🏈Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Purdue, North Carolina, UCLA, Memphis. This is typical where the public prefers the team they know better and higher profile to blow out smaller conference team. Boston University is a big public dog.
🏈Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Rider, Purdue, Northern Iowa, LSU, Oklahoma, Towson.
🏈Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Delaware, Utah State, Portland U, Hofstra, Virginia.
🏈Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Towson opened +2 now -2.5, Georgia -11 to -7, Cincinnati -8 to -11.5, UCLA -19 to -23.
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With the MLB awards finalists announced last night, the final set of odds predicting which players will be adorned are out.
SportsBetting.ag released its odds Tuesday morning, and there are a couple of categories too close to call, at least according to the oddsmakers.
NL MVP looks to be a tossup between Bryce Harper and Juan Soto. Interestingly, none of the three finalists’ teams reached the postseason.
Another category with very tight odds is NL Cy Young. Jacob DeGrom was the odds-on favorite at the middle of the season, but his injury gave way to a trio of players and the odds suggest anyone could take home the accolade.
Odds are subject to change and current numbers can be found at SportsBetting
Stephen Curry dropped a 50-burger last night to help the Warriors improve to 9-1 on the young season.
SportsBetting.ag’s latest MVP odds, updated Tuesday morning, have the two-time MVP and three-time champ at the top of the board with +200, or 2-1, odds.
The next-closest competitors are Giannis Antetokounmpo and Kevin Durant at 13-2, or +650.
Curry came into the season with 8-1 MVP odds.
You can find the full field of players below and updated odds each day at SportsBetting
Also, below are the latest NBA Championship futures.
The Warriors and Jazz have moved up the board significantly after starting the season at +1200 and +1400, respectively.
MVP
Stephen Curry +200
G. Antetokounmpo +650
Kevin Durant +650
Luka Doncic +800
Donovan Mitchell +1400
Joel Embiid +1600
Ja Morant +1800
Nikola Jokic +1800
LeBron James +2000
James Harden +2500
Jason Tatum +2500
Jimmy Butler +2500
Anthony Davis +3300
Damian Lillard +3300
LaMelo Ball +3300
Paul George +3300
Trae Young +3300
Karl-Anthony Towns +4500
Devin Booker +5000
Zach Lavine +5000
Bradley Beal +6600
Chris Paul +6600
Jaylen Brown +6600
Julius Randle +6600
Bam Adebayo +8000
Brandon Ingram +10000
Russell Westbrook +10000
NBA Championship
Brooklyn Nets +270
Los Angeles Lakers +575
Golden State Warriors +750
Utah Jazz +750
Milwaukee Bucks +900
Miami Heat +1400
Phoenix Suns +1400
Los Angeles Clippers +1800
Denver Nuggets +2000
Philadelphia 76ers +2000
Dallas Mavericks +3300
Atlanta Hawks +4000
Chicago Bulls +4000
Boston Celtics +5000
New York Knicks +5000
Memphis Grizzlies +5500
Portland Trail Blazers +6600
Cleveland Cavaliers +10000
Indiana Pacers +10000
Washington Wizards +10000
Charlotte Hornets +12500
Toronto Raptors +12500
Minnesota Timberwolves +15000
Sacramento Kings +17500
New Orleans Pelicans +20000
Oklahoma City Thunder +30000
San Antonio Spurs +40000
Orlando Magic +50000
Detroit Pistons +75000
Houston Rockets +100000
Best sports betting picks on a daily basis is at OffshoreInsiders.com, home of Stevie Vincent, the NBA guru of gurus.
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Here are the best teams in the NBA ATS based on margin of cover.
Team
ATS Record
ATS margin
Cleveland
8-3
8.2
Golden State
6-3-1
7.3
Washington
7-3
6.1
Miami
7-3
5.7
Chicago
7-3
5.2
Notes: Memphis is tied for the second best ATS record at 7-3 yet on average they have a -3.5 spread margin.
