Off yet another winning performance, Joe Duffy’s Picks is 27-14. Hop on the massive sale on 100-day pick pack. Five NBA winners led by a Wise Guy. I told you last week this was the early stages of an all-time great run. This a golden era for pro bettors as normalcy returns just as the proliferation of US-based books has created the greatest sharp vs. square dichotomy since the late 80s/early 90s. Get the picks now
NBA free pick is…
Orlando-Portland UNDER 220
Many of our systems involve exploiting counterintuitive point spreads or totals. Sundry massive syndicates have similar betting formulas, but a half-point difference in the parameters, not to mention slight variances in sportsbooks current line can be a difference between when their system is triggered and ours is not or vice versa. Hence, sometimes a super system is steamed into at a worse line.
This is the case here and as such, chasing steam conflicts with power and computer ratings and other metrics, it is not a premium bet, but still strong enough to release as a free one.
Total based on recent form and current total goes under 1637-1120-74. I bet at GTBets.
The Grandmaster Joe Duffy is 24-11 lately in basketball and barely getting started. Four NBA (added late steam), plus a college basketball winner! Get the picks now
Free NBA pick is on:
HOUSTON -1.5 Charlotte
Road favorites that shoot substantially more three-pointers than league average are 1333-1082-54. Away favorites off loss under specific situations that apply in this game are 834-664-23. A subsystem raises the winning percentage to 56 percent at 793-622-22. When all apply, it is 322-239 going back to 2000!
Our second best simulator has Houston covering 57.5 percent. Decent contrarian favoring Houston. I bet at Bovada
Joe Duffy wins yet again. 16-7 the last 23 including another winning night last night. Five NBA winners led by Wise Guy. We have a side in which our two top simulators agree with fantastic computer systems, all pointing to the same side. We have added a college basketball side for night action too. Data engineer Joe Duffy is the top computer-oriented capper in the world. Get the picks now
Away favorites or small dogs on great scoring run are 367-236-12. When said teams shoot a high percentage of three-point shots entering the game, it is 1328-1081. When both apply, it hits ate 64.3 percent.
Milwaukee is a double-digit fave on the road despite being 4-6 SU on the road against a team that is 7-5 SU at home. Take what the oddsmakers are telling us and use it against them. Anti-splits angle in which we go with road team with much worse away winning percentage than the home team home winning percentage is 526-393-22.
Joe Duffy’s Picks off another winning night, a half-point loss notwithstanding. At 14-6 we are just getting started. I have a 3-0 day today thanks to meticulous routine and criterion that is behind every pick. Get the picks now
Free
UTAH -8 Atlanta
Away favorites or small underdogs on a massive scoring streak are 366-236-12 for 60.8. Rest dynamics generally benefit the home team. When a team has more rest, about 66 percent of the time, it is the home team. However, when the road team is more rested, it nullifies the normal home court advantage and creates an off line to the tune of 387-306-9.
Best NBA over teams in terms of margin
Team
OU Record (overs-under)
OU margin
Brooklyn
17-6
+8.4
Denver
15-5
+6.5
Indiana
13-8-1
+5
Milwaukee
13-8
+4.9
From OffshoreInsiders.com
Best NBA over teams in terms of margin
Team
OU Record (overs-under)
OU margin
New York
7-16
-7.3
LA Lakers
6-16
-7.2
Atlanta
6-15
-6.5
From OffshoreInsiders.com
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Typical beginning to a sensational run. JDP is 10-4 the last 14. Six NBA led by three Wise Guys. This includes one of the sides where the Venn diagram overlaps a lot, but also plenty of independent corroboration. Yes, totals continue to be JDP’s domain as well. Continue the winning. Get the picks now
Free
SAN ANTONIO -8 Minnesota
Minnesota won by eight as a four-point dog last time out. But NBA is probably the No. 1 revenge sport. Big favorites in same season revenge of blowout loss are 836-694-41. But that includes 59.9 percent since 2013 at 257-172-11.
It makes perfect sense. In the NBA, motivation is a factor and it is very easy to overlook an inferior team in the drudge of a schedule. But not if they whupped you last time. Both teams without big man, Wolves no Karl-Anthony Towns and Spurs without LaMarcus Aldridge. Yeah, not happy San Antonio minus Rudy Gay and his 11 points per game. Minnesota’s D’Angelo Russell is questionable, some reports say doubtful. He averages 19.9 points per game. Wolves won’t have enough firepower.
Joe Duffy is a decent 6-3 the last two days. A very big portfolio is in store with four NBA winners led by a Wise Guy. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy area the single strongest bet in gambling. This is the scary good intel that goes into every pick, every day at Joe Duffy’s Picks. Tonight, we demonstrate how to use the oddsmakers’ knowledge against them with counterintuitive lines. Get the picks now
Free
Utah-Detroit UNDER 218
Math total based on each team’s last 10 games goes under 372-234-21. Part of my success is exploiting counterintuitive lines and totals. Admittedly, this one steamed into the parameters and we rarely make a premium bet chasing steam. So it is a free bet.
Nice night as JDP goes 3-1 on Sunday. A much bigger day today with three NBA Wise Guys, three NBA Majors. This is the scary good intel that goes into every pick, every day at Joe Duffy’s Picks. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy are the single strongest bet in gambling. Get the picks now
Free pick:
DETROIT +8 Denver
Road underdogs under .500 on ATS losing streak versus an unrested team on pointspread winning streak are 922-676-30. Regression to the mean based on overall record and spread streak is 708-547-28. Fade teams off a win in which they gave up a lot of assists is 677-538-22. Combining the first to makes is 362-231-12 for 61 percent.
