All posts by Joe Duffy

Superstition Isn’t the Way; Managing Money

February 12, 2006 Joe Duffy Leave a comment

Well I had an English professor in college who despised clichés with a passion. Hey I just realized that was a cliché. I do not know if Professor Mc Vie was a betting man though, because with apologies to my English mentor the old saying applies to money management in sports betting: it is a marathon not a sprint.

While some scores and odds gamblers may fall prey to the assurances of boiler room scamdicappers maintaining to have inside information and hitting 95%, I have a surprise for you. No gambler, handicapper, wise guy, nobody is slump proof.

For that matter even Joebagofdonuts making his hunch plays for his $10 parlay card will go in streaks. The recipe is to find a handicapper or invest the time yourself to insure that the winning steaks outnumber and outlast the losing streaks.

Frankly the formula to winning in sports is well-informed handicapping and money management. Even if somebody can win consistently, if one’s betting amount is haphazard one can lose a lot of money.

Bookmakers drive around in new Porsche’s not just because most of their clients grapple to hit 45% of their plays, but also because a preponderance of gamblers use the “panic” or “greed” methods when deciding how much to wager.

Any sports betting links player who increases his bets when he is down to try to win it back in one bet is destined to live in a box by the river. That is why Monday Night Football is the greatest thing to ever happen to a bookie. The bookie’s second best friend is the Sunday night game. Both are considered “bail out games” by the uneducated risk taker.

But even worse is the player for stakes who presses his luck during a hot streak and increases his bets. I have seen so many suckers go 15-5 for example and still squander capital.

The quandary is a $50 bettor for example when he is hot has the attitude, “Could you imagine how much I would have made if I bet $200 a game?” Even worse is the guy who goes 5-0 and realizes how much he could have made if he put money on a parlay. Yes 20/20 handicapping is great but I do not know a sportsbook that takes those types of antes.

Any bookmaker will tell you with 90% of gamblers, the more they win one week, the more the bookie looks forward to the gamester’s phone call the next week. Too many gamblers always find a way to give the money back and then some.

Even I have had nightmare days, but because of money management the Wise Guys and I have no idea what a losing month or season is.

The recipe is to stake the same amount based purely on how much one likes a game, not how much one is up or down in the short run. However there are actually two adaptations of acceptable money management.

One is the Godsey Theory, which is the most straightforward and the other is the Kelly System, which the units are equal but always relative to the bankroll.

The Godsey Theory is a fundamental as it gets. The way to divvy the units can be different as long as it is constant, but the key is not change the rating system or units per play.

Personally I only bet plays in two different units. Wise Guy plays are my top play and majors are .75 units of a Wise Guy play.

So as it applies to a $100 player, he would bet $100 on my Wise Guy plays and of course, $75 on my majors. Much like putting the same amount every month into the stock market, this method must be bet religiously.

However the Kelly System is similar but is based on a set percentage of one’s bankroll, not a set amount. Generally the maximum bet is 1/20 of the total bankroll.

Using the same one unit and .75 unit rating procedure, if one’s bankroll starts out with a $2,000 bankroll, Wise Guy plays would be $100 (5% of 2,000) and a major would be $75 (3.75% of (2,000).

Let’s say the gambler goes on a huge losing streak and his bankroll drops to $1,325. Then a Wise Guy play is still 5% of his bankroll, but is it $66.25, while a major is still 3.75% at $49.69.

When his bankroll is increased to $3,330 for example a Wise Guy play increases to $166.50, while a major would be $124.88.

Accurate handicapping and great information is the heart and soul of sports gambling. But without a responsible and thus concordant money management modus operandi it will all go for naught.

With both the Kelly Theory and the Godsey theory, your amount or percentage as the case may be never varies according to your streaks. I have never heard of a progressive betting system that works long-term. I know many in sports are based off of questionable betting procedure in blackjack or other casino games. The funny thing is the blackjack players who I know who swear by these methods always seem to forget when they lose and remember when it wins.

Now that is a degenerate gambler indeed. Somebody has to pay for those fancy chandeliers and ostentatious creature comforts at those multi-billion dollar casinos. Let us just make sure it is not you or me!

If one considers any game a “bailout” game, that is the first sign of trouble. Gamblers love to add up the wins and losses before deciding how much to bet on the Sunday night NFL game and Monday Night game. If a gambler had a horrific Saturday and Sunday, he starts betting parlays or coming up with schemes on how to win it all back with the two remaining prime time games—big mistake. Whether you are up 10 units or down said amount, the amount that you bet if at all on the Sunday night game should be based purely on how much you like that game. The Monday Night Football game is no different.

