Free NBA pick from the top basketball capper in history, Joe Duffy. 

MEMPHIS +3.5 New Orleans 

Going with teams off a spread loss versus an opponent off a spread win is 629-474-19 under specific situations that apply in this game. Overreaction is a big part of betting and applies here. Our official outlaw line is just +1. The outlaw line is what the line would be without square moves. Especially so close to a pick ‘em, 2.5-point difference is big. 

Top NBA teams to bet on based on sweat barometer.

Team	ATS Record	ATS margin
Portland	11-2	+6.9
Utah	10-5	+6.5
Oklahoma City	9-5	+5.9
Cleveland	8-5	+5.4

Notes: The Bucks have the fourth best ATS record in terms of winning percentage at 9-4 but by they have a negative ATS margin at -.5. The Kings are second in said category, but by +2.2 points per game, which puts them seventh. 

Top NBA teams to bet against based on sweat barometer.

Team	ATS Record	ATS margin
Minnesota	5-9	-6.4
LA Clippers	6-8	-5.4
Golden State	5-9	-4.9

Notes: Miami has the worst record ATS at 3-11 but only -2.9 cover margin. Lakers are the second worst at 3-10 ATS, but -2.9. Some bettors interpret this as both teams being undervalued. 

Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often-deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer. 

💰💰💰Top expert pick is from Joe Duffy. A 4-0 college basketball sweep leads us to a winning day! It starts early this week! First two winners are up this week, Tuesday college football. Inspired by Billy Walters and the Vegas Computer Boys, Joe Duffy has been for decades the top data scientist in sports handicapping. NBA Wise Guy added. Get the picks now 

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NFL betting, NBA wagering, college basketball odds: who is the public betting on Sunday? 

💰💰💰Top expert pick is from The Great One, Stevie Vincent. He is 405-227. TGO has best pro football at 1 ET, 4 ET, and SNF. AFC Underdog Game of the Last 33 Years, Non-Conference Outright Upsets of Half Decade lead the way. TGO is the top money line dog capper in sports gambling. TGO has added two Perfect Plays in collegiate basketball led by Non-Conference Perfect Plat Rivalry Game of the Decade. TGO reveals angles inside the play which includes 13-0 against one team and 11-0 for the other. He has moneyline underdog winners in three sports! Five basketball added in all. All at OffshoreInsiders.com

NFL market report

🏈Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: Chicago, Pittsburgh; Las Vegas UNDER

🏈Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Pittsburgh, Chicago; LA Rams UNDER, Detroit OVER, San Francisco UNDER, Philadelphia UNDER

🏈Largest line moves, opener to current: Pittsburgh +2.5 to -1, Buffalo -3.5 to -7

🏈Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets: Carolina; Green Bay UNDER, Philadelphia UNDER

NBA market report

🏀 Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Brooklyn 

🏀 Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Memphis; Oklahoma City OVER, Philadelphia UNDER

🏀 Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Memphis; Philadelphia UNDER

🏀 Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: LA Lakers -3 to -4.5

NCAAB market report

🏀 Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: North Dakota State

🏀 Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: North Dakota State

🏀 Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Columbia 

🏀 Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Davidson -17.5 to -20.5

There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale. 

The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets. 

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Free NBA winners for Friday, November 11. 

PHOENIX -7 at Bovada to Orlando

Fade big home dogs if not off a low scoring game and with a substantial amount of rest and neither team has an extreme winning percentage 691-482-29. Big away favorites versus opponent of a win is 542-369-19. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found them covering at a 65 percent rate

TORONTO -4.5 at MYBookie to Oklahoma City

Toronto is 2-4 SU road, while OKC is 3-3 SU at home, yet we have a fairly big away favorite. Anti-splits angle in which we go with road team with much worse away winning percentage than the home team home winning percentage is 963-730-27. Another one is 257-169. 

💰💰💰Top expert pick is from Joe Duffy. Ooops, I did it again. Yeah a split in NFL, but winning days in both college football and basketball and 5-3 overall. College football side. What a Saturday and Sunday portfolio we already have up, so get a minimum of the three day now. Four NBA led by two Wise Guys, four college basketball sides! Get the picks now 

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It’s a good thing Texas A&M has one of the nation’s largest sports endowments because the Aggies may soon be forking over a large sum to make their head coach go away. 

Following the firing of Auburn’s Bryan Harsin, SportsBetting reopened odds for the next head coach canned and Jimbo Fisher is the overwhelming favorite.

And speaking of Auburn, there are fresh odds on the Tigers’ next head man. Jeff Grimes is a 1-1 

favorite, but Deion Sanders and Urban Meyer are also on the list.

Next College Coach Fired                   

Jimbo Fisher (Texas A&M)                  +200

Jeff Scott (South Florida)                    +350

David Shaw (Stanford)                        +500

Steve Sarkisian (Texas)                       +700

Justin Wilcox (California)                    +750

Jedd Fisch (Arizona)                            +800

Jeff Haley (Boston College)                 +900

Neal Brown (West Virginia)                +900

Pat Fitzgerald (Northwestern)            +1200

Ken Niumatalolo (Navy)                     +1600

Mel Tucker (Michigan State)              +2500

Mario Cristobal (Miami FL)                 +3300

Brent Venables (Oklahoma)               +5000

Auburn Next Head Coach                  

Jeff Grimes                  +100

Hugh Freeze                +250

Lane Kiffin                   +275

Deion Sanders             +700

Matt Rhule                  +1200

Matt Campbell            +1400

Kevin Steele                +2500

Mark Stoops               +2500

Mike Gundy                +2500

Mike Leach                  +2500

Urban Meyer              +3300

Free winning picks for week 10 college football from Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com

KANSAS STATE +2 Texas

Going with teams off a dominant win momentum angle is 552-417-29. It is an angle you and I have won with many times over the years, but in full disclosure it falls a bit short of premium pick because it’s slowed down the last two years. However, as home underdogs it is 61-38-1 including 5-0-1 lately. 

