All posts by Joe Duffy

MLB Odds, Weather For Monday, August 5

MLB Weather for August 5, 2024

New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals (5:15 PM ET, Busch Stadium)

  • Temperature: 97°F
  • Precipitation: 1%
  • Wind: SSE at 4 mph
  • Conditions: Very hot, slight chance of precipitation, not expected to affect the game.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Cleveland Guardians (6:40 PM ET, Progressive Field)

  • Temperature: 84°F
  • Precipitation: 45%
  • Wind: WNW at 6 mph
  • Conditions: Possible scattered showers, may affect game conditions.

Cincinnati Reds at Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET, Marlins Park)

  • Conditions: Game is in a dome, so weather conditions are controlled.

San Francisco Giants at Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET, Nationals Park)

  • Temperature: Hot and humid
  • Wind: Blowing out at 5-10 mph
  • Conditions: Favorable for hitters due to the wind blowing out.

MLB Odds for August 5, 2024

New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals

  • Mets: -132
  • Cardinals: +111
  • Total: 8.5

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians

  • Diamondbacks: -120
  • Guardians: +110
  • Total: 8

Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins

  • Reds: -132
  • Marlins: +111
  • Total: 8.5

San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals

  • Giants: -164
  • Nationals: +150
  • Total: 9

Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs

  • Twins: -118
  • Cubs: -101
  • Total: 8

MLB Weather for August 5, 2024

New York Mets at St. Louis Cardinals (5:15 PM ET, Busch Stadium)

  • Temperature: 97°F
  • Precipitation: 1%
  • Wind: SSE at 4 mph
  • Conditions: Very hot, slight chance of precipitation, not expected to affect the game.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Cleveland Guardians (6:40 PM ET, Progressive Field)

  • Temperature: 84°F
  • Precipitation: 45%
  • Wind: WNW at 6 mph
  • Conditions: Possible scattered showers, may affect game conditions.

Cincinnati Reds at Miami Marlins (6:40 PM ET, Marlins Park)

  • Conditions: Game is in a dome, so weather conditions are controlled.

San Francisco Giants at Washington Nationals (6:45 PM ET, Nationals Park)

  • Temperature: Hot and humid
  • Wind: Blowing out at 5-10 mph
  • Conditions: Favorable for hitters due to the wind blowing out.

MLB Odds for August 5, 2024

New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals

  • Mets: -132
  • Cardinals: +111
  • Total: 8.5

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians

  • Diamondbacks: -120
  • Guardians: +110
  • Total: 8

Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins

  • Reds: -132
  • Marlins: +111
  • Total: 8.5

San Francisco Giants vs. Washington Nationals

  • Giants: -164
  • Nationals: +150
  • Total: 9

Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs

  • Twins: -118
  • Cubs: -101
  • Total: 8

The Grandmaster has been on fire, with a stellar 9-4 record in the past three days. Monday he scoring big with two Wise Guy plays out of his three winning picks! Joe Duffy’s Picks are the real deal when it comes to top-notch bets in the gambling world. All at OffshoreInsiders.com     

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MLB Computer Predictions for Monday

Here are the computer simulation predictions for today’s MLB games from OffshoreInsiders.com power ratings. 

Key Predictions:

  1. Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers
    • Pitchers: Hunter Brown vs. Andrew Heaney
    • Win Probability: Astros 49.5%, Rangers 50.5%
    • Best Moneyline Odds: Astros -117, Rangers +108
  2. Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago Cubs
    • Pitchers: David Festa vs. Kyle Hendricks
    • Win Probability: Twins 50.4%, Cubs 49.6%
    • Best Moneyline Odds: Twins -114, Cubs +110
  3. Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals
    • Pitchers: James Paxton vs. Brady Singer
    • Win Probability: Red Sox 42.1%, Royals 57.9%
    • Best Moneyline Odds: Red Sox +130, Royals -139
  4. Chicago White Sox vs. Oakland Athletics
    • Pitchers: Jonathan Cannon vs. JP Sears
    • Win Probability: White Sox 39.1%, Athletics 60.9%
    • Best Moneyline Odds: White Sox +157, Athletics -165
  5. Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
    • Pitchers: Aaron Nola vs. Tyler Glasnow
    • Win Probability: Phillies 41.4%, Dodgers 58.6%
    • Best Moneyline Odds: Phillies +119, Dodgers -125

Bet these games at Bovada and MYBookie.  

