Get sports betting information and updates to beat the sportsbooks including sports handicapping information and how to beat the Vegas line. While beating the NFL lines and the NCAA college football odds is the specialty of GodsTips, we also have information on sports service plays on the MasterLockLine and beating the over/under Vegas betting line is the domain of Stevie Vincent.
Go with big away favorites versus opponent off a cover in a game that is expected to be high scoring is 237-153-4. BetQL has their projected line as -28 as one of their stronger bets. SportsLine gives us a slight edge with Coastal winning by 22. BettingPros has us with a slight edge.
Not a big contrarian bet, but our contrarian index does have squares betting on Temple. Public dogs generally die.
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Each Thursday or Friday, Betonline releases their look-ahead lines for the following week’s NFL matchups. These lines offer bettors an early glimpse into the spreads, but they are only available for a limited time. They are taken down on Sunday before the games kick off, only to be re-opened once the day’s action concludes.
Injuries and other major developments over the weekend can lead to significant line movements, as demonstrated this week with Jordan Love’s injury. When there’s a major shift between the look-ahead lines and the new lines, these movements are highlighted below. NFL Week 2 spreads are subject to further change at Betonline
NFL Week 2 Lines:
Thursday, September 12, 2024
Bills at Dolphins (-1½)
Sunday, September 15, 2024
Saints at Cowboys (-6½)
Buccaneers at Lions (-6)
Colts (-3) at Packers Note: The line opened with the Packers as -4 favorites, but shifted significantly after Jordan Love’s injury.
Jets (-4) at Titans
49ers (-5) at Vikings Note: Line opened at 49ers -6½.
Seahawks (-3½) at Patriots
Giants at Commanders (-3)
Chargers (-4½) at Panthers
Browns at Jaguars (-3)
Raiders at Ravens (-8½)
Rams (-2½) at Cardinals
Steelers (-3) at Broncos
Bengals at Chiefs (-6) Note: Line opened at Chiefs -4.
Bears at Texans (-6½) Note: Line opened at Texans -3½.
Monday, September 16, 2024
Falcons at Eagles (-6) Note: Line opened at Eagles -4.
These lines reflect the latest updates from Betonline as of this writing. Be sure to check back frequently for adjustments, as they can shift based on news, injuries, and public betting patterns.
🔥 The Top NFL Capper in History, by Far! 🔥⭐️ Sunday: NFL Best Bet of the Week among five Wise Guys and four Major NFL picks🔒 Wise Guys from Joe Duffy = The strongest bet in gambling 🏅 Best Bet of the Week backed by a 44-1 system. 📊 The most statistically significant betting angle in gambling history, Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com
In week 1, go with a team that missed the playoffs versus an opponent that made the playoffs the previous season is 86-60. It’s a classic over versus undervalued team based on perception. Home favorites under this situation are 18-6.
Kirk Cousins, while slightly overrated, is a substantial upgrade from the stiffs Atlanta has last year, namely Desmond Ridder, who couldn’t even make Arizona as a No. 3 starting QB.
Pittsburgh’s upgrade is slight as future Hall-of-Famer Russell Wilson hasn’t been good in four years. BetQL has Atlanta -5.5 giving us a modest edge in NFL picks.
The first week of the college football season is officially in the books, and with it, we’ve seen some intriguing shifts in future odds across the betting landscape. Bettors and fans alike are keeping a close eye on how Week 1 performances have impacted the odds, especially as teams begin to reveal their true potential—or lack thereof.
Notable Odds Shifts Among Top Contenders
Even the top teams in the nation saw slight adjustments in their odds, reflecting a nuanced response to their Week 1 performances. While the top two teams’ odds lengthened ever so slightly, USC made a more significant leap in the futures market. The Trojans, who were previously sitting at 100/1, saw their odds shorten dramatically to 25/1. This shift likely reflects a combination of a strong opening performance and growing confidence in their potential to make a deep run this season.
Meanwhile, Clemson, despite suffering a heavy defeat at the hands of Georgia, actually saw their odds improve from 50/1 to 40/1 at Betonline, the home of the opening line. This may seem counterintuitive, but Florida State’s two conference losses have reshaped the ACC landscape, leaving Clemson as a more viable contender in the conference and, by extension, for the national title. BetOnline review.
