Notre Dame saw its College Football Playoff championship chances increase after last night’s upset of Clemson.
However, Clemson still has better odds than the Irish in today’s updated CFP odds. The bookies assume if there is a rematch on a neutral field in the ACC title game with Trevor Lawrence under center, the Tigers will prevail.
Alabama has moved into sole possession of the favorite spot while Ohio State is a close second. Undefeated teams such as BYU, Cincinnati, Liberty, Coastal Carolina and Marshall have also jumped up the list.
In terms of Heisman Trophy, Justin Fields leads the way with Mac Jones and Trevor Lawrence not far behind.
The below odds are from SportsBetting Fractional odds are listed first in parentheses while the +/- American odds are listed second.
SportsBetting is a licensed sportsbook in Colorado —
CFP Odds (11/8/20)
Alabama (2/1) +200
Ohio State (9/4) +225
Clemson (3/1) +300
Notre Dame (10/1) +1000
Florida (14/1) +1400
BYU (35/1) +3500
Cincinnati (35/1) +3500
Wisconsin (40/1) +4000
Texas A&M (40/1) +4000
Oklahoma (50/1) +5000
Georgia (66/1) +6600
Oklahoma State (66/1) +6600
Oregon (66/1) +6600
Texas (66/1) +6600
USC (66/1) +6600
Coastal Carolina (100/1) +10000
Liberty (100/1) +10000
Indiana (100/1) +10000
Miami (FL) (100/1) +10000
Purdue (100/1) +10000
Marshall (150/1) +15000
Auburn (150/1) +15000
Northwestern (150/1) +15000
SMU (150/1) +15000
Iowa State (150/1) +15000
UCF (200/1) +20000
Utah (200/1) +20000
Arizona (250/1) +25000
Colorado (250/1) +25000
Iowa (250/1) +25000
Minnesota (250/1) +25000
North Carolina (250/1) +25000
Washington (250/1) +25000
Washington State (250/1) +25000
Appalachian State (500/1) +50000
Heisman Trophy odds
Justin Fields (3/2) +150
Mac Jones (7/4) +175
Trevor Lawrence (5/2) +250
Kyle Trask (5/1) +500
Zach Wilson (35/1) +3500
Kellen Mond (66/1) +6600
All posts by Joe Duffy
Free football pick Pittsburgh vs. fsu
7-2 Wise Guys, 28-9 named plays. Saturday: As CBS Total of the Year has been postponed, we now have 11 winners, four are Wise Guys college football Saturday. Get the picks now
PITTSBURGH +2 Florida State
- The turbo-charged version of short road underdogs that you have heard about on satellite radio is 867-627-41
- Pittsburgh winless road, FSU 2-1 SU home
- Terrible road teams not getting more than 3 to a team good at home is 308-232-10
- Includes 62 percent if they are on a four-game losing streak
- Pitt QB Kenny Pickett is doubtful
- Backup quarterback Joey Yellen got baptism by fire against Notre Dame and Miami but would face one of the worst secondaries in ACC
- Pitt’s running game has been a bust. Thought they went five-deep but will go top heavy with Vincent Davis and AJ Davis
Pac 12 odds: win totals, qb battles, conference title
With the Pac-12 set to begin its 2020 season this Saturday, here are the updated odds for the conference champion, individual team victories and the remaining trio of quarterback battles from SportsBetting
Additionally, since Steve Addazio won’t reveal a starting QB for Colorado State’s game tonight, SportsBetting, which is located in the Colorado, has also created odds for who will be under center against Wyoming.