BOISE STATE -7.5 byu

Going with teams off a dominant win momentum angle is 552-417-29. It is an angle you and I have won with many times over the years, but in full disclosure it falls a bit short of premium pick because it’s slowed down the last two years. One of our contrarian indexes has a strong bet on Boise. The other index does not contradict, but essentially has no contrarian lean either way. 

USC -21.5 California 

If team is a substantially higher fave than last year head to head, listen to what oddsmakers are telling us and bet on that team to a tune of 65-20-2. 

💰💰💰Top expert pick for Saturday is Joe Duffy! Saturday, yes side on Tennessee-Georgia is among 10 football winners led by six Wise Guys. NFL Sunday, five winning picks so far. Get the picks now 

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Wednesday, November 2, 2022 market report for NBA betting 

🏀 Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: New Orleans, Sacramento 

🏀 Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Dallas; Chicago UNDER

🏀 Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Miami UNDER

🏀 Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Philadelphia -8 to -5.5, Memphis -2 to -4.5

💰💰💰Top expert pick is LateInfo 7:30 ET or later. The Big Red Syndicate has released more NBA bets (and winners) since 2018 due to both a new proven member who specializes in NBA. His addition has been a windfall. First NBA pick of season off historic MLB and 7-1 overall. Get it all at OffshoreInsiders.com  

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NBA sweat barometer, free pick, and more. 💰💰💰Top expert pick is from Joe Duffy. We eek out winning days in both NFL and NBA. I am 13-5 overall in playoffs MLB. MNF total and first World Series pick on side. I am not a degenerate gambler, I am a degenerate handicapper, which is why I have been advising pro gamblers since my bets became public in 1988. Four NBA led by a Wise Guy. Get the picks now 

Free NBA Pick ATS

MEMPHIS -2 Utah

Away favorites off loss under specific situations that apply in this game are an outstanding play, especially if not on a long winning streak and playing a team off a home win is 227-133-7. Away favorites off a team off a very close win are 384-271-9. A tightened up version that applies here is 355-235-9. Finally combining away favorites off loss versus teams off that close win is 78-39. Our official outlaw line is -4. The outlaw line is what the line would be without square moves. 

Best teams to bet on this year in NBA based on margin of cover. 

Team	ATS Record	ATS margin
Cleveland	5-1	+10.7
Oklahoma City	5-1	+9.8
Charlotte	4-2	+8
New Orleans	4-2	+7.6
Portland	5-1	+7.4

Best teams to bet against based on such

Team	ATS Record	ATS margin
LA Clippers	1-5	-12.2
Brooklyn	1-5	-10.3
Golden State	2-5	-9.6

Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer. 

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4:25 Minnesota Gophers in a rout the latest in a splendid life that goes back to scorephone days of last century. Late Info 6-1 recently. NBA this week? 4:25 ET high profile game total on Rams vs. 49ers total at OffshoreInsiders.com

🏈Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Las Vegas, Washington

🏈Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: San Francisco, Arizona; NY Jets UNDER, Buffalo UNDER

🏈Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: NY Jets UNDER

🏈Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Atlanta -6.5 to -4, Tennessee -3.5 to -1

There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks, of course you can also check the top NBA picks to find what to bet on as well. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale. 

The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets. 

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College football market report for Saturday, October 29, 2022

🏈Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: USC, UTEP; Wake Forest OVER 

🏈Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Old Dominion, Missouri; Arkansas State UNDER, Boise Sate UNDER, Marshall UNDER

🏈Largest line moves, opener to current: Florida State -20 to -23.5, Toledo -8.5 to -5.5, Oregon -14.5 to -17.5

🏈Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets: UMass, Charlotte; Marshall UNDER 

🖥LateInfo a stunning 5-1 last several weeks has been activated for a 2:30 ET bombshell at OffshoreInsiders.com

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There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale. 

The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets. 

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Big market report for Thursday night football in NFL and college football. It’s not just Ravens vs. Buccaneers.

💰💰💰Top expert pick is from Joe Duffy. Super sale! Bet it Trinity 5-day normally $249, on sale today for $197. Yes, yes, yes I added TNF side this morning! Steady as the wind blows, we are winning in football going back to preseason. I am 10-3 overall exploiting the best intel in the world! Thursday, four NFL and college football winning bets. I added two NBA Wise Guys. This is shaping up to be one of the great seasons in NBA betting history at OffshoreInsiders.com

Baltimore-Tampa (-2, 46)

🏈Opened -3.5, 44.5

🏈Side: 69% of bets but just 47% of money on Ravens

🏈OU: 77% of gets but just 47% of handle on UNDER 

Virginia Tech-NC State (-13.5, 39)

🏈Opened -13.5, 40.5

🏈Side: 68% of bets, 82% money on Virginia Tech

🏈OU: 61% of bets, but mere 37% of cash on UNDER 

ULL (-2.5, 43)-Southern Miss

🏈Opened -2.5, 42.5

🏈Side: 55% of tickets, 72% of money on Southern Miss

🏈OU: 70% bets, 87% of money on UNDER 

Utah (-7, 56.5)-Washington State

🏈Opened -7.5, 56.5

🏈Side:  55% of bets, 80% cash on Washington State

🏈OU: 55% of tickets, yet just 25% of money on OVER 

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