For decades few things bring us more pain than the term “extra innings.” We go 3-2 yesterday and of course both losers the only two games to go extra frames. Two NBA totals with spectacular super systems. Many of our MLB top systems have to do with same-series adjustments by both teams and oddsmakers. Thus, with first games of series, we may not have many baseball bets tonight if at all. Get the picks now
Free NBA pick…
WASHINGTON -9.5 Oklahoma City
Play undervalued teams to overvalued team when using advanced analytics numbers and comparing to SU record and spread is 426-221. Fade big home dogs if not off a low scoring game and not with a substantial amount of rest and neither team has an extreme winning percentage is 540-355-23. Road favorites or small underdogs on a massive high scoring streak. Washington has scored 117 points or more in six straight, so the big number is well within reach.
Washington has won 8-of-9 to climb into playoff race, so won’t overlook an inferior OKC squad.
Duffy, MasterLockLine, and Stevie Vincent all with big night portfolios at OffshoreInsiders.com
Free pick from NBA:
CLEVELAND +3 Chicago
Despite being nine games under .500 overall, Chicago is a solid 13-15 SU road and 19-9 against spread. Go against teams better on road now on road is 148-99-7. Both TeamRankings, NumberFire, Action Network all givem slight edges to us.
Stephen Curry has been on another planet in the scoring department lately, averaging nearly 40 points per game in April.
Curry’s torrid run includes 54 made 3-pointers in his last six outings, and the oddsmakers have taken notice.
On April 9, SportsBetting had Curry listed with 100/1 odds to take home a third MVP title.
While Jokic is an overwhelming favorite with -350 or 2/7 odds, Curry’s chances have dropped immensely.
Additionally in the NBA Awards odds world, LaMelo Ball finds himself atop the Rookie of the Year leaderboard once again with news recently surfacing that he may return from injury in the next few weeks.
Anthony Edwards moved into the ROY favorite position after Ball broke his wrist, but the possibility of Ball returning has prompted betting on him and flipped the odds.
— Odds for MVP, ROY, Defensive Player of the Year and Most Improved Player are provided by SportsBetting —
MVP Nikola Jokic 2/7 Joel Embiid 7/2 Giannis Antetokounmpo 16/1 Stephen Curry 18/1 James Harden 25/1 Damian Lillard 30/1 LeBron James 42/1 Luka Doncic 42/1 Chris Paul 140/1 Kawhi Leonard 160/1 Donovan Mitchell 160/1
ROY LaMelo Ball 1/2 Anthony Edwards 2/1 Tyrese Haliburton 6/1 Immanuel Quickley 55/1 Deni Avdija 130/1 Saddiq Bey 130/1 Patrick Williams 130/1 Desmond Bane 130/1 Payton Pritchard 130/1
DPOY Rudy Gobert 1/3 Ben Simmons 3/2 Myles Turner 6/1 Giannis Antetokounmpo 36/1 Joel Embiid 65/1 Bam Adebayo 100/1 Kawhi Leonard 100/1 Draymond Green 120/1 Jimmy Butler 120/1
Most Improved Player Julius Randle 1/5 Jerami Grant 4/1 Michael Porter Jr. 16/1 Christian Wood 20/1 Zion Williamson 20/1 Jaylen Brown 42/1 Nikola Jokic 65/1 Zach LaVine 100/1 Chris Boucher 100/1 Colin Sexton 100/1
Best sports betting picks are found at OffshoreInsiders.com, which traces its roots to scorephone days. Follow the Twitter sports betting feed for breaking gambling, sports handicapping, and wagering intel including free sports picks and information.
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Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy has four Wise Guys for Monday. Get three MLB and one NBA. Get the picks now
NBA free winner…
WASHINGTON -12 Oklahoma City
Large favorites have become very good bets since 2016. Under specific situations that apply in this game they are 256-149-9. The number one reason is because with all the rules favoring tempo, the advantage is higher than ever for faster and more athletic teams.