The best fades this season using the same criterion.
Team
ATS Record
ATS margin
Minnesota
2-7
-5.7
Detroit
3-6
-5.7
Dallas
3-7
-5.5
LA Lakers
3-8
-5.5
New Orleans
4-7
-5.2
Atlanta
3-8
-5.1
Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer.
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These are the best team to bet on according to margin of cover. This list is compiled by OffshoreInsiders.com the top sports handicapping site in the world.
Team
ATS Record
ATS margin
Georgia
6-3
+10.4
UTSA
8-1
+10.2
Pittsburgh
7-2
+8.2
Syracuse
9-1
+8
Michigan State
6-2-1
+7.1
NC State
6-3
+7.1
Top teams to bet against:
Team
ATS Record
ATS margin
Temple
2-7
-12.3
Rice
2-7
-9.8
Florida
3-6
-8.9
Florida International
3-6
-8.8
Southern Miss
1-8
-8.6
Missouri
1-8
=8.3
Notes: New Mexico and Kansas are also 1-8 but by -6.8 and -6.3 respectively.
Top over teams:
Team
OU Record (overs-under)
OU margin
Army
4-4
+12.2
Pittsburgh
7-2
+11
Northern Illinois
5-4
+9.4
Wake Forest
4-5
+7.9
Notes: Utah is tied for Pitt with best over record at over 7-2, but by a more modest 6.5 points per game.
Top under teams:
Team
OU Record (overs-under)
OU margin
Illinois
1-8-1
-11.6
Boston College
2-7
-10.4
Clemson
3-6
-10.2
Washington
1-8
-9.3
Purdue
2-7
-9.2
Virginia Tech
2-7
-9
New Mexico
3-6
-8.9
Mississippi
3-6
-8.7
UL Lafayette
1-8
-8.6
Penn State
2-7
-8.6
Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer.
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🏀Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Sacramento, Cleveland (rare public dog), Orlando (another public underdog)
🏀Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: LA Clippers, Sacramento
🏀Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: LA Clippers, Orlando
🏀Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: none
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NFL week 9 super intel.
🏈Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Buffalo, LA Chargers, LA Raiders in the standard away favorites explosion. Green Bay is a public underdog. There is also a small dog lean to Arizona.
🏈Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Buffalo, Houston (underdog), Baltimore.
🏈Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Houston, Tennessee, Carolina, Denver.
🏈Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Niners go from +2.5 to -3.5. KC -2.5 to -7, but obviously because of Aaron Rodgers Covid status.
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Here is the college football super sharpie report:
🏈Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Houston, Pittsburgh, Oregon, Appalachian State as the public continues to adore away favorites. The public dog is Georgia Tech, followed by Louisiana Monroe. Of the highest volume games, Michigan State is the biggest.
🏈Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Old Dominion, Appalachian State, Houston.
🏈Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Miami Florida, Boise State.
🏈Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Kentucky -3 to +1, California -11.5 to -9, WKU -15 to -17.5.
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NBA Thursday night report: 🏀Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Utah. Also Oklahoma City a rare public underdog.
🏀Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: none
🏀Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: LA Lakers
🏀Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: LA Lakers opened -14 to -10.5; Philadelphia -3.5 to -5.5.
Now to Georgia State vs. Louisiana (-13.5, 53,5)
Opened -10.5, 52.5
🏈75 percent of bets on Louisiana, with 74 percent of the cash also backing them
🏈57 percent of wagers on OVER, but 59 percent of money on the UNDER.
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Sportsline projects a final of the Colts 31-16 with Indianapolis covering 59 percent of simulations and 52 percent going over. Action Network power ratings have this as Indianapolis -9.2 with a total of 45.2. TeamRankings gives the edge to Indianapolis 27.3-17.2, with the Colts covering 50.6 percent of their simulations, with a 51.4 percent lean to the under. MasseyRatings has the Colts winning by 10, 27-17.
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