Joe Duffy’s news and notes for NFC North Division. Duffy says the Packers at +255 is the best bet. But in the case of Matt Stafford, when you least expect it, expect it! Duffy is the top NFL handicapper in history and has full-season pick packs up now at OffshoreInsiders.com

Bears +168 Odds

• Among best defenses in NFL
• Football Outsiders document how dominating defenses take a step back
• Also third luckiest team in terms of injuries according to Football Outsiders
• Lost DC Vic Fangio
• QB Mitch Trubisky fantastic athlete, but must improve passing game
  • Better for defense
• Gave up top two draft picks to get Khalil Mack
• Expect to regress

Vikings +185 odds

• Not a Kirk Cousins guy, but offense he will run this year similar to one he had in Washington
• Top heavy at WR with Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs but not much depth
• Pass coverage among best in NFL
• Great defense, if zone-based offense clicks, could be a very good team

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Packers +255 odds

• Matt LaFleur, new HC, breathes new life and Aaron Rodgers will be out to prove Packers better without Mike McCarthy
• Rodgers revealed he played hurt all season
• Has big weapon in Devonte Adams and underrated RB Aaron Jones
  • Jones led league at 5.5 yards per rush
• TE Jimmy Graham is off bad year but big upside
• GB added several key players on defense in free agency and top two draft picks

Lions +1250 odds

• Never been a fan of Matt Stafford but when least expect it
  • OC Darrell Bevell the latest to try to rescue the coach killer
• First-round rookie tight end T.J. Hockenson is stud
• Marvin Jones and Danny Amendola good WRs
• Detroit has few glaring weaknesses on either side of ball
• Among most improved in free agency

Joe Duffy has six NFL and a night MLB winner Thursday night at OffshoreInsiders.com He is widely accepted as the top sports bettor of all-time. Here is a look at his news and notes.

MLB critical intel presented as well.

Thursday, August 8, 2019

Broncos-Seahawks

• Broncos have a game under their belt
• Broncos TE Jeff Jeuerman is questionable
  • 31 receptions last year in just 11 games
• New Broncos QB Joe Flacco gets the start, though won’t play much
• Geno Smith starts at QB for Sattle as starter Russell Wilson will sit
  • Paxton Lynch will follow as he tries to salvage his career

Falcons-Dolphins

• Falcons with game under their belt
• Atlanta’s rebuilt OL has struggled in camp
• Dolphins have one of the best QB battles with Ryan Fitzpatrick and Josh Rosen
  • Fitzpatrick starts tonight
• Falcons starting QB Matt Ryan will start, but not play much
• WR Julio Jones and LB among 8-10 starters who will not play for Atlanta
• Miami far and away most lopsided bet in money percentage at 89 percent

Titans-Eagles

• Eagles oft-injured starting QB Carson Wentz is doubtful as precaution
• Talented Eagles backup QB Nate Sudfeld will get substantial playing time

Cowboys-49ers

• Cowboys franchise RB Zeke Elliot is out with contract dispute
• Niners big offseason acquisition RB Jerik McKinnon is out
• 49ers prized rookie DE Nick Bosa is out for preseason

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Colts-Bills

• Colts franchise QB Andrew Luck is out as will be most Indy starters
• Bills are very deep at RB
• Colts biggest consensus in percentage of bets at 67
• Bills expected to play starters for a quarter

Chargers-Cardinals

• Chargers OL is among the worst in the league and now without Russell Okung
• Debut of Cardinals Air Raid offense under questionable hire head coach Kliff Kingsbury
• Prized Cards rookie QB Kyler Murray will play one series

Patriots-Lions

• Pats Hall-of-Fame QB Tom Brady doubtful
• Pats rookie QB Jarrett Stidham has gotten rave reviews in camp and should see significant playing time
• Brian Hoyer will also get some playing time and Danny Etling could see mop-up duty
• Patriots need to establish pass catchers