I cringe or at least wish that I was on the other side of the window when I hear a gambler who is down a few sheckles figuring merely how to get his debt below his “square up” amount with his man. Do not get me wrong, the goal of course is to not pay your man, but show me a guy who says he collects from the BM 52 weeks a year and please give me a chance to sell you stock in the Brooklyn Bridge.

Just like the stock market gambling has its ebbs and flows and to accept that one will not turn a profit 52 weeks a year is the first step on avoiding the endless pitfalls that make the bookmakers filthy rich.

The point is that with proper handicapping and money management you will collect from the man much more than he pays you, but there are some weeks that if you are down late in the week that you have to accept that it is going to be one of those periods where he collects from you.

Conversely the gambler often does the opposite. If he enters the late Sunday card significantly up, he may often get conservative just to insure a profit for the week or perhaps worse press his luck and increase his bets. Both are stupid. Anyone who lives and dies off of a one game or one day is destined to subsidize his “man’s” lifestyle.

“When you believe in things that you don’t understand, you suffer. Superstition ain’t the way, yeh, yeh,” Stevie Wonder. Those are words to sing and gamble by. I realize that there are times that it seems like everything is going right for you and there are times when no matter how hard you handicap the games, you just feel like in the final minutes or innings of a game if it’s close, you will lose.

I know the feeling. I have gone in some slumps and I will have three games on the dish going down to the wire. I just know I am watching heartbreak in progress. It boggles the mind how when things are not going your way every backdoor cover goes against you. But never, ever let such superstition affect your betting. The same is true when you are in a run where every late break goes your way. Pressing one’s luck is every bit as dangerous as panicking.

Never vary your bets based on the feeling that you are snake bitten or in a hot streak. As someone who sells picks for a living I am more than aware how gamblers love betting someone’s hot streaks. Finding a quality handicapper is much more important and profitable than worrying about who is hot and who has the big plays.

It is harmless if superstition affects your rooting habits, such as wearing your lucky shirt on an NFL Sunday. Buy never cross the line of it entering either your handicapping or the amount that you bet.

Joe Duffy generally considered as the greatest scorephone handicapper ever joined Internet guru Mike Godsey to form the most powerful handicapping alliance ever. Known as the handicapping’s “Dream Team” their plays are as little as less than $6.00 per day at OffshoreInsiders.com

Sports Gambling Strategy Articles

See the Changes Made to Make Some Change

February 12, 2006 Joe Duffy Leave a comment

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See the Changes Made to Make Some Change
Joe Duffy (www.godspicks.com)
With apologies to the androgynous David Bowie, if you don’t want to be a richer man than don’t face the strain. But if you do want to profit when handicapping basketball, your “gonna” have to be a changed man.
With the top high school players more likely to enter the NBA draft and if not stay in college for a cup of coffee, the sharp player has to recognize the complexities that it brings to handicapping.
There are many reasons why Young Turk handicappers have surpassed some old school prognosticators. The obvious reason is so many of the moth-eaten soothsayers use out-of-date handicapping techniques ignoring the Internet and various computer programs. However less obvious but even more importantly is also not acknowledging that once tried and true theories have become obsolete.
Among the examples:
Senior leadership: the great seniors of the past are now third and fourth year NBA players. Maryland was the exception in 2002 not because of experience but it just so happened that Maryland was a throwback—two superstar seniors. Lonny Baxter and Juan Dixon did not lead Maryland to the Promised Land because they were seniors, but because they were two NBA prospects that actually stayed around for four years. Plenty of teams could compete with them as far as veterans on the roster, but none were in the same league talent wise.
Unlike the recent past, never handicap so-called leadership ahead of talent. Perhaps an academic school like Duke or Stanford will combine both, but if a teams four-year players are not going to be found on a lot All-Conference or All-American teams, don’t be counting on their birth certificates to compensate for lack of height, muscle and speed.
Talent will overcome lack of experience, but you can keep your bookmaker in business waiting for the reverse to happen.
If the opposite were the case, mid-major teams would wear the glass slipper every year, as they are the schools that have more four-year players than the big boys.
I will put my back-to-back great recruiting classes of sophs and frosh ahead of your senior laden team whose top player is a mid level Australian league back-up prospect.
Preseason publications: I use to quietly giggle at those who said preseason publications were worthless once the season tips off. Related to what is stated above, the supermarket year books used to be very valuable as the squads with the most returning starters always got out of the gate the quickest, while teams with the most new quality talent would peak late. However once March came it was time to go back to betting on the vets.
Street & Smith’s and the many worthy imitations used to be ideal reference books for such. Of course one would have to make adjustments for injuries, but I successfully used my endless pile of storehouse arsenal throughout the year.
Up until the mid-90s I would compile the consensus predictions of all the publications. I would weigh each conference’s official coaches’ poll 50/50 with the hacks’ cumulative opinion as I found these to be good power ratings.
When a team with consensus preseason conference rating of say 5.6 (average predicted finish) was a big favorite to a team with a rating of 2.4 and the teams were healthy, but the “5.6” team was playing much better, the comparative consensus ratings were a gold mine in sorting out overachieving and underachieving teams.
More times than not, the hypothetical situation said look for both teams to return to their talent level and bet the “2.4” team.
With such turnover on the rosters, teams are much streakier and so much harder to predict than 10 and 20 years ago. Looking at a team’s recent three and five game performance is more valuable than ever. College hoop squads don’t “rise and fall to their level” like they used to.
Bigger homecourt advantage. Don’t take me out of context. I never said there is no difference between a freshman and sophomore-laden team and one with a bunch of third and fourth-year starters. Lack of maturity shows up on the road a lot more than at home. Home court advantage, especially in the first 15-20 games is as big as it ever was. Home dogs and small favorites, especially when playing well, deserve a longer look-see more than ever before.
In 1985, those theories that worked in 1980 and even 1970 often held up. No only has the game itself but thanks to technology the way sharp players handicap has also been greatly altered. Hence so had the way the lines are made and moved.
Too many dinosaur diviners are estimating today’s outcomes with yesterday’s attitude. So handicappers, time better change you, because you can’t trace time.
Duffy’s plays are part of the Dream Team at Godspicks.com. He is perhaps the most published and respected author on sports gambling theory and has been featured as a regular guest as the handicapping expert on the Rick Ballou Show on Sporting News Radio.

