The 2021 MLB season is just over three weeks away so it’s time to take a look at which teams the number-crunchers are projecting to be contenders and pretenders.
SportsBetting has set Yes/No postseason odds for all 30 MLB clubs. The Yankees top the board with the highest probability to advance to the playoffs while the Pirates come in with the worst chances.
Odds and implied probabilities are included for every team below. Odds are provided by Colorado-based SportsBetting and current numbers can be found here:
MLB Postseason Odds
Dodgers: Yes -2000 | No +1000 | Implied probability of making postseason is 95.2%
Yankees: Yes -1200 | No +650 | Implied probability of making postseason is 92.3%
Padres: Yes -600 | No +400 | Implied probability of making postseason is 85.7%
Braves: Yes -295 | No +230 | Implied probability of making postseason is 74.7%
White Sox: Yes -275 | No +220 | Implied probability of making postseason is 73.3%
Mets: Yes -240 | No +190 | Implied probability of making postseason is 70.6%
Twins: Yes -155 | No +125 | Implied probability of making postseason is 60.8%
Astros: Yes -130 | No +100 | Implied probability of making postseason is 56.5%
Athletics: -130 | No +100 | Implied probability of making postseason is 56.5%
Cardinals: Yes -130 | No +100 | Implied probability of making postseason is 56.5%
Blue Jays: Yes -130 | No +100 | Implied probability of making postseason is 56.5%
Rays: Yes +120 | No -150 | Implied probability of making postseason is 45.5%
Nationals: Yes +145 | No -175 | Implied probability of making postseason is 40.8%
Reds: Yes +155 | No -190 | Implied probability of making postseason is 39.2%
Brewers: Yes +160 | No -185 | Implied probability of making postseason is 38.5%
Angels: Yes +170 | No -210 | Implied probability of making postseason is 37.0%
Indians: Yes +250 | No -325 | Implied probability of making postseason is 28.6%
Red Sox: Yes +275 | No -345 | Implied probability of making postseason is 26.7%
Cubs: Yes +300 | No -400 | Implied probability of making postseason is 25.0%
Phillies: Yes +300 | No -400 | Implied probability of making postseason is 25.0%
Giants: Yes +800 | No -1600 | Implied probability of making postseason is 11.1%
Mariners: Yes +1000 | No -2000 | Implied probability of making postseason is 9.1%
Diamondbacks: Yes +1000 | No -2000 | Implied probability of making postseason is 9.1%
Royals: Yes +1000 | No -2000 | Implied probability of making postseason is 9.1%
Rangers: Yes +1000 | No -2000 | Implied probability of making postseason is 9.1%
Marlins: Yes +1200 | No -2500 | Implied probability of making postseason is 7.7%
Tigers: Yes +1400 | No -3300 | Implied probability of making postseason is 6.7%
Orioles: Yes +1800 | No -5000 | Implied probability of making postseason is 5.3%
Rockies: Yes +1800 | No -5000 | Implied probability of making postseason is 5.3%
Pirates: Yes +2000 | No -10000 | Implied probability of making postseason is 4.8%
All posts by Joe Duffy
Free Monday CBB Winner
Bombshell on steroids. Joe Duffy has a Wise Guy among two college basketball night winners. The Wise Guy is 9 ET or later. Why? Many simulators and very sharp action all pointing to the same side! Get the picks now
NORTHERN KENTUCKY -1.5 Oakland
My top model has North Kentucky covering 70 percent. Haslam has Northern Kentucky as about 3.5 favorite. MasseyRatings has NKU winning by three, so slight edge. EDJS has NKU covering the two 52 percent of times, but Oakland just 44 with the rest pushes. At 1.5 even better.
Conference Tournament Odds Men’s Basketball 2021 Released
Bovada has odds to win Mountain West, Big East, Pac-12, AAC, and every conference. OffshoreInsiders.comwill have the spread winners.
