All posts by Joe Duffy

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Heisman Trophy Odds 2022: CJ Stroud, Bryce Young, and Caleb Williams Top Frontrunners; Dark Horse Pick

In the same vein of oddsmakers declaring the national championship is a three-team duel with Alabama, Georgia, and Ohio State, Bovada and other sportsbooks perceive the 2022 Heisman Trophy favorites as a three-horse skirmish. CJ Stroud, Bryce Young, and Caleb Williams are all less than 7-1 at almost all sportsbooks. Shop around and compare to MyBookie’s Heisman Trophy favorites as there is great prospect to shop around. 

Undoubtedly the most attention-grabbing among the favorites is USC signal caller Caleb Williams who is +500 at Bovada and +700 at MyBookie. Williams followed his head coach Lincoln Riley from Oklahoma in the pass-happy Big 12 to USC.  Directly related, here is Joe Duffy’s pick:

Official bet: SPENCER RATTLER +8000. This price is from Bovada. Rattler was last year’s favorite at Oklahoma but was benched for mediocre play in favor of Williams. Rattler has new life at South Carolina. Clearly undervalued, he has every opportunity to prove himself in the SEC. Rattler is a classic “buy low” guy and crazy value at that price. 

Heisman Trophy Winner 

CJ Stroud +225 

Bryce Young +450 

Caleb Williams +550 

Bijan Robinson +2000 

Dillon Gabriel +2500 

Jahmyr Gibbs +2800 

Will Anderson Jr. +2800 

Tyler Van Dyke +3000 

DJ Uiagalelei +3500 

Jaxon Smith-Njigba +4000 

Quinn Ewers +4000 

TreVeyon Henderson +4000 

Jaxson Dart +4500 

Anthony Richardson +5000 

Devin Leary +5000 

Jaren Hall +5000 

Sam Hartman +5000 

Hendon Hooker +6000 

Braelon Allen +6000 

Will Levis +6600 

Stetson Bennett IV +7500 

Cameron Rising +8000 

JJ McCarthy +8000 

Jayden Daniels +8000 

Jordan Addison +8000 

K.J. Jefferson +8000 

Max Johnson +8000 

Spencer Rattler +8000 

Spencer Sanders +8000 

Will Rogers +8000 

Will Shipley +8000 

Aidan O’Connell +10000 

Blake Corum +10000 

Bo Nix +10000 

Brennan Armstrong +10000 

Casey Thompson +10000 

Deauce Vaughn +10000 

Dorian Thompson-Robinson +10000 

Grayson McCall +10000 

JT Daniels +10000 

Jake Haener +10000 

John Rhys Plumlee +10000 

Kedon Slovis +10000 

Kendall Milton +10000 

Malik Cunningham +10000 

Phil Jurkovec +10000 

Sean Clifford +10000 

Tank Bigsby +10000 

Travis Dye +10000 

Tyler Buchner +10000 

Adrian Martinez +15000 

Brock Bowers +15000 

Cade Klubnik +15000 

Cade McNamara +15000 

Cameron Ward +15000 

Donovan Edwards +15000 

Jarek Broussard +15000 

Michael Mayer +15000 

Micheal Penix Jr. +15000 

Mohamed Ibrahim +15000 

Myles Brennan +15000 

Tanner McKee +15000 

Zach Evans +15000 

Zack Charbonnet +15000 

Connor Weigman +20000 

Josh Downs +20000 

Kayshon Boutte +20000 

Luke Altmyer +20000 

Lyn-J Dixon +20000 

Marvin Harrison Jr. +20000 

Marvin Mims +20000 

Parker Washington +20000 

Payton Thorne +20000 

Taulia Tagovailoa +20000 

Tiyon Evans +20000 

Zach Gibson +20000 

Jacorey Brooks +30000 

Jermaine Burton +30000 

Julian Fleming +30000 

Mycah Pittman +30000 

Sean Tucker +30000 

Xavier Worthy +30000 

Zach Calzada +30000 

Austin Stogner +50000 

Frank Ladson +50000 

Jadon Hasselwood +50000 

Jalen Berger +50000 

Rakim Jarrett +50000 

Seth Henigan +50000 

Stevie Vincent’s History-making Explosion Will Never End; Did You See this sweep?

