All posts by Joe Duffy

Lord of the Big Dance With March Madness Bankroll Builder

Put in so many hours and need a nap. So I’m going to give a premium pick from Joe Duffy’s Picks as free pick. 

UTAH -8.5 Chicago 

Fade home underdogs off win are 72-29. Many similar systems with larger sample sizes. Rest dynamics generally benefit the home team. When a team has more rest, about 66 percent of the time, it is the home team. However, when the road team is more rested, it nullifies the normal home court advantage and creates an off line to the tune of 400-313.

That is why I am called the Lord of the Big Dance. A complete sweep of college basketball Sunday and 7-2 overall2:40 among four more college basketball. Seven NBA winners, three sides, four totals. Night Wise Guys in college basketball. Two day, three night Big Dance winners. Get the picks now 

Free Pick Timberwolves-Suns

All four of the First Four sides are up for Thursday! Two Wise Guy, two Majors. I have every legitimate computer simulator and have broken down every game using the best sharp betting “organic handicapping” meaning how do the teams matchup on the court. All four games rise to the level of premium pick. Five NBA led by Wise Guy. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy are the single strongest bet in gambling. Get the picks now 

Free

MINNESOTA +10.5 Phoenix

Play undervalued road teams to overvalued home team when using advanced analytics numbers and comparing to SU record and spread is 381-208-11. Road underdogs under .500 on ATS losing streak versus an unrested team not on a sustained pointspread winning streak are 933-692-30. Accusports has Timberwolves covering 55.9 percent. 

Wednesday NBA Winning Pick From #1 Handicapper of 2021

Yeah, we turned a very modest profit, splitting but yet again hitting the only Wise Guy. Holy hell, there is no strongest bet in the history of gambling. There is no dispute on that. Seven NBA winners, three are Wise Guys including NBA Game of the Month. Just like Saturday when I went 10-4 in telling you it was the biggest college basketball card in years, tonight is among strongest NBA portfolios in a long-time. You with us or subsidizing the books for us? Get the picks now

Free

TORONTO -4.5 Detroit 

Road favorites off a loss under specific situations is 860-684-24, slightly higher if the team we bet on was not on a long winning streak entering the loss. Away favorites that average significantly more three-point shots than league average is 1251-1011-49. Accuscore has us covering 54.7 percent. Sportsline gives a slight 53 percent edge. NBC SportsEdge gives us a mild advantage. There is some chance both Pascal Siakm and Fred VanFleet could return. 

All four of the First Four sides are up for Thursday! Two Wise Guy, two Majors. I have every legitimate computer simulator and have broken down every game using the best sharp betting “organic handicapping” meaning how do the teams matchup on the court. All four games rise to the level of premium pick.

Friday is among the strongest Big Dance days I have had in 33 years of public handicapping. Five Wise Guys and four Majors. Saturday likely will be released by Wednesday afternoon. Lock in very long-term. Must have through Saturday to get all said picks. Why not sign up for 100-day pick pack with MLB around the block?

Free Sports Pick in Basketball

Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy are the single strongest bet in gambling. Get two NBA winners led by a Wise Guy. So much intel behind this sweep. Nobody wins more than the Grandmaster over any and all long-term periods thanks to advanced analytics. We have an angle that is 1326-1047-38. This includes 333-188-18 since 2014, 15-4 this season. Get the picks now 

Free NBA from Joe Duffy:

UTAH -4 Boston

Accuscore gives Jazz a 57.9 percent chance of covering based on 10,000 simulations. EDJ Sports has Utah covering 53-45 percent, with rest pushes. Massey has the spread at -8.5. 

Many angles, some that would overlap, apply here. Many contain angry away favorites off a loss and/or fat and happy home underdogs off win. This has both.  Fade home underdogs off win under specific situations is 71-29. Away favorites off loss under specific situations that apply in this game 859-684-24. When the opponent is off a win under specific situations that apply in this game it is 303-212-6. Road favorites that shoot substantially more three-pointers than league average are 1250-1011-49. 