Sports Gambling Strategy Articles

Rotisserie Experts Need Not Be Chicken

February 12, 2006 Joe Duffy Leave a comment

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Rotisserie Experts Need Not Be Chicken When It Comes to Betting Baseball
Joe Duffy (www.godspicks.com)
Within the last year, I wrote an article about how sports investing and fantasy sports know-how can have common characteristics, but I declared how it is ten carats on the baseball diamond. There is no doubt that evaluations specifically on the alleged
America’s pastime warrant an essay in and of itself.
If one can distinguish there are both differences and similarities between winning with your MVP fantasy team and winning at MVP sportsbook, a great roto GM can be one heck of a prognosticator as well.
Our favorite rotisserie site Rotowire.com has injuries and analysis of such that is of great worth to the gambler as well. They give diagnosis of players’ slumps, injuries, the injury replacements et al in their “recommendation” section. It has a lot of nuggets that make food for thought for my daily handicapping.
They are also my favorite source for the scoop on starting pitchers coming up from the minor leagues. Ah, starting pitchers coming up to the Show. There is the biggest comparison and contrast from gambling to roto managing.
In fantasy sports you are projecting his long-term worth, but in gambling the “long term” is his next nine innings or less. This is not to say that one not need to envisage what he will do longer term. In fact it is quite contrary.
So often top prospects come up from the minors and have a few good outings before running into some bumps in the road. The general school of thought is that once they get around the league the scouting gets better.
This is perhaps somewhat true, but more times than not teams bring up players when they are in a nice groove. It is rare that a blue chip prospect is brought up to the bright lights when they were struggling on the farm.
However necessity can be the mother of rushing guys to the majors. Therefore the handicapper more than the fantasy guru is not worried how the touted fireballer will be down the road, but in his next outing.
Was it injuries or just plain bad pitching that forced the parent club to bring him up or was it clearly the opportune time? A pitcher’s last three or so starts in the minors is much more important to the ‘capper than the roto geek.
Few things are more of a crapshoot (not even a crapshoot) than pitching prospects. Even those who do pan out rarely do right away. You can throw out your Todd Van Poppel, Rick Ankeil, Lance Dickson and Willie Banks rookie cards. Do not even get me started on Brien Taylor.
Often the square handicapper outsmarts himself thinking he is so far ahead of the curve knowing the in vogue pitching prospects. Because of the previously stated tendency to bring the star up when he’s in the proper “zone” going with the Young Turk can often pay off in the short run.
But with each win comes higher expectations and the true test comes when adversity strikes. That’s when we exploit the Johnny-come-lately not being able to live up to his press clippings.
Even those who do pan out are often late bloomers.
What does this mean from a handicapping standpoint? Knowing the square player outfoxes himself, the hotshot who has proven nothing more times than not proves to be overvalued. However often they get out of the gate quickly before fading.
That is why it is so important to retrace the recent starts preceding his call-up. Of course the last 3-5 starts at AAA or as can be the case AA should not have the same credence as we weigh MLB starts, but they certainly must be weighed accordingly.
Like we said, the fantasy sites often have the best relevant scouting report. But remember Rotowire and other sites are more concerned whether or not the pitcher in question becomes the latest flavor of the month. We just want to know if he has the hot hand and for how long.
Once the chic media’s latest phenom hits his first bump in the road, we fade him hard. Bucking the flavor of the month club has made us a lot of money of the years, but the fantasy information has greatly aided us in not jumping the gun too soon.
As far as other sources in the fantasy sports realm, ESPN’s Fantasy Power Picks are excellent, though their actual ratings very flawed. For example they only compare bottom line ERA over a period when computing their power ratings and give no consideration to innings pitched. A hurler whose ERA in five innings of the previous month is 1.50 is given more weight than one whose ERA is 2.09 in 32 innings.
We as handicappers break down the numbers, but ESPN’s Power Picks at least displays and parses them very well.
Don’t make too much fun of the rotogeek in your office who is living and dying off of the boxscores. If he is perennially at the top of his league standings, he may be able to help make your investing fantasies come true. You can bet on it.
Duffy’s plays are part of the Dream Team at Godspicks.com. He is perhaps the most published and respected author on sports gambling theory and has been featured as a regular guest as the handicapping expert on the Rick Ballou Show on Sporting News Radio, Gamblers Zoo national radio show, the Meat and Potatoes gambling show, Gridiron Gamblers, Pro Fantasy Sports Internet radio and Grogan’s Fantasy Football show. His daily news and notes are at www.joeduffy.net
His Wise Guy Plays available exclusively at www.godspicks.com where daily sports handicapping information is available to crush the sportsbooks. Godspicks.com has daily sports betting free winners, news, notes and trends. Media inquiries and all questions: godspicks@bellsouth.net

