All posts by Joe Duffy

NCAA Tournament Odds 2021; Who Will Make Final 4? Zags Undefeated?

The odds suggest Gonzaga won’t become the eighth NCAA basketball champion to complete a perfect season, but the Zags’ chances aren’t too long. 

SportsBetting released a host of NCAA Tournament-related prop bets Monday, and Gonzaga completing an undefeated season is one of them (odds imply a 28.6% chance Zags will go undefeated). 

There are also odds on whether or not blue-chip bubble teams like Duke, UConn, Indiana and Michigan State will qualify for the tournament. 

Finally, eight teams (Baylor, Michigan, Illinois, Ohio State, Alabama, West Virginia, Villanova, Iowa) have odds of being selected as No. 1 seeds. 

Odds are provided by SportsBetting 

Will Gonzaga finish the 2021 season undefeated?
Yes +250
No -400

Will UConn be selected for the NCAA Tournament?
Yes -770
No +400

Will Indiana be selected for the NCAA Tournament?
Yes -120
No -120

Will Michigan State be selected for the NCAA Tournament?
Yes -120
No -120

Will Duke be selected for the NCAA Tournament?
Yes +300
No -525

Will Baylor be No. 1 seed in NCAA Tournament?
Yes -1500
No +700

Will Michigan be No. 1 seed in NCAA Tournament?
Yes -1500
No +700

Will Illinois be No. 1 seed in NCAA Tournament?
Yes -300
No +200

Will Ohio State be No. 1 seed in NCAA Tournament?
Yes -250
No +175

Will Villanova be No. 1 seed in NCAA Tournament?
Yes +250
No -400

Will Alabama be No. 1 seed in NCAA Tournament?
Yes +400
No -770

Will West Virginia be No. 1 seed in NCAA Tournament?
Yes +500
No -1100

Will Iowa be No. 1 seed in NCAA Tournament?
Yes +500
No -1100

Will Gonzaga reach the Final Four?
Yes -300
No +200

Will Baylor reach the Final Four?
Yes -250
No +175

Will Michigan reach the Final Four?
Yes -250
No +175

Will Illinois reach the Final Four?
Yes +300
No -525

Will Ohio State reach the Final Four?
Yes +400
No -770

Will Alabama reach the Final Four?
Yes +400
No -770

Best sports betting picks are found at OffshoreInsiders.com, which traces its roots to scorephone days. Follow the Twitter sports betting feed for breaking gambling, sports handicapping, and wagering intel including free sports picks and information.

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Great scented wax, scents for you home, car, office, and warmers at DuffyScents.com. These great smelling scents are ideal for pet owners. You can order from anywhere in the world, but for local parties in Johns Creek, Alpharetta, Roswell, she is the Scentsy consultant! The best Scentsy Facebook group and find out about online Facebook Scentsy parties. 

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DuffyGifts.com allows you to order online from anywhere, but also home to ThirtyOne consultant Stephanie Duffy serving Alpharetta, Roswell, Johns Creek the place to go for gifts for all occasions from MyThirtyOne Gifts.

Top Over and Under Teams in NBA Totals Betting

Top NBA OU teams in terms of OU. Top over teams Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often-deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer. 

Top OVER 

Team       OU Record                                           OU margin
New Orleans24-9+6.2
Sacramento22-11+4.5
Brooklyn23-12+4.1
Denver 22-11+3.3
Indiana 18-13-1+3
From OffshoreInsiders.com

Top UNDER teams

Team       OU Record (overs-under)                                         OU margin
New York11-22-5
LA Lakers 12-22-4.7
San Antonio 12-17-3.9
Houston 12-18-3
From OffshoreInsiders.com

 Top expert picks on today’s portfolio is from Joe Duffy. Just rolling along and now over 60 percent in college basketball with a sweep there, 86-64 all hoops. College basketball side in which our top model has our side covering a stunning 74 percent. Five NBA led by a Wise Guy. This includes a side in which we take the knowledge of the oddsmakers and weaponize it against them. I reveal in the analysis how. And I am specific. Get the picks now 

Free Pick in College Basketball

Free winning pick is:

UTAH VALLEY -3 UT Rio Grande Valley

Sean Rhea, UTRGV’s best player, is leaving the program. He averaged 15.2 points per game, 6.2 rebounds, and a block a game. They are already without Chris Freeman, who averages 7.3 points per game, 4.3 boards, and 1.7 assists. Also, coach Lew Hill tragically died last month. Yes, I’ve said teams rally around adversity, but this is a lot for young kids to overcome. 

