All posts by Joe Duffy

Odds to Win Super Bowl 59 From Top Rated Sportsbook

The odds to win the 2025 Super Bowl have been posted at Bovada Not surprisingly, the defending Super Bowl Champion and burgeoning dynasty, the Kansas City Chiefs are the favorites at +450, with the defending NFC Champs San Francisco next at +750. Fresh off a historic rookie season, Ohio State’s C.J. Stroud has the Houston Texans following closely behind at +850. At Joe Duffy’s Picks, we have Houston check marked as an overvalued team. Very few QBs not named Brady or Mahomes are able to follow up dream seasons successfully and fading Houston early in the season is likely going to be profitable. Of course, in making my premium picks at OffshoreInsiders.com many other factors will be taken into consideration at the time, but no doubt it will be difficult to get value on the Texans.

Speaking of the difficulty in repeating a dream season, last year’s shining example the Philadelphia Eagles offer great value at 12-1. With the nucleus of a team that lost by three-points in Super Bowl 57, they are grossly undervalued after last year’s skid in the postseason and playoff thrashing. Last off-season’s darling Detroit is +1300. Another once-chic Super Bowl pick Buffalo is a relative longshot at +1800. In stating the blatantly obvious, if signal caller Josh Allen ever improves his decision-making skills, the Bills will finally justify being among the Super Bowl favorites of years past. 

Super Bowl 59 Odds to Win

Kansas City Chiefs +450

San Francisco 49ers +750

Houston Texans +850

Baltimore Ravens +1200

Cincinnati Bengals +1200

Philadelphia Eagles +1200

Detroit Lions +1300

Dallas Cowboys +1500

Buffalo Bills +1800

Green Bay Packers +1800

Atlanta Falcons +2000

Los Angeles Rams +2500

New York Jets +2500

Miami Dolphins +3000

Pittsburgh Steelers +3300

Cleveland Browns +3500

Los Angeles Chargers +3500

Chicago Bears +4000

Jacksonville Jaguars +4500

Minnesota Vikings +5500

Indianapolis Colts +6000

Tampa Bay Buccaneers +6500

Seattle Seahawks +7000

Las Vegas Raiders +8000

Arizona Cardinals +8500

Denver Broncos +10000

New Orleans Saints +10000

New York Giants +12500

Washington Commanders +12500

New England Patriots +17500

Tennessee Titans +20000

Carolina Panthers +25000

We are also big fans of MYBookie which pays on time, every time and offers much lower juice than the books you see advertised on national TV. 

Friday Free Bet For Mother’s Day Weekend

And the beat goes on. Astros win as AL Early Evening Game of the Year as only Wise Guy as we are 13-6 overall together! Eastern Conference Playoff Twosome of the Year leads a 4-0 NBA sweep, plus prop bet. We do not bet parlays, but this named play is the Knicks-Pacers side and total and the equivalent of a Parlay of the Year. We are betting side and total individually. Four MLB winners from that recently acquired super system that has made us some nice change together already and five MLB prop bets from Deep Pockets all at OffshoreInsiders.com

Free premium pick:

ST. LOUIS +120 Milwaukee

Normal homefield advantage is in the -120 range without juice and +114.5 for the dog taking juice into account. But the Cards are seven games below .500 and Milwaukee is seven games above, yet the line implies they are very close to being dead even. 

When the records imply the road team should be a much bigger underdog, listen to the message the oddsmakers are telling us and go with the underachieving away squad is +112.96 and 10.7 ROI. 

Free Baseball Pick From #1 Rated Sports Handicapper in History

Joe Duffy has a night game as AL Interdivisional TBS Game of the Year as yesterday swept MLB and went 3-1 overall yesterday thanks to the magic of AI. Two NBA plus an NHL winner as well as two MLB prop bets. But the closest thing to a lock in sports is a named play from Joe Duffy and here we are! It’s all at OffshoreInsiders.com

FREE PICK FROM BEST SPORTS HANDICAPPER IN MLB BETTING

TORONTO +105 Philadelphia 

The secret to my success as a full-time handicapper and pro gambler since June 1, 1988? There are many, but many of my gambling Golden Rules fit under the umbrella of using the oddsmakers knowledge against them. For example, in every sport, when a line or pointspread appears completely out of whack with the straight up records, go with the counterintuitive pick. 

Toronto is 16-19 all, 8-12 on the road, yet only getting a little juice against a team 25-11 overall, 14-6 at home and lately unbeatable in Philly. A system that says go with the much worse road team based on record that is not a large underdog is +112.76 units and 10.8 ROI. When the team we are betting on is off a loss, the ROI goes up to 12.4 percent. An undervalued versus overvalued road team in non-divisional game is +101.48 units and 20.1 ROI. Bad road underdogs off a loss not part of a long losing streak is +104.79 units and 14.3 ROI. 

Jose Berrios has been fantastic for Toronto with a paltry .278 OBP against. 

Free NBA Playoff Pick ATS for May 1

Four NBA winning bets, plus two MLB runline winners for Wednesday. Five MLB player props from Joe Duffy at OffshoreInsiders.com

Free winning NBA playoff bet from Joe Duffy for May 1:

DALLAS -2.5 LA Clippers at Bovada

Math pointspread game based on points per game averages of both teams and the line gives us value to the tune of 850-577-31. Playoff favorite angle under specific situations that apply in this game are 540-386-13. Playoff teams bounceback as loss as a favorite at 220-154-5. 