Texans-Packers

• Packers LB Preston Smith is questionable with nagging injury
  • 24 sacks in 64 games
  • Prized free agent in offseason
• Houston has a battle of unproven players clashing for backup RB behind Lamar Miller
• Packers have a new head coach in Matt LaFleur
• Texans backup QB A.J. McCarron is doubtful with thumb injury

Redskins-Browns

• Browns RB Duke Johnson is out
  • 40 carries for 201 yards last year, a big drop-off from season before
• Washington could be pass-happy as three-way battle for starting QB: Colt McCoy, Case Keenum, and Dwayne Haskins

Jets-Giants

• New Jets franchise RB Le’Veon Bell is out
• Giants controversial draft pick rookie QB Daniel Jones has played well in camp

Cubs-Reds 

Cole Hamels 1.18 WHIP for season, 1.23 last three

• Slightly worse on road at 1.31 and at night 1.41
• Cubs 12-6 when he starts

Alex Wood 1.15 WHIP in two starts

• Reds won both of his starts

Team trends

• Cubs 44-56 since June 17, 2018 on the road -17.68 units and -14.6 ROI
• Reds are 10-5 lately and 11-3 on runline, the latter a stunning 45.8 ROI
• Cubs under 16-10-3 road

Phillies-Giants

Aaron Nola 10-2 on year, Phillies 16-8 in his starts

• Allowed 1 ER or less in 7-of-9 starts
• .97 WHIP last three starts
• Is worse both on road at a night
• Phillies over 15-8 with home

Madison Bumgarner .297 OBP against, .270 at home, though .320 at night

• Giants over 14-7 with Bumgarner

Team Trends

• Phillies under 6-2 road
• Giants under 16-7 lately

Indians-Twins

Mike Clevinger .276 overall OBP, though .309 at night, .321 road

• Cleveland 7-3 in his starts

Kyle Gibson generous .307 OBP, 1.25 WHIP

• .277 OBP at home and 1.08 WHIP
• Twins 15-7 in this starts

Team trends:

• Cleveland under 60-35-4 since 2015 road underdogs
• Indians 39-16 overall run +16.74 units, 18.5 ROI
  • ROI is 19.2 on runline
• Twins over 12-5 lately

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Books have set odds on the possibility of players such as Ezekiel Elliott and Melvin Gordon holding out beyond the preseason. 

Additionally, the site SportsBetting has rolled out odds to capture the NFL’s passing, receiving and rushing titles.

Matt Ryan and Patrick Mahomes are favored to lead the league in passing while Julio Jones sits atop a lengthly list of players for the receiving title. Elliott is just ahead of Saquon Barkley for the odds to be the rushing leader for the second straight season.

According to the numbers, oddsmakers anticipate that Elliott and Jadeveon Clowney will end their holdouts and play in Week 1 of the regular season, but they don’t expect Melvin Gordon or Trent Williams to be suited up for their respective teams. 

Will Ezekiel Elliott play for Cowboys in Week 1 of regular season?
Yes -200
No +150

Will Melvin Gordon play for Chargers in Week 1 of regular season?
Yes +200
No -300

Will Jadeveon Clowney play for Texans in Week 1 of regular season?
Yes -250
No +170

Will Trent Williams play for Redskins in Week 1 of regular season?
Yes +200
No -300

Which player will report to current team first?
Ezekiel Elliott -300
Melvin Gordon +200