Sports Gambling Strategy Articles

Read Between The Lines

February 12, 2006 Joe Duffy Leave a comment

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Read Between the Lines to Beat the Line, That’s a Quote
Joe Duffy (www.godspicks.com)
No matter how inferior his foe is, Lou Holtz’s subsequent opponent is always the paramount team in recent football history. His own team is always overrated and fortunate not to be winless. So says he anyway. A first-class handicapper can differentiate between “coachspeak” and legitimate handicapping information.
The most indispensable bit of information that I look for is when coaches evaluate how his team executed in practice that week. Coaches have demonstrated very trustworthy and impartial for such tidings that have proven priceless in foretelling the ATS outcome of games.
Anytime a coach has expressed either glee or disenchantment in how his team has functioned on the practice field the week preceding a game, this handicapper sees a gargantuan red flag.
Coaches are legendary about blowing smoke, but I have found when it comes to evaluating his team’s frame of mind as game day approaches, such pertinent specific quotes to be invaluable bits of handicapping information.
Player quotes are also magnificent gauges of a team’s mindset. This is especially the case in college sports when a team faces a potential letdown or revenge situation. Too often uneducated gamblers choose to conjecture when a team will overlook an opponent or when for example a large favorite will be motivated or unmotivated to run up a score.
Thank goodness the media needs some fodder and helps us by spotting such potential situations. While the scribes can often write worthless claptrap, when they center on motivational mindsets, I find infinitely meaningful articles covering such angles of consequence to handicappers.
Steve Spurrier is of course the antithesis of Holtz. Early indications are that the Visor has not toned down his trash talking for the NFL. However back in December of 2001, Spurrier was conspicuously low-keyed before his traditional rivalry against a Tennessee team that he had beaten seven consecutive times and in many cases quite soundly.
Sirens went off as far as I was concerned. The biggest trash talking coach in contemporary times gone by was quite the diplomat against a team and coach who he never failed to dis’ until that time. His unspoken works said more than any that he could have uttered. Thanks to such, we unloaded on one of our largest plays ever and the Vols not only snapped the jinx, they did it in Gainesville, winning outright 34-32.
So often it is the subtleties that separate the winners from the losers in sports handicapping. You can quote me on that.
Joe Duffy is General Manager of Freescoreboard.com, the premier hub of world class handicappers. Duffy’s handicapping prowess is now part of the Dream Team with Mike Godsey at www.godspicks.com, widely considered to be the most powerful handicapping alliance ever.

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Sunday Handicapper’s Sampler

