Joe Duffy’s Picks is off a typical winning day of 5-2. Notice the big bonus on weekly pick pack. Winners included Cleveland +150 and Texas +125. I’m 5-1 lately in NBA, but it’s been steady as she goes winning, especially since the New Year hit and some sense of normalcy returned to have our systems be most effective. MLB Wise Guy, NBA Major and Wise Guy. Last day of big sale on weekly pass, three free days. Get the picks now
Free NBA pick:
DENVER -4 LA Lakers
Play undervalued teams to overvalued team when using advanced analytics numbers such as points per game margin and comparing to SU record and spread is 441-226-13. Rest dynamics generally benefit the home team. When a team has more rest, about 66 percent of the time, it is the home team. However, when the road team is more rested, it nullifies the normal home court advantage and creates an off line to the tune of 416-319-10.
While admittedly, such obvious edge was starting to level off, it’s climbed back to 31-17-1 this season. Dennis Shroder is out for Lakers. LeBron James highly questionable.
The morning lines for the Kentucky Derby 2021 are posted including exotics, props, quinellas, prop bets and tons more all from Bovada
The winners? Joe Duffy, fresh off nailing Malathaat in the Kentucky Oaks, JDP Kentucky Derby top 3 in order! This is from the same outsource who has been kicking ass for us for years, the top thoroughbred gambler/capper on earth! Get the picks now
Kentucky Derby – Churchill Downs – Race 12
5/1/21 6:57 PM
Outright
• 1. Known Agenda+700
• 2. Like The King+4000
• 3. Brooklyn Strong+5500
• 4. Keepmeinmind+5000
• 5. Sainthood+4500
• 6. O Besos+2800
• 7. Mandaloun+2200
• 8. Medina Spirit+1400
• 9. Hot Rod Charlie+700
• 10. Midnight Bourbon+1800
• 11. Dynamic One+3000
• 12. Helium+5000
• 13. Hidden Stash+5000
• 14. Essential Quality+275
• 15. Rock Your World+500
• 17. Highly Motivated+1100
• 18. Super Stock+3000
• 19. Soup And Sandwich+3000
• 20. Bourbonic+4000
Kentucky Derby – Churchill Downs – Race 12
5/1/21 6:57 PM
Top 2 Finish
• 1. Known Agenda+290
• 2. Like The King+1400
• 3. Brooklyn Strong+1800
• 4. Keepmeinmind+1800
• 5. Sainthood+1600
• 6. O Besos+1000
• 7. Mandaloun+800
• 8. Medina Spirit+550
• 9. Hot Rod Charlie+290
• 10. Midnight Bourbon+700
• 11. Dynamic One+1100
• 12. Helium+1800
• 13. Hidden Stash+1800
• 14. Essential Quality+125
• 15. Rock Your World+210
• 17. Highly Motivated+425
• 18. Super Stock+1100
• 19. Soup And Sandwich+1100
• 20. Bourbonic+1400
Place
Kentucky Derby – Churchill Downs – Race 12
5/1/21 6:57 PM
Top 3 Finish
• 1. Known Agenda+190
• 2. Like The King+900
• 3. Brooklyn Strong+1200
• 4. Keepmeinmind+1100
• 5. Sainthood+1000
• 6. O Besos+650
• 7. Mandaloun+500
• 8. Medina Spirit+350
• 9. Hot Rod Charlie+190
• 10. Midnight Bourbon+425
• 11. Dynamic One+700
• 12. Helium+1100
• 13. Hidden Stash+1100
• 14. Essential Quality-120
• 15. Rock Your World+140
• 17. Highly Motivated+280
• 18. Super Stock+700
