavily favors the home team. This “naĆÆve enthusiasm” can translate into a significant on-field advantage. Teams that might struggle later in the season often find themselves lifted by this early surge of support, making them tougher opponents than they might appear on paper.
Early Season Unpredictability: A Bettor’s Advantage
The early season is notoriously challenging for oddsmakers. With limited data on how teams have evolved during the offseason, setting accurate lines is more art than science. This unpredictability works to the advantage of sharp bettors who can identify discrepancies between the lines and their own power ratings. In this matchup, the Action Network’s power line has TCU favored by just 5.3 points, giving us a 7.4 percent edge by taking Stanford +9.
Fatigue Is Not Yet a Factor
One of the key reasons inferior teams often falter as the season progresses is the mental and physical wear that accumulates over time. However, in Week 1, this is not a concern. Every team is fresh, focused, and prepared, meaning that disparities in talent and depth are not as pronounced as they will be in later weeks. This levels the playing field and gives underdogs like Stanford a better shot at covering or even winning outright.
Conclusion: Bet Stanford +9
When you combine the historical trends favoring home underdogs or small favorites in Week 1, the energized atmosphere of a season opener, the early-season unpredictability, and the fresh legs of both teams, Stanford +9 becomes a compelling pick. Add to that the calculated edge from power ratings, and this bet offers significant value.
Back the Cardinal to keep it close against TCU and possibly even pull off the upset. Happy betting at top sportsbook
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Betting expert Mike Godsey of OffshoreInsiders.com breaks down week 1 betting nuggets. Here is the college football betting tipsheet for opening week odds.
Summary: Minnesota is excited about Max Brosmer, the runner-up for the Walter Payton Award, transferring in. North Carolina is replacing key players, including QB Drake Maye. Expect a strong showing from NC’s offense led by All-ACC RB Omarion Hampton, with Max Johnson adjusting as QB.
Coastal Carolina vs. Jacksonville State
Summary: Both teams are likely to focus on the running game with new key players on offense, leading to a slower pace. Despite subpar defenses, their playstyles should keep the game under the total.
Saturday College Football Bets:
Miami (FL) vs. Florida
Summary: Miamiās offense, bolstered by key transfers, looks set to challenge Floridaās defense. Florida might exploit Miamiās inexperienced secondary, leading to a higher-scoring game.
Clemson vs. Georgia
Summary: Georgiaās potent offense and Clemsonās returning talent suggest this game could exceed the projected total, especially with Clemson looking to bounce back after last season’s opener.
Summary: UCLA is replacing a lot on defense but should still handle Hawaiāi. Offensive issues for UCLA and a focus on their Week 2 opponent could keep this game under the total.
Virginia Tech vs. Vanderbilt
Summary: Virginia Tech returns most of their offense, which ended the 2023 season strong. Vanderbilt’s addition of QB Diego Pavia should help them improve offensively, making the Over a strong play.
New Mexico vs. Arizona
Summary: Arizona is a heavy favorite and has already seen the line move up after New Mexico’s first game under new HC Bronco Mendenhall. Expect further line movement.
Notre Dame vs. Texas A&M
Summary: Despite strong defenses, both teams have powerful offenses. Notre Dameās Riley Leonard and TAMUās Conner Wiegman should keep this game competitive and potentially over the total.
UTEP vs. Nebraska
Summary: Nebraska, under new HC Matt Rhule and starting 5-star Freshman QB Dylan Raiola, should dominate defensively against a rebuilt UTEP team. Expect a low-scoring game.
Summary: Kentucky’s offense, led by returning players and facing a weak Southern Miss defense, should score heavily. Southern Miss might struggle to score, but Kentucky alone could push this game over the total.
Sunday College Football Betting Picks
LSU vs. USC
Summary: Both teams have defensive changes, but their offenses, led by new starting QBs with strong performances in bowl games, should push this game over the high total.
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As we dive into Week 1 of the college football season, weather conditions often play a pivotal role in how games unfold, especially when it comes to betting on totals. Understanding and exploiting these weather-related trends can give you an edge over the sportsbooks. Here, weāll break down key weather factors to consider and how they can impact your bets, particularly in non-conference matchups to beat the sportsbooks.
High Temperatures and Low Winds Favor the Over
One trend that has stood the test of time is the impact of high temperatures combined with low winds on the total points scored in non-conference games. When temperatures soar and the wind is calm, defenses tend to wear down more quickly, especially as offensive players push the pace. The data supports this, showing that in non-conference games with low winds (under 13 mph) and high temperatures, the Over hits at a rate of 194-133-7 when the total is set at 58 or less. A free pick this week is backed by computer angles.
Reasoning:
Defensive Fatigue: Defensive players are constantly in pursuit, which means they expend more energy in the heat compared to offensive linemen, whose primary job is to hold the line and protect the ball carrier. As the game progresses, defenses tire more quickly, leading to more big plays and higher scores.
Offensive Advantage: Non-conference games often lack the familiarity that conference matchups bring. This lack of familiarity generally benefits the offense, as play-callers can exploit mismatches and defensive schemes that are less prepared for their specific strategies.