Anti-splits angle in which we go with road team with much worse away winning percentage than the home team home winning percentage is 224-136-5.  I bet at Bet Now

Who Won NFL Free Agency So Far? Oddsmakers Final Arbiter

While a “household name” hasn’t exactly made headlines during the NFL’s free agency period, there have been enough key players for Vegas to take notice. 

The team that has mad the most moves so far, New England, has seen the biggest improvement in its Super Bowl LVI odds. 

SportsBetting adjusted the Patriots’ Super Bowl odds from 40/1 to 33/1 following the acquisitions of Jonnu Smith, Matt Judon, Nelson Agholor, Jalen Mills and Kendrick Bourne.

The Jets have gone from a longshot at 100/1 to lesser of a longshot with 80/1 odds after grabbing Carl Lawson and Corey Davis off the FA heap. 

The single pickup that moved the needle was Joe Thuney to Kansas City. The Chiefs went from 5/1 favorites to 9/2 (+450) favorites by strengthening what was a suspect offensive line.

Current Super Bowl odds from SportsBetting

  
Super Bowl LVI
Chiefs 9/2
Buccaneers 8/1
Packers 8/1
Bills 11/1
Ravens 11/1
Rams 14/1
49ers 14/1
Saints 15/1
Browns 18/1
Seahawks 20/1
Colts 20/1
Dolphins 25/1
Steelers 25/1
Cowboys 28/1
Titans 28/1
Chargers 33/1
Patriots 33/1
Cardinals 40/1
Raiders 50/1
Vikings 50/1
Panthers 50/1
Washington 60/1
Bears 66/1
Broncos 66/1
Falcons 66/1
Giants 66/1
Jaguars 66/1
Eagles 70/1
Jets 80/1
Bengals 100/1
Texans 125/1
Lions 125/1

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Best sports betting picks are found at OffshoreInsiders.com, which traces its roots to scorephone days. Follow the Twitter sports betting feed for breaking gambling, sports handicapping, and wagering intel including free sports picks and information.

Free NBA Pick: Warriors vs. Lakers ATS Bet

And here we go! JDP is 18-9 the last 27 and everything has gone right since the New Year. The latest winning portfolio includes six winners in the NBA led by two Wise Guys. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy are the single strongest bet in gambling. Get the picks now 

Free winner:

LA LAKERS -2 Golden State

Road favorites off of a win that broke a losing streak is 449-320-15. Admittedly the system is in a mild four-game ATS losing streak, love the angle because it combines both a bit of momentum off a win, but still a chip on their shoulder. Fade unrested teams off win as an underdog under specific situations is 28-4. Fade unrested teams off win as an underdog under specific situations is 562-437-24. Rest dynamics generally benefit the home team. When a team has more rest, about 66 percent of the time, it is the home team. However, when the road team is more rested, it nullifies the normal home court advantage and creates an off line to the tune of 398-309-9.

Sportsline has the Lake Show covering 56 percent of the time. Massey says the line should be -3.5. King James is expected to play. 

Big Names Among Favorites to Be Next Saints Starting QB

Drew Brees made his retirement official today, and the numbers suggest there is a runaway favorite to take the reins in New Orleans.

SportsBetting released updated odds for the Saints’ next starting quarterback, and a familiar face sits atop the list.

Despite being a free agent, Jameis Winston is a 3/2 or +150 favorite. Taysom Hill is second on the board after being installed as the favorite when these odds were first released two months ago.

Deshaun Watson (7/1) and Russell Wilson (10/1) are third and fourth on the board, respectively.