They played only 13 games because of stoppages and now down two key players go to high altitude of Utah Valley. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found them covering at a rate 67 percent. Accuscore has them covering 58.2 percent. 

Top expert pick from Joe Duffy: Latest is three straight Wise Guy winners part of 77-55 basketball explosion.Wise Guy among eight NBA winners. Get the picks now

New England Patriots Next QB odds Revealed; Jimmy Garropolo, Drew Lock Prop Bets too

The football world is wondering who Bill Belichick and Josh McDaniels will be coaching up this offseason. 

SportsBetting has set odds on the chances of 26 quarterbacks who could take the first snap in New England next season via free agency, draft, trade or promotion.

Marcus Mariota is at the top of the board with 5/2, or +250, odds. Former Patriot Jacoby Brissett is second on the list at 7/2.

A rookie quarterback carries 5/1 odds, while potential trades for Deshaun Watson or Jimmy Garoppolo come in at 10/1 and 15/1, respectively.

Current odds for Patriots QB, Deshaun Watson next team, Russell Wilson next team, Drew Lock and Garoppolo can be viewed here: 

Player to take Patriots first snap in Week 1 of 2021 reg. season
Marcus Mariota 5/2
Jacoby Brissett 7/2
Jarrett Stidham 4/1
Cam Newton 5/1
Rookie Quarterback 5/1
Blaine Gabbert 7/1
Andy Dalton 8/1
Deshaun Watson 10/1
Brian Hoyer 12/1
Joe Flacco 15/1
Mike Glennon 15/1
Jimmy Garoppolo 15/1
Blake Bortles 20/1
Colt McCoy 20/1
Tyrod Taylor 20/1
Ryan Fitzpatrick 20/1
Sam Darnold 25/1
Geno Smith 25/1
Robert Griffin III 25/1
Matt Barkley 30/1
Mitchell Trubisky 40/1
Jake Dolegala 40/1
Dak Prescott 50/1
Jameis Winston 50/1
Ben Roethlisberger 60/1
Matt Ryan 70/1

Drew Lock takes Broncos first snap in Week 1 of 2021 reg. season
Yes -150
No +120

Jimmy Garropolo takes 49ers first snap in Week 1 of 2021 reg. season
Yes -500
No +350

Best sports betting picks are found at OffshoreInsiders.com, which traces its roots to scorephone days. Follow the Twitter sports betting feed for breaking gambling, sports handicapping, and wagering intel including free sports picks and information.

Please like, subscribe, and comment on the official dad jokes YouTube channel.

DuffyGifts.com allows you to order online from anywhere, but also home to ThirtyOne consultant Stephanie Duffy serving Alpharetta, Roswell, Johns Creek the place to go for gifts for all occasions from MyThirtyOne Gifts.

Great scented wax, scents for you home, car, office, and warmers at DuffyScents.com. These great smelling scents are ideal for pet owners. You can order from anywhere in the world, but for local parties in Johns Creek, Alpharetta, Roswell, she is the Scentsy consultant! The best Scentsy Facebook group and find out about online Facebook Scentsy parties. 

Do you ever eat at restaurants in Atlanta? Check out the top restaurant review podcast in America. 

Get gift cards with Bitcoin. Amazon, Target, Walmart; most of your favorite retailers and online destinations are likely available.

Best NBA Handicapper With Free Daily Pick

Steady as she goes. JDP off 6-2 night, now 72-48 in hoops. You locked into a long-term pick pack yet? Five NBA winners led by two Wise Guys! This includes a shocking system 1185-847-55 including 297-137-11 since 2017 led by 24-3-4 this season! Get the picks now 

Free pick

BOSTON -2 Atlanta 

Play undervalued road teams to overvalued home team when using advanced analytics numbers and comparing to SU record and spread is 365-196-11 for 65.1 percent. 

Away favorites off loss under specific situations that apply in this game 846-673-24. If road team wasn’t sizzling hot before the loss, it is even better 56 percent. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found them covering at a rate of 68 percent. Our second best simulator has Boston covering 61.5 and this is very high for said program. 

Barstool’s @stoolpresidente Fights to Spread Gambling Myth

Two gambling heavyweights, Barstool Sports and Las Vegas Westgate Casino are having a set-to regarding proprietorship over the cliché, “Good teams win, bad teams cover.” Barstool President Dave Portney business acumen is indisputable. Consequently, is he spewing this hackneyed canard because he believes it or is he cunning like a fox? Like Westgate, Portnoy owns his own sportsbook, Barstool. Hence, there is plenty of incentive for perpetuating this farcical hoax. 