February 12, 2006 Joe Duffy Leave a comment

Sunday, February 11, 2006
**Late steam: see below. It’s NEWCOMER SUNDAY, two days for the price of one. We want to get as many people as possible to try the exclusive country club of Godspicks before March Madness comes. So we are doing both of us a favor by helping you begin the rest of your gambling life today! Yep, never been done before in the history of Godspicks, but with most of the greatest March Madnesses in handicapping history being here at Godspicks those timid about purchasing picks have everything to gain.
Oh, by the way, we hinted of a special surprise. EVERYONE who got the three or more day pass Friday or Saturday HAS HAD A FREE DAY ADDED as well. It’s two days for the price of one Sunday. Purchase today for $17 and get tomorrow for free.
Yesterday our Big 10 Game of the Year on Minnesota leads us to a 3-2 Wise Guy mark, keeping us above 58 percent since Thanksgiving Day 2004, the demarcation point from where our mastery of modern technology made the gap between us and the rest of the industry insurmountable.
With late steam we have four winners for Sunday including a Wise Guy. Wise Guy plays from Godspicks are widely accepted by high rollers, bookmakers, linesmakers, and fellow handicappers as the biggest play in the handicapping abyss. This is just fact. The ENTIRE card is just $17 at www.godspicks.com. We now take virtually every credit card, PayPal and eCheck. Also we now have yearly and other packages available via Western Union. Every play, every sport for a year is $2,450. Email us at godspicks@bellsouth.net to make arrangements or for Neteller payments.
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Now the top consensus site Sports-Handicapper.com
5-0 Saturday makes it 54-11 the last 65. You know it’s legit because you got every play at Sports-Handicapper.com!!!
This is your Sports-Handicapper.com for Sunday, February 12, 2006
Sports-Handicapper.com gives you the highest rated plays from the highest rated handicappers in their highest rated sports. We search our database of more than 620 handicappers from the Internet, scorephones, television, 800 number late telephone services, 900 number handicappers, tip sheets and other sources and give you their top plays more times than not at a fraction of the cost.
• No. 4 CBB service for 2005-06 stats are out of 620 services monitored, rankings based on total net units won based on ONE unit per play hit their College Hoops Game of the Year for the seventh straight year with Cal Poly, a double digit dog winning outright. YOU GOT IT RIGHT HERE! Today they have their SIDE AND TOTAL PARLAY OF THE YEAR
REDUCED PRICES FOR ALL PLAYERS: Today’s full menu is $12, 3 day is $33, a week $75 and long term as little as $4.10 per day at Sports-Handicapper.com. Today’s late breaking information as game time approaches, and advanced news and notes as well as gaming articles are at www.joeduffy.net
Now…The Center of the Handicapping Universe Godspicks.com

