All posts by Joe Duffy

Free Pick, MLB Betting Trends for Tuesday

Top MLB betting trends for Tuesday, June 21. 

  • Oakland 7-27 (-23.2 units) home against runline
  • Oakland 0-15 (-15.2) to AL starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.70 or less 
  • Anthony DeSclafani 14-3 (+13.1 units) road versus opponent averaging .5 or more stolen bases per game
  • Boston under 11-0 home versus opponent versus a team that converts at least 75% of their save opportunities 
  • Houston under 41-21 this season

Free winning pick from Joe Duffy:

Arizona-San Diego UNDER 7 (Gallen-Manaea)

Starter with a total less than any recent starts, again listen to what the oddsmakers are telling us because it goes under 3304-2529-257. When comparing the current total to the season average, we have an angle that goes under 2150-1689-237. 

Top expert pick: Arizona-San Diego went under last night as a Wise Guy, our only bet and of course a winner! Three bets tonight led by a famed Juicy Lucy! A Juicy Lucy is either an underdog of 140 or more or a runline bet in which we get at least 140.  Get the picks now from Grandmaster Handicapper Joe Duffy. 

NFL Coaches Hot Seat: First HC to Quit or Get Fired

There’s already some piping hot head coaching seats a couple months before the start of the 2022 NFL season.

If history repeats itself, we’ll see at least one coach canned before year’s end. 

SportsBetting has set odds for who will be the first coach fired, or first to resign, this season. 

The Panthers’ Matt Rhule leads the list while Dallas’ Mike McCarthy isn’t far behind. Pete Carroll, a potential candidate to resign at 70 years young, is third on the board.

Of note, for the first time in years, Bill Belichick outside of the last tier of longshot coaches to be fired first.

First NFL Head Coach to be Fired or Resign

Matt Rhule                  3-1

Mike McCarthy           5-1

Pete Carroll                 6-1

Frank Reich                 7-1

Ron Rivera                   8-1

Dan Campbell             10-1

Kevin Stefanski            10-1

Kliff Kingsbury             12-1

Mike Vrabel                12-1

Arthur Smith               14-1

Robert Saleh               14-1

John Harbaugh            16-1

Mike Tomlin                16-1

Nick Sirianni                25-1

Kyle Shanahan            33-1

Bill Belichick                50-1

Lovie Smith                 50-1

Todd Bowles               50-1

Brandon Staley           66-1

Brian Daboll                66-1

Dennis Allen                66-1

Doug Pederson           66-1

Kevin O’Connell          66-1

Matt Eberflus              66-1

Mike McDaniel            66-1

Nathaniel Hackett       66-1

Zac Taylor                   66-1

Matt Lafleur                80-1

Andy Reid                    100-1

Josh McDaniels           100-1

Sean McDermott        100-1

Sean McVay                100-1

NBA Draft Props 2022: major Line Movements

Paolo Banchero is a hot topic of conversation among NBA executives this week, and he’s apparently on the minds of bettors, too.

Ahead of Thursday’s NBA Draft, Banchero has seen an influx of wagers to be the No. 1 overall selection. While Jabari Smith Jr. remains the odds-on favorite to be picked first, Banchero’s odds have gone from 9-1 to 2-1 in less than a week’s time. 

Below, you will find a deluge of draft props from SportsBetting  

Major movements during the last five days are noted in bold.

No. 1 overall pick                  

Jabari Smith Jr.                        -155

Paolo Banchero                      +200

Chet Holmgren                       +275

(Paolo Banchero was +900 last week)

(Jabari Smith Jr. was -200 last week)

No. 2 overall pick                  

Chet Holmgren                       -135

Jabari Smith Jr.                        +175

Paolo Banchero                      +360

Jaden Ivey                               +2200

Shaedon Sharpe                      +10000

No. 3 overall pick                  

Paolo Banchero                      -210

Chet Holmgren                       +425

Jaden Ivey                               +650

Jabari Smith Jr.                        +700

Keegan Murray                       +2200

Shaedon Sharpe                      +2500

(Last week, Chet Holmgren was +1000)

(Last week, Jaden Ivey was +1200)

