While Alabama and Georgia have separated themselves from the rest of the country in terms of CFP Championship odds, there’s been a ton of volatility below the top two through two weeks of the regular season.
SportsBetting reset its college football title odds Sunday morning. The Tide and Bulldogs are the overwhelming favorites, but take a look at some of the early-season movement for the rest of the contenders.
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Free pick…
OAKLAND (KAPRIELIAN -1.5) Detroit (Peralta)
It is one of the strongest angles in gambling history in using odds relative to recent numbers weaponizing the oddsmakers knowledge against them is up four digits based on total net units won at one-unit per bet minus juice. Taking advantage of oddsmaker same series adjustments is up nearly 780 units. Away teams even better and away favorites are 12.1 ROI on the runline.
James Kaprielian 3.65 ERA, 1.185 WHIP.
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Mac Jones is now the NFL Rookie of the Year favorite.
Jones landed the top spot on SportsBetting odds board this morning after Cam Newton was cut by the Patriots. Jones had 6-1 odds but is now the favorite at 5-2, or +250.
Here are the Top 5 Offensive ROY odds and you can see the full list at the bottom of this page:
Top 5 ROY Odds
Mac Jones 5-2 (+250)
Trevor Lawrence 4-1 (+400)
Zach Wilson 9-2 (+450)
Justin Fields 7-1 (+700)
Trey Lance 8-1 (+800)
Regarding the Patriots’ futures odds, the move from Newton to Jones did not impact them in any way. New England still has 25-1 odds for the Super Bowl, 12-1 odds for the AFC and +325 odds for the AFC East.
SportsBetting.ag also has posted a ton of QB-specific props for the season, including:
– Which quarterback will be benched first
– Which rookie will earn the most victories
– Which weeks the rookies will start
– 49ers and Saints starting QBs for next season
– Cam Newton next team
– Injuries, INTs, retirements and more
First QB to be benched during 2021 regular season (non-injury related)
Andy Dalton +175
Teddy Bridgewater +300
Jimmy Garoppolo +500
Jameis Winston +600
Mac Jones +700
Jalen Hurts +900
Derek Carr +1200
Ryan Fitzpatrick +1200
Which QB will have most starts during 2021 regular season?
Justin Fields +190
Trey Lance +200
Mac Jones +350
Drew Lock +350
Taysom Hill +600
Taylor Heinicke +1200
Joe Flacco +1200
Which rookie QB will win the most games?
Mac Jones +125
Trevor Lawrence +225
Zach Wilson +225
Justin Fields +700
Trey Lance +700
Which week will Trey Lance start?
Weeks 2-5 (+215)
Weeks 6-12 (+225)
Weeks 13-18 (+250)
Does not start (+175)
Which week will Justin Fields start?
Weeks 2-5 (+225)
Weeks 6-12 (+175)
Weeks 13-18 (+350)
Does not start (+175)
Which week will Taysom Hill start?
Weeks 2-5 (+350)
Weeks 6-12 (+300)
Weeks 13-18 (+240)
Does not start (+100)
Which week will Joe Flacco start?
Weeks 2-5 (+500)
Weeks 6-12 (+500)
Weeks 13-18 (+175)
Does not start (-125)
Which week will Drew Lock start?
Weeks 2-5 (+290)
Weeks 6-12 (+290)
Weeks 13-18 (+290)
Does not start (+100)
Saints starting QB in Week 1 of 2022 reg. season?
Jameis Winston +190
Taysom Hill +200
Any other QB -110
49ers starting QB in Week 1 of 2022 reg. season?
Trey Lance -175
Jimmy Garoppolo +135
Any other QB +600
Cam Newton’s next team
Steelers +550
Colts +600
Cowboys +600
Washington +600
Panthers +750
Ravens +750
Texans +750
Cardinals +1000
Jets +1000
Lions +1000
Vikings +1000
Bengals +1400
Seahawks +1400
Titans +1400
Rams +1600
Chiefs +3300
Bucs +5000
Will Cam Newton start for any team in Week 1 of 2022 reg. season?
