Category Archives: Uncategorized

Wooden Awards Favorites Established; 2023 Final 4 Odds Revealed

Drew Timme, in his seemingly infinite NCAA eligibility, is the early Wooden Award favorite, at least according to the oddsmakers.

SportsBetting  has nearly 30 players on the Wooden board, and Armando Bacot is the only other player with better than 10-1 odds.

Additionally, the sportsbook has set odds for more than 40 teams’ chances of reaching the Final Four, which you can find below.

Joe Duffy is the best handicapper for daily bets and his winners are exclusively at OffshoreInsiders.com     

Wooden Award Odds

Drew Timme               +650

Armando Bacot           +700

Caleb Love                  +1000

Oscar Tshiebwe          +1100

Jaime Vazquez Jr.        +1200

Marcus Sasser             +1200

Jalen Wilson                +1400

Julian Strawther          +1400

Nick Smith                   +1600

Tyger Campbell           +1800

Hunter Dickinson        +2000

Terrance Shannon      +2500

Trayce Jackson-Davis  +2500

Zach Edey                    +2500

Emoni Bates                +2800

Kevin McCullar            +3300

Max Abmas                 +3300

Baylor Scheierman      +4000

Kendric Davis              +4000

Mike Miles                  +4000

Antoine Davis              +5000

Colin Castleton            +5000

Isiah Wong                  +5000

Kris Murray                 +5000

Matt Bradley               +5000

Posh Alexander           +5000

Tyrese Hunter             +5000

Odds to Reach Final Four

Gonzaga                      +225

Kentucky                     +300

North Carolina            +300

Baylor                          +350

Creighton                    +350

Houston                      +350

Kansas                         +350

Arkansas                     +500

Duke                            +500

UCLA                           +500

Arizona                        +700

Texas                           +700

Tennessee                   +750

Illinois                          +900

Michigan                     +900

Indiana                        +1100

Villanova                     +1100

Florida                         +1200

San Diego State           +1200

TCU                             +1200

Texas Tech                  +1200

Alabama                      +1400

Oregon                        +1400

Virginia                        +1400

Auburn                        +1600

Connecticut                +1600

Memphis                     +1600

Purdue                        +1600

Butler                          +1800

Dayton                        +1800

Miami FL                     +1800

Michigan State            +1800

Ohio State                   +1800

Louisville                     +2000

Florida State               +2200

Wisconsin                   +2200

Oklahoma                   +2500

Providence                  +2500

St. Louis                       +2500

Syracuse                      +2500

Xavier                          +2500

Wyoming                    +3300

[Table id=2 /]

Florida-Georgia, Illinois-Nebraska Free Expert Picks Against the Spread

Sports gambler Joe Duffy has two free college football winners. What a weekend is in store! Saturday, six Wise Guys among nine college football winners. Yeah, our famed bubble burst angle finally lost last week. Talk about revenge, our top version applies three times. This is absurdly rare for it to pop up three times in the same day. You are in for a doozie! Get the picks now 

GEORGIA -22.5 Florida

Big conference favorites with momentum of recent blowout wins against inferior teams is 53-16. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found them covering at a rate of 60 percent. 

ILLINOIS -7.5 Nebraska

Away favorites off great defenses efforts versus an opponent off a terrible one are 83-33. 

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Another Sweep From Grandmaster; Why Do You Choose to Be on the Outside Looking In?

For the second time in three day, I go 5-0! This is the advanced analytics you get every damn day from Joe Duffy aOffshoreInsiders.com For those on the outside looking in…why? 

Wise Guy plays are your maximum play. Majors are .75 of Wise Guy plays. Game of the Year and Game of the Month plays still involve the same straight betting as above. While we believe all gamblers need only bet our plays we realize some pick and choose selections. Said distinction is for such ala carte players. All units won quoted on systems are based on one unit per bet. 

NBA

Wise Guy

Houston-Utah UNDER 232.5

Math total based on home/road splits of the respective teams goes under a whacked 320-168-18.

Denver-LA Lakers UNDER 229

ESPN Total of the Month 

Math total based on home/road splits of the respective teams goes under a whacked 320-168-18. When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records. One could combine them for an overall record.  The turbo under version goes under at a rate of 954-634-69. Combine the two and it goes under a jaw-dropping 106-46. 

MIAMI -2 Portland

Interconference Game of the Month 

Portland is 4-0 ATS covering by 13.3 points per game. Miami is 0-4 failing by -8.1. Massive regression to the mean angle based on spread records and margin of cover says to go with much worse team to the tune of 60-15-2. Going with much more disappointing offense is 441-332. This is based on based on delta points scored. Delta points scored is how many points they scored relative to the oddsmakers posted team total or implied total based on the odds and spread. 