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Sunday’s News and Notes

February 11, 2006 Joe Duffy Leave a comment

Sunday, February 11, 2006
It’s NEWCOMER SUNDAY, two days for the price of one. We want to get as many people as possible to try the exclusive country club of Godspicks before March Madness comes. So we are doing both of us a favor by helping you begin the rest of your gambling life today! Yep, never been done before in the history of Godspicks, but with most of the greatest March Madnesses in handicapping history being here at Godspicks those timid about purchasing picks have everything to gain.
Oh, by the way, we hinted of a special surprise. EVERYONE who got the three or more day pass Friday or Saturday HAS HAD A FREE DAY ADDED as well. It’s two days for the price of one Sunday. Purchase today for $17 and get tomorrow for free.
Yesterday our Big 10 Game of the Year on Minnesota leads us to a 3-2 Wise Guy mark, keeping us above 58 percent since Thanksgiving Day 2004, the demarcation point from where our mastery of modern technology made the gap between us and the rest of the industry insurmountable.
The overnight report has another Wise Guy play for Sunday. Late steam will be inclusive in all purchases. The ENTIRE card is just $17 at www.godspicks.com. We now take virtually every credit card, PayPal and eCheck. Also we now have yearly and other packages available via Western Union. Every play, every sport for a year is $2,450. Email us at godspicks@bellsouth.net to make arrangements or for Neteller payments.
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CBB
Here are news and notes from Godspicks.com private clipboard. They are compiled from hometown newspapers and the team’s own press releases.
Cincinnati-Pittsburgh
Press Notes
At 18-3, Pitt plays its second straight home game after defeating No. 9 West Virginia 57-53 Thursday evening. The win ceased Pitt’s two-game road losing streak to the likes of No. 1 Connecticut (80-76) and No. 17 Georgetown (61-58). Pitt faced three straight nationally ranked opponents in No. 9 West Virginia, No. 17 Georgetown and No. 1 Connecticut. The Panthers are 4-2 vs. nationally ranked opponents this year after defeating No. 9 West Virginia, No. 24 Wisconsin, No. 10 Louisville and No. 25 Syracuse. Pitt enters the contest with an undefeated 14-0 home record this season. It is attempting to complete its season undefeated at home for just the fourth season in school history. Its current 14-game home win streak ranks tied for third among the school’s all-time longest home win streaks. Pitt is a sterling 62-5 with a .925 winning percentage in the four-year-old Petersen Events Center. Pitt also owns a 25-4 regular season record vs. Big East East opponents in the Petersen Events Center.
NC State-GA Tech
Press Notes
With its longest losing streak since the 1980-81 season now at eight games, Georgia Tech returns home to face the team that began the slide, NC State. NC State (19-4, 8-2 ACC), ranked No. 16 in the AP poll, comes to Atlanta with its best start under head coach Herb Sendek, having won four straight games to solidify its hold on second place in the ACC race. The Wolfpack has won those four games by an average of six points, with two of those needing two overtimes each to decide. The Yellow Jackets’ have fared better on the road than at home during their stretch, having lost the five road games by an average of 5.6 points, last three by a TOTAL of four points. It has been a different story at home, however, those three games having been decided by 13 points. For halftime bettors: Tech has endured long second-half scoring droughts in some of its losses (one field goal over an 11:35 stretch against Maryland, one over a 12:53 stretch against Clemson, scoreless over a five-minute stretch at Virginia Tech, one FG over a 9:27 stretch against Miami). Tech scored just 20 points in the second half of home-court losses to Clemson and Miami.
Massachusetts-Florida State
Press Notes
Florida State, which has won 12 consecutive non-conference home games, plays host to UMass of the Atlantic 10 Conference. Overall, the Seminoles have won seven consecutive and nine of 10 non-conference games this season. The only out-of-conference loss for the Seminoles came at the hands of No. 6/7 Florida (Nov. 25, 66-74) at the Stephen C. O’Connell Center in Gainesville. Florida State is 9-2 at home this season (6-0 in none-conference and 3-2 in ACC games) and enters Sunday’s game against the Minutemen having won two straight. Florida State enters Sunday’s game ranked second in the ACC in scoring offense with an 80.5 points per game average. The Seminoles have scored at least 80 points in 10 of their first 20 games of the season and have already scored better than 80 points in more games this season (10) than they did during the entire 2004-05 season (six).
Ohio-Western Michigan
Press Notes
Sunday’s contest against Western Michigan will be one of just two return games Ohio has with MAC West Division opponents this season. Last Time vs. Western Michigan: In the conference opener for both teams, Ohio rolled past WMU by a final of 87-55 on Jan. 4 in Athens.
North Carolina-Miami
Herald Sun
The Tar Heels have been through a lot since Jan. 14, when the Hurricanes beat them 81-70 at the Smith Center. The No. 23 Tar Heels were left for dead after losing at Virginia, sprang back to life with a win at Florida State, took a hard fall with a home loss to Boston College and then played their best basketball of the season during a three-game winning streak. And all of that was before UNC’s 87-83 loss to No. 2 Duke on Tuesday night, a game in which the Tar Heels trailed by 17 points in the second half before rallying to take a five-point lead with 4½ minutes remaining. After three games in six days, what was the energy level of the Tar Heels as they began looking toward Sunday night’s rematch with the Hurricanes? “Down,” senior forward David Noel said. “We’re tired as all get-out. But at the same time, that’s college basketball. It’s something that we’re through now. We’ve had a day off, and now it’s time to get back to work and prepare for Miami.” Sunday’s game, scheduled for 8 p.m. (Fox Sports South) at the BankUnited Center, is UNC’s first rematch of the season. The Tar Heels host Georgia Tech on Feb. 15 and travel to Wake Forest four days later before finishing up against four ACC teams they already have played. This week’s break, five days in between games, is UNC’s longest until the end of the regular season. The Tar Heels have one more day of preparation than Miami, which lost at home to No. 16 N.C. State 86-77 in double overtime Wednesday night. The Hurricanes had been off for a week before defeating the Tar Heels last month.
UNC has gone 3-1 on the road in ACC games this season, twice beating teams that were undefeated at home before the Tar Heels arrived in town. UNC also defeated Kentucky at Rupp Arena on Dec. 3, another example of a young team exceeding expectations away from its home court. More notes for halftime bettors: UNC has been especially impressive in the second half in its last two road games, holding opponents to a combined 31-percent shooting and outscoring them by an average of 13 points in wins at Florida State and Maryland.

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Handicappers Sampler For Saturday