Another damn sweep by Stevie Vincent, including massive bet on massive dog Oakland. Now 227-102 since pro basketball playoffs at OffshoreInsiders.com     

Stevie Vincent Premium plays. All basketball and football picks and quoted records are against the spread except when moneyline is specified. Of course that is unless we specify totals. The pick is in BOLD over their opponent. Example: NEW YORK over Chicago means the pick is on New York against the spread.

A Perfect Play means an angle that is a 100 percent angle with a minimum of 12 games. However, not all 12-0 or better stats automatically qualify as a Perfect Play depending on counter information and the time period the perfect stat applies. The Great One Stevie Vincent top play is Level 5. 

PRO BASEBALL

>>>LEVEL 5 PLAY is on Miami/Cincinnati UNDER 

As I look at stateside and offshore books, I see 8.5 available

Forensic pitching information over last three starts ERA, WHIP: Garrett 2.04, .62; Castillo 1.29; .86

>>>LEVEL 5 PLAY is on OAKLAND over Houston

As I look at stateside and offshore books, I see +170 available. 

AL Divisional Dog of My Working Life 

Forensic pitching information over last three starts ERA, WHIP: Irvin 1.89, .68; Javier 5.93, 1.54

Tuesday Top MLB Trends, Update on Viral System

Tuesday, July 26, 2022 hot tips:

A viral system says to go with non-divisional away favorites. Because we’ve long known Saturdays is the one day in which home underdogs do well, we’ve eliminated said day. Since 2018 away interdivisional favorites are +110.78 moneyline 5.2 ROI and +110.59 runline with 7.1 ROI.

Today this angle favors Miami, NY Yankees, San Diego, White Sox.

Trends:

🔥Angels 6-30 -21.4 underdogs this year 

🔥Toronto 4-11 home -17.7 this year off consecutive wins

🔥Baltimore 17-7 +14.9 units after four straight home games this year 

🔥Colorado under 16-2 last 2 years off a game in which three or less runs were scored

🔥Padres over 10-0 last 2 years versus AL team getting 4.4 or more runs per game

🔥Logan Webb 22-2 +20.6 units last 2 years versus opponent stranding 6.9 or fewer runners per game

Free week of The Great One, Stevie Vincent OffshoreInsiders.com

MLB Money line Standings, Today’s Betting Trends, Viral Betting System

A viral system says to go with non-divisional away favorites. Because we’ve long known Saturdays is the one day in which home underdogs do well, we’ve eliminated said day. Since 2018 away interdivisional favorites are +113.63 moneyline 5.3 ROI, but +113.49 runline 7.3 ROI.

Today this angle favors Cleveland, San Diego, LA Angels 

MLB trends:

🔥Kyle Freeland under 23-4 last 2 years road underdogs of 150 or more

🔥Max Fried 21-3 +17 units last 2 years with total of 8-8.5

🔥O’s 35-24 this year +25.7 units with total 8.5-10

Free week of Stevie Vincent PREMIUM picks OffshoreInsiders.com

Best teams to bet on moneyline this year in terms of units won:

Team       Money won or lost
Baltimore 1661
Houston1321
Mets1080
Yankees920
Courtesy OffshoreInsiders.com Betting Tips

Worst teams to bet on, or best teams to fade in terms of money lost:

Team       Money won or lost
Angels-2183
Nationals-1959
A’s-1354
Cubs-1070
Tigers -913
Royals-911
Courtesy OffshoreInsiders.com Betting Tips

NBA Over-Under Wins Set for 2022-23 Season

The Boston Celtics will finish with the top record in the NBA next season, at least according to the early numbers. 