Mountain West Conference
3/10/21
2:00 PM
Conference Tournament Winner
San Diego State EVEN
Utah State +260
Boise State +375
Colorado State +400
Nevada +1800
UNLV +4000
Wyoming +6000
Fresno State +10000
New Mexico +30000
San Jose State +30000
Air Force +50000
Big East Conference
3/10/21
3:00 PM
Conference Tournament Winner
Villanova +275
Creighton +175
Connecticut +190
Xavier +450
St. John’s +1800
Providence +3000
Marquette +5500
Georgetown +6000
Butler +5000
DePaul +30000
PAC-12 Conference
3/10/21
4:00 PM
Conference Tournament Winner
USC +185
UCLA +500
Colorado +210
Oregon +265
Stanford +1500
Arizona State +2000
Utah U +3000
Washington State +6600
Oregon State +5500
California +20000
Washington +20000
Southeastern Conference
3/10/21
7:00 PM
Conference Tournament Winner
Alabama +230
Tennessee +450
Missouri +900
Arkansas +290
LSU +700
Kentucky +700
Florida +700
Mississippi +2200
Mississippi State +6000
South Carolina +17500
Vanderbilt +25000
Georgia +10000
Texas A&M +25000
American Athletic Conference
3/11/21
12:00 PM
Conference Tournament Winner
Houston -175
SMU +650
Memphis +400
Wichita State +300
South Florida +5500
Tulsa +7500
Cincinnati +5500
Central Florida +6000
East Carolina +20000
Temple +20000
Tulane +20000
Horizon League Conference
3/8/21
6:30 PM
Conference Tournament Winner
Cleveland State +110
Northern Kentucky +180
Oakland +450
Wisconsin Milwaukee +450
West Coast Conference
3/8/21
9:00 PM
Winner
BYU +500
Gonzaga -3000
Pepperdine +5000
Saint Mary’s (CA) +1800
Atlantic Coast Conference
3/9/21
2:00 PM
Conference Tournament Winner
Florida State +225
Virginia +245
North Carolina +450
Louisville +700
Virginia Tech +700
Georgia Tech +1000
Duke +1600
Clemson +2000
Syracuse +5000
Pittsburgh +6600
Notre Dame +7500
NC State +8000
Miami (FL) +20000
Boston College +25000
Wake Forest +25000
Updated Odds Horizon Conference, West Coast Conference Tournaments
Updated odds to win mid-majors, March Madness odds 2021 from Bovada the Horizon League and West Coast Conference.
Horizon Conference Tournament Winner
Cleveland State +110
Northern Kentucky +180
Oakland +450
Wisconsin Milwaukee +450
West Coast Conference Tournament Winner
BYU +500
Gonzaga -3000
Pepperdine +5000
Saint Mary’s (CA) +1800
2021 March madness Odds: Favorites, Long Shots, Dark horses to Win ACC Tournament
Bovada has posted odds to get an automatic bid to the Big Dance 2021. FSU edges out Virginia as the favorites. Will Duke make a miracle run? They are 16-1. GA Tech is peaking at the right time and is 10-1 to win it. All odds based on $100 per bet. Hence +1000 would be the same as 10-1. OffshoreInsiders.com will have the game-by-game winners.
ACC Conference Tournament Winner
Florida State +225
Virginia +245
North Carolina +450
Louisville +700
Virginia Tech +700
Georgia Tech +1000
Duke +1600
Clemson +2000
Syracuse +5000
Pittsburgh +6600
Notre Dame +7500
NC State +8000
Miami (FL) +20000
Boston College +25000
Wake Forest +25000
New NBA MVP Fave! odds of Every Team to Make Playoffs, ROY, DPOY Too
LeBron James didn’t log many minutes in the All-Star Game, and Joel Embiid didn’t even get to play. But the latter recently dethroned the King in the latest MVP odds.
At the halfway point of the season, SportsBetting released updated probabilities to make the NBA Playoffs for all 30 teams, as well as the latest odds for MVP, ROY, DPOY and Sixth Man.
After a two-week run at the top of the MVP odds board, James was supplanted by Embiid last week.