No. 4 overall pick                  

Jaden Ivey                               -175

Keegan Murray                       +150

Shaedon Sharpe                      +1100

Dyson Daniels                         +2200

Chet Holmgren                       +3300

A.J. Griffin                               +4000

(Last week, Jaden Ivey was -300)

(Last week, Keegan Murray was +300)

No. 5 overall pick                  

Keegan Murray                       +100

Jaden Ivey                               +200

Shaedon Sharpe                      +500

Benedict Mathurin                  +700

Dyson Daniels                         +2000

Chet Holmgren                       +3300

(Chet Holmgren was added to 4th and 5th pick odds since last week)

Will Collin Gillespie be drafted?

Yes +200

No -300

Who will be drafted first?

Johnny Davis -165

AJ Griffin +125

Who will be drafted first?

Ousmane Dieng -250

Malaki Branham +170

Who will be drafted first?

Nikola Jovic -130

EJ Liddell -110

A.J. Griffin draft position

Over/Under 11.5

Bennedict Mathurin draft position

Over/Under 6.5

Blake Wesley draft position

Over/Under 21.5

(Last week was 23.5)

Dyson Daniels draft position

Over/Under 7.5

EJ Liddell draft position

Over/Under 22.5

Jaden Hardy draft position

Over/Under 24.5

Jalen Duren draft position

Over/Under 10.5

Jalen Williams draft position

Over/Under 17.5

Jeremy Sochan draft position

Over/Under 11.5

(Last week was 12)

Johnny Davis draft position

Over/Under 10.5

(Last week was 11.5)

Keegan Murray draft position

Over/Under 5.5

Malaki Branham draft position

Over/Under 14

(Last week was 14.5)

Marjon Beauchamp draft position

Over/Under 25.5

Mark Williams draft position

Over/Under 14.5

(Last week was 13.5)

Niloka Jovic draft position

Over/Under 20.5

(Last week was 22.5)

Ochai Agbaji draft position

Over/Under 14

(Last week was 15)

Ousmane Dieng draft position

Over/Under 14.5

Shaedon Sharpe draft position

Over/Under 8

(Last week was 7.5)

Tari Eason draft position

Over/Under 17.5

(Last week was 16.5)

TyTy Washington draft position

Over/Under 18.5

(Last week was 17.5)

Walker Kessler draft position

Over/Under 24.5

Wendell Moore Jr. draft position

Over/Under 28.5

Best NBA handicapper is Stevie Vincent. Vincent is widely accepted as the best NBA handicapper since Curt Thomas retired early in this century. His best are exclusively on OffshoreInsiders.com He is also the top pitching expert in baseball betting. 

MLB top Betting Trends For Saturday Crush the Books

Records betting for or against at Bovada MLB betting trends for Saturday, June 18, 2022

💲Julio Urias 0-6 this season, a horrible -12.2 units off a loss

💲Alex Wood 2-11 career -16.1 units to NL teams averaging 3.5 or less runs per game

💲Chris Bassitt 17-1 +16.1 units versus opponent with a winning record 

💲Sandy Alcantara under 15-1 to division last 2 years

💲Oakland 3-26 this season -22.1 units versus starting pitcher giving up 5.5 or fewer hits per start 

💲Yankees 26-3 +21.3 units versus opponent versus opponent committing .6 or fewer errors per game 

💲Texas under 22-6 this season versus opponent with bullpen ERA of 3.45 or better

💲LA Angles over 16-2 last 2 years after batting .175 or worse over previous 3 games

💲Toronto over all 10 home games in June

💲Mets 21-6 +17.7 this season to runline against division

💲Twins 92-132 -48.36 units on runline

TGO Stevie Vincent has two pro baseball winners for Saturday. 176-56 overall and a sweep very likely today. Vincent is the top pitching expert in all of sports betting. He knows which pitchers are truly hot or cold which out outliers. Nobody in gambling has this acumen like TGO. Get the picks now 

Free Baseball Underdog Winner and Why; Killer MLB Trends

Here is a baseball free pick from Grandmaster Joe Duffy:

BALTIMORE (KREMEER +138) Tampa Bay (Baz)

When an underdog is playing their first winnable game in recent play, listen to what the oddsmakers are telling you and bet on them at 283-224, 55.8 percent despite being a favorite every time. This returns +90.03 units for 17.6 ROI. Baltimore has been more than a 2-1 underdog in each of their last four games, but now has a chance to win a contest. Neither pitcher has a track record making a dog a good value. 