February 11, 2006 Joe Duffy Leave a comment

It rarely happens but two of the Top 10 Sports Services both have their college Game of the Year plays today and YOU GET BOTH FOR A FRACTION OF THE COST. Saturday is history on Sports-Handicapper.com. Be a part of it!
This is your Sports-Handicapper.com report for Saturday, February 11, 2006. Sports-Handicapper.com has now had winning days 36-of-44 and 49 of 58. In the process it’s a 49-11- run with top sports service plays.
Sports-Handicapper.com gives you the highest rated plays from the highest rated handicappers in their highest rated sports. We search our database of more than 620 handicappers from the Internet, scorephones, television, 800 number late telephone services, 900 number handicappers, tip sheets and other sources and give you their top plays more times than not at a fraction of the cost.
• Bill Tanner a veteran handicapper out of the basketball crazed state of Indiana, easily No. 1 in college and pro combined out of 620 services monitored, rankings based on total net units won since 1995. We give out his top rated Platinum Plays. He nailed yet another Friday. He has THREE FOR SATURDAY
• No. 4 CBB service for 2005-06 stats are out of 620 services monitored, rankings based on total net units won based on ONE unit per play has their College Hoops Game of the Year which they’ve hit six straight years
• No. 7 CBB service stats are out of 620 services monitored, rankings based on total net units won based on ONE unit per play already nailed their NBA Game of the Year as released on Sports-Handicapper.com. They are 7-0 with Conference Game of the Year plays ALL RELEASED TO YOU HERE at a fraction of the cost. Their College Basketball Game of the Year goes today
REDUCED PRICES FOR ALL PLAYERS: Today’s full menu is $12, 3 day is $33, a week $75 and long term as little as $4.10 per day at Sports-Handicapper.com. Today’s late breaking information as game time approaches, and advanced news and notes as well as gaming articles are at www.joeduffy.net
Now…The Center of the Handicapping Universe Godspicks.com
Saturday, February 11, 2006
UPDATE: We now have with MORNING STEAM five Wise Guy plays and three Majors. It’s 8-0! Wise Guy plays from Godspicks are widely accepted by high rollers, bookmakers, linesmakers, and fellow handicappers as the biggest play in the handicapping abyss. This is just fact.
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Uncategorized

Saturday Godspicks

February 11, 2006 Joe Duffy Leave a comment

Uncategorized

Saturday News and Notes

February 11, 2006 Joe Duffy Leave a comment

Saturday, February 11, 2006
The Center of the Handicapping Universe Godspicks.com is compiling the late report which is included in all packages but our early steam has three Wise Guy plays and a Major in college and all indications are that a lot more winners will be headed late afternoon. Wise Guy plays from Godspicks are widely accepted by high rollers, bookmakers, linesmakers, and fellow handicappers as the biggest play in the handicapping abyss. This is just fact.
The ENTIRE card is just $17 at www.godspicks.com. We now take virtually every credit card, PayPal and eCheck. Also we now have yearly and other packages available via Western Union. Every play, every sport for a year is $2,450. Email us at godspicks@bellsouth.net to make arrangements or for Neteller payments. Updated and advance news and notes FREE at www.joeduffy.net
CBB
Drexel-Delaware
Delaware Online
While Delaware has struggled on the road against Drexel in recent seasons, the Hens have won the last two and eight of the last nine against the Dragons in the Carpenter Center. However, Delaware could be without senior forward Harding Nana, who is questionable because of a high ankle sprain. Nana is second in the Colonial Athletic Association in scoring (19.3) and first in rebounds (10.7). Delaware is 6-17 overall and 2-12 in the CAA following Thursday night’s 70-54 loss at UNC-Wilmington. It was Delaware’s fourth straight loss. Drexel (13-12, 7-7) is coming off its most lopsided win of the year. The Dragons ended a four-game losing streak Thursday night in Philadelphia with a surprisingly easy 83-47 win over Northeastern.
East Carolina-UAB
Press Notes
East Carolina junior guard Japhet McNeil and sophomore forward Jonathan Hart have been suspended indefinitely for conduct detrimental to the team announced head coach Ricky Stokes on Monday. Neither will play in Saturday’s game against UAB in Birmingham. McNeil leads Conference USA in assists with 6.65 per game and ranked fifth in the latest NCAA statistics published on January 31. He has distributed 133 assists this season, which is an ECU single season record. McNeil had started 15 games this season, while averaging 4.9 points in 27 minutes per game. Hart was averaging 4.2 points and 3.3 rebounds in 17 minutes of action per game this season and had started each of the past three games.
San Francisco-San Diego
Press Notes
USF (9-13, 5-4 WCC), will battle travel partner San Diego (15-7, 5-4) twice within three days, visiting the Toreros Saturday and hosting them Monday night. So far USF has split every weekend of WCC play winning once and losing once. (The Dons won their one single week contest.) This will be a very interesting weekend as USF faces the same opponent just two days apart. In WCC play, the Dons have by far the best turnover margin (+3.1) forcing 17.1 turnovers per contest while committing just 14.0. The next highest margin is LMU’s + 1.11. On the opposite side, USF is last in free-throw percentage (66.9%). USF is 2-3 in last five games. The Dons have been outscored 373-346 (74.6-69.2) and have shot just 41.6%.
Pepperdine-Loyola Marymount
Press Notes
The Waves (7-14, 3-6) have lost the first two games on the road trip, falling 84-71 at San Diego on Saturday and 66-63 at San Francisco Monday night. Pepperdine will be attempting to post its first road win since registering 75-61 victory at UNLV on December 22. The Waves are 1-10 on the road this season and have lost four straight away from Firestone Fieldhouse. Loyola Marymount begins play this week with a 10-13 overall mark and is in second place in the WCC with a 7-2 record. The Lions, who are coming off a 94-76 victory at San Diego on Monday, have two in a row, four of five and seven of their last nine games. LMU is currently averaging 73.3 points a game while allowing 74.6 points a contest.
Charlotte-Wake Forest
Press Notes
The Demon Deacons, 12-11 overall and 1-9 in the ACC, have lost six straight. Charlotte, 14-8 overall and 7-3 in the Atlantic 10, has won three straight, including a 66-59 win over visiting Temple Wednesday night. Wake Forest is 11-2 in non-conference games this season.
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LaSalle-Xavier
Press Notes
La Salle, 14-7 overall and 6-4 in the Atlantic 10 Conference, has won four straight games, including wins over Temple (62-56) on February 4 and at UMass (65-44) on February 8 in its last two games. Xavier, 14-6 overall and 5-4 in the Atlantic 10 Conference, snapped a two-game losing streak with a 63-51 win at Richmond on Wednesday. Today’s game against La Salle opens a three-game homestand, Xavier’s longest of the season. Xavier’s defensive field goal percentage of 38.8 percent (first in A-10 and 15th in the nation.
Santa Clara-St. Mary’s
Press Notes
Saint Mary’s has an 10-11 overall record and a 3-6 mark in WCC play following a 62-61 loss to No. 5 Gonzaga on Monday night. Santa Clara enters Saturday’s game with a 9-12 overall record and a 2-7 mark in West Coast Conference play. The Broncos snapped a 7-game losing skid by posting a 24-point road-win over Portland on Saturday. Both WCC wins for Santa Clara have come against Portland.
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NBA
Cavaliers-Warriors
Mercury News
Warriors forward Troy Murphy was held out of action Friday because of a sprained left ankle. Murphy said he isn’t expecting to play tonight against Cleveland but is hoping to play Monday against visiting Memphis.