Yes +170
No -250
Will Andy Dalton start for any team in Week 1 of 2022 reg. season?
Yes +135
No -175
Will Bridgewater or Lock start for Broncos in Week 1 of 2022 reg. season?
Yes -120
No -120
Will Aaron Rodgers start for Packers in Week 1 of 2022 reg. season?
Yes +200
No -300
Will Tom Brady retire after this season?
Yes +600
No -1500
Will Ben Roethlisberger retire after this season?
Yes -300
No +200
Will Ben Roethlisberger miss a full game due to injury?
Yes +135
No -175
Will Dak Prescott miss a full game due to injury?
Yes -120
No -120
Will Kyler Murray miss a full game due to injury?
Yes +170
No -250
Will Lamar Jackson miss a full game due to injury?
Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Texas A&M, North Carolina, Arkansas, San Diego State
Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Army, Pittsburgh, Nevada, Ole Miss, Michigan State, San Diego State
Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Oregon, Army, Western Michigan
Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Kansas State +2 to -2, Texas -10 to -8
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It’s odd that no MLB skipper has been canned up this point, but there are more than a few names on the hot seat as we head into the home stretch of the season.
SportsBetting has set the latest odds for who will be the first manager fired in 2021. Luis Rojas tops the list, but there are three other names with better than 5/1 odds.
Additionally, MVP and Cy Young odds have been updated.
Shohei Ohtani is a runaway favorite for AL MVP. Fernando Tatis has the edge in the NL while trying to steer his Padres to a postseason berth.
Both Cy Young races are tight, but Walker Buehler and Lance Lynn are the current frontrunners.
Holy hell. Dogs are going to bark all day long. Start out with Weekday Underdog Game of the Year during the day, then get three MLB Majors for night led by at least one Juicy Lucy. Juicy Lucies are either moneyline or runlines in which we get +140 or more. Get the picks now
Free
Washington-Miami UNDER 7.5 (Gray-Cabrera)
This is the lowest total either team has seen recently and easily Josiah Gray’s lowest total of the year. Sounds like an easy over, right? Nope.
The Nats last seven games have seen six totals of 9 or more, the other 8.5. Miami has had five straight of 8.5 or more. Angle that compares the current total to recent ones and uses that knowledge against them goes under 3129-2412-284. Comparing current total to season average goes under 2020-1536-221.
Josiah Gray hasn’t had a total of less than 8.5 all year. But when a pitcher has a total less than previous starts, it goes under 3155-2392-246. Several combo angles, but one that combines pitcher and team ones goes under 424-257-35 including 66-28-1 this season.
Orioles 5-32 -24.1 units off 4 straight losses
Rockies 4-27 -24.4 units road versus opponent averaging .6 or fewer errors per game
Marlins 9-33 -21.5 units after scoring 2 or fewer runs
Don’t look now, but we’re less than two months away from the start of the 2021-22 NBA regular season.
SportsBetting has set over/under victory totals for every team in the league, and the sportsbook has also assigned odds for each squad’s playoff chances. All of the data is below, as well as implied probabilities for the playoff odds.
If the regular season win total projections hold true (and we all know they won’t), these would be your 2021-22 NBA Playoffs qualifiers.
