Two gambling heavyweights, Barstool Sports and Las Vegas Westgate Casino are having a set-to regarding proprietorship over the cliché, “Good teams win, bad teams cover.” Barstool President Dave Portney business acumen is indisputable. Consequently, is he spewing this hackneyed canard because he believes it or is he cunning like a fox? Like Westgate, Portnoy owns his own sportsbook, Barstool. Hence, there is plenty of incentive for perpetuating this farcical hoax. 

Nothing makes me more confident when other gambling companies like @WestgateVegas start sending us cease and desists for us tweeting “good teams win, great teams cover”

By the way there is literally no chance they invented that. That’s like saying you invented the question mark pic.twitter.com/uSyrbyQQyu

— Dave Portnoy (@stoolpresidente) February 17, 2021

The fact-based truth is that great teams are overvalued. In the NBA teams with winning percentage of .880 or above are 600-652-26 ATS. However, when playing a horrific team, it’s even worse. If their opponent has a winning percentage of less than .410, the great team covers at an abysmal .373 at 85-143-3. When the records are not deceptive and the “great” team is the favorite by at least 1.5, the elite squad covers at a .368 clip. 

Do great teams cover in NFL? If a team has a winning percentage of .900 or above and at least 11 wins, one could proclaim they’ve gained admission to the great clique. Yet said teams are 25-59-1 for .298 winning percentage all-time. 

None of this is a revelation to pro gamblers. The gambling society yearns to wager on superior and hotter teams, hence betting on premium lineups comes with a premium price. Pay the piper for that façade of security of betting on great squads to cover. 

I’m no atty and I’m preoccupied winning bets to play one on the computer. However, I handicap Portnoy’s claim, “By the way there is literally no chance they invented that (phrase),” to be irrelevant in a court of law.  Barstool’s head honcho compared it to “Saying you invented the question mark.” Or the term “barstool” perhaps.

My reasons for making Barstool the substantial underdog are anecdotal, but personal and related to the gambling sector. 

Our free scorephones were called “Sportsline.” Many years later, Sportsline was trademarked by the founders of website now owned by CBS. After getting a cease-and-desist letter demanding we stop using the name, our corporate attorney advised us to not fight it.  Apparently, “Literally no chance they invented that” holds up in court as well as “Great teams cover” holds up at sportsbooks.

Anyone who believes the urban legend about a correlation between great groups of players and covering may not have invented the question mark. They just epitomize it. 

Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy has been making scientifically-based winning picks since 1988 on the scorephones. He is CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com  

pring training is underway, and oddsmakers are pushing out their projections for the 2021 MLB season.

At SportsBetting, the Dodgers were tagged with an over/under victory total of 103.5, which is highest total in the last 22 years. 

The Yankees had a win total of 104.5 ahead of the 1999 season. New York was the World Series champ that year, but their total went under after compiling a 98-64 record. 

Below, you will find every team’s win total for this year, as well as the 2020 season (which was obviously shortened) for comparison. 

The Red Sox’s total has dropped by nine victories (88.5 to 79.5), but the largest drop comes from the Pirates after having a total of 71.5 last year and 58.5 this year. 

The Rangers (79.5 to 67.5) and Rockies (74.5 to 63.5) are also notable fallers.

The biggest improvement comes from the Padres. San Diego had a win total of 83.5 last season, but is listed at 95.5 for 2021.

The Blue Jays (75.5 to 87.5) also saw a large jump, while the Tigers and Orioles are both in the 60-win tier after being in the 50-win tier last year.

