The Pittsburgh Steelers take on the New York Giants at 7:10 ET in the opening game of the Monday Night Football doubleheader.  The big story is the return of QB Ben Roethlisberger for Pittsburgh. Reports say he has been looking sharp in practice rebounding from another series injury. Also RB James Conner is back after missing six games with an injury last season.

Odds: Pittsburgh is -6 with a total of 45 at NFL live lines. It opened at -3.5 and 47 -115 at Betonline

Public betting percentages: The public loves their road favorites and no exception here as 74% of bets and 78% of cash is on Pittsburgh. Though 53% of tickets are on the over, 79% of money is on the under, implying a sharp bet for the under say many who study betting patterns.

Power ratings: The top power ratings have Pittsburgh winning by just a 23-20 score.

Computer simulations ATS: One simulation model has the Giants covering 50 percent of the time, but with pushes, makes them a slight lean. Likewise the other elite simulator gives a slight edge, but to Pittsburgh at 50.3-46.6, the remaining projected pushes.

Computer simulations OU: 57 percent of simulations go under according to one-program. The other agrees by a 51.3-47.3 ratio, with the remaining expected to land right on the number.

Against the spread trends: Pittsburgh is 2-7 in week 1, but so are the Giants. New York is also 3-12-1 at home,

Over-under trends: Pittsburgh has gone under 22-5 road favorites.

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Week 2 NFL odds are up at top sportsbooks such as Bet Now Winning picks at OffshoreInsiders.com  Follow us on social media: YouTube, Facebook, Periscope, VK, OK, Twitter, Instagram (new and hot), Pinterest.

Betonline, home of the opening line has released opening lines for SEC week 1, September 26. Follow the Twitter sports betting feed for breaking gambling, sports handicapping, and wagering intel including free sports picks and information.

Nobody has dominated any sport the way Joe Duffy has the NFL for decades. The NFL Specialist has just unleashed seven NFL winner led by Wise Guy side. Saturday college football winner is also posted.  Get the picks now

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UTSA-Texas State OVER 57 at MYBookie where several high money, low-entry fee football betting contests are up.

With 33 years in the industry, to say the least I’ve developed more than my share of contacts. The leader of a very good syndicate that is probably the tops with “organic handicapping” told me this is their strongest bet of the young season so far. Why, Texas San Antonio will really up the tempo under new coach Jeff Traylor. Depth at WR is a strength for them. Texas State’s defense was lit up by SMU and showed little ability to pressure the QB. Sincere McCormick will keep the defense honest as he is one of the top RBs in the conference.

Texas State’s offense did seem to tire against SMU, but had overall success. Texas State’s offense is upgraded, UTSA’s will play at a faster tempo. One of our models has this game going over 55.7 percent of the time. Overacheiving defenses based on delta points allowed go over 243-205-8.  Delta points allowed is how many points they allowed relative to the oddsmakers posted team total or implied total based on the odds and spread.

College football week 1 fade the public, sportsbook betting percentages report on latest betting odds

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Louisville 80, Texas State 79; Kansas UNDER 97

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Florida State 95, Texas 91; Western Kentucky OVER 99, Army UNDER 99

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Army -16 now -21, North Carolina -19 now -23

There are several theories on how to use this information. Percentage of bets counts a $5 bet the same as a $5,000 wager. Many of those who believe in betting against the public assert the most valuable fades are from the person betting $10 on a seven-team parlay.

Some sharps declare that the bookies always win, so root for the same games they are hoping win. Thus, fading the liabilities wins most long-term. The top sports handicapper Joe Duffy explains how the sharpest gamblers exploit contrarian betting, weighing information accordingly.

After scrutinizing and researching the results for more than a year, Joe Duffy’s Picks has resolutely concluded the best picks are further enhanced by adding the top two computer simulation programs to our arsenal. His winners are at OffshoreInsiders.com