And depending on what jerseys some key players are wearing at the outset of the season, that top spot could change.

SportsBetting set over/under victory projections for 26 of the league’s 30 teams. 

The Lakers, Nets, Jazz and Knicks are not available due to ongoing trade speculation surrounding Kevin Durant, Kyrie Irving and Donovan Mitchell.

If you are able to use this information in your content, please consider citing the source.

Boston Celtics

Over/Under 53.5

Los Angeles Clippers

Over/Under 52.5

Phoenix Suns

Over/Under 52.5

Golden State Warriors

Over/Under 51.5

Milwaukee Bucks

Over/Under 51.5

Memphis Grizzlies

Over/Under 51

Philadelphia 76ers

Over/Under 50.5

Miami Heat

Over/Under 50

Denver Nuggets

Over/Under 49.5

Minnesota Timberwolves

Over/Under 48

Atlanta Hawks

Over/Under 47.5

Dallas Mavericks

Over/Under 47.5

Toronto Raptors

Over/Under 45.5

New Orleans Pelicans

Over/Under 45

Chicago Bulls

Over/Under 44.5

Cleveland Cavaliers

Over/Under 43.5

Portland Trail Blazers

Over/Under 40.5

Charlotte Hornets

Over/Under 36.5

Washington Wizards

Over/Under 36

Sacramento Kings

Over/Under 33.5

Detroit Pistons

Over/Under 27.5

Orlando Magic

Over/Under 26.5

Oklahoma City Thunder

Over/Under 26.5

Houston Rockets

Over/Under 25.5

Indiana Pacers

Over/Under 25.5

San Antonio Spurs

Over/Under 24.5

Brooklyn Nets

Off the board due to trade speculation

Los Angeles Lakers

Off the board due to trade speculation

New York Knicks

Off the board due to trade speculation

Utah Jazz

Off the board due to trade speculation 

Ryder Cup, LIV tour Odds; Who Replaces Stenson?

Henrik Stenson is out as Ryder Cup captain of the 2023 European team after joining the LIV Tour, Ryder Cup Europe announced today. 

So, who will step in to fill the shoes of the Swedish major champion? There is a hefty favorite, according to the oddsmakers. 

SportsBetting  made Thomas Bjorn the odds-on favorite at 2-5 (or -250). Luke Donald is second on the list, and he is the only other candidate with better than 10-1 odds. 

Rory McIlroy has the longest odds at 70-1.

2023 Ryder Cup Captain – Team Europe

Thomas Bjorn             2-5

Luke Donald                5-1

Eduardo Molinari        12-1

Robert Karlsson          14-1

Francesco Molinari     25-1

Justin Rose                  25-1

Bernhard Langer         30-1

Colin Montgomerie    30-1

Paul McGinley             40-1

Darren Clarke              50-1

Padraig Harrington     50-1

Miguel Angel Jimenez 70-1

Rory McIlroy               70-1

Additionally, the sportsbook has posted a couple of interesting LIV-related prop bets, which you can see here:

What will happen first?

Ryder Cup bans LIV Series players      2-3       (-150)

Charles Barkley joins LIV Series          2-1

Cameron Smith join LIV Series            4-1

Will U.S. Government bar citizens from competing in LIV Series?

Yes      30-1

MLB Betting Primer For Friday

Friday, July 15 angles in MLB. 

A viral system says to go with non-divisional away favorites. Because we’ve long known Saturdays is the one day in which home underdogs do well, we’ve eliminated said day. Since 2018 away interdivisional favorites are +112.82 units, 5.3 ROI. 

Today this angle favors Mets, Dodgers, Brewers. 