MLB odds are provided by SportsBetting

2021 Regular Season Win Totals

Arizona Diamondbacks

Over/Under 75.5

Atlanta Braves

Over/Under 92.5

Baltimore Orioles

Over/Under 63.5

Boston Red Sox

Over/Under 79.5

Chicago Cubs

Over/Under 80.5

Chicago White Sox

Over/Under 90.5

Cincinnati Reds

Over/Under 83.5

Cleveland Indians

Over/Under 80.5

Colorado Rockies

Over/Under 63.5

Detroit Tigers

Over/Under 65.5

Houston Astros

Over/Under 87.5

Kansas City Royals

Over/Under 71.5

Los Angeles Angels

Over/Under 82.5

Los Angeles Dodgers

Over/Under 103.5

Miami Marlins

Over/Under 72.5

Milwaukee Brewers

Over/Under 82.5

Minnesota Twins

Over/Under 88.5

New York Mets

Over/Under 89.5

New York Yankees

Over/Under 95.5

Oakland Athletics

Over/Under 86.5

Philadelphia Phillies

Over/Under 81.5

Pittsburgh Pirates

Over/Under 58.5

San Diego Padres

Over/Under 95.5

San Francisco Giants

Over/Under 75.5

Seattle Mariners

Over/Under 71.5

St. Louis Cardinals

Over/Under 87.5

Tampa Bay Rays

Over/Under 86.5

Texas Rangers

Over/Under 67.5

Toronto Blue Jays

Over/Under 87.5

Washington Nationals

Over/Under 84.5

——————————————————————–

2020 Regular Season Win Totals

Arizona Diamondbacks

Over/Under 83.5

Atlanta Braves

Over/Under 91.5

Baltimore Orioles

Over/Under 55.5

Boston Red Sox

Over/Under 88.5

Chicago Cubs

Over/Under 86.5

Chicago White Sox

Over/Under 84.5

Cincinnati Reds

Over/Under 83.5

Cleveland Indians

Over/Under 87.5

Colorado Rockies

Over/Under 74.5

Detroit Tigers

Over/Under 56.5

Houston Astros

Over/Under 95.5

Kansas City Royals

Over/Under 65.5

Los Angeles Angels

Over/Under 85.5

Los Angeles Dodgers

Over/Under 98.5

Miami Marlins

Over/Under 64.5

Milwaukee Brewers

Over/Under 83.5

Minnesota Twins

Over/Under 92.5

New York Yankees

Over/Under 101.5

New York Mets

Over/Under 86.5

Oakland Athletics

Over/Under 89.5

Philadelphia Phillies

Over/Under 85.5

Pittsburgh Pirates

Over/Under 71.5

San Diego Padres

Over/Under 83.5

San Francisco Giants

Over/Under 69.5

Seattle Mariners

Over/Under 67.5

St. Louis Cardinals

Over/Under 88.5

Tampa Bay Rays

Over/Under 90.5

Texas Rangers

Over/Under 79.5

Toronto Blue Jays

Over/Under 75.5

Washington Nationals

Over/Under 90.5

Best sports betting picks are found at OffshoreInsiders.com, which traces its roots to scorephone days. Follow the Twitter sports betting feed for breaking gambling, sports handicapping, and wagering intel including free sports picks and information.

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JDP has three NBA winners, a side and two totals. Simply put, I have been winning for more than 30 years publicly. If you want the best, you will hop on board. Get the picks now 

NBA free pick….

PHOENIX -6 Portland

Fade big dogs with great records is 593-413-27. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found them covering at a rate of 55 percent. 

Best teams to bet on and against in college basketball based on margin of cover.

Team	ATS Record	ATS margin
Colgate	8-4	+7.5
Morehead State	15-7	+7.1
Prairie View	11-1	+6.5
Baylor	13-4	+6.4
Weber State	13-3	+5.8
UC Riverside	9-6-1	+5.8

 Best teams to bet against.

Team	ATS Record	ATS margin
Eastern Michigan	3-7	-8.9
Miss Valley State	5-13	-7.2
No Illinois	3-11	-6.7
Michigan State	5-15	-6.6
Boston U	5-8	-6.5
New Mexico	5-11	-6.4

 Alert! Alert! Alert! MyBookie is now a 50 percent sign-up bonus. They always pay on time. 

The best has gotten better with the windfall of new systems. At 53-35, consider this the beginning. It’s like buying BTC at $3.24. The newest one, the rage of the industry, acquired from a powerful syndicates of whales, has to do with fading home teams in which the advanced metrics say are overvalued. NBA side and four totals from the best capper in the biz! Get the picks now 

Free

DENVER -8.5 Cleveland 

Denver lost two in a row both SU and ATS. Big away favorites in a losing are 265-165-11. Scorephone clients will recall that angle that has to do with teams off a loss under certain situations that we have won with literally since our debut in 1988. It works regular and postseason and applies here. Road teams playing a bad team and in a bad stretch of defensive efforts are undervalued to the tune of 133-83-1. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found them covering at a rate of 68 percent. Bovada is where I bet!

We’re less than a month away from the start of the NCAA Tournament so let’s take a look at the latest projections for the college basketball conference champs.

SportsBetting has updated odds for the ACC, Big 12, Big East, Big Ten, Pac-12, SEC, AAC, A-10 and Mountain West.

Also below you will find some of the largest movements in terms of odds for certain teams and conferences. 