As more and more states rightfully legalize gambling, more squares come out of the woodwork and more oddsmakers have to adjust to Joeybagofdonuts over-reacting. This is why our advanced analytics, which exploits that, is better than ever. 

Do Oddsmakers Agree with Disgraced Tout OC Dooley that Carson Beck is a Role Player

Deion Sanders has the college football world buzzing about his Buffaloes again. Retired tout Oscar Dooley has shouted from the rooftops that Carson Beck is merely a “Role player” for Georgia. So this means he won’t be drafted? Oddsmakers disagree with the disgraced capper, who went seven years without making a sale before rolling over and calling it a career.

Colorado’s Spring Game incited fresh stories about team transfers, feel-good scholarships and, of course, Shedeur Sanders. 

Following last week’s draft, sportsbooks around the globe made Sanders the favorite to be selected No. 1 overall in the 2025 NFL Draft, with odds ranging from 2/1 to 3/1. 

However, odds have moved against Sanders at one site. 

SportsBetting  currently shows Carson Beck and Quinn Ewers as co-favorites. Sanders opened with 2/1 odds, but is now third on the list at 5/1.

“We initially set Shedeur as the fave, mostly due to the ongoing Colorado-Deion hype, and we wanted to see how the bettors reacted,” a representative from the sportsbook said. “He should’ve never been the favorite as we’ve taken money on just about everyone but Sanders over the past 72 hours.”

If you are able to use this information, please consider citing the source.

No. 1 Overall Pick – 2025 NFL Draft

Carson Beck                  4/1

Quinn Ewers                 4/1

Shedeur Sanders           5/1

James Pearce                6/1

Drew Allar                    12/1

Mykel Williams             12/1

Travis Hunter                16/1

Cam Ward                    20/1

Garrett Nussmeier        25/1

Jalen Milroe                  25/1

Jaxson Dart                   25/1

Conner Weigman          28/1

Patrick Payton               28/1

Harold Perkings            33/1

J.T. Tuimoloau              33/1

Abdul Carter                 40/1

Marvin Jones Jr.            50/1

Fight Odds: Mike Tyson vs. Jake Paul

Now that the Mike Tyson vs. Jake Paul fight is officially on the books as a sanctioned boxing match, let’s take a look at how the odds have shifted.

On March 7, when the fight was first announced, SportsBetting  made Paul a -300 (1/3) favorite against the Tyson, who was listed as a 5/2 (+250) underdog. 

As wagers have flooded in over the last 53 days, the odds have moved toward the old man. Here is the current fight line:

Mike Tyson       +190

Jake Paul          -240

SportsBetting has also completed a semi-scientific survey that asked America who was going to win the fight on July 20. 

The site tracked tweets using geotagged Twitter data during the last 30 days in order to see every’s states prediction for the fight.

For example, the sampling included tweets such as “Mike Tyson will KO Jake Paul,” “Mike Tyson will kill Jake Paul,” “Mike Tyson will destroy Jake Paul,” “Jake Paul will beat Mike Tyson,” “I’m betting on Jake Paul,” etc. 

More than 300,000 tweets were tracked in total, and below is the infomap that shows the state-by-state results.

Tyson/Paul infomap: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1e7UsuPbA8_03XzugVwiq2MATFSqyzPmv/view?usp=sharing

As you can see, only eight states think Paul can emerge victorious. The other 42 U.S. states are all pulling for the man formerly known as Kid Dynamite. 

Free MLB Pick For Friday

Grandmaster Joe Duffy wins with Sixers as only Wise Guy. Another Wise Guy amog five NBA plus three NHL sides.  Juicy Lucies are either moneyline dogs or runline favorites in which we get at last 140. Six MLB winners led by a Juicy Lucy at OffshoreInsiders.com

Free MLB pick from best baseball sports service Joe Duffy. 

PHILADELPHIA -110 San Diego at MYBookie  

Quality road teams versus opponent off a road game is +120.09 units and 9.1 ROI. 

This game is for Friday, April 26, 2024

MLB Free Winning Pick Moneyline Underdog Exploiting AI in Betting

What an NBA Monday it is for Joe Duffy’s Picks with six NBA led by a Wise Guy. Three NHL sides qs well. We win again yesterday in both NBA and MLB, 4-2 in each including NL Sunday Interdivisional Game of the Year on underdog Marlins. 9-4 NBA, 7-4 MLB with many dogs. Three MLB and one NBA player prop bets. Just count your winnings folks. OffshoreInsiders.com

Free winning pick for Monday is:

BALTIMORE +100 LA Angels at MyBookie 

Going with quality road underdogs versus opponent off a road game are 582-408 for 58.8 percent winners, +118.09 units and 9 ROI. 

MLB Report For Pro Bettors For Today

Baseball report, April 1 from Joe Duffy. Bet these at Bovada

Non-divisional away favorites in MLB, touted by a gambling radio network for years favors: Atlanta, Boston, Cleveland, NY Yankees, St. Louis

Wind blowing in angle that favors the under is and favors these games UNDER today: Pittsburgh-Washington, St. Louis-San Diego, Colorado-Chicago

💰💰💰Top expert pick is from Joe Duffy at OffshoreInsiders.com The Grandmaster nails only college bet on NC. State part of 6-2 overall Sunday. All five MLB picks were underdogs! Get NBA OU plus two MLB winners, both at 9:40 ET or later and three NBA prop bets.