LaMelo Ball, Rudy Gobert and Jordan Clarkson continue to be the odds-on favorites for Rookie of the Year, Defensive Player of the Year and Sixth Man of the Year.
In terms of playoff numbers, only the Hornets and Wizards have seen their odds flipped, meaning they were favored to make the playoffs before the season started and now aren’t, or vice versa.
All odds are provided by SportsBetting
NBA Playoffs
Atlanta Hawks To Make Playoffs
Yes -130, No +100
(Odds imply a 56.5% chance team will make playoffs. Started season with a 54.6% chance.)
Boston Celtics To Make Playoffs
Make Playoffs: Yes -2500, No +1200
(Odds imply a 96.2% chance team will make playoffs. Started season with a 93.6% chance.)
Brooklyn Nets To Make Playoffs
No +1500
Charlotte Hornets To Make Playoffs
Yes -200, No +160
(Odds imply a 66.7% chance team will make playoffs. Odds have flipped after started season with an 83.3% chance they wouldn’t make playoffs.)
Chicago Bulls To Make Playoffs
Yes +275, No -345
(Odds imply a 77.5% chance team won’t make playoffs. Started season with an 80.0% chance.)
Cleveland Cavaliers To Make Playoffs
Yes +2000
Dallas Mavericks To Make Playoffs
Yes -345, No +275
(Odds imply a 77.5% chance team will make playoffs. Started season with an 87.7% chance.)
Denver Nuggets To Make Playoffs
Yes -1660, No +800
(Odds imply a 94.3% chance team will make playoffs. Started season with a 90.9% chance.)
Detroit Pistons To Make Playoffs
Yes +2500
Golden State Warriors To Make Playoffs
Yes -115, No -115
(Odds imply a 50.0% chance team will make playoffs. Started season with a 66.7% chance they would make playoffs.)
Houston Rockets To Make Playoffs
Yes +1200
Indiana Pacers To Make Playoffs
Yes -200, No +160
(Odds imply a 66.7% chance team will make playoffs. Started season with a 63.0% chance.)
Los Angeles Clippers To Make Playoffs
No +1000
Los Angeles Lakers To Make Playoffs
No +1500
Memphis Grizzlies To Make Playoffs
Yes +190, No -240
(Odds imply a 70.6% chance team won’t make playoffs. Started season with a 66.7% chance.)
Miami Heat To Make Playoffs
Make Playoffs: Yes -1250, No +650
(Odds imply a 92.6% chance team will make playoffs. Started season with a 92.6% chance.)
Milwaukee Bucks To Make Playoffs
No +1200
Minnesota Timberwolves To Make Playoffs
Yes +2500
New Orleans Pelicans To Make Playoffs
Make Playoffs: Yes +220, No -275
(Odds imply a 73.3% chance team won’t make playoffs. Started season with a 65.5% chance.)
New York Knicks To Make Playoffs
Make Playoffs: Yes +120, No -150
(Odds imply a 97.1% chance team won’t make playoffs. Started season with a chance.)
Oklahoma City Thunder To Make Playoffs
Yes +1000
Orlando Magic To Make Playoffs
Yes +1200, No -2500
(Odds imply a 96.2% chance team won’t make playoffs. Started season with a 66.7% chance.)
Philadelphia 76ers To Make Playoffs
No +1500
Phoenix Suns To Make Playoffs
No +1200
Portland Trail Blazers To Make Playoffs
Make Playoffs: Yes -285, No +225
(Odds imply a 74.0% chance team will make playoffs. Started season with a 64.3% chance.)
Sacramento Kings To Make Playoffs
Make Playoffs: Yes +700, No -1250
(Odds imply a 92.6% chance team won’t make playoffs. Started season with a 88.5% chance.)
San Antonio Spurs To Make Playoffs
Make Playoffs: Yes -110, No -120
(Odds imply a 54.6% chance team won’t make playoffs. Started season with a 85.5% chance the wouldn’t make playoffs.)
Toronto Raptors To Make Playoffs
Make Playoffs: Yes -450, No +325
(Odds imply a 81.8% chance team will make playoffs. Started season with a 90.1% chance.)