The fact-based truth is that great teams are overvalued. In the NBA teams with winning percentage of .880 or above are 600-652-26 ATS. However, when playing a horrific team, it’s even worse. If their opponent has a winning percentage of less than .410, the great team covers at an abysmal .373 at 85-143-3. When the records are not deceptive and the “great” team is the favorite by at least 1.5, the elite squad covers at a .368 clip. 

Do great teams cover in NFL? If a team has a winning percentage of .900 or above and at least 11 wins, one could proclaim they’ve gained admission to the great clique. Yet said teams are 25-59-1 for .298 winning percentage all-time. 

None of this is a revelation to pro gamblers. The gambling society yearns to wager on superior and hotter teams, hence betting on premium lineups comes with a premium price. Pay the piper for that façade of security of betting on great squads to cover. 

I’m no atty and I’m preoccupied winning bets to play one on the computer. However, I handicap Portnoy’s claim, “By the way there is literally no chance they invented that (phrase),” to be irrelevant in a court of law.  Barstool’s head honcho compared it to “Saying you invented the question mark.” Or the term “barstool” perhaps.

My reasons for making Barstool the substantial underdog are anecdotal, but personal and related to the gambling sector. 

Our free scorephones were called “Sportsline.” Many years later, Sportsline was trademarked by the founders of website now owned by CBS. After getting a cease-and-desist letter demanding we stop using the name, our corporate attorney advised us to not fight it.  Apparently, “Literally no chance they invented that” holds up in court as well as “Great teams cover” holds up at sportsbooks.

Anyone who believes the urban legend about a correlation between great groups of players and covering may not have invented the question mark. They just epitomize it. 

Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy has been making scientifically-based winning picks since 1988 on the scorephones. He is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com  

Oddsmakers Projected Win Totals for Every MLB Team

pring training is underway, and oddsmakers are pushing out their projections for the 2021 MLB season.

At SportsBetting, the Dodgers were tagged with an over/under victory total of 103.5, which is highest total in the last 22 years. 

The Yankees had a win total of 104.5 ahead of the 1999 season. New York was the World Series champ that year, but their total went under after compiling a 98-64 record. 

Below, you will find every team’s win total for this year, as well as the 2020 season (which was obviously shortened) for comparison. 

The Red Sox’s total has dropped by nine victories (88.5 to 79.5), but the largest drop comes from the Pirates after having a total of 71.5 last year and 58.5 this year. 

The Rangers (79.5 to 67.5) and Rockies (74.5 to 63.5) are also notable fallers.

The biggest improvement comes from the Padres. San Diego had a win total of 83.5 last season, but is listed at 95.5 for 2021.

The Blue Jays (75.5 to 87.5) also saw a large jump, while the Tigers and Orioles are both in the 60-win tier after being in the 50-win tier last year.