The full list from SportsBetting   

Player to take Saints’ first snap in Week 1 of 2021 season
Jameis Winston 3/2 (+150)
Taysom Hill 3/1
Deshaun Watson 7/1
Russell Wilson 10/1
Alex Smith 15/1
Teddy Bridgewater 15/1
Andy Dalton 20/1
Marcus Mariota 20/1
Jimmy Garropolo 25/1
Ryan Fitzpatrick 25/1
Sam Darnold 30/1
Tyrod Taylor 30/1
Jacoby Brissett 35/1
Colt McCoy 35/1
Matt Barkley 40/1
Joe Flacco 40/1
Blaine Gabbert 40/1
Drew Lock 40/1
Mitchell Trubisky 40/1
Mike Glennon 40/1
Brian Hoyer 45/1
Blake Bortles 45/1
Robert Griffin III 45/1
Geno Smith 45/1
Matt Ryan 50/1

Best sports betting picks are found at OffshoreInsiders.com, which traces its roots to scorephone days. Follow the Twitter sports betting feed for breaking gambling, sports handicapping, and wagering intel including free sports picks and information.

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Do you ever eat at restaurants in Atlanta? Check out the top restaurant review podcast in America. 

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NCAA Tournament Odds to Win, Every Opening Game Line Set

The bracket is set so letting the betting madness begin. 

SportsBetting set odds to capture the 2021 NCAA Tournament title and to no one’s surprise, Gonzaga is at the top of the board. 

The Zags are followed by the other top seeds: Illinois (5/1), Baylor (6/1) and Michigan (8/1).

Spreads and totals are also out for each game, which you can also find below.

There is only one instance where a higher seed is favored against a lower seed. Rutgers (#10) is a 1-point favorite against Clemson (#7). An 8-9 matchup between LSU and St. Bonaventure is listed as a pick ’em.

March madness are provided by SportsBetting Winners will be at OffshoreInsiders.com  
NCAA Tournament Odds
Gonzaga 2/1
Illinois 5/1
Baylor 6/1
Michigan 8/1
Houston 16/1
Iowa 20/1
Alabama 20/1
Texas 20/1
Ohio State 25/1
Texas Tech 40/1
Kansas 40/1
Oklahoma State 40/1
Purdue 50/1
West Virginia 50/1
Florida State 50/1
Arkansas 60/1
Virginia 60/1
Tennessee 60/1
North Carolina 80/1
Creighton 80/1
Oregon 80/1
Loyola Chicago 80/1
LSU 80/1
Villanova 100/1
Wisconsin 100/1
USC 100/1
Oklahoma 100/1
San Diego State 100/1
Georgia Tech 100/1
Syracuse 100/1
Colorado 100/1
BYU 100/1
UConn 100/1
Florida 200/1
Virginia Tech 200/1
Missouri 200/1
Rutgers 200/1
Maryland 200/1
Michigan State 200/1
UCLA 200/1
Clemson 300/1
St. Bonaventure 300/1
Georgetown 300/1
Utah State 500/1
VCU 500/1
Wichita State 1000/1
Drake 1000/1
Ohio 1000/1
Oregon State 1000/1
Winthrop 2000/1
North Texas 2000/1
Colgate 2000/1
Oral Roberts 2000/1
UCSB 2000/1
E. Washington 2000/1
Liberty 2000/1
Morehead State 2000/1
UNC Greensboro 2000/1
Abilene Christian 2000/1
Grand Canyon 5000/1
Appalachian State 5000/1
Cleveland State 5000/1
Drexel 5000/1
Iona 5000/1
Hartford 10000/1
Norfolk State 10000/1
Mount St. Mary’s 10000/1
Texas Southern 10000/1

First Four
16 Norfolk State vs. 16 Appalachian State (-2.5, 136)
11 Wichita State vs. 11 Drake (+2.5, 139)
16 Mount St. Mary’s vs. 16 Texas Southern (-1.5, 133.5)
11 Michigan State vs. 11 UCLA (+1, 137.5)