Major

Indiana-Chicago UNDER 233.5

Typo, we originally entered the wrong total at 227.5

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records. One could combine them for an overall record.  The turbo under version goes under at a rate of 954-634-69. 

Cleveland-Orlando UNDER 214.5

Math total based on home/road splits of the respective teams goes under a whacked 320-168-18. 

Next NBA Coach Fired Odds: Doc Rivers, Steve Nash Lead Way; Westbrook Next Team

The 76ers and Nets are off to somewhat predictable inauspicious starts to the 2022-23 NBA regular season. 

Both teams are loaded with talent, but piecing the puzzle of success together falls on the shoulders of the head coach. And when the pieces won’t fit, the team finds a new puzzle master.

Philadelphia and Brooklyn undoubtedly have short leashes around the necks of Doc Rivers and Steve Nash. The SportsBetting odds reflect that notion as those two have the shortest odds to be the first head coach fired. 

Additionally, there is a trio of Russell Westbrook trade-related props available. The former MVP is a heavy favorite to be dealt this season, and the Pacers top the list of potential destinations.

Russell Westbrook Next Team

Indiana Pacers            3-2

Charlotte Hornets       2-1

San Antonio Spurs      3-1

Utah Jazz                     6-1

New Orleans Pelicans 8-1

Phoenix Suns              10-1

Brooklyn Nets             12-1

Will Russell Westbrook be traded during the season?

Yes -600

No +350

Will Russell Westbrook be traded by Thanksgiving?

Yes -120

No -120

First NBA Coach Fired

Doc Rivers (76ers)                               2-1

Steve Nash (Nets)                               3-1

Dwane Casey (Pistons)                       10-1

Darvin Ham (Lakers)                           12-1

Stephen Silas (Rockets)                      12-1

Tom Thibodeau (Knicks)                     12-1

Nate McMillan (Hawks)                      14-1

Billy Donovan (Bulls)                           20-1

Wes Unseld Jr. (Wizards)                    20-1

Chauncy Billups (Trail Blazers)            25-1

Mark Daigneault (Thunder)                25-1

Joe Mazzulla (Celtics)                         50-1

Michael Malone (Nuggets)                 50-1

Steve Clifford (Hornets)                      50-1

Chris Finch (Timberwolves)                66-1

J.B. Bickerstaff (Cavaliers)                  66-1

Jamahl Mosley (Magic)                       66-1

Tyronn Lue (Clippers)                         66-1

Mike Brown (Kings)                            80-1

Willie Green (Pelicans)                       80-1

Jason Kidd (Mavericks)                       100-1

Mike Budenholzer (Bucks)                  100-1

Monty Williams (Suns)                       100-1

Nick Nurse (Raptors)                           100-1

Rick Carlisle (Pacers)                           100-1

Erik Spoelstra (Heat)                           125-1

Taylor Jenkins (Grizzlies)                    125-1

Will Hardy (Jazz)                                 125-1

Gregg Popovich (Spurs)                      150-1

Steve Kerr (Warriors)                          150-1

Get intel like this every day on OffshoreInsiders.com     

The Power Pro Gamblers Exploit Every Day: Advanced Analytics

This 5-0 sweep is hardly rare and the incredible accuracy of advanced analytics continues to lap the industry. If you don’t have thousands of manhours of work done by a magical computer behind every pick, I have a hunch I know while you keep losing. 

This is what you got from Joe Duffy’s Picks at OffshoreInsiders.com last night!

Wise Guy plays are your maximum play. Majors are .75 of Wise Guy plays. Game of the Year and Game of the Month plays still involve the same straight betting as above. While we believe all gamblers need only bet our plays we realize some pick and choose selections. Said distinction is for such ala carte players. All units won quoted on systems are based on one unit per bet. 

NFL

Wise Guy

CHICAGO +8.5 New England 

Bad road teams off a loss that was not a blowout are 261-169. Road teams winless on road, but good at home are incredibly undervalued to the tune of 195-134. 

NBA 

Wise Guy

HOUSTON -1 Utah

Western Conference Game of the Month 

Utah is 3-0 straight up, while Houston is 0-3 and they are also a much better team ATS. This sets up an incredible regression to the mean that is 59-15-2. Also the oddsmakers are sending a message that it is an undervalued versus overvalued team with the game right around pick despite the records. 

New York-Orlando UNDER 219.5

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records. One could combine them for an overall record.  The turbo under version goes under at a rate of 951-631-69. 

One similar to above, but based on home/road splits goes under 316-168-18. Angle that combined math and splits goes under a whacky 105-46-6. 