Uncategorized

Friday News and Notes

February 9, 2006 Joe Duffy Leave a comment

Friday, February 10, 2006
Simply put Friday night is the biggest release by any handicapper this season. The Industry’s Eastern Conference NBA Game of the Year for 2005-06. Plus if you buy the three or four-day pass today, I think you will get a special surprise announcement before the weekend is out. But the biggest story in the industry is the huge release Friday from The Center of the Handicapping Universe Godspicks.com. March Madness is nearly here folks—another historic Million Dollar March is in store! The ENTIRE card is just $17 at www.godspicks.com. We now take virtually every credit card, PayPal and eCheck. Also we now have yearly and other packages available via Western Union. Every play, every sport for a year is $2,450. Email us at godspicks@bellsouth.net to make arrangements or for Neteller payments.
CBB
Columbia-Yale
Press Notes
The Bulldogs (11-10, 3-3 Ivy) have won 13 of their last 14 Ivy League home games but are coming off losses at Princeton and Penn last weekend. Yale has not had a winning or losing streak of longer than two this season. The Bulldogs also have won eight of the last 10 meetings with the Lions, but Columbia leads the all-time series 119-89. The Lions (8-11, 1-5 Ivy) started the season 5-0 for the first time since 1969-70 but have lost their last three. Columbia is second in the Ivy League in field goal percentage defense (.422).
Princeton-Harvard
Press Notes
Five games on the road in a nine-day span will test the mettle of any team. The Princeton men’s basketball team gets a chance to test its mettle beginning Friday night. That’s when the second-place and 3-1 Tigers visit 4-2 Harvard. Princeton has shot 45% or better from the field five times in its past seven games after shooting 45% or better twice in its first 10 games this season.
**HALF POINT FRIDAY
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NBA
Pistons-Magic
Orlando Sentinel
Orlando Magic forward Grant Hill, who has missed the past 12 games, could play this weekend, according to Assistant General Manager Otis Smith. Hill said he was “close, real close.”
Cavaliers-Wizards
Associated Press
The Wizards have moved back above .500 by winning 11 of their last 15 games. They improved to 3-0 on a five-game homestand by beating Golden State 129-124 on Wednesday night. Cleveland has won nine of its past 11 games.
Blazers-Celtics
Eagle-Tribune
The last thing Boston needed was another injury but that’s exactly what happened yesterday at practice.Starting center Kendrick Perkins dislocated his left shoulder. Coach Doc Rivers said he thought it was after the center collided with Brian Scalabrine. Friday, Perkins will join fellow young franchise cornerstone Al Jefferson at the end of the bench in street clothes. Point guard Dan Dickau is already out for the season and skywalking shooting guard Tony Allen, who missed 31 games after knee surgery, is now as explosive as a wet firecracker.

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