Pac-12 Odds:
Oregon +180
USC +200
Washington +500
Utah +700
Arizona State +850
Cal +2500
Washington State +2500
Stanford +2800
UCLA +2800
Arizona +5000
Oregon State +8000
Colorado +10000
Victory totals:
Oregon
Over/Under 6 wins
USC
Over/Under 5.5 wins
Washington
Over/Under 4.5 wins
Utah
Over/Under 4.5 wins
Arizona State
Over/Under 4.5 wins
Cal
Over/Under 4.5 wins
Stanford
Over/Under 3.5 wins
UCLA
Over/Under 3.5 wins
Washington State
Over/Under 2 wins
Arizona
Over/Under 1.5 wins
Oregon State
Over/Under 1.5 wins
Colorado
Over/Under 1.5 wins
QB battles:
Utah starting quarterback vs. Arizona
Jake Bentley -1100
Cameron Rising +675
Oregon starting quarterback vs. Stanford
Tyler Shough -1000
Anthony Brown +650
Washington starting quarterback at Cal
Kevin Thomson -200
Jacob Sirmon +150
Dylan Morris +800
Ethan Garbers +1200
Colorado State starting quarterback vs Wyoming
Todd Centeio +150
Patrick O’Brien -200
OffshoreInsiders.com has all the bets you need.
49ers-Seahawks Free Sports Betting Pick
The Grandmaster is firing on all cylinders. 15-6 overall, 14-7 NFL, 7-3 football this week. The sharp bets both originate here and major syndicates have very similar systems and metrics. That’s why we release many winners early in week for best closing line value. Monday, we released WVU UNDER 48.5 and Navy +14.5. 7-1 Wise Guy plays. Lock in long-term.
Get nine NFL winners including Wise Guy on arguably the best game of the day, Pittsburg-Baltimore. Sides and totals are all part of the early stages of one of JDP’s historic runs. Get the picks now
SAN FRANCISCO +3 Seattle
- Then undefeated Seahawks blew 27-14 lead to Arizona
- Teams off first loss in which blew a lead of more than a touchdown and a go-against of 9-2
- Larger bubble burst angle is 67-39-4
- Road underdogs of three or more who have been much better on road are 129-89
- Jimmy Garoppolo 11-3 underdog
- Both teams banged up, but Seattle with nine guys who could miss
- All Pro S Jamal Adams doubtful
- Top 3 RBs are questionable
- Opened at 5, so not happy with line move
Panthers vs. Falcons Bettors’ View From Top NFL Wagering Handicapper
It may be an ugly game for non-bettors (if there is such a monster), but it’s a great opportunity for gamblers as the disappointing Atlanta Falcons take on the Carolina Panthers. Atlanta is 1-6 SU, 2-5 ATS, going over 4-3. Carolina is 3-4 SU, 4-3 ATS, splitting 3-3 on totals. Falcons WR Julio Jones has been on the injury report most of the season, but has been taken off,
Odds: Carolina is -2.5, though in some books at -115 or -120. The total is 48, though in a couple of shops barely juiced to the over as the under can be had for -105. Check out NFL live lines as the lines opened at -3 +100 and 51.5.
Public betting percentages: Bettors prefer Carolina with 63 percent of bets and 52 percent of cash on the home team. Sixty-six percent of bets and 69 percent of money are on the over.
Power ratings and computer simulations ATS and OU:: One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found 55 percent of simulation favor Atlanta with 64 percent going over. Another has Atlanta covering 53.3 percent of the time with 60.3 going under. Power ratings say Carolina should be -.5 and 50.5 with a 24-23 final expected in favor of Carolina.
Against the spread trends: Atlanta 2-8 after playing Lions, 6-22 after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game, 6-1 road. Carolina 7-1 after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game, 3-8 favorites.
Over-under trends: Atlanta under 10-0 after playing Detroit but over 20-8 versus an opponent with a losing record. Series under 11-3.
Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. And here we go! 13-7 NFL. Never, ever jump off the bandwagon of the greatest capper in history. Why do you think I’ve been a full-time handicapper since 1988? Thursday, NFL total. Get the picks now
NFL Free Pick Patriots vs. Bills
The Grandmaster is firing on all cylinders. 15-6 overall, 14-7 NFL, 7-3 football this week. The sharp bets both originate here and major syndicates have very similar systems and metrics. That’s why we release many winners early in week for best closing line value. Monday, we released WVU UNDER 48.5 and Navy +14.5. 7-1 Wise Guy plays. Lock in long-term.