Latest NFL Over-Under Win Totals From Top Sportsbooks

Here are the current NFL over-under win totals for the 2024 season, highlighting some of the key teams and their betting odds from sportsbooks vetted by OffshoreInsiders.com     

Top Teams

  1. Kansas City Chiefs
    • Over/Under: 11.5 wins
    • Over Odds: -118
    • Under Odds: -104
  2. San Francisco 49ers
    • Over/Under: 11.5 wins
    • Over Odds: +118
    • Under Odds: -148
  3. Philadelphia Eagles
    • Over/Under: 10.5 wins
    • Over Odds: -154
    • Under Odds: +126
  4. Buffalo Bills
    • Over/Under: 10.5 wins
    • Over Odds: +122
    • Under Odds: -150
  5. Cincinnati Bengals
    • Over/Under: 10.5 wins
    • Over Odds: -134
    • Under Odds: +110

Other Notable Teams

  1. Baltimore Ravens
    • Over/Under: 10.5 wins
    • Over Odds: -122
    • Under Odds: +112
  2. Detroit Lions
    • Over/Under: 10.5 wins
    • Over Odds: -112
    • Under Odds: -108
  3. Dallas Cowboys
    • Over/Under: 10.5 wins
    • Over Odds: +164
    • Under Odds: -205

Lower Win Totals

  1. New England Patriots
    • Over/Under: 4.5 wins
    • Over Odds: -150
    • Under Odds: +122
  2. Carolina Panthers
    • Over/Under: 5.5 wins
    • Over Odds: -124
    • Under Odds: +102
  3. Arizona Cardinals
    • Over/Under: 7.5 wins
    • Over Odds: +124
    • Under Odds: -152
  4. Las Vegas Raiders
    • Over/Under: 6.5 wins
    • Over Odds: -128
    • Under Odds: +104

These win totals provide a snapshot of the expectations for each team heading into the 2024 NFL season. For a more comprehensive list and detailed analysis, you can check sources like Bovada and MYBookie.  

Week 1 NFL Lines Moves

The NFL Week 1, 2024, has seen significant line movements, reflecting the betting market’s reaction to various factors such as injuries, team news, and public sentiment. Here’s a detailed look at some of the biggest line moves. 

Baltimore Ravens at Kansas City Chiefs

  • Opening Line: Chiefs -2.5
  • Current Line: Chiefs -3.5
  • Reason for Movement: The Chiefs’ line has moved from -2.5 to -3.5, likely due to strong public backing and confidence in Patrick Mahomes leading the team at home. Additionally, any uncertainties around key Ravens players could have contributed to this shift​. Check out the odds at Bovada and MYBookie.  

Tennessee Titans at Chicago Bears

  • Opening Line: Bears -3.5
  • Current Line: Bears -4.5
  • Reason for Movement: The Bears’ line moved to -4.5, reflecting optimism around their new quarterback, Caleb Williams, and the offensive additions. The Titans’ departure of Derrick Henry might also have influenced bettors to favor the Bears more heavily​. Check out the odds at Bovada and MYBookie.  

Jacksonville Jaguars at Miami Dolphins

  • Opening Line: Dolphins -2.5
  • Current Line: Dolphins -3.5
  • Reason for Movement: The Dolphins saw their line move from -2.5 to -3.5, driven by confidence in their off-season acquisitions and possibly concerns about the Jaguars’ defensive capabilities. The public and sharp money siding with Miami has pushed the line up​ Check out the odds at Bovada and MYBookie.  

New England Patriots at Cincinnati Bengals

  • Opening Line: Bengals -7.5
  • Current Line: Bengals -9.5
  • Reason for Movement: The Bengals’ line increased significantly from -7.5 to -9.5, reflecting Joe Burrow’s anticipated return and the Patriots entering a new era without Bill Belichick. The public’s lack of confidence in the Patriots’ new setup under Jerod Mayo is likely contributing to this large move​. Check out the odds at Bovada and MYBookie.  

Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts

  • Opening Line: Texans -1
  • Current Line: Texans -1.5
  • Reason for Movement: A smaller but notable movement, the Texans’ line increased from -1 to -1.5, indicating a slight shift in favor of Houston, possibly due to positive training camp reports or injuries on the Colts’ side​. Check out the odds at Bovada and MYBookie.  

Arizona Cardinals at Buffalo Bills

  • Opening Line: Bills -6.5
  • Current Line: Bills -7
  • Reason for Movement: The line has moved from Bills -6.5 to -7, showing increasing confidence in Buffalo, even with some off-season changes. The Cardinals’ uncertainties and Buffalo’s strong home-field advantage likely influenced this adjustment​. Check out the odds at Bovada and MYBookie.  

Pittsburgh Steelers at Atlanta Falcons

  • Opening Line: Falcons -2.5
  • Current Line: Falcons -3
  • Reason for Movement: The Falcons’ line has moved to -3, possibly driven by optimism around their revamped offense led by Kirk Cousins. The Steelers’ uncertainties at quarterback also might have contributed to this line move​. Check out the odds at Bovada and MYBookie.  