NBA trends
Phoenix 45-22 ats
Oklahoma City 35-16 on road
Denver over 48-28-1 as favorites
San Antonio under 33-15 to East
MLB
Tampa 42-20 if total is between 6.5-8.5
Kansas City under 19-4 to AL with total between 6.5-8.5
Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Detroit (70), Golden State (60)
Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Boston (94), Utah (93)
Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Boston, Cleveland, Utah
Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Detroit -1.5 to +3, Denver -4.5 to -7.5, Philadelphia -7.5 to -10
The hits keep coming! Six MLB Wise Guys off another winning day in MLB going 3-2 led by +168 on Texas.I’m not bullshitting when I tell you the database audit is the best thing that has ever happened to us professional gamblers. So juiced for tonight. Six NBA led by Wise Guy. Joe Duffy’s Wise Guy plays the strongest bet in the gambling cosmos. Ask any pro gambler! Get the picks now
MLB free pick:
CLEVELAND (ALLEN +107) Cincinnati (Hoffman)
Cleveland just 3-4 road, while Reds 5-1 at home. Yet pretty much a pick. Anti-splits angle in which we go with road team with much worse away winning percentage than the home team home winning percentage is +155.64 units and a 15.3 ROI. If teams are small away underdogs despite a big net run disadvantage, listen to what the oddsmakers tell you and go with the seemingly inferior small road underdog at 91.26 units and 11.8 ROI. Logan Allen has pitched well in two starts with a 2.70 ER, solid 1.2 WHIP. Both are better than Jeff Hoffman’s numbers.
MLB Trends:
Twins under 35-11-3 to AL
San Francisco 33-23 with total 7.5-9.5 for +16.65 units
Cubs under 23-5-2 to NL
Colorado 18-41 last 49 for -18.4 units
NBA
Oklahoma City 35-14 road
Philadelphia over 27-10 as favorites
Rockets 45-74-1
Timberwolves 44-71-2
Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: San Antonio (72), LA Clippers (65), Washington (64), Minnesota (59) all underdogs
Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Portland (93), Toronto (87)
Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Portland, Toronto, Philadelphia
Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Detroit -7 to -3, New Orleans P to -2.5
JDP continues to take handicapping to a brand-new level at 36-22 all. This includes Tigers has huge dogs each of the previous two nights cashing in. NBA sweep means 16-6 lately there. Three days winners in MLB, five night, all Wise Guys.
Two NBA Wise Guys, but includes rare day game 4:30 ET among three NBA.
Free NBA pick
DALLAS -2.5 Memphis
You would look at each team’s record and see that Dallas is 29-24 SU, Memphis is 27-25. Those records are close enough that with home court advantage, seeing the road team laying 2.5. But we have an angle that compares advanced metrics to the line and record and isolates undervalued to overvalued teams and that is the case here with Mavs having and angle 414-212-11 favoring them. Road favorites that shoot substantially more three-pointers than league average are 1265-1027-49.
Dallas has lost two straight and 3-of-4 but nice bounceback angle that is 883-699-25. Fade home underdogs off win under specific situations is 78-33-1. With Memphis hotter team at 5-2 last seven, many more angles using the oddsmakers knowledge against them going with better but colder team.
NBA Trends
Milwaukee 30-10 against the spread in its last 40 games when the spread is between -11.5 and -7.5
Kings over 60-38-2 last 100
San Antonio under 16-1 as a road favorite off a win as a road favorite facing an opponent averaging more than five blocks per game
Detroit 17-1 when the spread is between 6 and 10 following a loss
Milwaukee under 21-2 off a 10+ win in a road game in which they never trailed
Memphis under 28-11 at home
Timberwolves 44-70-2 last 116
Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Miami Heat (62) which is high for an underdog, Toronto (59) significant because the public again backing underdogs
Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Milwaukee (85), Chicago (85)
Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: San Antonio, Chicago
Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds:
Since streamlining database, elimination underperforming overly backfitted systems, our audit has produced a 25-14 spurt and I have flat out never been more optimistic about the future. 14-8 MLB. Four NBA led by two Wise Guys. Six MLB led by three Wise Guys. Wise Guy plays from Joe Duffy are the single strongest bet in gambling. The future is so bright, I got to wear shades. Get the picks now
MLB free pick
Tampa-Texas UNDER 7.5 (Glasnow-Dunning) 7:10
Total compared to season average goes under 2539-2031-240.