MLB odds are provided by SportsBetting

2021 Regular Season Win Totals

Arizona Diamondbacks

Over/Under 75.5

Atlanta Braves

Over/Under 92.5

Baltimore Orioles

Over/Under 63.5

Boston Red Sox

Over/Under 79.5

Chicago Cubs

Over/Under 80.5

Chicago White Sox

Over/Under 90.5

Cincinnati Reds

Over/Under 83.5

Cleveland Indians

Over/Under 80.5

Colorado Rockies

Over/Under 63.5

Detroit Tigers

Over/Under 65.5

Houston Astros

Over/Under 87.5

Kansas City Royals

Over/Under 71.5

Los Angeles Angels

Over/Under 82.5

Los Angeles Dodgers

Over/Under 103.5

Miami Marlins

Over/Under 72.5

Milwaukee Brewers

Over/Under 82.5

Minnesota Twins

Over/Under 88.5

New York Mets

Over/Under 89.5

New York Yankees

Over/Under 95.5

Oakland Athletics

Over/Under 86.5

Philadelphia Phillies

Over/Under 81.5

Pittsburgh Pirates

Over/Under 58.5

San Diego Padres

Over/Under 95.5

San Francisco Giants

Over/Under 75.5

Seattle Mariners

Over/Under 71.5

St. Louis Cardinals

Over/Under 87.5

Tampa Bay Rays

Over/Under 86.5

Texas Rangers

Over/Under 67.5

Toronto Blue Jays

Over/Under 87.5

Washington Nationals

Over/Under 84.5

——————————————————————–

2020 Regular Season Win Totals

Arizona Diamondbacks

Over/Under 83.5

Atlanta Braves

Over/Under 91.5

Baltimore Orioles

Over/Under 55.5

Boston Red Sox

Over/Under 88.5

Chicago Cubs

Over/Under 86.5

Chicago White Sox

Over/Under 84.5

Cincinnati Reds

Over/Under 83.5

Cleveland Indians

Over/Under 87.5

Colorado Rockies

Over/Under 74.5

Detroit Tigers

Over/Under 56.5

Houston Astros

Over/Under 95.5

Kansas City Royals

Over/Under 65.5

Los Angeles Angels

Over/Under 85.5

Los Angeles Dodgers

Over/Under 98.5

Miami Marlins

Over/Under 64.5

Milwaukee Brewers

Over/Under 83.5

Minnesota Twins

Over/Under 92.5

New York Yankees

Over/Under 101.5

New York Mets

Over/Under 86.5

Oakland Athletics

Over/Under 89.5

Philadelphia Phillies

Over/Under 85.5

Pittsburgh Pirates

Over/Under 71.5

San Diego Padres

Over/Under 83.5

San Francisco Giants

Over/Under 69.5

Seattle Mariners

Over/Under 67.5

St. Louis Cardinals

Over/Under 88.5

Tampa Bay Rays

Over/Under 90.5

Texas Rangers

Over/Under 79.5

Toronto Blue Jays

Over/Under 75.5

Washington Nationals

Over/Under 90.5

Best sports betting picks are found at OffshoreInsiders.com, which traces its roots to scorephone days. Follow the Twitter sports betting feed for breaking gambling, sports handicapping, and wagering intel including free sports picks and information.

Get gift cards with Bitcoin. Amazon, Target, Walmart; most of your favorite retailers and online destinations are likely available.

Please like, subscribe, and comment on the official dad jokes YouTube channel.

Great scented wax, scents for you home, car, office, and warmers at DuffyScents.com. These great smelling scents are ideal for pet owners. You can order from anywhere in the world, but for local parties in Johns Creek, Alpharetta, Roswell, she is the Scentsy consultant! The best Scentsy Facebook group and find out about online Facebook Scentsy parties. 

Do you ever eat at restaurants in Atlanta? Check out the top restaurant review podcast in America. 

Please like, subscribe, and comment on the official dad jokes YouTube channel.

DuffyGifts.com allows you to order online from anywhere, but also home to ThirtyOne consultant Stephanie Duffy serving Alpharetta, Roswell, Johns Creek the place to go for gifts for all occasions from MyThirtyOne Gifts.

Free NBA Picks, Top College Basketball Teams to Bet on or Against

JDP has three NBA winners, a side and two totals. Simply put, I have been winning for more than 30 years publicly. If you want the best, you will hop on board. Get the picks now 

NBA free pick….

PHOENIX -6 Portland

Fade big dogs with great records is 593-413-27. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found them covering at a rate of 55 percent. 

Best teams to bet on and against in college basketball based on margin of cover.

Team       ATS Record                                           ATS margin
Colgate 8-4+7.5
Morehead State15-7+7.1
Prairie View11-1+6.5
Baylor 13-4+6.4
Weber State13-3+5.8
UC Riverside 9-6-1+5.8


 Best teams to bet against.

Team       ATS Record                                           ATS margin
Eastern Michigan 3-7-8.9
Miss Valley State 5-13-7.2
No Illinois 3-11-6.7
Michigan State 5-15-6.6
Boston U5-8-6.5
New Mexico5-11-6.4

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NBA Free Play Lock Friday Night

The best has gotten better with the windfall of new systems. At 53-35, consider this the beginning. It’s like buying BTC at $3.24. The newest one, the rage of the industry, acquired from a powerful syndicates of whales, has to do with fading home teams in which the advanced metrics say are overvalued. NBA side and four totals from the best capper in the biz! Get the picks now 

Free

DENVER -8.5 Cleveland 

Denver lost two in a row both SU and ATS. Big away favorites in a losing are 265-165-11. Scorephone clients will recall that angle that has to do with teams off a loss under certain situations that we have won with literally since our debut in 1988. It works regular and postseason and applies here. Road teams playing a bad team and in a bad stretch of defensive efforts are undervalued to the tune of 133-83-1. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found them covering at a rate of 68 percent. Bovada is where I bet!

March Madness 2021: Updated NCAA Basketball odds For Conference Champs; Risers/Fallers

We’re less than a month away from the start of the NCAA Tournament so let’s take a look at the latest projections for the college basketball conference champs.

SportsBetting has updated odds for the ACC, Big 12, Big East, Big Ten, Pac-12, SEC, AAC, A-10 and Mountain West.

Also below you will find some of the largest movements in terms of odds for certain teams and conferences. 