Based on the latest weather forecasts at press time, the following Week 1 non-conference games fall into this category, making the Over an attractive bet:
Clemson vs. Georgia
Wyoming vs. Arizona State
Boise State vs. Georgia Southern
Old Dominion vs. South Carolina
Miami (FL) vs. Florida
UTEP vs. Nebraska
Virginia Tech vs. Vanderbilt
In these games, expect the offenses to capitalize on the conditions, pushing the total points scored over the posted line.
Wind Speed Over 13 mph Favors the Under
While high temperatures can favor the Over, high wind speeds often do the opposite. When winds exceed 13 mph, the Under has hit at a rate of 683-501-14. The reason for this is simple: wind disrupts the passing game, making it difficult for quarterbacks to accurately deliver the ball and for kickers to convert long field goals. Additionally, wind can limit the effectiveness of long punts and kickoffs, resulting in worse field positions and fewer scoring opportunities.
At press time, there are no Week 1 games with expected wind speeds over 13 mph. However, this is a key trend to monitor throughout the season, especially in open-air stadiums where wind can have a significant impact.
Conclusion
Weather conditions are a critical but often overlooked factor in betting on college football. As Week 1 approaches, keep an eye on the forecasts and leverage these trends to your advantage. In high-temperature, low-wind, non-conference matchups with totals set at 58 or less, the Over has historically been a profitable play. Conversely, when winds pick up over 13 mph, leaning towards the Under can be the smarter bet. Stay informed, bet smart, and capitalize on these weather-related edges to maximize your returns this college football season.
Grandmaster Handicapper Joe Duffy is 13-7 with all football bets. An insane 15 winning picks are up for week 1 college football at OffshoreInsiders.com
When delving into sports betting, particularly in the NFL, a common expression you may encounter is, “The line makes no sense.” This often leads to the assumption that oddsmakers are trying to ensnare bettors into making poor choices, a so-called trap game. However, the truth is different. Oddsmakers do not set traps deliberately. Yet, knowledgeable bettors can leverage their understanding of how lines are established to gain an advantage. Let’s delve deeper into this concept.
Unraveling the “Line Makes No Sense” Phenomenon
One enduring misconception in sports betting is that a confusing line is a trap set by oddsmakers. For instance, let’s look at a typical NFL scenario:
Home-field advantage is usually valued at three points.
When a road team with fewer wins (and a poorer record) is not granted at least three points, it might seem like an odd line. However, statistics indicate that in such cases, road teams in this position, despite their inferior record, tend to perform well against the spread. Specifically, when a road team with fewer wins does not receive at least three points, they have a record of 306-244-24 against the spread (ATS).
In such situations, many bettors may argue that “the road team deserves more points based on their record.” Yet, a more thorough analysis is needed. Sophisticated bettors consider numerous sub-angles and data points, like those accessible at OffshoreInsiders.comāwhich often reveal the rationale behind the line and why it is advantageous to go against popular belief.
Harnessing the Power of Anti-Splits in Sports HandicappingĀ Trap Games
Another strategic approach revolves around anti-splits. Let’s examine an example:
Away favoritesĀ with a significantly lower road winning percentage compared to the home teamās home winning percentage maintain an impressive 255-199-19Ā ATS record.
Why does this strategy succeed? Many bettors heavily rely on home/road splits, assuming these factors will determine the outcome. However, this mindset often leads to square bettingāplacing wagers based on obvious or superficial statistics without considering the factors that oddsmakers consider.
The instances mentioned above are just a glimpse of the possibilities. As a general rule, if a line appears perplexing to the casual bettor, it often signifies a profitable opportunity for those willing to delve deeper. The age-old adage, “If a line doesnāt make sense, it makes dollars,” holds true. We’ve all heard phrases like “Oddsmakers are sending a message” or “Every line has a story.” While these sayings may seem vague, they hold truth. Essentially, they suggest that lines are established using extensive knowledge, algorithms, and data that may not be fully grasped by the average bettor. By deciphering these lines, you can turn what seems like a “trap” into a lucrative situation against the online bookmaker.
Implementing This Insight Regularly
At OffshoreInsiders.com, we apply this analysis weekly. Whether it involves uncovering hidden value in NFL lines or using advanced metrics to analyze college games, we consistently leverage oddsmakers’ data to our advantage. One such tool is the MasterLockLine, where we incorporate the sharpest picks into our betting strategy, ensuring that decisions are backed by substantial analytical firepower rather than mere intuition.
So, the next time you encounter a perplexing line, rememberāit’s not a trap but an opportunity. With the right tools and knowledge, you can capitalize on it week after week.
Free winning bet for 2024 college football picks from Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com
Boise State-GA Southern OVER 56.5
This could turn out to be a premium pick. For a bet to rise to that level as a top computer play, we weight our simulators and power ratings based on performance overall and in each sport. We utilize some publicly available databases that at the time of our free release, not all sources have checked in, but this has the makings of a possible premium bet as well.Ā
Sportsline gives us a 65 percent chance of the game going over with 66 points expected. MasseyRatings has 68 points projected. BettingPros gives us a 70 percent chance to cover with 63.6 the power total.
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Up for week 1, starting Thursday August 29
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