All posts by Joe Duffy

Oddly Enough: Next Head Coach Florida Gators, Next college and NFL Coaches Fired

Dan Mullen is the latest casualty in the collegiate head coaching carousel, and a familiar face could be the next to fall.

SportsBetting  has made Steve Sarkisian the favorite to be the next NCAA coach fired. Sark’s USC Trojans were humiliated by rival UCLA this weekend.

As far as Mullen’s replacement, ULL’s Billy Napier is the favorite to take over in Gainesville. 

But…could Lane Kiffin swap SEC teams, again? He’s second on the list, followed by Oregon’s Mario Cristobal.

Finally, the sportsbook has updated its odds for who will be the first coach fired in the NFL. Matt Nagy remains the odds-on favorite.

Odds are subject to change (they already have) and current numbers can be seen at SportsBetting  

Next NCAA Coach Fired

Steve Sarkisian            2-1

Scott Frost                   3-1

Manny Diaz                 7-2

Geoff Collins               6-1

Jeff Scott                     7-1

David Shaw                 8-1

Mike Bloomgren         8-1

Dino Babers                12-1

Ken Niumatalolo         12-1

Next Florida Gators Head Coach

Billy Napier                 4-1

Lane Kiffin                   5-1

Mario Cristobal           6-1

Bob Stoops                  8-1

James Franklin            8-1

Mark Stoops               8-1

Luke Fickell                 9-1

Eric Bieniemy              12-1

Matt Campbell            12-1

Bill O’Brien                  16-1

Dan Quinn                   16-1

Dave Clawson             16-1

Deion Sanders             25-1

Jamey Chadwell          25-1

Urban Meyer              50-1

Tim Tebow                  100-1

First NFL Coach Fired

Matt Nagy                   2-3

Urban Meyer              2-1

Joe Judge                    6-1

Vic Fangio                   7-1

Dan Campbell             12-1

Pete Carroll                 25-1

Stroud Now Prohibitive Heisman Fave; Bama Drops to 3rd in Natty Odds

The Buckeyes’ beatdown of Michigan State vaulted them into the second spot on the latest odds board. 

SportsBetting  moved the Ohio State past Alabama in its updated CFP National Championship numbers.

While Bryce Young and the Crimson Tide were able to hold off Arkansas at home, CJ Stroud’s epic first-half performance against the Spartans has created a wide gap in the Heisman odds. This marks the first time all season a player is the odds-on favorite with “minus” odds.

Ohio State is listed as a 9.5-point favorite at Michigan for Saturday’s pivotal Big Ten matchup.

CFP Championship

Georgia                       -125

Ohio State                   +300

Alabama                      +400

Cincinnati                    +3300

Oklahoma State          +3300

Michigan                     +4000

Notre Dame                +4000

Oklahoma                   +4000

Pittsburgh                   +15000

Utah                            +15000

Heisman Trophy

CJ Stroud – Ohio State                         -250

Bryce Young – Alabama                       +200

Matt Corral – Ole Miss                        +2500

Kenneth Walker III – Michigan State   +2800

Kenny Pickett – Pittsburgh                  +3300

Desmond Ridder – Cincinnati              +5000

Jordan Davis – Georgia                        +5000

Will Anderson – Alabama                    +5000

Kyler Murray Breaking News Tops Week 11 Must know INtel

It is no surprise that NFL week 11 public plays are dominated by road favorites. The fourth biggest consensus at sportsbooks such as Bovada was New England, an away chalk that already cashed in. Who is who the public is betting

🏈Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Miami, Cincinnati, San Francisco. The Saints, still implied as the better team with the pointspread less than HFA, is the biggest public underdog. 

🏈Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Miami, Tampa (MNF)

🏈Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Minnesota, Tampa (MNF), Philadelphia

🏈Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Seattle opened +1, now -2.5, Cleveland -10 to -12.5. See injuries below.

 As of now, Houston vs. Tennessee is the most heavily bet game, but not by a wide margin. 

Top expert pick is from Joe Duffy. Off yet another winning day, five Wise Guys, five Majors in NFL. I added two NBA Wise Guy plays and an NBA Major The bookie have never been a match for more and it’s gotten worse for them and better for every pro gambler. 15-4 Wise Guys in all sports off another sweep yesterday! No offense, if you are not a client of mine, you are subsidizing clients of mine. Either way, we appreciate you. Get the picks now 

NFL injuries: Arizona franchise QB Kyler Murray downgraded to between doubtful and questionable. Backup Colt McCoy is also banged up. Aaron Rodgers will start against Minnesota despite toe injury. Ravens QB Lamar Jackson is questionable. Top WR Maquise Brown is out for Baltimore. He has a team-high 52 grabs this year. Browns QB Baker Mayfield is probable, but the big chalk is battling injuries. 

Updated Odds on Power 5 Champs; Who Expected This Team to be Atop ACC?

We’re in the home stretch of the college football season with just a few weeks remaining on most schedules.

Usually at this point, many of the Power 5 conferences have distinct favorites going the last couple of games and ultimately, the conference championship. 

But this year there’s been more parity than normal and thus, we have tighter end-of-season projections than normal.