MLB trends:

💲NY Yankees 25-3 +20.3 this season units versus opponent committing .6 or fewer errors per game

💲Texas 11-1 +11.1 units this season after stranding 5 or fewer runners in consecutive games

💲Boston under 21-5 off loss this season 

💲Alex Wood 2-11 -16.1 units career versus NL opponent scoring 3.5 or less runs per game

💲Charlie Morton over 10-0 as favorite this season 

💲Tampa over 12-1 last 2 years after a game in which 4 or fewer runs were scored

💲Houston 0-8 -10.7 units this season after scoring 8 or more runs

💲Oakland 7-24 -18.5 units at home this season 

💲LA Angels 11-25 this season -18.7 units versus starting pitcher giving up 5.5 or fewer hits per start  

💲Jordan Montgomery under 21-4 off win last 2 years 

Top expert pick is from Joe Duffy. Off a 5-0 sweep led by Game of the Decade on Warriors as Grandmaster rocks on. Wise Guy tops 3-0 sweep tonight. Get the picks now 

Oh Grandmaster Sweeps Including Game of the Decade (Unprecedented) on Warriors; Here’s Why

Truthfully, from a business standpoint, Game 7 would have been a windfall for sales. But I’m about winning. Too much pointed towards the Warriors and I had to bet the hell out of them. And we went 5-0 today with Joe Duffy’s Picks at OffshoreInsiders.com

Wise Guy plays are your maximum play. Majors are .75 of Wise Guy plays. Game of the Year and Game of the Month plays still involve the same straight betting as above. While we believe all gamblers need only bet our plays we realize some pick and choose selections. Said distinction is for such ala carte players. All units won quoted on systems are based on one unit per bet. 

NBA

Wise Guy

GOLDEN STATE +4 Boston

NBA Interconference Postseason Game of the Decade

A road close-out a series angle is a stunning 62-25 for 71.3 percent. In the final two rounds it is 14-2 for 87.5 percent winners.

Major 

Golden State-Boston UNDER 210.5

Postseason totals angle that goes under 511-398-31. 

MLB 

Wise Guy

OAKLAND (BLACKBURN +143) Boston (Hill)

When oddsmakers tell you a team has their best chance to win in recent play, we turn that knowledge against them with a system that is enormously profitable on both run and money lines at +405.98 moneyline. Taking advantage of oddsmaker same series adjustments is up +768.24. As is the case with many of our best systems, we take the oddsmakers knowledge and weaponize it against them. Combo angle is up 10.3 ROI at +26,683 units.

Major

CLEVELAND (MCKENZIE -130) Colorado (Kuhl)

Taking advantage of oddsmaker same series adjustments is up +768.24. As is the case with many of our best systems, we take the oddsmakers knowledge and weaponize it against them.

NY METS (MEGILL -125) Milwaukee (Ashby)

Taking advantage of oddsmaker same series adjustments is up +768.24. As is the case with many of our best systems, we take the oddsmakers knowledge and weaponize it against them.

For those STIll Betting on Your Own; If You ain’t winning, You Ain’t Trying, TGO Does it Again

American League Day Underdog of My Life on Baltimore +220 latest 3-1, 175-54 explosion. Remind me how betting on your own is going? Tgo is exclusively at OffshoreInsiders.com     

Stevie Vincent Premium plays. All basketball and football picks and quoted records are against the spread except when moneyline is specified. Of course that is unless we specify totals. The pick is in BOLD over their opponent. Example: NEW YORK over Chicago means the pick is on New York against the spread.

A Perfect Play means an angle that is a 100 percent angle with a minimum of 12 games. However, not all 12-0 or better stats automatically qualify as a Perfect Play depending on counter information and the time period the perfect stat applies. The Great One Stevie Vincent top play is Level 5. 

