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Market Repot For Gamblers College Football Betting

Saturday super sharp betting college football report! Line moves, who is the public betting on, contrarian intel!

🏈Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: Air Force, Duke, Michigan; Wyoming OVER

🏈Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Air Force, Eastern Michigan; Northern Illinois UNDER, Vanderbilt UNDER 

🏈Largest line moves, opener to current: Kentucky -10.5 to -5.5, Buffalo +2.5 to -2, Miss State -6 to -9.5, Louisville -4.5 to -1.5

🏈Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets: Southern Miss

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There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale. 

The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets. 

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Hackett to Bits: Nathaniel Hackett Fired Soon Say Oddsmakers

Russell Wilson says he has to be “better” in order for the Broncos to be successful. 

But Wilson’s best may still not be enough to save the job of his head coach. 

Nathaniel Hackett is now the odds-on favorite to be fired first this season, according to SportsBetting 

On Wednesday, Matt Rhule was the favorite to be canned, but after Thursday night’s dismal performance, Hackett, who had 6-1 odds earlier this week, is the overwhelming leader in the clubhouse. 

First Coach Fired                                 

Nathaniel Hackett       1-2       (-200)

Matt Rhule                  2-1       

Frank Reich                 9-1       

Kliff Kingsbury             12-1     

Ron Rivera                   16-1     

Josh McDaniels           18-1     

Dan Campbell             20-1     

Dennis Allen                25-1     

Lovie Smith                 33-1     

Mike Tomlin                33-1     

Kevin Stefanski            40-1     

Mike Vrabel                40-1     

Matt Eberflus              50-1     

Mike McCarthy           50-1     

Robert Saleh               55-1     

Pete Carroll                 66-1     

Another sportsbook, Betonline set odds for Odell Beckham’s next team, and the injured wideout jokingly chimed in on the projections via Twitter: 

Buffalo, not the Chargers, have shifted to the favorite position for the current odds.

Odell Beckham Jr. Next Team                                   

Bills                 3-1       

Chargers          7-2       

Rams               4-1       

Giants              5-1       

Bucs                6-1       

Packers            6-1       

Chiefs              8-1      

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Colts vs. Broncos Odds, Line Moves, Public Betting Trends

Thursday, October 6, 2022

Indianapolis-Denver (-3 -120, 42)

Obviously +3.5 can be had and should get at -120 or less

🏈Opened -3, 43.5

🏈Side: 64% of bets and 68% of money on Colts

🏈OU: 70% of bets and 87% of money on UNDER

🔥Colts star RB Jonathan Taylor is out, plus they have key injuries on defense 

🔥Denver QB Russell Wilson 29-14-4 off loss, 15-7-2 home in primetime, both records ATS

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Next Likely Manager for White Sox, Royals, Marlins Revealed

Don Mattingly and Tony LaRussa stepped away from their respective managerial jobs in Miami and Chicago, and Mike Matheny was relieved of his duties in Kansas City yesterday.

SportsBetting has set odds on who will be named the next full-time managers for the Marlins, Royals and White Sox, which you can find below.

Bruce Bochy is favored to come out of retirement and man the talented White Sox.

Joe Maddon is the favorite to return to Florida while Carlos Beltran is at the top of the Royals list after starting his career in K.C.

White Sox Next Manager                  

Bruce Bochy                5-1

Sandy Alomar Jr.         6-1

Carlos Beltran             7-1

Matt Quatraro            15-2

Fredi Gonzalez            8-1

Joe Espada                  9-1

Miguel Cairo               10-1

Joe Girardi                   12-1

A.J. Pierzynski             14-1

George Lombard         16-1

Willie Harris                16-1

Joe Maddon                18-1

Ozzie Guillen               18-1

A.J. Hinch                    20-1

Curtis Granderson      20-1

Eduardo Perez            20-1

Jim Thome                  20-1

Mike Shildt                  20-1

Chris Getz                    25-1

Marlins Next Manager                       

Joe Maddon                4-1

Bruce Bochy                5-1

Miguel Cairo               6-1

Joe Espada                  7-1

Willie Harris                15-2

Raul Ibanez                 8-1

Joe Girardi                   9-1

Matt Quatraro            10-1

Fredi Gonzalez            12-1

Sandy Alomar Jr.         12-1

Jim Thome                  14-1

Curtis Granderson      16-1

George Lombard         16-1

Mike Shildt                  18-1

A.J. Hinch                    20-1

Royals Next Manager             

Carlos Beltran             4-1

Joe Espada                  5-1

George Lombard         6-1

Matt Quatraro            7-1

Mike Shildt                  15-2

Bruce Bochy                8-1

Walt Weiss                  10-1

Ozzie Guillen               11-1

Dusty Wathan             12-1

Miguel Cairo               16-1

Joe Girardi                   18-1

Joe Maddon                20-1

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Odds for LIV Golf Invitational Bangkok

LIV promised to be an exciting new era in golf… and they’re delivering! 

LIV Golf Invitational Bangkok
October 7 – 9, 2022
Stonehill – Bangkok, Thailand
Purse $20,000,000

Cameron Smith +430
Dustin Johnson +460
Joaquin Niemann +460
Louis Ooshuizen +720
Talor Gooch +1450
Sergio Garcia +1575
Bryson Dechambeau +1975
Abraham Ancer +2100

Check out everything you must know about the LIV Golf season so you can plan your bets against the Golf Betting Odds. Bet On Anything. Anywhere. Anytime. Double Your First Deposit + $10 Casino Chip at MYBookie.