We’re more than a month into the NBA season, and while the title favorite remains the same, all of the favorites for individual honors have changed. SportsBetting has updated its odds for Most Valuable Player, Rookie of the Year, Defensive Player of the Year, Sixth Man and Most Improved Player, which you can find below.
Luka Doncic was installed as the preseason favorite for MVP with 5/1 odds, followed by Giannis Antetokounmpo (6/1) and Steph Curry (7/1).
Joel Embiid, the current favorite, started the year with 25/1 odds. If Embiid went on to take MVP, he would be the first center since the Clinton administration to do so (Shaquille O’Neal, 1999-2000).
James Wiseman (5/1) and Anthony Edwards (6/1) were ROY favorites, but now two players are in front of them on the odds board.
Jordan Clarkson had 9/1 Sixth Man odds at the outset of the season while Jaylen Brown was listed at 66/1 to take home MIP honors two months ago.
MVP Joel Embiid 3/1 LeBron James 7/2 Nikola Jokic 5/1 Luka Doncic 6/1 Kevin Durant 7/1 Giannis Antetokounmpo 11/1 Stephen Curry 12/1 Damian Lillard 25/1 Anthony Davis 28/1 Kawhi Leonard 33/1 James Harden 40/1 Paul George 50/1 Jaylen Brown 66/1 Jayson Tatum 75/1 Kyrie Irving 100/1
ROY LaMelo Ball 1/1 Tyrese Haliburton 2/1 James Wiseman 5/1 Anthony Edwards 15/2 Immanuel Quickley 15/2 Cole Anthony 15/1 Payton Pritchard 20/1 Tyrese Maxey 33/1 Patrick Williams 50/1 Xavier Tillman 50/1 Deni Avdija 70/1 Isaac Okoro 70/1 Devin Vassell 80/1
DPOY Anthony Davis 2/1 Rudy Gobert 5/2 Myles Turner 3/1 Giannis Antetokounmpo 7/1 Ben Simmons 10/1 Joel Embiid 12/1 Bam Adebayo 25/1 Draymond Green 35/1 Kawhi Leonard 40/1 Marcus Smart 75/1 Clint Capela 80/1 Patrick Beverley 80/1
Sixth Man Jordan Clarkson 1/2 Chris Boucher 7/1 Montrezl Harrell 9/1 Goran Dragic 10/1 Jeff Teague 10/1 Tyler Herro 10/1 Terrence Ross 12/1 Lou Williams 20/1 Gary Trent Jr. 28/1 Norman Powell 40/1 Austin RIvers 50/1 Bobby Portis 66/1 Carmelo Anthony 66/1 Luke Kennard 66/1 Aaron Holiday 80/1 Brandon Clarke 80/1 Danilo Gallinari 80/1 Davis Bertans 80/1 DeMarcus Cousins 80/1 Grant Williams 80/1 JJ Redick 80/1 Joe Ingles 80/1 Rodney Hood 80/1 Trey Burke 80/1 Eric Paschall 100/1 Keldon Johnson 100/1 Kyle Kuzma 100/1 Larry Nance Jr. 100/1 Rajon Rondo 100/1
Most Improved Jaylen Brown 2/1 Christian Wood 5/2 Jerami Grant 5/2 Chris Boucher 8/1 Jaren Jackson Jr. 20/1 Michael Porter Jr. 20/1 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 25/1 Ja Morant 66/1 Andrew Wiggins 80/1 OG Anunoby 80/1 Zion Williamson 80/1 Darius Bazley 100/1 De’Aaron Fox 100/1 Keldon Johnson 100/1 Lauri Markkanen 100/1 Luguentz Dort 100/1 Shake Milton 100/1 Tyler Herro 100/1
Matthew Stafford is on his way to L.A., and the Rams have seen their Super Bowl LVI chances greatly increase with a seasoned gunslinger under center.
Early last week, SportsBetting had pegged the Rams with 18/1 odds to win next year’s Super Bowl, which was tied for eighth-best.
Following the trade for Stafford, Los Angeles is now in solo third on the odds board at 10/1.
The Lions, already a longshot with 80/1 odds last week, are now tied for the worst odds with Jacksonville at 150/1.
Below are the current Super Bowl LVI odds from SportsBetting Super Bowl LVI Odds –
Kansas City Chiefs 6/1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 9/1 Los Angeles Rams 10/1 Buffalo Bills 11/1 Green Bay Packers 12/1 Baltimore Ravens 12/1 New Orleans Saints 15/1 San Francisco 49ers 18/1 Seattle Seahawks 20/1 Indianapolis Colts 25/1 Miami Dolphins 25/1 Pittsburgh Steelers 25/1 Cleveland Browns 28/1 Dallas Cowboys 28/1 Tennessee Titans 28/1 Los Angeles Chargers 33/1 Minnesota Vikings 33/1 New England Patriots 33/1 Arizona Cardinals 40/1 Chicago Bears 40/1 Las Vegas Raiders 50/1 Philadelphia Eagles 50/1 Denver Broncos 50/1 Atlanta Falcons 66/1 Carolina Panthers 66/1 New York Giants 66/1 Houston Texans 66/1 Washington Football Team 66/1 Cincinnati Bengals 100/1 New York Jets 100/1 Detroit Lions 150/1 Jacksonville Jaguars 150/1
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