SportsBetting  released updated odds for which teams will emerge as champs for the ACC, Big 12, Big Ten, Pac-12 and SEC, which you can find below.

ACC

Pittsburgh                   -125

Wake Forest                +165

Clemson                      +900

Virginia                        +2500

NC State                      +2800

Big 12

Oklahoma                   -130

Oklahoma State          +225

Baylor                          +375

Iowa State                   +6600

Big Ten

Ohio State                   -250

Michigan                     +450

Wisconsin                   +550

Michigan State            +1800

Iowa                            +2800

Purdue                        +4000

Minnesota                   +8000

Pac-12 

Oregon                        -130

Utah                            +110

Arizona State              +3300

Oregon State               +3300

SEC

Georgia                       -225

Alabama                      +175

Ole Miss                      +4000

Auburn                        +10000

Arkansas                     +15000

Texas A&M                 +15000

Mississippi State         +20000

Ben Simmons Odds for Next Time Sees Few big name Teams

The 76ers and Nuggets square off on national TV tonight, but while the action is occurring on the floor a good portion of the commentary will be focused on the folks off the floor. 

Joel Embiid is sidelined with an injury, but Ben Simmons remains estranged from the team. It doesn’t look like he’ll ever put a Sixers uniform on again, and everyone’s been wondering where Daryl Morey will ship the embattled All-Star.

MaximBet has updated its odds for Simmons’ next team, and the three favorites are not contenders, or anything close to. 

You can always check out the latest Simmons odds on SportsBetting   

Ben Simmons Next Team

Oklahoma City Thunder 2-1
Sacramento Kings 3-1
San Antonio Spurs 4-1
Portland Trail Blazers 6-1
Boston Celtics 8-1
Indiana Pacers 10-1
Houston Rockets 10-1
Toronto Raptors 12-1
Cleveland Cavaliers 15-1

Thursday Night Sharp Report NFL, College Football, College Basketball, NBA

Here are the biggest moves in football and basketball for Thursday. Of interest in NFL is that although 72 percent of the bets are on the New England Patriots, 54 percent of cash is on Falcons. 

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🏈🏀Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: UNC Ashville (small underdog as public generally likes favorites), St. Francis NY (large dog); Golden State. 

🏈🏀Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Charlotte (NCAAB), St. Francis NY, Boston U

🏈🏀Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Nicholls State, UNC Wilmington 

🏈🏀Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Weber State opened +1 now -2.5; Golden State Warriors -7.5 to -9.5

Top expert pick: Joe Duffy continues to kill it! 125-86 football, 30-14 basketball. College football Thursday Night ACC GOY, NFL side, three NBA led by two Wise Guys. Game and Totals of the Year hitting nearly 80 percent this season in football, so get this as close to a sure thing NOW. Get the picks now 

Computer Fueld Winners College Football Against the Spread

Joe Duffy has Wise Guy in football for Tuesday night, Friday Night Game of the Year plus eight college football winners Saturday led by four Wise Guys. Get the picks now 

Free winners from the Grandmaster:

ILLINOIS +12.5 Iowa

The total in this game is just 38. We have an angle that says to go with big underdogs in a game that the oddsmakers tell you points will be tough to come by is 487-358. Remember, while most systems, especially in pro sports, are counterintuitive, this one is logical. The big number looms even that much larger in a contest in which points will be at a premium. 

ARMY -37.5 UMass

College football is easily the top momentum sports in gambling. Army is off a 53-point rout over Bucknell and this sets up a momentum angle that is 1333-1093 ATS. And it more than holds up when we are betting a team off a tune-up game, which makes sense. They got momentum, rested starts, and didn’t exercise much mental or physical energy. Our top-rated simulator program has them covering 59 percent of time, winning by an average of 52-9 in the models. 

Alert! Alert! Alert! MyBookie is now a 100 percent sign-up bonus. They always pay on time. 

College Basketball, NBA, NFL Super Sharp Intel for Monday

Super sharp moves for Monday. We have decided to combine all sports into one report:

🏀Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Citadel, Phoenix Suns, Chicago Bulls, LA Rams

🏀Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Citadel, Sacramento Kings, Liberty, Manhattan, Miami Heat

🏀Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Miami Heat, Bowling Green. 

🏀Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Presbyterian +1 now -3, Eastern Illinois -1 to +3; Dallas Mavericks -4 to -5.5.

Yes, the historic runs will be sustained as founder Tom Abernathy explains off yesterday’s sweep! Overall the longest sustained run in gambling history is at 1722-1043. Current seasons: 125-72 football, 38-9 NBA, 13-2 start to collegiate basketball. 

All-time No. 1 college basketball service far and away based on units won, releases almost all plays as one-unit, but does also have even more powerful 1.5-units bets. All bets are regular unless 1.5 specified. 6-0 start, but first 1.5 of season goes 9 ET

The former right-hand man of a once-great handicapper on the cities affiliated scorephones then on Freescoreboard 866-FREE-866 scores. He is the No. 1 all-time money winning totals handicapper since going on his own in 2001 and having his best NFL totals season in history. His picks have been tracked since the SuperLockLine scorephone days. Monday Night Football Total of the Year. Get a free sports service bet, which also has the full menu, then Get the picks now   

Guess Who is Skyrocketing in Super Bowl Odds?