PRO BASEBALL 

>>>LEVEL 5 PLAY is on PHILADELPHIA over Washington

Forensic pitching information over last three starts ERA, WHIP: Wheeler 1.50, .944; Corbin 7.72; 1.960

>>>LEVEL 5 PLAY is on Milwaukee/New York Mets OVER 

As I look at stateside and offshore books, I see 8 available. Often, we release bets before all shops posted, so you can get the best line and most books do not have a line yet on this game, so shop around 

Forensic pitching information over last three starts ERA, WHIP: Ashby 4.84, 1.692; Megill 11.71, 2.102

>>>LEVEL 5 PLAY is on BALTIMORE over Toronto

American League Day Underdog of My Life

As I look at stateside and offshore books, I see +220 available. Often, we release bets before all shops posted, so you can get the best line and most books do not have a line yet on this game, so shop around 

Forensic pitching information over last three starts ERA, WHIP: Wells 2.81, .875; Gausman 4.29, 1.772

>>>LEVEL 4 PLAY is on San Diego/Chicago Cubs UNDER

Forensic pitching information over last three starts ERA, WHIP: Musgrove 1.50, .931; Swarmer 1.50, .833

Warriors, Celtics Virtual Co-Favorites to Win NBA Title Next Year Too

This season’s NBA Finals resumes tonight, but we can peek into the crystal ball to see who the oddsmakers are favoring for next year’s championship.

At the moment, the two teams representing their conferences in tonight’s game are at the top of the list. Golden State leads the way with +550, or 11-2, odds, while the Celtics are second at +600, or 6-1. 

Brooklyn, who has been at the top of the preseason title list each of the past two years, is third (+700), while the Clippers (+800) and the Bucks (+800) round out the Top 5.

Additionally, the NBA Draft is next week and there are odds for who will be selected in each of the first five picks, as well as over/under draft positions for 18 players.