Boston-Chicago UNDER 225

When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records. One could combine them for an overall record.  The turbo under version goes under at a rate of 951-631-69. 

One similar to above, but based on home/road splits goes under 316-168-18. Angle that combined math and splits goes under a whacky 105-46-6. 

Major

San Antonio-Minnesota UNDER 233

Math total based on home/road splits goes under 316-168-18. 

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Judgement Day: Aaron Judge’s Next Team, World Series MVP Odds

All signs point toward Aaron Judge re-signing with the New York Yankees.

But what if the league’s most popular player ditches his pinstripes for a new uni next year? Where would Judge fit best, and which franchise could shell out enough greenbacks?

SportsBetting has set odds for Judge’s next team, and the Top 3 teams with the best chances all reside in the National League.

Aaron Judge Next Team Odds

San Francisco Giants               2-1

New York Mets                       3-1

Los Angeles Dodgers               4-1

Houston Astros                       6-1

Texas Rangers                         8-1

Boston Red Sox                       8-1

Toronto Blue Jays                   10-1

Chicago White Sox                  10-1

Philadelphia Phillies                13-1

Additionally, the sportsbook posted World Series MVP odds Monday, and the favorites should be no surprise. 

After blasting a series-clinching home run on his birthday Sunday, Bryce Harper is the overall favorite for MVP. 

Yordan Alvarez, who put up MVP-like numbers during the regular season is second on the list, while rookie teammate Jeremy Pena has the third-best odds. Here’s the full list:

World Series MVP Odds

Bryce Harper (PHI)                  6-1

Yordan Alvarez (HOU)             7-1

Jeremy Pena (HOU)                8-1

Justin Verlander (HOU)           9-1

Jose Altuve (HOU)                   11-1

Kyle Tucker (HOU)                  12-1

Alex Bregman (HOU)              14-1

Kyle Schwarber (PHI)              16-1

Zack Wheeler (PHI)                 16-1

Aaron Nola (PHI)                     18-1

Framber Valdez (HOU)           18-1

Rhys Hoskins (PHI)                  20-1

J.T. Realmuto (PHI)                 25-1

Yulieski Gurriel (HOU)             25-1

Christian Javier (HOU)            33-1

Alec Bohm (PHI)                      40-1

Jean Segura (PHI)                    40-1

Lance McCullers (HOU)           40-1

Nick Castellanos (PHI)             40-1

Chas McCormick (HOU)          50-1

Trey Mancini (HOU)                66-1

Christian Vazquez (HOU)        80-1

Ranger Suarez (PHI)                80-1

Brandon Marsh (PHI)              100-1

Bryson Stott (PHI)                   100-1

Martin Maldenado (HOU)      100-1

Noah Syndergaard (PHI)         100-1

Ryan Pressley (HOU)               100-1

S. Dominguez (PHI)                 100-1

Zach Eflin (PHI)                       100-1

NBA Playoff Odds 2023: Exploit Oddsmakers’ Overreaction on Line Shifts

It’s easy to overreact to early-season losses in the NBA. But it seems that all of the abhorrent reactions to the Los Angeles Lakers start are warranted.

L.A. dropped to 0-3 following yesterday’s home loss to Portland, and afterward LeBron James said the team’s mood was “s—ty.”

Well, the oddsmakers have taken note of that stench and dropped the Lakers significantly on the NBA Finals odds board. 

Just one week ago, SportsBetting assigned the Lakers with 22-1 odds and reported that 9% of the book’s entire championship wagering handle was on L.A., which was the second-highest percentage after Golden State (18%). 

Now, the Lake Show is well down the list with 33-1 odds, and the drop marks the biggest odds movement through the first week of the season. 

It’s worth noting that the Lakers have the exact same title odds as the Cavaliers.

As far as L.A.’s playoff outlook…the numbers aren’t pointing toward a happy place.

Will the Lakers make the NBA Playoffs? (play-in tournament does not count)

Yes +110

No -140

NBA Playoffs odds:

NBA Championship Odds

Boston Celtics                         6-1

Golden State Warriors            6-1

Los Angeles Clippers               7-1

Milwaukee Bucks                    8-1

Brooklyn Nets                         9-1

Phoenix Suns                          12-1

Denver Nuggets                      14-1

Philadelphia 76ers                  16-1

Miami Heat                             20-1

Dallas Mavericks                     22-1

Memphis Grizzlies                  22-1

New Orleans Pelicans             25-1

Minnesota Timberwolves       28-1

Cleveland Cavaliers                 33-1

Los Angeles Lakers                  33-1

Atlanta Hawks                         50-1

Toronto Raptors                     50-1

Chicago Bulls                           66-1

Portland Trail Blazers              80-1

New York Knicks                     100-1

Charlotte Hornets                   200-1

Utah Jazz                                 250-1

Washington Wizards              250-1

Sacramento Kings                   300-1

Detroit Pistons                        500-1

Orlando Magic                        500-1

Oklahoma City Thunder          750-1

San Antonio Spurs                  750-1

Houston Rockets                     1000-1

Indiana Pacers                        1000-1

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College Football Market Report on Line Moves, Industry’s College Football Game of the Year

Market report for Saturday.  We look at line moves, public betting trends, betting splits, contrarian info and more. 