ACC
– Duke started season as the 2/1 favorite, now 20/1

Big 12
– Kansas started season as the 3/2 favorite, now 10/1

Big East
– Providence started season with 50/1 odds, now 10/1
– Marquette started season with 100/1 odds, now 16/1

Big Ten
– Ohio State started season with 12/1 odds, now 5/2 favorite
– Michigan started season with 14/1 odds, now 3/1

Pac-12
– Arizona State started season as the 5/2 favorite, now 25/1
– Colorado started season with 12/1 odds, now 3/2 favorite
– USC started season with 12/1 odds, now 3/1

SEC
– Kentucky started season as the 3/2 favorite, now 35/1
– Colorado started season with 12/1 odds, now 3/1

A-10
– Dayton started season as the 2/1 favorite, now 15/1

You can find current odds at SportsBetting 

ACC 
Virginia 3/1
Florida State 3/1
Louisville 5/1
Virginia Tech 6/1
North Carolina 7/1
Clemson 10/1
Duke 20/1
Syracuse 30/1
Pittsburgh 35/1
Georgia Tech 40/1
Notre Dame 60/1
Miami 70/1
NC State 70/1
Boston College 500/1
Wake Forest 500/1

Big 12 
Baylor 2/5
Texas 5/1
Texas Tech 8/1
Oklahoma 9/1
Kansas 10/1
West Virginia 10/1
TCU 150/1
Kansas State 300/1
Iowa State 500/1

Big East 
Villanova 3/2
Creighton 5/4
Connecticut 6/1
Xavier 8/1
Seton Hall 10/1
St. Johns 30/1
Providence 50/1
Marquette 100/1
Butler 100/1
Georgetown 200/1
DePaul 500/1

Big Ten 
Ohio State 5/2
Michigan 3/1
Iowa 9/2
Illinois 4/1
Wisconsin 5/1
Purdue 15/1
Minnesota 20/1
Michigan State 40/1
Indiana 50/1
Maryland 100/1
Penn State 100/1
Northwestern 100/1
Nebraska 500/1

Pac-12 
Colorado 3/2
USC 2/1
UCLA 3/1
Oregon 5/1
Stanford 15/1
Arizona State 25/1
Utah 35/1
Washington State 50/1
Washington 200/1
California 200/1
Oregon State 200/1

SEC 
Tennessee 3/2
Alabama 3/1
LSU 4/1
Missouri 5/1
Florida 6/1
Arkansas 12/1
Mississippi 25/1
Kentucky 35/1
Mississippi State 60/1
South Carolina 125/1
Georgia 200/1
Texas A&M 300/1
Vanderbilt 500/1

AAC 
Houston 1/4
SMU 4/1
Memphis 6/1
Wichita State 15/1
South Florida 25/1
Tulsa 30/1
Cincinnati 70/1
Central Florida 80/1
East Carolina 100/1
Tulane 150/1
Temple 200/1

A-10 
Saint Louis 2/1
Richmond 3/1
Va Commonwealth 3/1
St. Bonaventure 4/1
Davidson 12/1
Dayton 15/1
Rhode Island 25/1
Massachusetts 40/1
Duquesne 100/1
George Mason 100/1
George Washington 300/1
La Salle 300/1
Fordham 300/1
St. Josephs 300/1

Mountain West 
Utah State 3/2
San Diego State 2/1
Boise State 4/1
Colorado State 5/1
UNLV 25/1
Nevada 25/1
Wyoming 50/1
New Mexico 100/1
Fresno State 100/1
Air Force 300/1
San Jose State 300/1

Best sports betting picks are found at OffshoreInsiders.com, which traces its roots to scorephone days. Follow the Twitter sports betting feed for breaking gambling, sports handicapping, and wagering intel including free sports picksand information.

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Please like, subscribe, and comment on the official dad jokes YouTube channel. Great scented wax, scents for you home, car, office, and warmers at DuffyScents.com. These great smelling scents are ideal for pet owners. You can order from anywhere in the world, but for local parties in Johns Creek, Alpharetta, Roswell, she is the Scentsy consultant! 

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While going from no quarterback to Carson Wentz may not been seen as much of an upgrade in the eyes of some, the oddsmakers are giving the Colts slightly better championship chances following the trade with Philadelphia. 

SportsBetting dropped the Colts’ Super Bowl LVI odds from 25/1 to 20/1 with Wentz and Frank Reich reunited.

The Eagles saw their title odds jump from 50/1 to 70/1 now that Jalen Hurts is the unquestioned starter. 