East playoff teams (Seeds 1-8): Nets, Bucks, 76ers, Heat, Hawks, Celtics, Bulls/Pacers/Knicks (a combination of two of the last three)
West playoff teams (Seeds 1-8): Lakers, Suns, Jazz, Warriors, Mavericks, Nuggets, Clippers, Trail Blazers
Brooklyn Nets
Over/Under 55.5 wins
Make Playoffs: Yes -10000, No +2500
(Odds imply a 99.0% chance team will make playoffs)
Milwaukee Bucks
Over/Under 54.5
Make Playoffs: Yes -10000, No +2500
(Odds imply a 99.0% chance team will make playoffs)
Los Angeles Lakers
Over/Under 52.5
Make Playoffs: Yes -3300, No +1400
(Odds imply a 97.1% chance team will make playoffs)
Phoenix Suns
Over/Under 51.5
Make Playoffs: Yes -2500, No +1200
(Odds imply a 96.2% chance team will make playoffs)
Philadelphia 76ers
Over/Under 51.5
Make Playoffs: Yes -2000, No +1000
(Odds imply a 95.2% chance team will make playoffs)
Utah Jazz
Over/Under 51.5
Make Playoffs: Yes -5000, No +1800
(Odds imply a 98.0% chance team will make playoffs)
Golden State Warriors
Over/Under 48.5
Make Playoffs: Yes -600, No +400
(Odds imply an 85.7% chance team will make playoffs)
Miami Heat
Over/Under 48.5
Make Playoffs: Yes -1100, No +650
(Odds imply a 91.7% chance team will make playoffs)
Dallas Mavericks
Over/Under 47.5
Make Playoffs: Yes -650, No +450
(Odds imply an 86.7% chance team will make playoffs)
Denver Nuggets
Over/Under 47.5
Make Playoffs: Yes -650, No +450
(Odds imply an 86.7% chance team will make playoffs)
Atlanta Hawks
Over/Under 46.5
Make Playoffs: Yes -550, No +375
(Odds imply an 84.6% chance team will make playoffs)
Boston Celtics
Over/Under 46.5
Make Playoffs: Yes -550, No +375
(Odds imply an 84.6 chance team will make playoffs)
Los Angeles Clippers
Over/Under 44.5
Make Playoffs: Yes -280, No +220
(Odds imply a 73.7% chance team will make playoffs)
Portland Trail Blazers
Over/Under 43.5
Make Playoffs: Yes -240, No +190
(Odds imply a 70.6% chance team will make playoffs)
Chicago Bulls
Over/Under 42.5
Make Playoffs: Yes -155, No +125
(Odds imply a 60.8% chance team will make playoffs)
Indiana Pacers
Over/Under 42.5
Make Playoffs: Yes -175, No +145
(Odds imply a 63.6% chance team will make playoffs)
New York Knicks
Over/Under 42.5
Make Playoffs: Yes -155, No +125
(Odds imply a 60.8% chance team will make playoffs)
Memphis Grizzlies
Over/Under 41.5
Make Playoffs: Yes -115, No -115
(Odds imply a 50.0% chance team won’t make playoffs)
New Orleans Pelicans
Over/Under 39.5
Make Playoffs: Yes +160, No -200
(Odds imply a 66.7% chance team won’t make playoffs)
Charlotte Hornets
Over/Under 38.5
Make Playoffs: Yes +180, No -220
(Odds imply a 68.8% chance team won’t make playoffs)
Toronto Raptors
Over/Under 36.5
Make Playoffs: Yes +275, No -350
(Odds imply a 77.8% chance team won’t make playoffs)
Sacramento Kings
Over/Under 36.5
Make Playoffs: Yes +350, No -500
(Odds imply an 83.3% chance team won’t make playoffs)
Minnesota Timberwolves
Over/Under 33.5
Make Playoffs: Yes +550, No -900
(Odds imply a 90.0% chance team won’t make playoffs)
Washington Wizards
Over/Under 33.5
Make Playoffs: Yes +450, No -700
(Odds imply an 87.5% chance team won’t make playoffs)
San Antonio Spurs
Over/Under 28.5
Make Playoffs: Yes +1200, No -2500
(Odds imply a 96.2% chance team won’t make playoffs)
Cleveland Cavaliers
Over/Under 26.5
Make Playoffs: Yes +2500, No -10000
(Odds imply a 99.0% chance team won’t make playoffs)
Houston Rockets
Over/Under 26.5
Make Playoffs: Yes +1800, No -5000
(Odds imply a 98.0% chance team won’t make playoffs)
Detroit Pistons
Over/Under 25.5
Make Playoffs: Yes +2500, No -10000
(Odds imply a 99.0% chance team won’t make playoffs)
Orlando Magic
Over/Under 23.5
Make Playoffs: Yes +2500, No -10000
(Odds imply a 99.0% chance team won’t make playoffs)
Oklahoma City Thunder
Over/Under 22.5
Make Playoffs: Yes +2500, No -10000
(Odds imply a 99.0% chance team won’t make playoffs)
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