Florida State and Florida See Odds Plummet
On the other hand, Florida State’s chances of competing for a national title took a nosedive after their poor start. The Seminoles’ odds ballooned from 66/1 to a staggering 500/1, reflecting the severe blow their championship aspirations took with those two conference losses. Florida, too, saw a significant downgrade in their odds, moving from 300/1 to 500/1. It seems that the betting markets have lost faith in both Florida schools after Week 1.
Teams on the Rise
Several teams have emerged from Week 1 with improved odds, signaling growing optimism from oddsmakers. Miami, which opened the season at 28/1, now finds itself at 18/1. The Hurricanes’ strong showing in their opener has clearly impressed, suggesting that they could be a team to watch as the season progresses.
Oklahoma also saw a positive adjustment, moving from 80/1 to 50/1. The Sooners’ odds shift is a reflection of their solid Week 1 performance and the potential for them to be a sleeper team this season.
Arizona and Nebraska both saw their odds improve from 250/1 to 150/1. These adjustments indicate that while they may still be long shots, their Week 1 performances have earned them a more favorable position in the eyes of bettors.
Teams on the Decline
Conversely, some teams saw their odds lengthen after disappointing Week 1 showings. James Madison, a team that had some preseason buzz, saw its odds skyrocket from 100/1 to 1000/1, indicating that their opening performance did not inspire confidence. Baylor also found themselves in a similar situation, with their odds lengthening from 500/1 to 1000/1, reflecting doubts about their ability to contend this season.
Final Thoughts
Week 1 has already had a significant impact on the futures market, with some teams emerging as stronger contenders while others have seen their odds lengthen dramatically. As the season progresses, these odds will continue to shift, providing valuable insights into the evolving perceptions of each team’s championship potential. Bettors should keep a close eye on these movements as they could offer opportunities for strategic wagering in the weeks ahead.
Joe Duffy is 16-10 in college football thus far and has an insane weekend of college football and NFL bets up. Must see to believe OffshoreInsiders.com
Taking Michigan State +9.5 is a solid bet for several reasons.
First, the large point spread combined with a low total in a conference game is a historically profitable angle, with a record of 437-321-23. This trend indicates that when the oddsmakers expect a low-scoring game, getting nearly double-digit points is a significant edge for the underdog with our free football pick.
Recent Performance: Michigan State’s recent win against Florida Atlantic (16-10) shows they can compete in low-scoring games. Their defense held strong, which is crucial when betting on an underdog with a large spread.
Maryland’s Inconsistency: While Maryland had an impressive win against UConn, their performance can be inconsistent. Betting on Michigan State takes advantage of potential variability in Maryland’s play.
Historical Trends: Historically, Michigan State has performed well against the spread in similar situations. This trend, combined with the large point spread, increases the likelihood of them covering.
Motivation and Rivalry: Conference games often bring out the best in teams due to the rivalry and stakes involved. Michigan State will be highly motivated to perform well against a conference opponent.
Betting Market: The betting market often overvalues favorites, especially in conference games. This can create value on the underdog side, making Michigan State +9.5 an attractive bet.
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The Grandmaster is firing on all cylinders. 15-6 overall, 14-7 NFL, 7-3 football this week. The sharp bets both originate here and major syndicates have very similar systems and metrics. That’s why we release many winners early in week for best closing line value. Monday, we released WVU UNDER 48.5 and Navy +14.5. 7-1 Wise Guy plays. Lock in long-term.
Get nine NFL winners including Wise Guy on arguably the best game of the day, Pittsburg-Baltimore. Sides and totals are all part of the early stages of one of JDP’s historic runs. Get the picks now
SAN FRANCISCO +3 Seattle
Then undefeated Seahawks blew 27-14 lead to Arizona
Teams off first loss in which blew a lead of more than a touchdown and a go-against of 9-2
Larger bubble burst angle is 67-39-4
Road underdogs of three or more who have been much better on road are 129-89
Jimmy Garoppolo 11-3 underdog
Both teams banged up, but Seattle with nine guys who could miss
It may be an ugly game for non-bettors (if there is such a monster), but it’s a great opportunity for gamblers as the disappointing Atlanta Falcons take on the Carolina Panthers. Atlanta is 1-6 SU, 2-5 ATS, going over 4-3. Carolina is 3-4 SU, 4-3 ATS, splitting 3-3 on totals. Falcons WR Julio Jones has been on the injury report most of the season, but has been taken off,
Odds: Carolina is -2.5, though in some books at -115 or -120. The total is 48, though in a couple of shops barely juiced to the over as the under can be had for -105. Check out NFL live lines as the lines opened at -3 +100 and 51.5.