• 19. Soup And Sandwich+700
• 20. Bourbonic+900
Show
Kentucky Derby – Churchill Downs – Race 12
5/1/21 6:57 PM
Top 4 Finish
• 1. Known Agenda+130
• 2. Like The King+600
• 3. Brooklyn Strong+800
• 4. Keepmeinmind+700
• 5. Sainthood+650
• 6. O Besos+425
• 7. Mandaloun+350
• 8. Medina Spirit+240
• 9. Hot Rod Charlie+130
• 10. Midnight Bourbon+300
• 11. Dynamic One+450
• 12. Helium+700
• 13. Hidden Stash+700
• 14. Essential Quality-160
• 15. Rock Your WorldEVEN
• 17. Highly Motivated+200
• 18. Super Stock+450
• 19. Soup And Sandwich+450
• 20. Bourbonic+600
Kentucky Derby – Churchill Downs – Race 12
5/1/21 6:57 PM
Top 5 Finish
• 1. Known AgendaEVEN
• 2. Like The King+400
• 3. Brooklyn Strong+500
• 4. Keepmeinmind+475
• 5. Sainthood+450
• 6. O Besos+300
• 7. Mandaloun+250
• 8. Medina Spirit+170
• 9. Hot Rod CharlieEVEN
• 10. Midnight Bourbon+210
• 11. Dynamic One+325
• 12. Helium+475
• 13. Hidden Stash+475
• 14. Essential Quality-200
• 15. Rock Your World-130
• 17. Highly Motivated+140
• 18. Super Stock+325
• 19. Soup And Sandwich+325
• 20. Bourbonic+400
Kentucky Derby – Churchill Downs – Race 12
5/1/21 6:57 PM
Top 10 Finish
• 1. Known Agenda-350
• 2. Like The King+105
• 3. Brooklyn Strong+140
• 4. Keepmeinmind+130
• 5. Sainthood+115
• 6. O Besos-120
• 7. Mandaloun-150
• 8. Medina Spirit-200
• 9. Hot Rod Charlie-350
• 10. Midnight Bourbon-170
• 11. Dynamic One-115
• 12. Helium+130
• 13. Hidden Stash+130
• 14. Essential Quality-600
• 15. Rock Your World-400
• 17. Highly Motivated-250
• 18. Super Stock-115
• 19. Soup And Sandwich-115
• 20. Bourbonic+105
Kentucky Derby – Churchill Downs – Race 12
5/1/21 6:57 PM
Quinella (1st/2nd any order)
• 1. Known Agenda / 3. Brooklyn Strong+17500
• 1. Known Agenda / 2. Like The King+12500
• 1. Known Agenda / 4. Keepmeinmind+15000
• 1. Known Agenda / 5. Sainthood+15000
• 1. Known Agenda / 6. O Besos+9000
• 1. Known Agenda / 7. Mandaloun+7500
• 1. Known Agenda / 8. Medina Spirit+5000
• 1. Known Agenda / 9. Hot Rod Charlie+2500
• 1. Known Agenda / 10. Midnight Bourbon+6600
• 1. Known Agenda / 11. Dynamic One+10000
• 1. Known Agenda / 12. Helium+15000
• 1. Known Agenda / 13. Hidden Stash+15000
• 1. Known Agenda / 14. Essential Quality+1000
• 1. Known Agenda / 15. Rock Your World+1800
• 1. Known Agenda / 17. Highly Motivated+4000
• 1. Known Agenda / 18. Super Stock+10000
• 1. Known Agenda / 19. Soup And Sandwich+10000
• 1. Known Agenda / 20. Bourbonic+12500
• 2. Like The King / 3. Brooklyn Strong+75000
• 2. Like The King / 4. Keepmeinmind+75000
• 2. Like The King / 5. Sainthood+70000
• 2. Like The King / 6. O Besos+45000
• 2. Like The King / 7. Mandaloun+35000
• 2. Like The King / 8. Medina Spirit+25000
• 2. Like The King / 9. Hot Rod Charlie+12500
• 2. Like The King / 10. Midnight Bourbon+30000
• 2. Like The King / 11. Dynamic One+50000
• 2. Like The King / 12. Helium+75000
• 2. Like The King / 13. Hidden Stash+75000
• 2. Like The King / 14. Essential Quality+5500
• 2. Like The King / 15. Rock Your World+9000