Top ATS trends
MLB
Twins under 32-10-3 to AL
Tampa 49-26 last 75 for +16.47 units
Cubs under 22-4-1 to NL
NBA
Phoenix 44-19 ATS last 63
Houston under 79-52-2 last 133
Utah is 20-3-1 home
Houston 44-73-1 last 118
Bet Now lowest moneyline juice of any vetted sportsbook
Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: LA Lakers (66 percent). With the public generally preferring favorites, this is significant.
Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: New Orleans (92), Memphis (89)
Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: New Orleans, Denver
Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Utah opened -13.5 now -11, New York -3.5 to -2
So it begins for Joe Duffy clients! A new wave of super systems, streamlining of old ones, and the Grandmaster goes 4-1 in MLB. Six MLB winners, three each of mid-to-late afternoon and three night led by NL Runline Game of the Week and a system that is +683.16 units on the plus side.
Four NBA tonight including a super system that is 2301-1914-81. This includes 52-18-1 this year and 481-302-26 since 2015. It applies to both Wise Guys. Get the picks now
Free NBA pick from Joe Duffy is
SAN ANTONIO +8.5 Denver
It is no secret that the public loves better on the better and hotter teams. This creates an overlay. Spurs are 2-9 SU last 11. Denver is sizzling including winning seven straight and 16-of-19. However, we have an angle that says to bet on a much colder team is 519-377-13 ATS, despite being 356-553 outright, crushing the inductive myth about betting on the team you think will win outright.
Sportsline gives San Antonio a 59 percent chance of covering. Action Network power ratings have this at 7.2 difference, so like TeamRankings, slight edge to our side. MasseyRatings has the spread at -7.5.
Jamal Murray, who averages 21.8 points per game for Nuggets likely limited.
NBA trends:
Rockets under 79-50-1 last 131
Pelicans over 31-12 at home
Timberwolves 43-68-2 ATS last 113
Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets NBA: Chicago (63), this is significant as the public generally likes favorites. The popular adage is public dogs die.
Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Philadelphia (82)
Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: LA Clippers, Golden State, Orlando
Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Denver opened -6.5, now -8.5.
Bet Now has the lowest moneyline juice of any approved and vetted sportsbook. This is massive as cutting one’s risk per each losing bet maximizes profits.
Bellator debuts on Showtime this Friday, and there are a lot of people betting on the hype.
Bellator MMA 256 will feature just one of the Light Heavyweight World Grand Prix Quarterfinal matchups, but the odds for all four bouts have shifted significantly over the last few months.
Fight odds for Bellator MMA 256 can be found at SportsBetting
Ryan Bader -290
Lyoto Machida +230
(Bader opened as -500 favorite)
Vadim Nemkov -205
Phil Davis +165
(Nemkov opened as -350 favorite)
Dovletdzhan Yagshimuradov +150
Corey Anderson -175
(Yagshimuradov opened as -150 favorite)
Liz Carmouchie -180
Vanessa Porto +155
Jeremy Kennedy -130
Adam Borics +110
Olivia Parker +500
Cat Zingano -700
Best sports betting picks are found at OffshoreInsiders.com, which traces its roots to scorephone days. Follow the Twitter sports betting feed for breaking gambling, sports handicapping, and wagering intel including free sports picks and information.
Get gift cards with Bitcoin. Amazon, Target, Walmart; most of your favorite retailers and online destinations are likely available.
Please like, subscribe, and comment on the official dad jokes YouTube channel.
Great scented wax, scents for you home, car, office, and warmers at DuffyScents.com. These great smelling scents are ideal for pet owners. You can order from anywhere in the world, but for local parties in Johns Creek, Alpharetta, Roswell, she is the Scentsy consultant! The best Scentsy Facebook group and find out about online Facebook Scentsy parties.
Please like, subscribe, and comment on the official dad jokes YouTube channel.
DuffyGifts.com allows you to order online from anywhere, but also home to ThirtyOne consultant Stephanie Duffy serving Alpharetta, Roswell, Johns Creek the place to go for gifts for all occasions from MyThirtyOne Gifts.
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