Utah To Make Playoffs
No +2000
Washington Wizards To Make Playoffs
Make Playoffs: Yes +220, No -275
(Odds imply a 73.3% chance team won’t make playoffs. Started season with a 54.6% chance they would make playoffs.)
Player Awards
(current odds: https://co.sportsbetting.com/competition/1822/basketball)
MVP
Joel Embiid +190
LeBron James +210
Nikola Jokic +375
Luka Doncic +1200
James Harden +1200
Damian Lillard +1400
Stephen Curry +1800
Giannis Antetokounmpo +1800
Kawhi Leonard +3300
Donovan Mitchell +4000
Jamal Murray +25000
ROY
LaMelo Ball -715
Tyrese Haliburton +500
Anthony Edwards +1200
Immanuel Quickley +2000
James Wiseman +2800
Xavier Tillman +2800
Jae’Sean Tate +5000
Patrick Williams +5000
Tyrese Maxey +5000
Saddiq Bey +6600
DPOY
Rudy Gobert -175
Ben Simmons +210
Myles Turner +575
Joel Embiid +1200
Giannis Antetokounmpo +1800
Anthony Davis +2500
Draymond Green +6600
Bam Adebayo +8000
Sixth Man
Jordan Clarkson -400
Eric Gordon +1100
Terrence Ross +1600
Chris Boucher +1600
Montrezl Harrell +1800
Thaddeus Young +1800
Tyrese Haliburton +2000
Carmelo Anthony +2200
Goran Dragic +2500
Patty Mills +2500
Tyler Herro +2500
Shake Milton +2800
Lou Williams +5000
Brandon Clarke +6600
Best sports betting picks are found at OffshoreInsiders.com, which traces its roots to scorephone days. Follow the Twitter sports betting feed for breaking gambling, sports handicapping, and wagering intel including free sports picks and information.
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Free College Basketball Lock
Free pick from Joe Duffy:
UTAH VALLEY +9 Grand Canyon
College basketball is a momentum sport and Utah Valley is getting big points having won two straight, while GC has lost two-of-three. It is senior night for GC and they are loaded with seniors. But such teams generally do well early, get a bit overvalued and are fades late. After an 10-1 ATS start, they have lost 2-of-3 to number.
Utah Valley’s pick and roll with Jamison Overton and Trey Woodbury will give troubles to GCU smallish backcourt with Oscar Frayer banged up. Grand Canyon’s Asbjorn Midtgaard has had a ton of success dominating smaller centers. Tonight, he is matched up against Fardaws Aimaq who can match up physically.
With postponements, UVU has played tougher strength of schedule. Accusports has us covering 58.4 percent. Sportsline has UVU covering 55 percent. TeamRankings slight edge. MasseyRatings says line should be -7.5. Hasalam Metric has it an eight-point game, so modest edge.
Top expert pick from MasterLockLine: The only slump of the entire season is gone! The greatest NCAAB season ever recorded by any source, any time, any place is volcanic. For the season, power of 600-plus is 226-151 excluding pushes.
Service out of San Diego is the No. 1 handicapper west of Mississippi, which includes every Las Vegas based handicapper. College Basketball Game of the Year goes at 9 ET!
All-time No. 1 college basketball service far and away based on units won, releases almost all plays as one-unit, but does also have even more powerful 1.5-units bets. All bets are regular unless 1.5 specified. Up 38.3 units based on one unit per bet, go over 40 units with two sides with 2 ET and 8 ET side
Top NHL and CFL handicapper is not shockingly out of Great White North. They have never had a losing season in CFL or NHL. NHL Lock of the Month. Get a free sports service bet, which also has the full menu, then Get the picks now
NBA Free Play
The Grandmaster, Joe Duffy has Five NBA winners led by two Wise Guys for night winners. Get the picks now
ATLANA -3 Orlando
Road favorites off of a win that broke a losing streak are 449-317-15. So Hawks have combo of some momentum, but still enough anger. Second game since firing Lloyd Pierce and from a handicapping standpoint, an underachieving team, firing a coach in the middle of the year almost always works short-term.