• 2. Like The King / 17. Highly Motivated+20000
• 2. Like The King / 18. Super Stock+50000
• 2. Like The King / 19. Soup And Sandwich+50000
• 2. Like The King / 20. Bourbonic+60000
• 3. Brooklyn Strong / 4. Keepmeinmind+75000
• 3. Brooklyn Strong / 5. Sainthood+75000
• 3. Brooklyn Strong / 6. O Besos+60000
• 3. Brooklyn Strong / 7. Mandaloun+50000
• 3. Brooklyn Strong / 8. Medina Spirit+35000
• 3. Brooklyn Strong / 9. Hot Rod Charlie+17500
• 3. Brooklyn Strong / 10. Midnight Bourbon+45000
• 3. Brooklyn Strong / 11. Dynamic One+70000
• 3. Brooklyn Strong / 12. Helium+100000
• 3. Brooklyn Strong / 13. Hidden Stash+75000
• 3. Brooklyn Strong / 14. Essential Quality+7500
• 3. Brooklyn Strong / 15. Rock Your World+12500
• 3. Brooklyn Strong / 17. Highly Motivated+27500
• 3. Brooklyn Strong / 18. Super Stock+70000
• 3. Brooklyn Strong / 19. Soup And Sandwich+70000
• 3. Brooklyn Strong / 20. Bourbonic+75000
• 4. Keepmeinmind / 5. Sainthood+75000
• 4. Keepmeinmind / 6. O Besos+55000
• 4. Keepmeinmind / 7. Mandaloun+45000
• 4. Keepmeinmind / 8. Medina Spirit+30000
• 4. Keepmeinmind / 9. Hot Rod Charlie+15000
• 4. Keepmeinmind / 10. Midnight Bourbon+40000
• 4. Keepmeinmind / 11. Dynamic One+60000
• 4. Keepmeinmind / 12. Helium+100000
• 4. Keepmeinmind / 13. Hidden Stash+75000
• 4. Keepmeinmind / 14. Essential Quality+7000
• 4. Keepmeinmind / 15. Rock Your World+11000
• 4. Keepmeinmind / 17. Highly Motivated+25000
• 4. Keepmeinmind / 18. Super Stock+60000
• 4. Keepmeinmind / 19. Soup And Sandwich+60000
• 4. Keepmeinmind / 20. Bourbonic+75000
• 5. Sainthood / 6. O Besos+50000
• 5. Sainthood / 7. Mandaloun+40000
• 5. Sainthood / 8. Medina Spirit+27500
• 5. Sainthood / 9. Hot Rod Charlie+15000
• 5. Sainthood / 10. Midnight Bourbon+35000
• 5. Sainthood / 11. Dynamic One+55000
• 5. Sainthood / 12. Helium+75000
• 5. Sainthood / 13. Hidden Stash+75000
• 5. Sainthood / 14. Essential Quality+6000
• 5. Sainthood / 15. Rock Your World+10000
• 5. Sainthood / 17. Highly Motivated+22500
• 5. Sainthood / 18. Super Stock+55000
• 5. Sainthood / 19. Soup And Sandwich+55000
• 5. Sainthood / 20. Bourbonic+70000
• 6. O Besos / 7. Mandaloun+25000
• 6. O Besos / 8. Medina Spirit+17500
• 6. O Besos / 9. Hot Rod Charlie+9000
• 6. O Besos / 10. Midnight Bourbon+22500
• 6. O Besos / 11. Dynamic One+35000
• 6. O Besos / 12. Helium+55000
• 6. O Besos / 13. Hidden Stash+55000
• 6. O Besos / 14. Essential Quality+3500
• 6. O Besos / 15. Rock Your World+6600
• 6. O Besos / 17. Highly Motivated+12500
• 6. O Besos / 18. Super Stock+35000
• 6. O Besos / 19. Soup And Sandwich+35000
• 6. O Besos / 20. Bourbonic+45000
• 7. Mandaloun / 8. Medina Spirit+12500
• 7. Mandaloun / 9. Hot Rod Charlie+7500
• 7. Mandaloun / 10. Midnight Bourbon+17500
• 7. Mandaloun / 11. Dynamic One+27500
• 7. Mandaloun / 12. Helium+45000
• 7. Mandaloun / 13. Hidden Stash+45000
• 7. Mandaloun / 14. Essential Quality+3000
• 7. Mandaloun / 15. Rock Your World+5000