Passing yards

Matt Ryan  4-1
Patrick Mahomes  4-1
Andrew Luck  6-1
Ben Roethlisberger  8-1
Jameis Winston  8-1
Aaron Rodgers  15-2
Baker Mayfield  12-1
Drew Brees  12-1
Carson Wentz  12-1
Tom Brady  20-1
Phillip Rivers  20-1
Deshaun Watson  20-1
Jared Goff  22-1
Kirk Cousins  33-1
Matthew Stafford  33-1
Kyler Murray  33-1
Derek Carr  33-1
Jimmy Garoppolo  33-1
Russell Wilson  66-1
Cam Newton  75-1
Dak Prescott  75-1
Sam Darnold  75-1
Mitchell Trubisky  100-1
Andy Dalton  100-1
Nick Foles  100-1
Ryan Fitzpatrick  100-1
Josh Rosen  125-1
Joe Flacco  125-1
Josh Allen  150-1
Dwayne Haskins  150-1
Marcus Mariota  150-1
Case Keenum  150-1
Ryan Tannehill  200-1
Lamar Jackson  200-1
Eli Manning  250-1
Colt McCoy  250-1
Daniel Jones  250-1
Drew Lock  250-1
Will Grier  250-1

Receiving yards

Julio Jones  6-1
Odell Beckham  8-1
Michael Thomas  8-1
DeAndre Hopkins  9-1
Mike Evans  10-1
Tyreek Hill  10-1
JuJu Smith-Schuster  10-1
Davante Adams  10-1
Antonio Brown  12-1
TY Hilton  14-1
Adam Thielen  16-1
Keenan Allen  18-1
Amari Cooper  28-1
Stefon Diggs  30-1
Brandin Cooks  30-1
Kenny Golladay  30-1
Travis Kelce  40-1
Tyler Lockett  40-1
Tyler Boyd  40-1
Robert Woods  50-1
George Kittle  50-1
Sammy Watkins  50-1
Zach Ertz  50-1
Calvin Ridley  66-1
Julian Edelman  66-1
Desean Jackson  66-1
Robby Anderson  66-1
Demaryius Thomas  75-1
Chris Godwin  75-1
Courtland Sutton  75-1
DJ Moore  75-1
Sterling Shepard  80-1
Marvin Jones  80-1
Allen Robinson  80-1
Alshon Jeffrey  80-1
Marquise Goodwin  80-1
Cooper Kupp  100-1
Jarvis Landry  100-1
N’Keal Harry  100-1
Mecole Hardman  100-1
DK Metcalf  100-1
Mike Williams  100-1
Corey Davis  100-1
Christian Kirk  100-1
Geronimo Allison  100-1
Emmanuel Sanders  125-1
Kenny Stills  125-1
Tyrell Williams  125-1
Will Fuller  125-1
Adam Humphries  150-1
Devin Funchess  150-1
John Brown  150-1
Larry Fitzgerald  150-1
Mohammed Sanu  150-1
Qunicy Enunwa  150-1
Randall Cobb  150-1
DeVante Parker  150-1

Rushing yards

Ezekiel Elliott  4-1
Saquon Barkley  11-2
Joe Mixon  10-1
Nick Chubb  10-1
Todd Gurley  12-1
Derrick Henry  12-1
Le’Veon Bell  14-1
Christian McCaffrey  16-1
Melvin Gordon  16-1
Leonard Fournette  20-1
Dalvin Cook  20-1
Marlon Mack  22-1
David Johnson  25-1
James Conner  25-1
Phillip Lindsay  33-1
Kerryon Johnson  33-1
Chris Carson  33-1
Sony Michel  33-1
Devonta Freeman  40-1
Alvin Kamara  40-1
Josh Jacobs  40-1
David Montgomery  40-1
Derrius Guice  40-1
Damien Williams  40-1
Mark Ingram  50-1
Aaron Jones  50-1
Jordan Howard  50-1
Rashaad Penny  50-1
Ronald Jones  66-1
Lamar Miller  75-1
Latavius Murray  75-1
Tevin Coleman  75-1
Kenyan Drake  80-1
Adrian Peterson  80-1
Carlos Hyde  100-1
LeSean McCoy  100-1
Matt Breida  100-1
Peyton Barber  100-1
Tarik Cohen  100-1
Jerrick McKinnon  100-1
Royce Freeman  100-1
Kyler Murray  100-1
Lamar Jackson  100-1
Josh Allen  100-1
Miles Sanders  100-1
CJ Anderson  150-1
Dion Lewis  200-1
Frank Gore  200-1
James White  200-1

SportsBetting is one of the vetted sportsbooks approved by the premier sports handicapping site OffshoreInsiders.com

NFL preseason week 1 NFL odds are posted at top online books such as Bovada and MyBookie Yes, Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com remains the top preseason handicapper in history and will have his famed preseason primer here at JoeDuffy.Net.