Indy’s odds to capture the conference moved from 14/1 to 10/1 while Philly’s NFC chances ballooned from 25/1 to 40/1. 

Current Super Bowl odds from SportsBetting

Super Bowl LVI
Chiefs 9/2
Buccaneers 8/1
Packers 8/1
Bills 11/1
Ravens 11/1
Rams 14/1
49ers 14/1
Saints 15/1
Browns 18/1
Seahawks 20/1
Colts 20/1
Dolphins 25/1
Steelers 25/1
Cowboys 28/1
Titans 28/1
Chargers 33/1
Patriots 40/1
Cardinals 40/1
Raiders 50/1
Vikings 50/1
Panthers 50/1
Washington 60/1
Bears 66/1
Broncos 66/1
Falcons 66/1
Giants 66/1
Texans 66/1
Eagles 70/1
Jets 80/1
Bengals 100/1
Lions 125/1
Jaguars 125/1

Best sports betting picks are found at OffshoreInsiders.com, which traces its roots to scorephone days. Follow the Twitter sports betting feed for breaking gambling, sports handicapping, and wagering intel including free sports picksand information.

DuffyGifts.com allows you to order online from anywhere, but also home to ThirtyOne consultant Stephanie Duffy serving Alpharetta, Roswell, Johns Creek the place to go for gifts for all occasions from MyThirtyOne Gifts.

Get gift cards with Bitcoin. Amazon, Target, Walmart; most of your favorite retailers and online destinations are likely available.

Please like, subscribe, and comment on the official dad jokes YouTube channel. Great scented wax, scents for you home, car, office, and warmers at DuffyScents.com. These great smelling scents are ideal for pet owners. You can order from anywhere in the world, but for local parties in Johns Creek, Alpharetta, Roswell, she is the Scentsy consultant! 

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Joe Duffy of OffshoreInsiders.com with a free NBA pick on:

MILWAUKEE -6 Toronto 

Toro just blew out Milwaukee. Big favorites in same season revenge of blowout loss are 837-696-41. This includes 59.7 since 2012. 

Top NBA teams to bet on based on margin of cover.

Team	ATS Record	ATS margin
New York	16-14	+4.1
Utah	22-7	+3.9
Charlotte	15-12	+3.2
Chicago	16-11	+2.8
Detroit	15-12-1	+2.8

Best teams to bet against ranked by cover margin.

Team	ATS Record	ATS margin
Miami	9-18	-4.8
Cleveland	10-19	-3.7
Orlando	13-16	-3.3
Sacramento	13-14	-3.1

 Bet at approved sportsbooks such as Bovada or MyBookie   

Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy rocks at 52-34 in hoops, 3-1 last night. Three NBA led by two Wise Guys. That system about fading overvalued home teams plays big tonight. #hint Get the picks now 

Free

ATLANTA +3 Boston 

The Hawks have dropped 7-of-8 SU and three straight ATS, yet getting a mere three-points from a team 7-4 SU at home and 8-3. Road underdogs under .500 on ATS losing streak versus an unrested team on pointspread winning streak are 929-685-30. 

Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy has four NBA winners, two sides, two totals. We are so appreciative, even giddy about the unprecedented loyalty of our clients. Still traffic tracking tells us several of you are still on the outside looking in. At some point, you need to raise the bar rather than just keeping the books in business. Get the picks now 

Free winner from Joe Duffy…

LA Lakers-Minnesota OVER 223

LA is the No. 5 under team in the NBA going under by an average of 3.2 points per game and under at a 17-11 rate. Though Minnesota is a slight under at 13-12 to the under, it is by -2.4 points per game, making them the No. 7 under team based on margin. When two big under teams based on margin meet, it’s regression to the mean time. Said matchups go over 798-580-26. Our No. 2 model has it going over 56.3 percent.  

The Grandmaster is 48-30 with all hoop picks. Two Wise Guys among four NBA winners from Joe Duffy at OffshoreInsiders.com    

Free pick:

HOUSTON -1 Washington

Houston is on an 0-5 SU and ATS skid. Road teams under .500 on ATS losing streak versus an unrested team on pointspread winning streak are 928-683-30 including 60.5 percent as a fave. Road favorites that shoot substantially more three-pointers than league average is 1337-1087-54. Away favorites off loss 798-626-22. Away favorites on at least a five-game losing streak are 68-39-3. When said teams road winning percentage is better than the home teams home winning percentage, it wins 66.7 percent of the time.

I bet at Bovada