• 7. Mandaloun / 17. Highly Motivated+11000
• 7. Mandaloun / 18. Super Stock+27500
• 7. Mandaloun / 19. Soup And Sandwich+27500
• 7. Mandaloun / 20. Bourbonic+35000
• 8. Medina Spirit / 9. Hot Rod Charlie+5000
• 8. Medina Spirit / 10. Midnight Bourbon+12500
• 8. Medina Spirit / 11. Dynamic One+20000
• 8. Medina Spirit / 12. Helium+30000
• 8. Medina Spirit / 13. Hidden Stash+30000
• 8. Medina Spirit / 14. Essential Quality+2200
• 8. Medina Spirit / 15. Rock Your World+3500
• 8. Medina Spirit / 17. Highly Motivated+8000
• 8. Medina Spirit / 18. Super Stock+20000
• 8. Medina Spirit / 19. Soup And Sandwich+20000
• 8. Medina Spirit / 20. Bourbonic+25000
• 9. Hot Rod Charlie / 10. Midnight Bourbon+6600
• 9. Hot Rod Charlie / 11. Dynamic One+10000
• 9. Hot Rod Charlie / 12. Helium+15000
• 9. Hot Rod Charlie / 13. Hidden Stash+15000
• 9. Hot Rod Charlie / 14. Essential Quality+1000
• 9. Hot Rod Charlie / 15. Rock Your World+1800
• 9. Hot Rod Charlie / 17. Highly Motivated+4000
• 9. Hot Rod Charlie / 18. Super Stock+10000
• 9. Hot Rod Charlie / 19. Soup And Sandwich+10000
#BreakingNews Duffy got the #KentuckyOaks winner from the great outsource we’ve used for 15ish years. Will have #KentuckyDerby bets earlier than usual, so lock in to weekend pick pack
Off 5-3 overall including Seattle +139. I go 3-1 in NBA. Tonight, it’s five baseball Wise Guy betsbacked by the greatest and recently enhanced super system in gambling based on units won. NBA winneras well. First bet at 6:35, but also four at 8:05 ET or later. Get the picks now
Free pick from Joe Duffy:
MINNESOTA (PINEDA -1.5 +139) Kansas City (Singer)
Use those oddsmakers knowledge against them—again. The Twins are horrible at 8-15 including 3-7 at home. Kansas City is 15-8 including 7-3 road.
Inferior big home favorites are +105.77 units on runline with 8.1 ROI. Pitching numbers appear close, but Pineda with .227 OPB against compared to .273 for Singer.
Nice anti-splits angle that says go with home favorites despite much worse home winning percentage than opponent’s road winning percentage is +10.6 ROI
The odds don’t suggest Aaron Rodgers is going anywhere, but there are additional odds projecting where he might land if he is ultimately traded.
SportsBettinghas put the Las Vegas Raiders at the top of the board for Rodgers’ next team. The Broncos are second on the list, followed by the Chargers.
Additionally, the book has set odds on Rodgers taking the Packers first snap this season, as well as him becoming the full-time host of Jeopardy.
Tim Tebow also stole some NFL Draft spotlight yesterday after it was announced the Jaguars were considering signing the former player as a tight end.
They aren’t as long as his MLB dream odds, but the oddsmakers haven’t given Tebow much of a chance to land on an NFL roster this season.
Finally, below you will find NFL Rookie of the Year odds for offense and defense.
Will Aaron Rodgers be named the permanent Jeopardy host before 2022?