💰💰💰Top expert pick is from piping hot Grandmaster, Joe Duffy. Last Saturday I went 12-1 for you. I may not top that but will come close. Of course, I am piping in every sport. 10-1 lately college football. Sorry, actually cheated myself with an earlier quoted record! 10-5 this postseason in MLB and 7-3 NBA start! 12 college football winners led by five Wise Guys including College Football Game of the Year. Think I give too many winners? Just bet Wise Guys. NLCS side, plus five NBA Wise Guys among six hoops. Again, if you say we release too many winners for your comfort level, just bet Wise Guysall at OffshoreInsiders.com

Collegiate football market report! 

🏈Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: UTEP, Miami Ohio, Houston

🏈Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Hawaii; Texas State UNDER, Air Force UNDER

🏈Largest line moves, opener to current: Kent -19.5 to -15.5, Fresno -13 to -9.5. 

🏈Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets: Eastern Michigan, Vanderbilt; East Carolina UNDER, LA Tech UNDER, Texas Tech UNDER

There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale. 

The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets. 

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NBA Betting Market Report For Friday

Friday market report for October 21 sports betting picks!

🏀Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: New Orleans, Indiana

🏀Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Detroit; Washington UNDER

🏀Largest line moves, opener to current: Indiana -3 to -7, Memphis -5 to -7

🏀Biggest splits. Teams listed have the highest percent of cash compared to bets: Washington, Detroit; Washington UNDER 

💰💰💰Top expert pick is from the great and sizzling Joe Duffy. Sale! Normally $199 get the Bet it Trinity four day for $159! Joe Duffy is smoking in all sports, but hey we’ve been winning for you since 1988! 9-4 college football as App State stays under10-4 MLB playoffs, 4-2 NBA. College football total. NLCS side. Picks at OffshoreInsiders.com 

What a great football season. College Football Game of the Year goes Saturday among nine college football winners.  Then Sunday Wise Guy among seven NFL! 

Dramatic Shift in Super Bowl Odds With CMC Trade

The San Francisco 49ers shot up the Super Bowl odds board Thursday night after news broke that they had acquired Christian McCaffrey in a trade with Carolina. 

SportsBetting moved the Niners’ title odds from 16-1 to 14-1 initially, but quickly dropped them to 12-1, and now the odds are even lower.

“We were already pretty exposed in terms of futures liability with the Niners,” Robert Cooper, Head Trader at SportsBetting.ag said. “It seems like McCaffrey will be a good fit for that Shanahan system, and the bets are coming in heavy across the board despite San Fran looking like a very average team so far this season.”

The 49ers are 3-3, and could easily find themselves at 3-4 after this Sunday where they are 1.5-point underdogs at home against Kansas City.

The Niners are favored to take the NFC West and they jumped over Tampa Bay for the second spot in the NFC odds.

Super Bowl LVII Odds

Buffalo Bills                             3-1

Philadelphia Eagles                 5-1

Kansas City Chiefs                   8-1

San Francisco 49ers                11-1

Tampa Bay Buccaneers           14-1

Los Angeles Chargers              18-1

Baltimore Ravens                    20-1

Minnesota Vikings                  20-1

Dallas Cowboys                       22-1

Green Bay Packers                  22-1

Cincinnati Bengals                  25-1

Los Angeles Rams                   25-1

Miami Dolphins                      40-1

Indianapolis Colts                   55-1

Las Vegas Raiders                   60-1

New England Patriots             60-1

New York Giants                     66-1

New York Jets                         66-1

Tennessee Titans                    70-1

Arizona Cardinals                    80-1

Jacksonville Jaguars                80-1

Cleveland Browns                   100-1

Denver Broncos                      100-1

Atlanta Falcons                       125-1

New Orleans Saints                 150-1

Detroit Lions                           250-1

Pittsburgh Steelers                 250-1

Seattle Seahawks                    250-1

Washington Commanders      300-1

Carolina Panthers                   500-1

Chicago Bears                         500-1

Houston Texans                      500-1

Joe Duffy is widely accepted as the top NFL capper of all-time and his picks are exclusively on OffshoreInsiders.com Holy hell, College Football GOY among weekend winners. 

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