	Thur, Aug 8	SP/RL	TOTAL
PRESEASON – WEEK 1 – (Preseason Limits Available on Game Day)
7:05 PM
251	Jets	-1½ (-105)	33½ (-110)
252	Giants	+1½ (-115)	33½ (-110)
7:05 PM
253	Colts	PK (-109)	35 (-105)
254	Bills	PK (-111)	35 (-115)
7:35 PM
255	Patriots	-1½ (-110)	38 (-110)
256	Lions	+1½ (-110)	38 (-110)
7:35 PM
257	Redskins	+2 (-121)	35½ (-105)
258	Browns	-2 (EV)	35½ (-115)
7:35 PM
259	Falcons	+3 (-105)	36 (-102)
260	Dolphins	-3 (-115)	36 (-119)
7:35 PM
261	Titans	+3½ (-121)	37 (-105)
262	Eagles	-3½ (EV)	37 (-115)
7:35 PM
263	Jaguars	+4 (-105)	33½ (-110)
264	Ravens	-4 (-115)	33½ (-110)
8:05 PM
265	Texans	+2½ (-110)	36 (-110)
266	Packers	-2½ (-110)	36 (-110)
8:05 PM
267	Panthers	+3 (-101)	38 (-110)
268	Bears	-3 (-120)	38 (-110)
10:05 PM
271	Broncos	+2 (-121)	36 (-110)
272	Seahawks	-2 (EV)	36 (-110)
10:05 PM
269	Chargers	+2 (-105)	35 (-113)
270	Cardinals	-2 (-115)	35 (-107)
	Friday, 9th August 2019	SP/RL	TOTAL
PRESEASON – WEEK 1 – (Preseason Limits Available on Game Day)
7:35 PM
273	Buccaneers	+2½ (-110)	37 (-110)
274	Steelers	-2½ (-110)	37 (-110)
8:05 PM
275	Vikings	+3 (-126)	37 (-110)
276	Saints	-3 (+105)	37 (-110)
	Saturday, 10th August 2019	SP/RL	TOTAL
PRESEASON – WEEK 1 – (Preseason Limits Available on Game Day)
8:05 PM
277	Bengals	+3½ (-121)	36½ (-110)
278	Chiefs	-3½ (EV)	36½ (-110)
8:05 PM
279	Rams	+4 (-115)	36 (-110)
280	Raiders	-4 (-105)	36 (-110)
9:05 PM
281	Cowboys	+4 (-111)	36 (-110)
282	49ers	-4 (-109)	36 (-110)

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CFL

Major

Ottawa-Montreal UNDER 53

High totals go under at a 351-256-8 rate under specific circumstances that apply today.

The MLB trade deadline nearly came and went without a splash, but then Zack Greinke was dealt to the Astros, which caused a ripple in the World Series odds.

The site SportsBetting.ag (www.sportsbetting.ag) updated its futures odds following yesterday’s trade deadline. 

Last week, the Astros had 9/2 odds to win the World Series, which was third on the board at that time behind the Dodgers (3/1) and Yankees (7/2), but they are now the favorites following the Greinke acquisition.

