Inspired by Billy Walters and the Vegas Computer Boys, Joe Duffy has been for decades the top data scientist in sports handicapping. Spectacular anti-splits angle that wins in every sport, some great computer sim bets part of 5-0 sweep led by a Wise Guy. Winners at OffshoreInsiders.com
Free winner from Joe Duffy is:
ATLANTA (SMITH-SHAWVER -146) Cincinnati (Weaver)
Away favorites to teams with at least an eight-game winning streak are 30-12 for +15.60 units and a 29.3 ROI. It also crushes on the runline. The ROI is even better at -130 or more. Luke Weaver has been atrocious for the Reds with a 10.12 ERA last three starts and 2.174 WHIP. A viral system says to go with non-divisional away favorites. We’ve excluded Saturdays as it is the best day for home teams. Since 2018 away interdivisional favorites are up 143.54 units.
7=11. Today only, Wednesday, June 21, 2023, the Joe Duffy weekly is extended to 11 days. Slurp up this incredible deal now! This is the intel you get every day at OffshoreInsiders.com
Wise Guy plays are your maximum play. Majors are .75 of Wise Guy plays. Game of the Year and Game of the Month plays still involve the same straight betting as above. While we believe all gamblers need only bet our plays we realize some pick and choose selections. Said distinction is for such ala carte players. All units won quoted on systems are based on one unit per bet.
MLB
Major
OAKLAND (WALDICHUK +1.5 -105) Cleveland (Civale)
Yes, play stands with new Oakland pitcher.
One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found them covering at a rate of 60 percent compared to the implied probability of the line at 51.22 percent making this great value.
SAN FRANCISCO (DESCLAFANI -110) San Diego (Lugo)
Taking advantage of oddsmaker same series adjustments is up almost 800 units. As is the case with many of our best systems, we take the oddsmakers knowledge and weaponize it against them. San Francisco wins an impressive 62 percent of simulations on our top computer model.
NY Yankees-Seattle UNDER 7 (Cole-Kirby)
When the total is much less than the season to date average of at least one of the teams, it goes under at a rate of 6162-5253-595.
NY Mets-Houston UNDER 7.5 (Verlander-Valdez)
When the total is much less than the season to date average of at least one of the teams, it goes under at a rate of 6162-5253-595.
Last year’s Super Bowl opponents the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles are virtual co-favorites to win Super Bowl LVIII. The Chiefs are +600 to repeat, while the Eagles are +650. Last year’s favorite Buffalo is next at +900 or 9-1 tied with the 49ers and their deep QB depth chart.
My pick CINCINNATI +1200: Cincinnati overcame the predictable Super Bowl hangover from the previous season, winning eight straight to end the regular season. Clearly Joe Burrow has proven he is a big-time player in both college and the NFL. Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd give the franchise signal caller some serious weapons. They are strong enough on defense. Cincy wins in February.
The first major domino of the NBA offseason fell last night as Bradley Beal was traded to the Phoenix Suns.
Of course, that move had an impact on next year’s championship odds, as well as “next team” odds for all of the other players reportedly on the trading block.
SportsBetting has updated its trade odds for Damian Lillard, DeAndre Ayton, Karl-Anthony Towns, Trae Young, Zach LaVine and Zion Williamson, where the Suns have been removed from some of the players’ candidates.
The Suns’ title odds for next year moved from +900 to +700 immediately after the Beal news broke. This morning, Phoenix has moved even further up the board and now has +650 odds.
Oddsmakers deem the college football national championship race will be more competitive than in recent seasons thanks to the return to eminence of historic powers. Two conferences, the SEC and Big Ten possess the top four spots. Two-time defending national champion Georgia is the favorite at +250, followed by conference rival Alabama at +550. Ohio State, who took Georgia down to the final play in the national semi-finals is next at +700. The team that has defeated the Buckeyes in consecutive seasons, Michigan is next at +900.
Bovada declares USC is back thanks to the Oklahoma twosome of coach Lincoln Riley and Heisman Trophy winner Caleb Williams. The Trojans also made a splash by adding quarterback whisperer Kliff Kingsbury as their new QB coach. Southern Cal is next at +1200. While Clemson is no longer the annual virtual co-favorites with Alabama, they are strong contenders at +1800.
Will Brian Kelly become the fourth straight LSU coach to win a natty? The Tigers are +1600 to do so this season. Traditional powers Texas, Tennessee, Florida State, and Penn State all are returning to relevance with odds at 20-1 or less.
Texas A&M +4500: Texas A&M has had some great recruiting years but was a total bust last year. Jimbo Fisher won a national title at Florida State and brought in long-time coach Bobby Petrino to jumpstart the offense. Petrino is a terrible human being, but he knows how to coach. Conner Weigman is a strong QB. Look for Fisher’s recruiting to finally pay dividends.
Wisconsin +5500: Luke Fickell has been atop of a lot of coaching wish lists the past two years and he landed in Madison. He dominated the transfer portal, adding depth on both sides of the ball. The defense is top shelf, the offense will be both more aggressive and talented.
Grandmaster Joe Duffy goes 3-1 last night, including MLB sweep. Stanley Cup side, MLB runline and 3 MLB totalsincluding a totals system winning again this season at OffshoreInsiders.com
TAMPA (BEEKS -1.5 -125) Oakland (Harris) at Bovada
A viral system says to go with non-divisional away favorites. We’ve excluded Saturdays as it is the best day for home teams. Since 2018 away interdivisional favorites are +130.11 units, winning on both run and moneylines. Massive favorites on runline +105.09 for 5.1 ROI. Combo angle is 12.5 ROI and is up this year. Yes Jalen Beeks has been pretty bad, but Hogan Harris isn’t exactly a good pitcher. Massive away favorites against red-hot teams are +36.4 ROI on runline.
For the fourth time in five games, I nail the NBA Finals side and total.The season is winding down and thanks for being with us for the winning. Stay on board this MLB summer. MLB computer sim betcontinues dream season in computer plays, plus MLB total. All at OffshoreInsiders.com
Free pick is from Joe Duffy on the runline
BOSTON (PAXTON -1.5 -125) Colorado (Seabold)
Massive favorites on runline is +108.24 for 5.3 ROI. A viral system says to go with non-divisional away favorites. We’ve excluded Saturdays as it is the best day for home teams. Since 2018 away interdivisional favorites are +138.26. It wins on both money and runlines. Paxton has a .250 OBP against at home.
I told you Sunday was the biggest dossier of the season for underdogs. All I did was go 3-0 led by AL Underdog of the Half Century +185 and NL Central Underdog of the Decade. This is the sharp look you get every day from The Great One, Stevie Vincent at OffshoreInsiders.com
Stevie Vincent Premium plays. All basketball and football picks and quoted records are against the spread except when moneyline is specified. Of course that is unless we specify totals. The pick is in BOLD over their opponent. Example: NEW YORK over Chicago means the pick is on New York against the spread.
A Perfect Play means an angle that is a 100 percent angle with a minimum of 12 games. However, not all 12-0 or better stats automatically qualify as a Perfect Play depending on counter information and the time period the perfect stat applies. The Great One Stevie Vincent top play is Level 5.
PRO BASEBALL
>>>LEVEL 5 PLAY is on OAKLAND over Milwaukee
AL Underdog of the Half Century
As I look at stateside and offshore books, I see +185 available.
Forensic pitching information over last three starts ERA, WHIP: Sears 1.72, .96; Peralta 6.08, 1.73
>>>LEVEL 5 PLAY is on CINCINNATI over St. Louis
NL Central Underdog of the Decade
As I look at stateside and offshore books, I see +115 available.
Forensic pitching information over last three starts ERA, WHIP: Greene 2.37, .74; Wainwright 6.19, 1.88
>>>LEVEL 5 PLAY is on LOS ANGELES ANGELS over Seattle
As I look at stateside and offshore books, I see -110 available.
Forensic pitching information over last three starts ERA, WHIP: Canning 1.89, .84; Miller 10.38, 1.85
Today’s free pick is from Joe Duffy. His portfolio for today: Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy has MLB side and pair of totals.Joe Duffy has mastered AI and how it applies to sports betting, keeping him light years ahead of all other cappers and the bookmakers at OffshoreInsiders.com
WHITE SOX (GIOLITO -1.5 +150) LA Angels (Anderson)
The Sox are 22-34 including 12-14 at home. LA Angels are 29-26 overall, including 14-13 road. Worse team (according to winning percentage) favorite is a very good bet to the tune of +203.16 units. It holds up when the road team’s road winning percentage is better than the home winning percentage of the team we are betting on. When the oddsmakers tell you a team has their best chance to win in recent play, such team is up 346.12 units and 5.6 ROI. When both apply, it is even more insane on the runline at +9.8 ROI.
Tyler Anderson allows a generous .359 OPB against. Giolito has been strong at home with a .88 WHIP and .240 OPB against.
We’re three months and a single day away from the start of the 2023 college football season.
Most of the student-athletes are out of school by now, but they’ll be grinding all summer to prepare for the upcoming season and a chance to compete for the CFP Championship.
Since conference odds and game lines (111 games listed) were initially released a month ago, there have been some major movements.
All odds are provided by SportsBetting If you are able to use this information, please consider citing the source.
ACC
Florida State +160
Clemson +190
North Carolina +600
Louisville +1000
NC State +1200
Miami Florida +1800
Pittsburgh +2200
Duke +3300
Wake Forest +4000
Syracuse +5000
Boston College +10000
Georgia Tech +10000
Virginia +10000
Virginia Tech +10000
Big Ten
Ohio State +160
Michigan +180
Penn State +600
Wisconsin +650
Iowa +1100
Minnesota +2800
Maryland +4000
Illinois +5000
Nebraska +5000
Michigan State +7500
Indiana +10000
Northwestern +10000
Purdue +10000
Rutgers +10000
Big 12
Texas +105
Oklahoma +350
Kansas State +500
Texas Tech +900
TCU +1100
Baylor +2000
Kansas +4000
West Virginia +4000
Cincinnati +5000
Iowa State +5000
Oklahoma State +5000
UCF +5000
Houston +7500
BYU +10000
Pac-12
USC +200
Oregon +325
Washington +350
Utah +525
Oregon State +800
UCLA +1200
Washington State +2500
Colorado +3300
Arizona +7500
Arizona State +7500
California +7500
Stanford +10000
SEC
Georgia +100
Alabama +200
LSU +525
Tennessee +1400
Texas A&M +1400
Mississippi +3300
Auburn +6600
Florida +7500
Mississippi State +7500
Arkansas +8000
Kentucky +8000
Missouri +8000
South Carolina +8000
Vanderbilt +10000
Saturday, August 26
Navy vs. Notre Dame (-20.5)
UMass @ New Mexico State (-10)
Florida International @ Louisiana Tech (-10)
San Jose State @ USC (-30)
Ohio @ San Diego State (-4.5)
UTEP @ Jacksonville State (-2)
Hawai’i @ Vanderbilt (-17.5)
Thursday, August 31
Kent State @ UCF (-33)
NC State (-16.5) @ UConn
Nebraska @ Minnesota (-7.5)
Florida @ Utah (-9)
Friday, September 1
Miami-Ohio @ Miami (-17)
Central Michigan @ Michigan State (-14)
Louisville (-8) @ Georgia Tech
Saturday, September 2
Stanford (-10.5) @ Hawai’i
UMass @ Auburn (-39.5)
Sam Houston @ BYU (-24)
South Carolina @ North Carolina (PK)
Fresno State @ Purdue (-6)
Northwestern @ Rutgers (-4)
Louisiana Tech @ SMU (-14.5)
Virginia @ Tennessee (-28)
Buffalo @ Wisconsin (-23)
South Florida @ Western Kentucky (-13.5)
Washington State (-16.5) @ Colorado State
California (-7) @ North Texas
Coastal Carolina @ UCLA (-14.5)
Nevada @ USC (-35.5)
Boise State @ Washington (-15.5)
Northern Illinois @ Boston College (-10)
Old Dominion @ Virginia Tech (-14.5)
Texas State @ Baylor (-24.5)
UTSA @ Houston (-2.5)
Arkansas State @ Oklahoma (-33)
Rice @ Texas (-35)
Texas Tech (-14.5) @ Wyoming
South Alabama @ Tulane (-7)
Akron @ Temple (-10.5)
Middle Tennessee @ Alabama (-37)
Toledo @ Illinois (-9)
Ohio State (-27.5) @ Indiana
Utah State @ Iowa (-21)
Ball State @ Kentucky (-27)
Bowling Green @ Liberty (-11.5)
East Carolina @ Michigan (-36)
New Mexico @ Texas A&M (-37.5)
Army (-7.5) @ UL Monroe
Colorado @ TCU (-21.5)
West Virginia @ Penn State (-17.5)
Sunday, September 3
LSU (-2.5) vs. Florida State
Oregon State (-16.5) @ San Jose State
Monday, September 4
Clemson (-12) @ Duke
Sports betting blog with sports handicapping picks from the best sports handicappers, pregame betting information, sports handicapping articles, links to live odds, free picks, sportsbook information and more. All pro gamblers go to this betting blog before placing a bet.