ACC
– Duke started season as the 2/1 favorite, now 20/1

Big 12
– Kansas started season as the 3/2 favorite, now 10/1

Big East
– Providence started season with 50/1 odds, now 10/1
– Marquette started season with 100/1 odds, now 16/1

Big Ten
– Ohio State started season with 12/1 odds, now 5/2 favorite
– Michigan started season with 14/1 odds, now 3/1

Pac-12
– Arizona State started season as the 5/2 favorite, now 25/1
– Colorado started season with 12/1 odds, now 3/2 favorite
– USC started season with 12/1 odds, now 3/1

SEC
– Kentucky started season as the 3/2 favorite, now 35/1
– Colorado started season with 12/1 odds, now 3/1

A-10
– Dayton started season as the 2/1 favorite, now 15/1

You can find current odds at SportsBetting 

ACC 
Virginia 3/1
Florida State 3/1
Louisville 5/1
Virginia Tech 6/1
North Carolina 7/1
Clemson 10/1
Duke 20/1
Syracuse 30/1
Pittsburgh 35/1
Georgia Tech 40/1
Notre Dame 60/1
Miami 70/1
NC State 70/1
Boston College 500/1
Wake Forest 500/1

Big 12 
Baylor 2/5
Texas 5/1
Texas Tech 8/1
Oklahoma 9/1
Kansas 10/1
West Virginia 10/1
TCU 150/1
Kansas State 300/1
Iowa State 500/1

Big East 
Villanova 3/2
Creighton 5/4
Connecticut 6/1
Xavier 8/1
Seton Hall 10/1
St. Johns 30/1
Providence 50/1
Marquette 100/1
Butler 100/1
Georgetown 200/1
DePaul 500/1

Big Ten 
Ohio State 5/2
Michigan 3/1
Iowa 9/2
Illinois 4/1
Wisconsin 5/1
Purdue 15/1
Minnesota 20/1
Michigan State 40/1
Indiana 50/1
Maryland 100/1
Penn State 100/1
Northwestern 100/1
Nebraska 500/1

Pac-12 
Colorado 3/2
USC 2/1
UCLA 3/1
Oregon 5/1
Stanford 15/1
Arizona State 25/1
Utah 35/1
Washington State 50/1
Washington 200/1
California 200/1
Oregon State 200/1

SEC 
Tennessee 3/2
Alabama 3/1
LSU 4/1
Missouri 5/1
Florida 6/1
Arkansas 12/1
Mississippi 25/1
Kentucky 35/1
Mississippi State 60/1
South Carolina 125/1
Georgia 200/1
Texas A&M 300/1
Vanderbilt 500/1

AAC 
Houston 1/4
SMU 4/1
Memphis 6/1
Wichita State 15/1
South Florida 25/1
Tulsa 30/1
Cincinnati 70/1
Central Florida 80/1
East Carolina 100/1
Tulane 150/1
Temple 200/1

A-10 
Saint Louis 2/1
Richmond 3/1
Va Commonwealth 3/1
St. Bonaventure 4/1
Davidson 12/1
Dayton 15/1
Rhode Island 25/1
Massachusetts 40/1
Duquesne 100/1
George Mason 100/1
George Washington 300/1
La Salle 300/1
Fordham 300/1
St. Josephs 300/1

Mountain West 
Utah State 3/2
San Diego State 2/1
Boise State 4/1
Colorado State 5/1
UNLV 25/1
Nevada 25/1
Wyoming 50/1
New Mexico 100/1
Fresno State 100/1
Air Force 300/1
San Jose State 300/1

Best sports betting picks are found at OffshoreInsiders.com, which traces its roots to scorephone days. Follow the Twitter sports betting feed for breaking gambling, sports handicapping, and wagering intel including free sports picksand information.

Get gift cards with Bitcoin. Amazon, Target, Walmart; most of your favorite retailers and online destinations are likely available.

Please like, subscribe, and comment on the official dad jokes YouTube channel. Great scented wax, scents for you home, car, office, and warmers at DuffyScents.com. These great smelling scents are ideal for pet owners. You can order from anywhere in the world, but for local parties in Johns Creek, Alpharetta, Roswell, she is the Scentsy consultant! 

Do you ever eat at restaurants in Atlanta? Check out the top restaurant review podcast in America. 

Please like, subscribe, and comment on the official dad jokes YouTube channel.

DuffyGifts.com allows you to order online from anywhere, but also home to ThirtyOne consultant Stephanie Duffy serving Alpharetta, Roswell, Johns Creek the place to go for gifts for all occasions from MyThirtyOne Gifts.