Get nine NFL winners including Wise Guy on arguably the best game of the day, Pittsburg-Baltimore. Sides and totals are all part of the early stages of one of JDP’s historic runs. Get the picks now
NEW ENGLAND +3.5 Buffalo
- Buffalo is 5-2 SU, New England 2-4 SU so records imply Buffalo is better team significantly
- Yet only -3.5 at home
- Team with substantially worse SU record is not getting more than four points on road 142-81-7 including 65.5 percent if not getting more than 3.5
- Not sold on Josh Allen
- Completed 70% or more 3 times, all in first 4 games
- Almost did last week, but against Jets
- 3 INTs last three, one first four
- Prove to me he’s among elite
- Buffalo 2 wins to Jets, one to Fins
- Newton needs wakeup call
- Took benching like a man
NFL Betting Primer Week 7
Everything bettors must know for NFL betting for Sunday, October 25.
Best teams to bet on according to margin of cover. Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer.
| Team | ATS Record | ATS margin |
| Miami | 4-2 | 10.9 |
| Pittsburgh | 4-1 | 7.2 |
| Arizona | 4-2 | 6.7 |
Best teams to bet against in terms of margin of cover.
| Team | ATS Record | ATS margin |
| NY Jets | 0-6 | -11.3 |
| Dallas | 0-6 | -8.9 |
| Jacksonville | 2-4 | -5.7 |
Best over teams based on average number of points they’ve gone over by
| Team | Over Record | Over-Under margin |
| New Orleans | 5-0 | 10.8 |
| Dallas | 4-2 | 10.7 |
| Las Vegas | 4-0-1 | 10.6 |
| Tennessee | 4-1 | 10.1 |
Best under teams based on average number of points they’ve gone under by
| Team | Under Record | Over-Under margin |
| Arizona | 6-0 | -4.8 |
| LA Rams | 4-2 | -4.1 |
| NY Giants | 5-2 | -3.4 |
Sunday, 10 NFL winners led by Wise Guy from Joe Duffy’s Picks. Oh, last week Detroit wins as NFL GOY and yesterday Oklahoma UNDER as College Football Total of the Year. Get the picks now
ATS Trends
- Kansas City 13-2 all
- Chargers 0-7 home favorites
- Seattle 7-0 road favorites
- Detroit 3-12 last 15
Over-Under trends
- Pittsburgh under 36-8-2 road
- Cleveland over 7-0 favorites
Injuries
- Cardinals superstar WR DeAndre Hopkins is questionable
- 47 catches, 601 yards, 2 TDs
- Jets WR Jamison Crowder is doubtful
- Already 29 catches for 383 yards, 2 TDs
- Saints WR Emmanuel Crowder out
- 26 catches, 304 yards, 2 TDs
- Buffalo is down to one true TD, Tyler Croft with has 6 catches
- Rams WR Robert Woods is probable for Monday
- Pats WR Julian Edelman questionable
- 20 catches for 302 yards
- Jets QB Sam Darnold is probable
- Another shaky year with 3 TD and 4 INT
- See above, likely to be without top WR
Top consensus plays in terms of percent of bets: Green Bay (69), Dallas (64), Seattle (64) as the usual public love of road favorites keeps rolling along.
Top consensus plays in terms of percent of money: Green Bay (97), Tennessee (88), Seattle (84)
Free Pick Florida State-Louisville
Superstar Joe Duffy is off a great football betting weekend and has a ton more coming up at OffshoreInsiders.com Here is a free play.
FLORIDA STATE +5 Louisville
- The turbo-charged version of short road underdogs that you have heard about on satellite radio is 824-698-44
- Home teams off bad offensive games are a go-against of 262-169-14
- Louisville scored seven points to ND
- Fading home teams off three straight road losses is 132-90-2
- Don’t like that they are a trendy dog with 69 percent of bets
- FSU OL showing progress and with Jordan Travis at QB, he buys time with his mobility
- Banged up but probable
- Cards literally have alternated solid defensive games with horrible ones
- Last week allowed 12 to ND after allowing 46 to GA Tech
- Likely to come up with a thud
Bills-Chiefs Betting Preview Written By Pro Gambler For Serious Whale Bettors
The Kansas City Chiefs take on the Buffalo Bills on Monday evening football in a start time made possible thanks to the disaster that is 2020. Each team is 4-1 SU and 3-2 in the back pocket. As the over-under is concerned, KC is 2-2-1 but Buffalo is 4-0-1 to the over. In fact, each team is off their first loss of the season. Teams off a loss in a game in which they were laying at least 9.5 bounce back to the tune of 101-72-5, though only 2-5 the last seven. This includes 63-40 on the road. This super system favors the Chiefs. Teams with at least three wins and off their first loss, when it is a blowout of 25 or more points, are 0-6 ats since 1992. That would say to fade Buffalo and bet on KC. Home underdogs with a winning percentage of .800 or better are 61-40-3. This would favor Buffalo.