Draft props can be found below and on SportsBetting   

2023 NBA Championship

Golden State Warriors            +550

Boston Celtics                         +600

Brooklyn Nets                         +700

Los Angeles Clippers               +800

Milwaukee Bucks                    +800

Phoenix Suns                          +900

Dallas Mavericks                     +1000

Memphis Grizzlies                  +1400

Miami Heat                             +1400

Philadelphia 76ers                  +1600

Denver Nuggets                      +1800

Los Angeles Lakers                  +2000

Minnesota Timberwolves       +4000

New Orleans Pelicans             +4000

Utah Jazz                                 +4000

Chicago Bulls                           +5000

Toronto Raptors                     +5000

Atlanta Hawks                         +6600

Cleveland Cavaliers                 +7500

Charlotte Hornets                   +10000

Portland Trail Blazers              +10000

New York Knicks                     +15000

San Antonio Spurs                  +25000

Washington Wizards              +30000

Detroit Pistons                        +50000

Indiana Pacers                        +50000

Sacramento Kings                   +50000

Houston Rockets                     +100000

Oklahoma City Thunder          +100000

Orlando Magic                        +100000

No. 1 overall pick                   

Jabari Smith Jr.                        -200

Chet Holmgren                       +130

Paolo Banchero                      +900

No. 2 overall pick                   

Chet Holmgren                       -165

Jabari Smith Jr.                        +130

Paolo Banchero                      +900

Jaden Ivey                               +2500

Shaedon Sharpe                      +4000

No. 3 overall pick                   

Paolo Banchero                      -500

Jabari Smith Jr.                        +900

Chet Holmgren                       +1000

Jaden Ivey                               +1200

Keegan Murray                       +2000

Shaedon Sharpe                      +2000

No. 4 overall pick                   

Jaden Ivey                               -300

Keegan Murray                       +300

Shaedon Sharpe                      +700

Dyson Daniels                         +2200

A.J. Griffin                               +2500

No. 5 overall pick                   

Keegan Murray                       -125

Jaden Ivey                               +350

Shaedon Sharpe                      +450

Benedict Mathurin                  +500

Dyson Daniels                         +1200

A.J. Griffin draft position

Over/Under 11.5

Bennedict Mathurin draft position

Over/Under 6.5

Blake Wesley draft position

Over/Under 23.5

Dyson Daniels draft position

Over/Under 7.5

EJ Liddell draft position

Over/Under 22.5

Jalen Duren draft position

Over/Under 10.5

Jeremy Sochan draft position

Over/Under 11.5

Johnny Davis draft position

Over/Under 11.5

Keegan Murray draft position

Over/Under 5.5

Malaki Branham draft position

Over/Under 14.5

Mark Williams draft position

Over/Under 13.5

Niloka Jovic draft position

Over/Under 22.5

Ochai Agbaji draft position

Over/Under 15

Ousmane Dieng draft position

Over/Under 14.5

Shaedon Sharpe draft position

Over/Under 7.5

Tari Eason draft position

Over/Under 16.5

TyTy Washington draft position

Over/Under 17.5

Walker Kessler draft position

Over/Under 24.5

Best free sports picks at OffshoreInsiders.com     

Worst Day in a Long Time as TGO Goes 3-1

A horrible day for TGO only going 3-1 to go to 171-53. Remind me, how is betting without Stevie going? LOL! Still not betting with Stevie? Here is what the squares among you missed and the sharps laughing all the way to the bank won with at OffshoreInsiders.com     

PRO BASEBALL

>>>LEVEL 5 PLAY is on Baltimore/Toronto OVER 

As I look at stateside and offshore books, I see 9.5 available. Often, we release bets before all shops posted, so you can get the best line and most books do not have a line yet on this game, so shop around 

Forensic pitching information over last three starts ERA, WHIP: Lyles 8.16, 2.23, Kikuchi 7.84, 2.23

>>>LEVEL 5 PLAY is on Pittsburgh/St. Louis OVER 

As I look at stateside and offshore books, I see 9.5 available. Often, we release bets before all shops posted, so you can get the best line and most books do not have a line yet on this game, so shop around 

At time of release, expected to be Game 1 pitchers. If not, scratch.

Forensic pitching information over last three starts ERA, WHIP: Brubaker 4.50, 1.562, Liberatore 5.54, 1.769

>>>LEVEL 5 PLAY is on SAN DIEGO over Cubs

As I look at stateside and offshore books, I see -141 available. Often, we release bets before all shops posted, so you can get the best line and most books do not have a line yet on this game, so shop around 

Forensic pitching information over last three starts ERA, WHIP: Manaea 2.25, 1.00, Hendricks 9.00, 1.643

>>>LEVEL 5 PLAY is on CLEVELAND over Colorado

As I look at stateside and offshore books, I see -165 available. Often, we release bets before all shops posted, so you can get the best line and most books do not have a line yet on this game, so shop around 

Forensic pitching information over last three starts ERA, WHIP: Bieber 1.40, .83; Senzatela 4.72, 1.65

Were You Part of This Sweep?

No worries. Just another in a long line of bleeping sweeps for TGO Stevie Vincent. TGO sweeps again. He is so superior to everyone else, it’s gotten sickly. 168-52! Game 1 of Pittsburgh vs. St. Louis, then three night Level 5Get the picks now 

Stevie Vincent Premium plays. All basketball and football picks and quoted records are against the spread except when moneyline is specified. Of course that is unless we specify totals. The pick is in BOLD over their opponent. Example: NEW YORK over Chicago means the pick is on New York against the spread.

A Perfect Play means an angle that is a 100 percent angle with a minimum of 12 games. However, not all 12-0 or better stats automatically qualify as a Perfect Play depending on counter information and the time period the perfect stat applies. The Great One Stevie Vincent top play is Level 5. 

PRO BASEBALL 

>>>LEVEL 5 PLAY is on Miami/Philadelphia UNDER

As I look at stateside and offshore books, I see 7.5 available. Often, we release bets before all shops posted, so you can get the best line and most books do not have a line yet on this game, so shop around 

Forensic pitching information over last three starts ERA, WHIP: Alcantara .38, .62; Nola 2.42, .63

>>>LEVEL 5 PLAY is on SAN DIEGO over Chicago Cubs

As I look at stateside and offshore books, I see -127 available. Often, we release bets before all shops posted, so you can get the best line and most books do not have a line yet on this game, so shop around 

Forensic pitching information over last three starts ERA, WHIP: Darvish 2.95, .75; Steele 7.07, 1.86