Top MLB trends:

🔥Toronto 3-10 -17.3 this year at home after allowing 3 runs or less in consecutive games

🔥LA Dodgers 5-26 -19.3 units this season underdogs

🔥Tigers under 24-8 this year underdogs of 150 or more

🔥O’s 35-11 runline this year +22.9 versus bullpen that has blown at least 38% of save opportunities 

SUMMER SALE! Normally $199, get Bet it Trinity 3-day for $119 at OffshoreInsiders.com

AFC North Game by Game Odds, Favorites to Win Division

While the unknown continues to loom over Deshaun Watson and the Cleveland Browns, the rest of the AFC North is shaping up to be pretty darn competitive. 

The Steelers, sans Ben Roethlisberger, are now the underdog in the division. But they’re even expected to pull out victories in seven or eight games.

SportsBetting continues to roll out weekly spreads for each team of every division. In the third week, we take a look at the ironclad AFC North. 

Beyond the week-by-week spreads, below you can see each team’s Super Bowl, conference and division odds. Also listed are the latest victory totals and playoff chances.

Please note that Week 17 and Week 18 spreads are not available below due to uncertainty in playoff standings, playing statuses, schedules, etc.

Additionally, only five of the Browns’ games are available due to Watson’s situation.

Week 1

Browns at Panthers (not available due to Watson situation)

Ravens at Jets (+6)

Steelers at Bengals (-6.5)

Week 2

Bengals at Cowboys (-2.5)

Patriots at Steelers (+1.5)

Dolphins at Ravens (-4)

Jets at Browns (not available due to Watson situation)

Week 3

Bengals at Jets (+5.5)

Steelers at Browns (not available due to Watson situation)

Ravens at Patriots (-2.5)

Week 4

Browns at Falcons (not available due to Watson situation)

Dolphins at Bengals (-3)

Jets at Steelers (-5.5)

Bills at Ravens (+1.5)

Week 5

Chargers at Browns (not available due to Watson situation)

Bengals at Ravens (-3)

Steelers at Bills (-8)

Week 6

Bucs at Steelers (+6)

Patriots at Browns (+2.5)

Ravens at Giants (+3.5)

Bengals at Saints (-1.5)

Week 7

Falcons at Bengals (-7.5)

Browns at Ravens (not available due to Watson situation)

Steelers at Dolphins (-3.5)

Week 8

Bengals at Browns (+3)

Ravens at Bucs (-4.5)

Steelers at Eagles (-4.5)

Week 9

Panthers at Bengals (-7)

Ravens at Saints (-1)

Week 10

Saints at Steelers (-1)

Browns at Dolphins (-3.5)

Week 11

Bengals at Steelers (+1)

Panthers at Ravens (-8.5)

Browns at Bills (-8.5)

Week 12

Bucs at Browns (not available due to Watson situation)

Bengals at Titans (-2.5)

Steelers at Colts (-4)

Ravens at Jaguars (+6)

Week 13

Browns at Texans (not available due to Watson situation)

Chiefs at Bengals (+3)

Steelers at Falcons (+1.5)

Broncos at Ravens (-3)

Week 14

Browns at Bengals (not available due to Watson situation)
Ravens at Steelers (PK)

Vikings at Lions (+5.5)

Week 15

Steelers at Panthers (PK)

Ravens at Browns (not available due to Watson situation)

Bengals at Bucs (-7)

Week 16

Saints at Browns (not available due to Watson situation)

Falcons at Ravens (-8.5)

Raiders at Steelers (-1.5)

Bengals at Patriots (-2)

AFC North futures: 

Bengals Odds

Super Bowl: +2000

AFC: +1100

Division: +175

Victories: Over/Under 9.5

Playoffs: Yes -130, No +100

Browns Odds

Super Bowl: +3500

AFC: +1600

Division: +400

Victories: (not available due to Watson situation)

Playoffs: (not available due to Watson situation)

Ravens Odds

Super Bowl: +1800

AFC: +1200

Division: +130

Victories: Over/Under 9.5

Playoffs: Yes -150, No +120

Steelers Odds

Super Bowl: +8000

AFC: +5000

Division: +800

Victories: Over/Under 7.5

Playoffs: Yes +300, No -400

All season long, best picks are from NFL Specialist Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com