Conclusion

Week 1 of the NFL season always brings substantial line movements as bettors react to pre-season developments, team news, and early betting patterns. These shifts reflect the dynamic nature of sports betting, where public sentiment, sharp money, and team news continuously influence betting lines. Monitoring these movements can provide valuable insights for making informed betting decisions. Check out Joe Duffy at OffshoreInsiders.com for the sharp bets. 

MLB Betting Previews For Monday, August 5

Here are the MLB betting odds for games on August 5, 2024:

Key Matchups. Check odds at MYBookie and get winning bets from OffshoreInsiders.com   

Baseball Betting Previews

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Time: 10:10 PM ET

Location: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, CA

Moneyline: Dodgers -135, Phillies +115

Run Line: Dodgers -1.5 (+158), Phillies +1.5 (-189)

Total (Over/Under): 8 (Over -106, Under -114)

Insights: The Dodgers are slight favorites, with a projected total of 8 runs. The prediction is for a close game, with the Dodgers having a 53% win probability​ 

San Francisco Giants vs. Cincinnati Reds

Time: 10:40 PM ET

Moneyline: Giants -125, Reds +105

Total (Over/Under): 9 (Over -115, Under -105)

Insights: The Giants are favored in this matchup, and the game is expected to be relatively high-scoring​

Atlanta Braves vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Time: 11:20 PM ET

Moneyline: Braves -270, Diamondbacks +220

Total (Over/Under): 8.5 (Over -120, Under +100)

Insights: The Braves are heavy favorites, with Spencer Strider starting for Atlanta. The game has an over/under of 8.5 runs​ 

Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals

Time: 11:40 PM ET

Moneyline: Royals -185, White Sox +154

Total (Over/Under): 8.5 (Over -115, Under -105)

Insights: The Royals are favored in this matchup, and the total runs are set at 8.5​ 

New York Mets vs. Cincinnati Reds

Time: 10:40 PM ET

Moneyline: Reds -125, Mets +105

Total (Over/Under): 9 (Over -115, Under -105)

Insights: The Reds are favored, with a high over/under indicating expectations of a high-scoring game.

College Football Week 0 Betting Odds and Preview

Here are the betting odds and a preview for the key matchups in Week 0 of the 2024 college football season. Odds from Bovada and MYBookie.  Winning bets at OffshoreInsiders.com     

Florida State vs. Georgia Tech

  • Date: August 24, 2024
  • Location: Aviva Stadium, Dublin, Ireland
  • Spread: Florida State -12.5
  • Moneyline: Florida State -490, Georgia Tech +365
  • Total (Over/Under): 52.5 points

Florida State is heavily favored in this ACC matchup, which is part of the Aer Lingus College Football Classic. The Seminoles, ranked 11th in ESPN’s College Football Power Index, are expected to continue their strong performance from previous seasons against a Georgia Tech team that is still finding its footing.

SMU at Nevada

  • Date: August 24, 2024
  • Location: Mackay Stadium, Reno, Nevada
  • Spread: SMU -21.5
  • Moneyline: SMU -1800, Nevada +920
  • Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points

SMU enters the game as a substantial favorite, expected to dominate Nevada. The Mustangs had an impressive 11-3 record last season and are looking to maintain their high level of play. In contrast, Nevada struggled last season, making this a potentially lopsided affair.

Montana State at New Mexico

  • Date: August 24, 2024
  • Location: University Stadium, Albuquerque, New Mexico
  • Odds: Not yet available

Montana State, an FCS team, will face the New Mexico Lobos. While odds aren’t posted yet, New Mexico, playing at home, will look to start their season strong against a competitive FCS opponent.

Delaware State at Hawaii

  • Date: August 24, 2024
  • Location: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, Honolulu, Hawaii
  • Odds: Not yet available

Hawaii is set to host Delaware State. This game will be broadcast on CBS, and while the odds are not yet available, Hawaii typically performs well in early-season home games.

Week 1 NFL Betting Previews, 2024 With Odds

As the NFL 2024 season kicks off, Week 1 features several intriguing matchups and betting opportunities. Here’s a look at the key games and their current odds:

  1. Baltimore Ravens vs. Kansas City Chiefs
    • Point Spread: Chiefs -2.5 to -3
    • Moneyline: Chiefs -115 to -125; Ravens +105 to +125
    • Over/Under: 49.5 points
    • Details: The reigning Super Bowl champions, the Chiefs, are slight favorites at home against the Ravens, a rematch of last year’s AFC Championship game.
  2. Carolina Panthers vs. New Orleans Saints
    • Point Spread: Saints -5 to -5.5
    • Moneyline: Saints -205; Panthers +170
    • Over/Under: 40.5 points
    • Details: The Saints are favored, banking on improved performance from Derek Carr in his second year with the team.
  3. Tennessee Titans vs. Chicago Bears
    • Point Spread: Bears -4.5
    • Moneyline: Bears -190; Titans +160
    • Over/Under: 44 points
    • Details: The Bears are expected to start the Caleb Williams era, with significant offseason additions to their offense.
  4. Arizona Cardinals vs. Buffalo Bills
    • Point Spread: Bills -7
    • Moneyline: Bills -300; Cardinals +240
    • Over/Under: 49 points
    • Details: Despite losing key players, the Bills are solid favorites against a Cardinals team featuring the debut of the Kyler Murray-Marvin Harrison Jr. duo.
  5. Las Vegas Raiders vs. Los Angeles Chargers
    • Point Spread: Chargers -3.5
    • Moneyline: Chargers -170; Raiders +142
    • Over/Under: 43.5 points
    • Details: The Chargers, led by Justin Herbert, are favored at home against the Raiders, who have uncertainty at quarterback.
  6. Denver Broncos vs. Seattle Seahawks
    • Point Spread: Seahawks -4.5
    • Moneyline: Seahawks -205; Broncos +170
    • Over/Under: 42.5 points
    • Details: The Seahawks, starting a new era post-Pete Carroll, are favorites against a Broncos team possibly starting rookie Bo Nix.
  7. Washington Commanders vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    • Point Spread: Buccaneers -3.5
    • Moneyline: Buccaneers -185; Commanders +154
    • Over/Under: 41.5 points
    • Details: Both teams are considered borderline playoff contenders, with the Bucs slightly favored at home.
  8. Dallas Cowboys vs. Cleveland Browns
    • Point Spread: Browns -1
    • Moneyline: Browns -112; Cowboys -108
    • Over/Under: 44 points
    • Details: The Browns are slight favorites in this matchup, expected to exploit the Cowboys’ rookie offensive linemen.

These odds highlight the expected competitiveness and potential betting value in Week 1. Stay informed and consider these matchups when placing your bets. Odds from Bovada and MYBookie.  Winning bets at OffshoreInsiders.com     

Elite Baseball Pick From the Elite Sports Beat

Joe Duffy’s Pick is locked and loaded. Betting is about opportunities. Sometimes we have short portfolios, but tonight two Wise Guys (the strongest bet in gambling) among eight MLB sides and totals. This includes three outscourced winners, essentially MasterLockLine top plays!

Yeah, probably robbed of a Bears cover, crushing the analysis, but hit our only bet on the underdog Rockies last night. Get the winners at OffshoreInsiders.com     

LA Dodgers-Oakland UNDER 8.5

This is an outsourced pick from the short-list of very entrusted experts. Previously called a competitor consensus, the name was changed to reflect it does not always come from the few quality professionals who sell picks, but also can come from any sharp source. As long as I am not leaning the other way, I will bet a trusted outscource.

These are the strongest bets from only the best fellow handicappers and pro gamblers in their highest rated sports. These are essentially the biggest bets from our MasterLockLine, SuperLock, and 976-LOCK days going back to 1980 on the scorephones. 

Best Premium Sports Handicapper of 2024 Releases Free Pick of the Pros

Tonight is one of the stronger portfolios of season with six winning bets. I have it all, system plays, a computer simulation bet in which each of my top three computer picks, sims, power ratings point towards the same winner. Plus famed outsourced picks, which are essentially the biggest plays from the best handicappers in their best sports from our Master and SuperLockLine days going back to 1980 on the score phones! Joe Duffy’s Picks at OffshoreInsiders.com 

Free pick is a premium bet from the Grandmaster tonight! It exploits AI sports betting in which the Grandmaster goes to the magical computer! 

WHITE SOX +165 Kansas City at MYBookie  

The implied probability according to the line is 37.74 percent, giving us excellent value as my top sim gives them 46. But it is also my top power ratings bet with a solid 2.9 percent edge using power ratings that are always tight. MasseyRatings gives us a decent 41 percent chance to win

Free Winning Bet In MLB From Elite Sports Beat

Joe Duffy off a nice 2-1 day led by IL Runline Game of the Year on the Orioles. Clear-cut best bet of the day is a side MLB winner tonight at OffshoreInsiders.com 

Free winning bet from Grandmaster Handicapper Joe Duffy is:

PITTSBURGH -1.5 +125 Houston at MYBookie

When an inferior team is posted as an away favorite and the oddsmakers tell you this is their best chance to win in recent play, go with the oddsmakers’ knowledge. It wins on both the run and moneylines, but even better on the runline at up 69.10 units and an 8.9 ROI. 

Of course the fact Paul Skenes is pitching is why they are the favorites. His numbers are insane with a 1.93 ERA and .87 WHIP, even crazier on the road at .86 ERA, .61 WHIP and .180 OBP against. Jake Bloss 6.94 ERA, 1.63 WHIP and horrid .345 OBP against. 

It may shock some, but Pittsburgh is only two games behind Houston in the standings, so with a massive pitching edge, we lay the 1.5.