Odds: The Chiefs opened up at -3.5 and 58, but are up to -5.5, though the total has dropped to 55.5.
Public betting percentages: As is almost always the case, the public is betting the road favorite with 64 percent of bets and 87 percent of cash on KC. A slight majority of 55 percent of tickets are on the over, with 52 percent of money on under.
Power ratings: The premier power ratings say Kansas City should be -6.5 and 50.5 with a projected final of the Chiefs winning 28-21.
Computer simulations ATS and OU: One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found KC covering the -5.5 by 51 percent, with 62 percent going under the 55.5. Their projected final is 29-22 in favor of the road teams. The other elite simulator has KC covering 53.9 percent of the time with 56.6 percent exceeding the total. Their game projection has KC winning by an average of 32.8-26.3.
Against the spread trends: Kansas City is 8-1 versus an opponent with a winning record. Buffalo is 6-2 versus an opponent with a winning record. Buffalo 7-3 series.
Over-under trends: KC over 11-4 after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game
Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. Promised made, promises delivered does it again. The outlier start that could only happen in 2020 is behind us. Winning days Saturday and Sunday, including 7-1 Sunday, sweeping Wise Guys led by NFL Game of the Year Detroit in a beatdown. In fact, the only NFL winner we had to sweat was big underdog Bengals blowing a 21-point lead but holding on.
5 ET NFL side. We told you we are about to explode and here we are. Together! Get the picks now
6-0 Early Sweep Led by the Industry’s NFL Game of the Year; SNF and NLCS
Never, ever, ever doubt the greatest handicapper to ever live. It’s been a 2020 hindsight start to the year you could say. But a complete 6-0 sweep of the early card, only the Bengals were a sweat! The entire industry’s NFL Game of the Year on the Lions wins! Were you on the outside looking in? Still time to win! SNF total, plus NLCS Game 7, heavily discounted. See night only option! Get the picks now
Wise Guy plays are your maximum play. Majors are .75 of Wise Guy plays. Game of the Year and Game of the Month plays still involve the same straight betting as above. While we believe all gamblers need only bet our plays we realize some pick and choose selections. Said distinction is for such ala carte players. All units won quoted on systems are based on one unit per bet.
NFL
Wise Guy
DETROIT -3 Jacksonville 1 ET
NFL Game of the Year
We have an angle that deals with fading struggling home underdogs that is a stunning 33-0 ats since 2012. Go with bad road teams off a loss that was not a blowout is 252-151-5. Road favorites off bye under specific circumstances that apply today are 69-33 for 67.6 percent.
CINCINNATI +7.5 Indianapolis 1 ET
Going with road underdogs off a road game is a very good play. There are many systems that apply to that, but the best one is 89-25-5 for 78.1 percent in the history of our database. However, another that has to do with coming off a rout loss is 57-19-1. One of our simulators has the Bengals covering 57.9 percent, which for NFL sides is a high percentage and in fact the strongest side this week.
Major
ATLANTA +4 Minnesota 1 ET
Many angles about going with bad teams, especially on the road apply. Historically, the NFL is the top regression to the mean sport. One about going with winless underdogs is 114-65. We also preach how it is tough to manufacture emotion. The firing of Dan Quinn will light a fire under this underachieving team.
Cincinnati-Indianapolis OVER 46 1 ET
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The over version goes over at a rate of 750-530-26 including 102-53-6 since 2018. It has never had a losing season. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found nearly 60 percent of simulations going over.
Houston-Tennessee OVER 53.5 1 ET
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The over version goes over at a rate of 750-530-26 including 102-53-6 since 2018. It has never had a losing season.