All posts by Joe Duffy

Bills vs. Jets Daily Wager Betting Tips Week 1 2020 NFL Season

New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills sports gambling preview. Sam Darnold, who is high on the list of sportsbooks “first quarterback to get benched” props, goes against fellow youngster Josh Allen.

Odds: Buffalo is -6.5 -115 at Bovada live NFL lines with low total of 39.5. Last season, totals under 40 went under at a 15-8-1 rate. This has been the case since 2013 as all games since then with totals in the 30s have gone under 61-43-1, 59-40-1 just regular season. The game opened -6 -115.

Public betting percentages: Though 66 percent of bets are on the Bills, 56 percent of money are on the J-E-T-S, implying the dog is the sharp bet thus far. Likewise, there is a massive dichotomy in totals betting with 54% percent of tickets on over, yet 95 of money on the under. Many sharps say this is pro money on the under the total.

Power ratings: Massey Ratings expects a competitive game, giving the Bills the edge in a projected 21-17 final.

Computer simulations ATS: Strangely enough, the is massive disagreement between the two elite simulation software projections. One has the Jets covering 6.5 at a 68.9 percent to 31 percent ratio. The other has Buffalo model simulations covering a whopping 59 percent, making it a very strong computer play.

Computer simulations OU: Both programs see this game going under. One model has 73.8 percent of the simulations going under. The other agrees, but at a less eye-popping 54 percent.

Against the spread trends: New York Jets are 3-10 to AFC East. Underdog has covered 8-of-10 in the series.

Over-under trends: Buffalo under 6-1 overall. New York Jets under 5-1 overall.

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Browns vs. Ravens Point Spread Betting Breakdown From Top Gambling Expert

The Cleveland Browns are at divisional rival Baltimore Ravens. Will Browns QB Baker Mayfield rebound from a disappointing season and can Ravens MVP Lamar Jackson follow up his dream season?

Odds: Shop around because odds range from Baltimore -7.5 to -8 and the juice is all over as well. That total is 48 at Bovada NFL odds.

Public betting percentages: Just 54 percent of wagers are on the Ravens, which 59 percent of cash on Browns. The abnormal percentage on the dog indicates a sharp bet on Cleveland.

Power ratings: Massey Power Ratings have Baltimore coming out on top 27-20.

Computer simulations ATS: Exploiting the top two simulation programs, we see the Browns win to the number 54.9 percent to 43 for Baltimore, with the remainders falling on the number of 8. Another high-profile and sought-after simulator has Baltimore cashing on 56 percent, a very significant percentage by said program’s standards. The Ravens are one of said software’s best bets.

Computer simulations OU: Each program has a strong lean towards the over, one at 57.3-42.6 percent at 48.5, though 57.3-38.8 at 48, with quite a few pushes. The other trusted simulator has 56 percent of computer generated final scores going over,

Against the spread trends: Cleveland is 9-19-1 to AFC North, 17-38-1 underdogs. Ravens are 9-2 overall, yet 2-8 home favorites. Road team is 15-5-1 lately, including the Browns 7-3 in the Charm City.

Over-under trends: Cleveland has gone under 8-2 underdogs.

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NFL Lock Pick Betting Breakdown Dolphins vs. Patriots Gambling Tips

The Miami Dolphins take on the New England Patriots week 1 of Sunday NFL betting. The Patriots begin the post-Tom Brady era. Cam Newton makes his debut for New England, while forever young Ryan Fitzpatrick tosses the pigskin for Miami.

Odds: New England is -6.5 -115 with a total of 43 at NFL live lines, latest odds at MyBookie. It opened Pats -7 and -115.

Public betting percentages: Though 52 percent of wagers are on New England, a stunning 65 percent of money on Dolphins. This strongly implies sharp money on the Fins and the public rarely backs underdogs, especially in this price range.

Power ratings: Massey Ratings has New England squeezing out a 24-16 win.