West Region
1 Gonzaga vs. 16 Norfolk State/Appalachian State (N/A)
8 Oklahoma vs. 9 Missouri (+2, 141)
5 Creighton vs. 12 UC Santa Barbara (+7.5, 140.5)
4 Virginia vs. 13 Ohio (+10.5, 132.5)
6 USC vs. 11 Wichita State/Drake (N/A)
3 Kansas vs. 14 Eastern Washington (+11.5, 142.5)
7 Oregon vs. 10 VCU (+5.5, 138)
2 Iowa vs. 15 Grand Canyon (+16, 144)

South Region
1 Baylor vs. 16 Hartford (+25.5, 142)
8 North Carolina vs. 9 Wisconsin (+1.5, 139)
5 Villanova vs. 12 Winthrop (+6.5, 139.5)
4 Purdue vs. 13 North Texas (+7.5, 127.5)
6 Texas Tech vs. 11 Utah State (+4.5, 132)
3 Arkansas vs. 14 Colgate (+10, 157.5)
7 Florida vs. 10 Virginia Tech (+1, 137.5)
2 Ohio State vs. 15 Oral Roberts (+17.5, 154.5)

Midwest Region
1 Illinois vs. 16 Drexel (+22.5, 144.5)
8 Loyola Chicago vs. 9 Georgia Tech (+2.5, 127.5)
5 Tennessee vs. 12 Oregon State (+8.5, 134)
4 Oklahoma State vs. 13 Liberty (+9, 145)
6 San Diego State vs. 11 Syracuse (+2, 138.5)
3 West Virginia vs. 14 Morehead State (+12.5, 138)
7 Clemson vs. 10 Rutgers (-1, 127.5)
2 Houston vs. 15 Cleveland State (+19.5, 135.5)

East Region
1 Michigan vs. 16 Mount St. Mary’s/Texas Southern (N/A)
8 LSU vs. 9 St. Bonaventure (PK, 144.5)
5 Colorado vs. 12 Georgetown (+5, 138.5)
4 Florida State vs. 13 UNC Greensboro (+11, 145.5)
6 BYU vs. 11 Michigan State/UCLA (N/A)
3 Texas vs. 14 Abilene Christian (+8.5, 140)
7 UConn vs. 10 Maryland (+2, 129.5)
2 Alabama vs. 15 Iona (+17, 145.5)

Pacers-Lakers Free NBA Picks

Joe Duffy has three NBA totals. This is the annual Million Dollar March where the coffee is brewed and the 16-hour days mean massive winnings from America’s only Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy. Get the picks now 

Free

INDIANA +4.5 LA Lakers

Indiana has lost seven in a row ATS, 5-of-6 SU. But they are only getting 4.5 on the road from a Lakers team 24-13 SU? When a team with a significantly inferior record is not a big underdog, go with the oddsmakers are telling you at a 223-113-5 rate. So many of my best systems weaponize the linesmaker’s knowledge against them. When a line seemingly does not “make sense” based on SU records, there is good reason.  Sportsline has Pacers covering 58 percent of the time. Both TeamRankings and NBC Edge-Plus with slight edges for Pacers. 

Free Sports Pick Spurs-Mavericks

We have added NBA total and two night college basketball winners to a 4 ET CBB! Our Million Dollar March on Vegas and Offshore is well underway. This means 16-hour days and a lot of winners. We work too hard and have way too much intel to not win more than anyone else. So if you want to win, your decision could not be easier. Lots of coffee and even more winners brewing! Get the picks now 

Free pick:

San Antonio-Dallas OVER 224.5

San Antonio is the #4 under team going under by an average of 3.7 ppg. Dallas is also an under team by 1.1 ppg. So under right? Two cumulative under teams go over 800-586-26. Yeah, the sharps bet this thing way up, so too high for premium. AccuScore has 57.9 percent of simulations going over. Sportsline has this going over 59 percent of their 10K simulations. NumberFire gives a slight edge to over with 52.7 percent of their projections exceeding the total. NBC Sports Edge+ has a medium bet on over.