Here is a timeline of the odds from preseason to All-Star Break to post-deadline:

Team	Current odds	All-Star Break odds	Preseason odds
Houston Astros	3/1	5/1	7/1
Los Angeles Dodgers	7/2	3/1	6/1
New York Yankees	9/2	4/1	6/1
Atlanta Braves	12/1	9/1	20/1
Minnesota Twins	14/1	9/1	50/1
Chicago Cubs	14/1	16/1	14/1
Cleveland Indians	16/1	25/1	12/1
St. Louis Cardinals	20/1	40/1	14/1
Boston Red Sox	25/1	22/1	8/1
Tampa Bay Rays	25/1	22/1	33/1
Washington Nationals	25/1	22/1	16/1
Milwaukee Brewers	33/1	22/1	16/1
Philadelphia Phillies	33/1	22/1	8/1
Oakland Athletics	40/1	40/1	33/1
New York Mets	66/1	150/1	18/1
San Francisco Giants	66/1	150/1	66/1
Los Angeles Angels	150/1	100/1	40/1
Cincinnati Reds	250/1	80/1	66/1
Arizona Diamondbacks	250/1	66/1	50/1
Colorado Rockies	500/1	66/1	25/1
San Diego Padres	500/1	66/1	50/1
Texas Rangers	500/1	50/1	250/1
Pittsburgh Pirates	N/A	100/1	80/1
Chicago White Sox	N/A	250/1	66/1
Seattle Mariners	N/A	500/1	66/1
Miami Marlins	N/A	1000/1	500/1
Toronto Blue Jays	N/A	1000/1	100/1
Baltimore Orioles	N/A	5000/1	500/1
Detroit Tigers	N/A	5000/1	250/1
Kansas City Royals	N/A	5000/1	250/1

Get every single pick in every single sport from now until Super Bowl Sunday at a huuuuuuuuuuge discount. Yes this takes you well into basketball season, college and NBA. 

The Broncos are getting a lot of support from football bettors in tonight’s Hall of Fame Game, and there have been a number of adjustments to the Week 1 regular season spreads. 

SportsBetting initially set the HOF Game spread at a pick ’em, but sharp action has pushed the line to Broncos -2.5. The game’s over/under is 34.

The site has already posted Week 1 preseason lines, which are below. The Chiefs and the Ravens are the heftiest favorites in their exhibition openers.

Additionally, since originally posting Week 1 regular season odds on April 17, 11 of the 16 game spreads have changed. The movements are notated below.

-Hall of Fame Game-

Broncos vs. Falcons (+2.5)
(opened PK)

-Preseason Week 1-

Jets at Giants (+2)

Colts at Bills (PK)

Patriots at Lions (+1.5)

Redskins at Browns (-2)

Titans at Eagles (-3.5)

Jaguars at Ravens (-4)

Texans at Packers (-2)

Panthers at Bears (-3)

Chargers at Cardinals (-2)

Buccaneers at Steelers (-2.5)

Vikings at Saints (-3)

Bengals at Chiefs (-5)

Rams at Raiders (-3)

Cowboys at 49ers (-3)

-Regular season Week 1-

Packers at Bears (-3.5)
 
Falcons at Vikings (-4.5)
(opened -5)
 
Redskins at Eagles (-8)
 
Bills at Jets (-3.5)
(opened -3)
 
Ravens at Dolphins (+4.5)
(opened +3.5)
 
49ers at Buccaneers (-1)
(opened -2)
 
Chiefs at Jaguars (+3.5)
(opened +5)
 
Titans at Browns (-5.5)
(opened -4.5)
 
Rams at Panthers (+3)
 
Bengals at Seahawks (-9)
(opened -7)
 
Colts at Chargers (-3)
 
Lions at Cardinals (+2.5)
(opened PK)
 
Giants at Cowboys (-7.5)
 

Steelers at Patriots (-6)
(opened -6.5)
 
Texans at Saints (-7)
(opened -7.5)
 
Broncos at Raiders (-2)
(opened -3)

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Also fantasy football bettors have plenty of chances to win big money, such as with betting on tackles and sacks.

2019 NFL Odds for Tackles & Sacks https://t.co/xVZqSOrTYI Today's winners at https://t.co/JXB6mIxNbA #sportsbetting #sportstips #freesportspicks

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Perhaps for some fantasy football players, the skilled position betting props are more appealing.