Yes +400
No -700
Aaron Rodgers takes Packers first snap in Week 1 of 2021 reg. season
Yes -1000
No +550
Aaron Rodgers Next Team if Traded (must be traded before Thursday, Sept. 9, 2021)
Las Vegas Raiders 7/1
Denver Broncos 9/1
Los Angeles Chargers 10/1
Cleveland Browns 12/1
Miami Dolphins 12/1
New Orleans Saints 12/1
Washington Football Team 14/1
Carolina Panthers 14/1
Arizona Cardinals 20/1
New England Patriots 20/1
Philadelphia Eagles 20/1
Chicago Bears 25/1
Minnesota Vikings 25/1
Atlanta Falcons 33/1
Dallas Cowboys 33/1
Detroit Lions 33/1
Pittsburgh Steelers 33/1
Seattle Seahawks 33/1
Houston Texans 50/1
New York Jets 50/1
San Francisco 49ers 50/1
Tennessee Titans 50/1
Los Angeles Rams 66/1
Indianapolis Colts 80/1
Cincinnati Bengals 100/1
Jacksonville Jaguars 100/1
New York Giants 100/1
Baltimore Ravens 100/1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 200/1
Buffalo Bills 200/1
Kansas City Chiefs 500/1
Will Tim Tebow sign with the Jaguars?
Yes +200
No -300
Will Tim Tebow be on an active roster in Week 1?
Yes +400
No -700
Will Tim Tebow catch a pass in Week 1?
Yes +500
No -900
Current OROY and DROY odds.
Offensive Rookie of the Year
Trevor Lawrence 3/1
Justin Fields 11/2
Trey Lance 11/2
Mac Jones 7/1
Zach Wilson 7/1
Ja’Marr Chase 10/1
Kyle Pitts 11/1
Jaylen Waddle 14/1
Najee Harris 14/1
DeVonta Smith 18/1
Travis Etienne 20/1
Javonte Williams 28/1
Kadarius Toney 40/1
Kyle Trask 40/1
Rashod Bateman 40/1
Rondale Moore 40/1
Terrace Marshall Jr 40/1
Kellen Mond 50/1
Trey Sermon 50/1
Defensive Rookie of the Year
Micah Parsons 4/1
Jaelan Phillips 7/1
Kwity Paye 15/2
Jaycee Horn 10/1
Patrick Surtain II 10/1
Zaven Collins 10/1
Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah 12/1
Jamin Davis 16/1
Jayson Oweh 16/1
Gregory Rousseau 18/1
Azeez Ojulari 20/1
Caleb Farley 20/1
Greg Newsome II 25/1
Payton Turner 25/1
Trevon Moehrig-Woodard 25/1
Eric Stokes 28/1
Joe Tryon 33/1
Nick Bolton 33/1
Asante Samuel Jr. 40/1
Baron Browning 40/1
Christian Barmore 40/1
Jabril Cox 40/1
Ronnie Perkins 40/1
Joseph Ossai 50/1
Best sports betting picks are found at OffshoreInsiders.com, which traces its roots to scorephone days. Follow the Twitter sports betting feed for breaking gambling, sports handicapping, and wagering intel including free sports picks and information.
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Insane sale, insane run on MasterLockLine. MasterLockline concluded the best sports season in history with college basketball, with most of the winnings in 2021 and it’s déjà vu all over again in MLB and NBA. Up 68.9 for the calendar year based on total net units won at one-unit per bet minus juice, it is the best start in the 40 year history of the MasterLockLine since 976 scorephone days.
Only the highest rated plays from the highest rated handicappers in their highest rated sports have been here since scorephone days of 1980 and the runs are 28-5 in MLB (7 winners of 143 or more) 19-3 MLB OU going back even further. 10-2 NBA. Get a free sports service bet, which also has the full must-see menu, then Get the picks now
Free pick from Joe Duffy’s Picks:
DALLAS -8.5 Detroit
Play undervalued teams to overvalued team when using advanced analytics numbers such as points per game margin and comparing to SU record and spread is 432-225-13. Fade big home dogs if not off a low scoring game and with a substantial amount of rest and neither team has an extreme winning percentage is 546-360-23. Big road favorites versus team off at least one win are 513-347-17.
Sportsline has us covering 68 percent of simulations.
Stevie Vincent rolls along! TGO does it again winning with American League Game of the Year on Cleveland to make the latest explosion 6-2 last three days. Perfect Play in pro basketball among three winners, a pro baseball OU and two pro hoops. Vincent is the top pitching expert in all of sports betting. He knows which pitchers are truly hot or cold which out outliers. Nobody in gambling has this acumen like TGO. Get the picks now
Best NBA teams based on margin of cover.