Did everyone forget that Bill Belichick is the greatest NFL coach of all time?

If so, the latest Super Bowl LVI odds provide a reminder that the “Hooded One” is still roaming the sidelines at Foxboro.

SportsBetting  released updated title numbers Monday morning. New England has the ninth-best odds on the board (12-1) and the fourth-best odds in the AFC.

The Pats had 35-1 odds after a Week 1 loss to Miami. Their odds climbed to as high as 80-1 on October 18 following a loss to the Cowboys that left them with a 2-4 record.

Now, rolling on a four-game victory streak, Belichick and the boys are contenders once again. 

The Chiefs also saw a bump in their Super Bowl chances after Sunday night’s throttling of the Raiders. Kansas City’s championship odds were as high as 15-1 two weeks ago, but they have basically been cut in half.

Below you can find the updated Super Bowl and conference odds from SportsBetting.


Super Bowl LVI

Buffalo Bills 6-1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 13-2
Los Angeles Rams 7-1
Kansas City Chiefs 7-1
Green Bay Packers 8-1
Tennessee Titans 9-1
Arizona Cardinals 10-1
Dallas Cowboys 10-1
New England Patriots 12-1
Baltimore Ravens 18-1
Los Angeles Chargers 28-1
Cleveland Browns 45-1
Pittsburgh Steelers 50-1
Indianapolis Colts 60-1
Cincinnati Bengals 60-1
Las Vegas Raiders 66-1
New Orleans Saints 66-1
Denver Broncos 66-1
Minnesota Vikings 80-1
San Francisco 49ers 100-1
Seattle Seahawks 125-1
Philadelphia Eagles 125-1
Carolina Panthers 125-1
Atlanta Falcons 250-1
Washington Football Team 250-1
Miami Dolphins 400-1
New York Giants 350-1
Chicago Bears 750-1
Jacksonville Jaguars 4000-1
New York Jets 4000-1
Detroit Lions 5000-1
Houston Texans 5000-1

AFC

Buffalo Bills 3-1
Kansas City Chiefs 7-2
Tennessee Titans 9-2
New England Patriots 7-1
Baltimore Ravens 8-1
Los Angeles Chargers 14-1
Cleveland Browns 20-1
Pittsburgh Steelers 22-1
Indianapolis Colts 28-1
Cincinnati Bengals 28-1
Las Vegas Raiders 33-1
Denver Broncos 45-1
Miami Dolphins 200-1
Jacksonville Jaguars 1500-1
New York Jets 1500-1
Houston Texans 2500-1

NFC

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3-1
Los Angeles Rams 7-2
Green Bay Packers 4-1
Arizona Cardinals 9-2
Dallas Cowboys 9-2
New Orleans Saints 30-1
Minnesota Vikings 40-1
San Francisco 49ers 45-1
Seattle Seahawks 60-1
Philadelphia Eagles 60-1
Carolina Panthers 60-1
Atlanta Falcons 125-1
Washington Football Team 125-1
New York Giants 175-1
Chicago Bears 350-1
Detroit Lions 2500-1

New Heisman Frontrunner; Oddsmakers Say That and Natty each 3-horse Race

According to the oddsmakers, the Heisman Trophy race is down to three players. 

But that could change next week. The Heisman favorite coming into the season, Spencer Rattler, isn’t even the starter on his team anymore. And there have been a handful of different players to don the “favorite” role this season.

The latest odds from SportsBetting  have Ohio State’s CJ Stroud as the frontrunner at +180. 

Bryce Young, who has been the favorite for a few weeks now has 2-1, or +200, odds. He is followed closely by Michigan State’s workhorse back Kenneth Walker III (+300).

The only other player with less than 10-1 odds is Ole Miss quarterback Matt Corral. 

On the National Championship odds board, Oklahoma still somehow has lower odds than Cincinnati and Michigan despite Saturday’s loss to Baylor.

Ohio State is a 19-point favorite against Michigan State this Saturday in a pivotal Big Ten matchup. 

CFP National Championship Odds

Georgia                       -130

Alabama                      +375

Ohio State                   +450

Oregon                        +2000

Oklahoma                   +2500

Cincinnati                    +3300

Michigan                     +5000

Oklahoma State          +5000

Notre Dame                +6600

Michigan State            +10000

Wake Forest                +10000

Pittsburgh                   +15000

Heisman Trophy Odds

CJ Stroud – Ohio State                         +180

Bryce Young – Alabama                       +200

Kenneth Walker III – Michigan State   +300

Matt Corral – Ole Miss                        +900

Kenny Pickett – Pittsburgh                  +2500

Jordan Davis – Georgia                        +3300

Will Anderson – Alabama                    +4000

Desmond Ridder – Cincinnati              +5000

Sam Hartman – Wake Forest              +5000

TreVeyon Henderson – Ohio State      +5000

Brian Robinson Jr. – Alabama             +6600

Joe Duffy is in the midst of one of the great betting football seasons in history at OffshoreInsiders.com What else is new?