2019 NFL Odds for Passing, Rushing, and Receiving Yards https://t.co/LqZuw0oI6W Today's winners at https://t.co/JXB6mIxNbA #vegasbetting #freesportspicks #sportsgambling

— OffshoreInsiders.com (@offshoreinsider) July 30, 2019

Fantasy sports are not the only type of long-term wagering ways to make money. Check out some undervalued NFL teams to bet on this season.

Bad Teams that Could be Good NFL Betting Picks in 2019 https://t.co/7nOOUbsMcG Today's winners at https://t.co/JXB6mIxNbA #gamblingtwitter #sportsfreepicks #freesportspicks

— OffshoreInsiders.com (@offshoreinsider) July 30, 2019

Big day in baseball betting led by MasterLockLine:

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Let’s start out with the official gambling preview of the San Francisco Giants and Philadelphia Phillies.

Giants vs Phillies MLB Odds, Preview & Prediction https://t.co/lmdGfdlVPw Today's winners at https://t.co/JXB6mIxNbA #gamblingtwitter #gamblingtwitter #sportsfreepicks

— OffshoreInsiders.com (@offshoreinsider) July 30, 2019

The Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Yankees sports picks preview is also going to win you some big bucks.

Diamondbacks vs Yankees MLB Lines & Pick for Tuesday Night https://t.co/fsJgBbs2CF Today's winners at https://t.co/JXB6mIxNbA #gamblingtwitter #betting #vegasbetting

— OffshoreInsiders.com (@offshoreinsider) July 30, 2019

Sportsbooks fear you will check out this article on the Rays-Red Sox.

How to Bet Rays vs Red Sox MLB Spread & Expert Prediction https://t.co/uTnoyjwUEc Today's winners at https://t.co/JXB6mIxNbA #betting #sportsgambling #sportsbetting

— OffshoreInsiders.com (@offshoreinsider) July 30, 2019

Now it’s the Cubs-Cards betting tips.

Cubs vs Cardinals MLB Week 18 Lines & Game Preview https://t.co/DC7pVeaQbk Today's winners at https://t.co/JXB6mIxNbA #handicapping #betting #freesportspicks

— OffshoreInsiders.com (@offshoreinsider) July 30, 2019

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Following the peculiar recruiting and bizarre hiring of Kliff Kingsbury as head coach, the Arizona Cardinals are hopeful the alleged QB whisperer will band with top draft pick Kyler Murray to rise from the dregs of the NFL. Though Kingsbury had a rancid 19-35 SU record in Big 12 play at Texas Tech, the Redbirds have abundant conviction the college coaching washout will be triumphant in the pro ranks.

The Air Raid offense that Kliff will instill begets flashbacks of another coach’s cataclysmic climb to the NFL: Chip Kelly. There is little quarrel that talent-wise the Cards should be enhanced. Health alone should upgrade an OL that had to employ ten different starting combos last year. Best NFL handicappers at OffshoreInsiders.com note that they also added two cogs on the OL: J.R. Sweezy (Seattle) and Marcus Gilbert (Pittsburgh).

There was a period when NFL scouts frowned upon 5-foot-10 QBs and minimized athletic ones. Savior Kyler Murray is both. Future Hall-of-Fame WR Larry Fitzgerald did say Murray possesses, “crazy command of the offense.” The rookie will have a lot more weapons than Josh Rosen had last year. In addition to vets, Larry Fitzgerald and Christian Kirk are rookies Andy Isabella, and Hakeem Butler. The Cards will try to establish some TE depth during the preseason.

Expected to be on the field quite often, look for Arizona’s defense to suffer from the six-game suspension of playmaker Patrick Peterson. They need to be much deeper than the 3-13 distressed unit from last year. They aren’t.

Betting outlook for 2019: At best, this team is a work in progress. Kingsbury will likely go all-in on the thrill-a-minute and have some early season overs. He will eventually see the system is not sustainable and slow down the pace. The Cardinals will not be improved and will go under the season total at Bovada.