Computer simulations ATS: Our top programs are clashing as one has Miami covering 6.5 58.5-41.6 percent of the time. The other elite simulation has the Pats beating the bookies 58 percent of replications.

Computer simulations OU: One tells us the game goes over 52.9 percent to 44, the remaining games land on 43. The other elite simulator also has a mild 51 percent exceeding the number.

Against the spread trends: Miami is 7-17 on field turf, but 7-2 last nine to AFC. Pats are 1-6-1 on field turf. New England is 7-1 at home in the series as the home team is 13-3 head-to-head.

Over-under trends: Miami has gone over 6-1 underdogs.

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Thursday Night Football Official Betting Preview Texans vs. Chiefs

The Houston Texans take on the Kansas City Chiefs to open the 2020 NFL season.

Odds: Kansas City is laying -9 with a total of 54.5 at Bovada live NFL lines.

Public betting percentages: 57 percent of bettors and 69 percent of cash is on Kansas City with 52 percent of tickets on over, but 57 percent of money on the under. This implies some sharp money on the under.

Power ratings: Massey Ratings projects a 28-23 Chiefs victory.

Computer simulations ATS: One of our simulation programs has Kansas City covering 51.9 percent of the time, Houston 46.3 with the remaining pushes. Another of our simulators has the Chiefs winning ats 54 percent.

Computer simulations OU: Our programs are split on the total with one having 60 percent going under, with the other saying over 52.3-44.9 to the over, the remaining percentage pushing.

Against the spread trends: Houston 2-8 Thursdays. Kansas City is 7-0-1 favorites, 23-9-1 to AFC. Road team is 9-3 in the series.

Over-under trends: Houston under 11-5 grass.

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. Nobody has dominated any sport the way Joe Duffy has the NFL for decades. The NFL Specialist has just unleashed seven NFL winner led by Wise Guy sideCollege football winner is also posted at OffshoreInsiders.com

 

Oddsmakers Say Giannis Antetokounmpo Trade Strongly Possible

With the Bucks on the brink of elimination, many have been speculating whether or not Giannis Antetokounmpo will be traded before or during next season.

The oddsmakers agree with the bubble rumors that have the Heat and Raptors favored should Milwaukee trade Antetokounmpo or not sign him to a supermax deal. The Pelicans, Knicks and 76ers round out the top 5 odds.

Also below are updated futures odds for the NBA Finals, Eastern Conference and Western Conference.

Odds are courtesy of SportsBetting

Giannis Antetokounmpo next team 

Heat  +300  (3/1)

Raptors  +400  (4/1)

Pelicans  +500  (5/1)

Knicks  +500  (5/1)

76ers  +500  (5/1)

Celtics  +800  (8/1)

Clippers  +800  (8/1)

Mavericks  +1000  (10/1)

Lakers  +1000  (10/1)

Pacers  +1200  (12/1)

Rockets  +1200  (12/1)

Warriors  +1200  (12/1)

Bulls  +2000  (20/1)

Jazz  +2000  (20/1)

Trail Blazers  +2000  (20/1)

Nets  +2500  (25/1)

NBA Championship
Los Angeles Clippers 7/4 +175
Los Angeles Lakers 3/1 +300
Boston Celtics 5/1 +500
Miami Heat 5/1 +500
Houston Rockets 12/1 +1200
Toronto Raptors 14/1 +1400
Milwaukee Bucks 25/1 +2500
Denver Nuggets 66/1 +6600
Eastern Conferfence
Miami Heat 5/4 +125
Boston Celtics 13/10 +130
Toronto Raptors 7/1 +700
Milwaukee Bucks 12/1 +1200
Western Conference
Los Angeles Clippers 4/5 -125
Los Angeles Lakers 7/4 +175
Houston Rockets 6/1 +600
Denver Nuggets 33/1 +3300

Incredible NFL Prop Bets For Season Unleashed

Thursday can’t come soon enough for NFL fans and bettors.