MLD Wild Card Series Game 1 Odds; Series Prices Posted

The MLB Wild Card best-of-three series begin Friday, and we know that any team can get hot at the right time when it comes to baseball postseason. 

The Guardians-Rays series is close to a pick ’em in the eyes of the oddsmakers while the Mets are the heaviest favorite to advance to the Division Series. 

SportsBetting released lines for all four Game 1s, as well as the series odds today.

Wild Card Game 1 Odds                                                                                                                                            

Rays (McClanahan) at Guardians (Bieber)

Tampa Bay Rays +120

Guardians -130

Phillies (Wheeler) at Cardinals (Wainwright)

Philadelphia Phillies +110

St. Louis Cardinals -120

Mariners (Castillo) at Blue Jays (Manoah)                                                                                                                                                                                  

Seattle Mariners +130                                                                                                                                              

Toronto Blue Jays -140

Padres (Darvish) at Mets (deGrom)

San Diego Padres +180

New York Mets -200

Wild Card Series Odds                                                                                                                                          

Rays at Guardians

Tampa Bay Rays +110 

Cleveland Guardians -130 

Phillies at Cardinals

Philadelphia Phillies +135 

St. Louis Cardinals -155 

Mariners at Blue Jays                                                                                                                                                                                   

Seattle Mariners +135                                                                                                                                                 

Toronto Blue Jays -155

Padres at Mets

San Diego Padres +170

New York Mets -195

OffshoreInsiders.com is your home for all betting picks led by Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy. 

Pro Betting Primer for College Football Week 5 Line Moves, Betting Trends

Saturday college football market report!

🏈Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Kent State, Liberty, East Carolina, Georgia, Bowling Green

🏈Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Georgia, Kent State, UL Monroe

🏈Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: UL Monroe, Troy, Navy

🏈Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Kent -7 to -12.5, Bowling Green -6 to -9.5, San Jose State +1 to -2.5

Bad weather:

Georgia State-Army 75% chance of rain 

Louisville-Boston College 56% chance of rain 

Texas State-James Madison 64% chance of rain 

Fresno State-UConn 62% chance of rain 

GA Tech-Pittsburgh 66% chance of rain 

Northern Illinois-Ball State winds 15 mph 

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Critical Betting News and Notes College Football Oct 1

Sports betting notes for October 1 college football picks

🔥Revenge for Iowa as Michigan slaughtered them in Big Ten Championship 42-3

🔥Kansas State tries to avoid letdown after shocking Oklahoma 

🔥Purdue fighting numerous injuries 

🔥Teams off byes versus opponent that played last week: Oklahoma State, Fresno, Gardner Webb, Nebraska, UAB

🔥Kansas is 4-0 SU and ATS yet outgained in two of those wins

🔥South Alabama, Kansas both 4-0 ATS, covering by 18.3 and 17.5 points per game respectively

🔥0-4 ATS teams and how much they are failing to cover by Colorado State -20.5, Nebraska -18.4, Utah State -16.9

🔥Teams over 4-0 Bowling Green by 21.4 points per game, Ohio by 17.4

🔥Teams under all four Texas A&M -18.1 points per game, Virginia -17.9

🔥Texas A&M without star WR Ainias Smith

🔥WKU has scored at last 30 points in 18 straight games

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Free Sports Pick South Carolina State vs. South Carolina

Free pick from the magical database of Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com

CFB

South Carolina State-South Carolina UNDER 57

Team statistics relative to the cumulative average off all of college football and current total goes under a stunning 585-337-19. When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record.  The under version goes under at a rate of 883-534-30. 

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Free College Football Week 5 Picks

Free winning college football picks from Joe Duffy, Grandmaster Sports Handicapper. Here are bonus winners for Saturday.

Free College Football Picks

ARMY -7.5 Georgia State

Army crushed Villanova 49-10, while Georgia State lost for the fourth straight time. Momentum angle is 550-413-29 and yes very much applies in tune-up games where the team was a large favorite and won in a blowout. 

WESTERN KENTUCKY -6 Troy

WKU just crushed Florida International 73-0, Momentum angle is 550-413-29 and yes very much applies in tune-up games where the team was a large favorite and won in a blowout. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found WKU covering at a rate 59 percent. 

Here are the best teams to bet on and against based on spread margin. 

Best spread teams this season:

Team       ATS Record                                           ATS margin
James Madison3-019
South Alabama 4-018.3
Kansas 4-017.5
MTSU3-114.8

 Worst spread teams or best to bet against:

Team       ATS Record                                           ATS margin
Florida International0-3-22.3
Colorado State 0-4-20.5
Nebraska0-4-18.4
Utah State0-4-16.9

 Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer. 

Best over teams:

Team       OU Record (overs-under)                                         OU margin
North Carolina3-128.1
Bowling Green 4-021.4
Ohio4-017.4
West Virginia 3-115.9

Best under teams:

Team       OU Record (overs-under)                                         OU margin
Texas A&M0-4-18.1
Virginia0-4-17.9
Iowa1-3-15.8
Louisville1-3-14
GA Tech0-4-13.8

Best NFL Week 4 Picks, Week 5 College Football Bets

First wave is up from Joe Duffy. Thursday Night NFL sides, Friday Night CFB Total of the Year, Big 10 Game and Total of the Year among 12 bets already up for this week in football. Four NFL up for Sunday! Get the picks now 

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