Bogdan Bogdanovic back for Hawks after missing a bunch of games with knee injury. Still though without Cam Reddish and De’Andre Hunter. Clint Capela GTD. Orlando’s Evan Fournier is questionable. Fournier is averaging 20.0 points, 4.3 rebounds, 4.0 assists and 1.1 steals in 30.6 minutes over the past seven contests.
We exploit various simulators. Accuscore has Atlanta cashing the ticket 60.7 percent. Sportsline has Atlanta covering 59 percent. TeamRankings says line is perfect but NumberFire gives edge to Magic.
Free Sports Pick, Top College Basket Teams to Bet on Over-Under
Free NBA winner from Joe Duffy:
NEW YORK +2.5 San Antonio
Though we lost two very close bets (most of you won with Charlotte OVER as we released with just one book up), we also great a break when Spurs went into OT and put the game over the total. It also opens up a nice situation. Fading unrested teams off an OT game is 242-172-7. When we are betting the road team and said team is not playing back-to-back games it covers at 69 percent. Accuscore has New York covering 57.8 percent of simulations. Sportsline gives us a mild edge at 52 percent. NumberFire has our chances at 54.1. EdgePlus has a medium bet on New York. TeamRankings says the number is about right, but bottom line is no simulators tell us to go with Spurs.
Top over-under teams in college basketball based on margin of over/under at least 15 lines games. Top OVER teams:
Team | OU Record (overs-under) | OU margin |
St. Francis (NY) | 12-7 | +9.4 |
Robert Morris | 11-6 | +9.4 |
Oakland | 21-6 | +9.4 |
Southern Utah | 11-4 | +9.3 |
Florida State | 11-5-2 | +8.1 |
Wyoming | 13-7-1 | +8.1 |
Top UNDER teams:
Team | OU Record (overs-under) | OU margin |
Portland State | 4-11 | -10 |
Idaho State | 4-12 | -8.9 |
Florida A&M | 6-11 | -7.2 |
St. Bonaventure | 4-13 | -6.9 |
St. Pete’s | 7-14 | -6.8 |
DePaul | 3-13 | -6.7 |
We release plays before lines are widely available so you can shop around for the best lines. Often that costs us when we count records based on the line quoted, often available at very few books at the time. Most of you had Charlotte OVER as a winner, but we count it as a loser in our 94-69 run.
Wise Guy, the NBA Total of the Month among two winners in NBA. Get the picks now Check OffshoreInsiders.com for possible college releases!
Free Pick NBA Monday; Top NBA Teams to Bet On and Bet Against
Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy has six NBA winners led by two Wise Guys fresh off a winning day in the NBA again! I am 89-67 in basketball and I have hit 4-of-5 Wise Guy plays. I added a college basketball side for night winning! Get the picks now
Free winner:
HOUSTON -2.5 Cleveland
Cleveland has won three straight all as underdogs. Houston lost 11 in a row! Go against teams on a straight up winning streak against teams on a straight up losing streak under certain circumstances is 515-371-13. When teams are in reverse streaks adding to 10 or greater, the ice-cold home favorite of two or more is 51-28-3. NumberFire has Houston covering 62.4 percent, TeamRankings with a slight edge at 52.1.
Best college basketball teams to bet on or against, with at least 15 lined games.
Team | ATS Record | ATS margin |
Morehead State | 17-8 | +6.6 |
UC Riverside | 10-7-1 | +6.1 |
Toledo | 19-6 | +5.7 |
VMI | 13-6-1 | +5.6 |
Wright State | 12-11 | +5.2 |
Weber State | 14-4 | +5.2 |
Best teams to bet against based on said criterion.
Team | ATS Record | ATS margin |
No. Illinois | 3-13-1 | -8.6 |
Florida International | 5-15-1 | -6.5 |
Miss Valley State | 7-14 | -5.7 |
New Mexico | 6-12 | -5.5 |
Boston U | 7-9 | -5.4 |
Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer.