Georgia and TCU will play for this season’s college football championship tonight, but the Horned Frogs aren’t considered one of the favorites to get back to this spot next year.
SportsBetting opened up early 2024 CFP Championship odds Monday. The usual suspects lead the pack, then there is a sizable gap between those three and the rest of the teams.
TCU is well down the list at 25-1. Don’t forget, the Frogs started this season with 250-1 odds.
2024 CFP Championship odds will be updated in real-time on this page:
The scenes from Lambeau last night painted a picture that Aaron Rodgers could’ve played his last game as a member of the Green Bay Packers.
If Rodgers doesn’t retire, as some think he will, where might he end up next season?
SportsBettingre-opened odds for Rodgers next team, if not the Packers. Additionally, the odds of him retiring have flipped from very likely to the underdog.
Updated odds for the Jets and Raiders next quarterbacks, as well as Derek Carr’s next club, are available below.
The Houston Texans cost themselves the No. 1 overall pick in this summer’s NFL Draft, so there are updated odds on who the Chicago Bears might select, or if they’ll trade out of the top spot.
Finally, this year’s Super Bowl odds are tighter than any we’ve seen in the last few years with four teams with better than 6-1 odds. You can find those, the conference odds and an early Super Bowl LVII spread below.
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Will Aaron Rodgers announce retirement before Week 1 of next season?
This is the type of intel you get every day on Joe Duffy’s Picks. Advanced analytics, not somebody trying to outsmart the room, pulling bullshit “intangibles” out of their ass. But bias-free, bullshit-free computer systems that do literally thousands of manhours of work. It’s all at OffshoreInsiders.com
Wise Guy plays are your maximum play. Majors are .75 of Wise Guy plays. Game of the Year and Game of the Month plays still involve the same straight betting as above. While we believe all gamblers need only bet our plays we realize some pick and choose selections. Said distinction is for such ala carte players. All units won quoted on systems are based on one unit per bet.
CBB
Major
MICHIGAN -3.5 Penn State
Bet on a team off a large margin of cover against a team that has played in high scoring games recently is an impressive 38-17-1. Yes, not as great of a sample size as most of our angles but has held up for years. Because college sports are more about momentum and the latter part of the angle says points can be had, it fits into many betting observations about college basketball we have won with.
PROVIDENCE +6.5 Connecticut
Bubble burst angle that has to do with fading teams off devastating losses is 104-66-2.
RHODE ISLAND -2 Fordham
Bubble burst angle that has to do with fading teams off devastating losses is 104-66-2.
NBA
Wise Guy
ATLANTA +2 Sacramento
Fade unrested home teams off a win under specific situations that apply in this game is a stunning 102-40-1.
Atlanta is the second worst team in the NBA based on ATS margin. They are 14-22-1 ATS failing to cover by an average of -2.5 points per game. But pro sports are about regression to the mean. Going with bad road teams with inferior spread margins is 92-48.
Phoenix-Cleveland UNDER 218.5
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version that takes into account home/road splits goes under at a rate of 665-431-48. Total relative to recent numbers goes under 665-431-48.
This is a basic theory that crosses over all sports and makes you and me a fortune in totals betting and each sports involves samples sizes of several thousand games.
Houston-New Orleans UNDER 229
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version that takes into account home/road splits goes under at a rate of 665-431-48. Total relative to recent numbers goes under 665-431-48.
This is a basic theory that crosses over all sports and makes you and me a fortune in totals betting and each sports involves samples sizes of several thousand games.
Looking ahead to next season, there are more quarterback question marks throughout the NFL than we’ve seen in quite some time.
Many are expecting a few league vets to hang up the cleats, and there could be a some current starters leading different teams in 2023.
SportsBettinghas set odds on the speculation with props on who will retire first between Matt Ryan, Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers and Matthew Stafford, as well as which QBs will be on new teams.
Additionally, there is a fun Brady-Belichick prop on the board as well.
What will happen first?
Brady Retires -130
Brady Signs w/Patriots +175
Belichick Retires +350
What will happen first?
Matt Ryan Retires -125
Tom Brady Retires +200
Aaron Rodgers Retires +350
Matt Stafford Retires +1000
Which QB will be on a new team in Week 1 of 2023 regular season?
After becoming the only player in NBA history to score 60 or more points and tally a triple-double, Luka Doncic is now the MVP favorite, at least according to one bookmaker.
The majority of the betting markets still have Tatum as the favorite, as he has held that position for about a month, but SportsBettingmoved Doncic to the front spot Wednesday morning.
“I’ve been saying for two weeks that Doncic should be the MVP favorite by a solid margin, but we have to respect our positions as well as the market,” Martin Lindbergh, Head NBA Trader at the website, said. “Without Tatum, the Celtics are still a very good team. Without Luka, the Mavericks join the other Texas teams as the worst in the West.”
The Mavs have -450 odds to make the playoffs this season. They are listed at +3300 to take home an NBA Championship and +1600 for the Western Conference.
🏈Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: Buffalo
🏈Biggest bets based on percentage of money: none Saturday
🏈Biggest splits. Teams listed have the highest percent of cash compared to bets: Indianapolis
🏈Largest line moves, opener to current: None Saturday
CFB bowls
🏈Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: Southern Miss
🏈Biggest bets based on percentage of money: none Saturday
🏈Biggest splits. Teams listed have the highest percent of cash compared to bets: BYU
🏈Largest line moves, opener to current: Fresno State +2.5 to -4.5, BYU -1.5 to +4
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There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale.
The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets.
Free NBA winner:
MIAMI -7.5 San Antonio
Fade big home dogs if not off a low scoring game and with a substantial amount of rest and neither team has an extreme winning percentage is 702-495-30. Rest dynamics generally benefit the home team. When a team has more rest, about 66 percent of the time, it is the home team. However, when the road team is more rested, it nullifies the normal home court advantage and creates an off line to the tune of 459-347. Away favorites or small road dogs on a massive scoring streak is 459-347.
Both of our contrarian indexes, one worldwide sportsbooks, the other has to do with super-square outlaw money, has this as a very strong corroborated contrarian bet worldwide. Public dogs generally die and the Spurs are a big public dog.
Super sharp report for Thursday Night Football, Seahawks vs. 49ers, plus NBA and college basketball.
NFL Betting Week 15
San Francisco (-3, 41.5)-Seattle
🏈Opened: San Francisco -3, 41
🏈Side: 53% of bets, but 41% of money on San Francisco
🏈OU: 52% bets, 69% of handle on under
Tonight’s NBA basketball betting breakdown.
🏀 Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: none
🏀 Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Phoenix, Memphis
🏀 Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets: Phoenix
🏀 Largest line moves, opener to current: LA Clippers -2.5 to +5
Tonight’s college basketball betting breakdown.
🏀 Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: none
🏀 Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Lehigh
🏀 Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets:
🏀 Largest line moves, opener to current: Oregon State -1 to +1.5
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There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale.
The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets.
🏀 Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: None
🏀 Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Utah Jazz; New Orleans OVER
🏀 Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets: Utah Jazz; Houston Rockets UNDER
🏀 Largest line moves, opener to current: none
Tonight’s college basketball betting breakdown.
🏀 Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: UMass Lowell, Houston Cougars
🏀 Biggest bets based on percentage of money: NC Central, Houston, UNC Ashville, Memphis Tigers
🏀 Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets: Coppin state, New Orleans, NC Central
🏀 Largest line moves, opener to current: Texas Tech -19 to -16.5, Santa Clara -12 to -9.5
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There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale.
The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets.
🏈Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: NY Jets; Minnesota OVER
🏈Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Detroit, Carolina; NY Giants UNDER, Denver UNDER
🏈Largest line moves, opener to current: Detroit +1 to -1.5, Seattle -6 to -3.5
🏈Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets: Carolina, Detroit; Arizona UNDER
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There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale.
The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets.
NFL injuries:
Tampa leading rusher Leonard Fournette will play
San Francisco down to No. 3 QB Brock Purdy
Giants star RB Saquon Barkley is questionable, described as “50-50” to play
Brown WR Amari Cooper game time decision
Seattle RB Kenneth Walker III is doubtful, but WR DK Metcalf is probable
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