Public betting percentages: Bettors prefer Carolina with 63 percent of bets and 52 percent of cash on the home team. Sixty-six percent of bets and 69 percent of money are on the over.
Power ratings and computer simulations ATS and OU:: One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found 55 percent of simulation favor Atlanta with 64 percent going over. Another has Atlanta covering 53.3 percent of the time with 60.3 going under. Power ratings say Carolina should be -.5 and 50.5 with a 24-23 final expected in favor of Carolina.
Against the spread trends: Atlanta 2-8 after playing Lions, 6-22 after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game, 6-1 road. Carolina 7-1 after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game, 3-8 favorites.
Over-under trends: Atlanta under 10-0 after playing Detroit but over 20-8 versus an opponent with a losing record. Series under 11-3.
Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. And here we go! 13-7 NFL. Never, ever jump off the bandwagon of the greatest capper in history. Why do you think I’ve been a full-time handicapper since 1988? Thursday, NFL total. Get the picks now
The Grandmaster is firing on all cylinders. 15-6 overall, 14-7 NFL, 7-3 football this week. The sharp bets both originate here and major syndicates have very similar systems and metrics. That’s why we release many winners early in week for best closing line value. Monday, we released WVU UNDER 48.5 and Navy +14.5. 7-1 Wise Guy plays. Lock in long-term.
Get nine NFL winners including Wise Guy on arguably the best game of the day, Pittsburg-Baltimore. Sides and totals are all part of the early stages of one of JDP’s historic runs. Get the picks now
NEW ENGLAND +3.5 Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-2 SU, New England 2-4 SU so records imply Buffalo is better team significantly
Yet only -3.5 at home
Team with substantially worse SU record is not getting more than four points on road 142-81-7 including 65.5 percent if not getting more than 3.5
Not sold on Josh Allen
Completed 70% or more 3 times, all in first 4 games
Everything bettors must know for NFL betting for Sunday, October 25.
Best teams to bet on according to margin of cover. Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer.
Team
ATS Record
ATS margin
Miami
4-2
10.9
Pittsburgh
4-1
7.2
Arizona
4-2
6.7
Best teams to bet against in terms of margin of cover.
Team
ATS Record
ATS margin
NY Jets
0-6
-11.3
Dallas
0-6
-8.9
Jacksonville
2-4
-5.7
Best over teams based on average number of points they’ve gone over by
Team
Over Record
Over-Under margin
New Orleans
5-0
10.8
Dallas
4-2
10.7
Las Vegas
4-0-1
10.6
Tennessee
4-1
10.1
Best under teams based on average number of points they’ve gone under by
Team
Under Record
Over-Under margin
Arizona
6-0
-4.8
LA Rams
4-2
-4.1
NY Giants
5-2
-3.4
Sunday, 10 NFL winners led by Wise Guy from Joe Duffy’s Picks. Oh, last week Detroit wins as NFL GOY and yesterday Oklahoma UNDER as College Football Total of the Year. Get the picks now
ATS Trends
Kansas City 13-2 all
Chargers 0-7 home favorites
Seattle 7-0 road favorites
Detroit 3-12 last 15
Over-Under trends
Pittsburgh under 36-8-2 road
Cleveland over 7-0 favorites
Injuries
Cardinals superstar WR DeAndre Hopkins is questionable
47 catches, 601 yards, 2 TDs
Jets WR Jamison Crowder is doubtful
Already 29 catches for 383 yards, 2 TDs
Saints WR Emmanuel Crowder out
26 catches, 304 yards, 2 TDs
Buffalo is down to one true TD, Tyler Croft with has 6 catches
Rams WR Robert Woods is probable for Monday
Pats WR Julian Edelman questionable
20 catches for 302 yards
Jets QB Sam Darnold is probable
Another shaky year with 3 TD and 4 INT
See above, likely to be without top WR
Top consensus plays in terms of percent of bets: Green Bay (69), Dallas (64), Seattle (64) as the usual public love of road favorites keeps rolling along.
Top consensus plays in terms of percent of money: Green Bay (97), Tennessee (88), Seattle (84)
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