There are so many storylines heading into the 2020 season, and oddsmakers have come up with prop bets for just about every one of them.

Which quarterback will be benched first? Will Tom Brady or Drew Brees retire? Will Aaron Rodgers be starting for the Packers this time next year?

Those are just a few of the intriguing props provided below.

Odds are courtesy of SportsBetting. Please consider citing or linking back the source if you are able to use the information in your content.

First quarterback to be benched during 2020 regular season 

Dwayne Haskins +150

Ryan Fitzpatrick +225

Mitch Trubisky +250

Sam Darnold +500

Tyrod Taylor +500

Cam Newton +700

Gardner Minshew +800

Philip Rivers +1400

Aaron Rodgers +2500

Which second-year quarterback will win more games?

Daniel Jones +150

Kyler Murray +200

Drew Lock +300

Dwayne Haskins +500

Will Ryan Fitzpatrick be benched during regular season? 

Yes -900

No +500

How many starts will Tua Tagovailoa make?

Over 8.5

Under 8.5

Will Dwayne Haskins be benched during regular season? 

Yes -400

No +250

How many starts will Alex Smith make?

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

Will Mitch Trubisky be benched during regular season? 

Yes -140

No +100

How many starts will Nick Foles make?

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

Will Tyrod Taylor be benched during regular season? 

Yes -130

No -110

How many starts will Justin Herbert make?

Over 6.5

Under 6.5

Will Cam Newton be benched during regular season? 

Yes -130

No -110

How many starts will Jarrett Stidham make?

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

How many interceptions will Cam Newton throw in Week 1?

Over 1

Under 1

Will Derek Carr be benched during regular season? 

Yes -150

No +110

How many starts will Marcus Mariota make?

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

Will Aaron Rodgers be Packers starting QB in Week 1 of 2021 season?

Yes -300

No +240

Will Derek Carr be Raiders starting QB in Week 1 of 2021 season?

Yes +110

No -140

Will Gardner Minshew be Jaguars starting QB in Week 1 of 2021 season?

Yes +110

No -140

Will Philip Rivers be Colts starting QB in Week 1 of 2021 season?

Yes -140

No +110

Will Tom Brady retire after the 2020 season?

Yes +200

No -300

Will Drew Brees retire after the 2020 season?

Yes -200

No +150

Will Bill Belichick be Patriots head coach Week 1 of 2021 season?

Yes -250

No +200

Will Ben Roethlisberger miss a full game due to injury?

Yes -120

No -120

Will Carson Wentz miss a full game due to injury?

Yes -140

No +100

Will Cam Newton miss a full game due to injury?

Yes +100

No -140

Will Kyler Murray miss a full game due to injury?

Yes -120

No -120

Will Lamar Jackson miss a full game due to injury?

Yes -120

No -120

Will Rob Gronkowski miss a full game due to injury?

Yes -150

No +110

How many games will Rob Gronkowski miss?

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

How many games will J.J. Watt miss?

Over 4.5

Under 4.5

How many games will Todd Gurley miss?

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

Will Christian McCaffrey have 1,000+ yards in both rushing and receiving?

Yes +375

No -500

Will Frank Gore rush for more than 500 yards?

Yes -160

No +130

Will Antonio Brown play in any games during regular season?

Yes +110

No -150

How many players will be suspended during the regular season?

Over 12.5

Under 12.5

How many NFL players will be arrested during the regular season?

Over 6.5

Under 6.5

Which city’s teams will have more combined regular season wins?

Los Angeles (Chargers, Rams) -250

New York (Jets, Giants) +170

Will all division winners win at least 9 games?

Yes -200

No +150

Most wins for a team during regular season

Over 13.5

Under 13.5

Most losses for a team during regular season

Over 13.5

Under 13.5

Largest margin of victory in Week 1

Over 37.5

Under 37.5

Will any team score more than 40 points in Week 1?

Yes +170

No -250