Team
ATS Record
ATS margin
New York
39-22-1
+4.4
Detroit
33-27-2
+2.2
Memphis
38-22-1
+2.1
Charlotte
32-28-1
+2.9
From OffshoreInsiders.com
Best teams to bet against based on margin of cover.
Team
ATS Record
ATS margin
Orlando
28-31-2
-3.3
Houston
21-41
-3
Miami
27-34-1
-2.8
Sacramento
27-33-1
-2.4
From OffshoreInsiders.com
Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer.
There is no logical explanation but uncanny how every time a massive sale happens that service goes on a massive winning streak. It is happening again. MLL 22-3 baseball run, 9-2 NBA. Below is $392 worth of picks if purchased directly from the service. We have it for pennies on the dollar!
Scorephone legend is the top handicapper bar none when it comes to handicapping pitchers. He is ranked No. 2 all-time in MLB units won and feared for this Pitchers Report Card plays. Nailed MLB PRC Game of the Month AGAIN Monday with huge dog Reds +165. Pitchers Report Card Parlay of the Week with Detroit +215 and Cincinnati +222. That elevates this icon to his best start ever in MLB. NL PRC Game of the Month. Get a free sports service bet, which also has the full menu, then Get the picks now
There is no logical explanation but uncanny how every time a massive sale happens that service goes on a massive winning streak. It is happening again. MLL 22-3 baseball run, 9-2 NBA. Get $392 worth of picks (if purchased directly from the service) for just $16, plus see massive sale. Get the picks now
MLB free pick from Joe Duffy is:
TAMPA (GLASNOW -1.5 +125) Oakland (Irvin)
Oakland is 15-9 including a very impressive 7-3 on the road. Tampa is 12-12 overall and a terrible 5-7 at home. So how the heck can Tampa be such a massive favorite? Inferior (based on winning percentage) big favorites are a great bet, even better on runline at +105.72 units for an 8.1 ROI.
Going with big favorites that stranded a lot of baserunners last game are +439.78 units. It’s a way of exploiting deceptive box scores. Tyler Glasnow just a .198 OBP against compared to .323 for Irvin.
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Big day for professional gamblers. Juicy Lucys, once called Dandy Dogs, are either moneyline or runline bets in which we are getting at least +140. Two Juicy Lucy among four MLB Wise Guys, plus NBA Wise Guy and Major.
NBA includes the longest-running winning system that you and I have won with together since I was fresh out of college in the 1980s. MLB is led by the greatest system in sports in terms of units won! Get the picks now
MLB trends
Marlins 24-19 road last 43 for +19.50 units
Minnesota Twins under 31-10-3 as favorites to AL
Royals under 48-26-3
Mariners 33-25 last 58 or +17.29 units
NBA Trends
Bucks 32-12 ATS laying -7 to -11; 22-6 if to East
Thunder 37-17 ATS road
Thunder under 30-14-1 as road underdogs
Timberwolves 48-72-3 ATS
Rockets 16-36 ATS home
Free:
PORTLAND -5 Indiana
Portland is ice-cold, losing five in a row SU, 6-of-7, and 9-of-11. The Pacers have won three in a row. How the hell can the Blazers be big away favorites? Well betting big away favorites in a losing streak is 277-171-11. Fading home underdogs off a win under specific situations that apply in this game is 80-34-1.
So an angry superior team is playing at one that is fat and happy. Many other angles, some that would overlap, apply here. Many contain angry away favorites off a loss and/or fat and happy home underdogs off win. This has both.
TeamRankings and SportsLine give us a decent edge.
Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Minnesota (76), Brooklyn (74)
Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Nothing of significance
Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Houston
Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Golden State opened +1.5 now -5 (Doncic questionable though line suggests sharps believe he’s out)
Sports betting blog with sports handicapping picks from the best sports handicappers, pregame betting information, sports handicapping articles, links to live odds, free picks, sportsbook information and more. All pro gamblers go to this betting blog before placing a bet.