I will repeat, it is impossible to not be superstitious. After restart, I had a lifetime of bad beats. But once 2021 came along, everything is back to normal. Joe Duffy’s Picks is 32-13 NBA in the New Year. An influx of new systems and the addition of the two best computer simulation models in the word have raised the bar even higher.
Seven NBA led by two Wise Guys.Lawd, you have heard me scream “use the oddsmakers’ knowledge against them.” We have screaming examples on both Wise Guys and I explain precisely why. Get ready to be amazed. Get ready to sweep. Get the picks now
Brooklyn-Memphis UNDER 219
Three times in the last five games, the Nets have had totals in the 240s. The lowest was 222.5. Yet this is at 219. Remember I preach use the oddsmakers knowledge against them? Or listen to what they are telling you. Yeah, we do have an angle that says when there is an unusually low total compared to recent ones, it goes under 178-85-6. That’s 67.6 percent. Yes, Nets will be without Durant and Irving and there very often extenuating circumstances. But computer says the oddsmakers have not adjusted enough.
Teams off win as an underdog under specific situations that apply in this game a big under bet at 216-125-12 as Brooklyn beat the Sixers. A computer simulator that takes into consideration starting line-ups, as it’s also used for fantasy sports and does a projected boxscore, updated with injuries, has it going under, though admittedly a slight lean. We bet at Bovada
MasterLockLine went 3-2 yesterday. 60 percent. It was one of the worst days of the season. LOL! Laughing all the way to the bank, the best start by any entity, any year, ever in gambling is now 64-23 NCABB. Oh a terrible 20-11 NBA. LOL. Winning since 1980 on scorephones, check out a big day on OffshoreInsiders.com
Free NBA pick on:
LA LAKERS -5.5 San Antonio
Exploiting outlier games is a very profitable tool in gambling. Going with a team off a game in which their free throw points was much less than normal average is 48-16. Fading teams off win as an away underdog when they benefitted from few fouls being called are 171-129-9.
Fading teams off road win as a dog while going with and attempted many more three point shots than usual is 19-0. I bet at Bovada
Tough not to be a little superstitious as a bizarre 2020 has given way to a return to normalcy. Grandmaster Joe Duffy is 22-8 this calendar year in NBA off a 3-0 sweep last night. We are 29-16 overall.
Eleven NBA winners led by four Wise Guys including NBA Central Total of the Year.Never, ever jump off the bandwagon of the greatest capper in history. Why do you think I’ve been a full-time handicapper since 1988?
Free pick:
New Orleans-Oklahoma City OVER 212
New Orleans has gone under 5-2, going under by an average of 13.6 points per game, making them the No. 2 under team in the NBA. Oklahoma City has gone under 4-2 by 5.5 points per game. So bet under, right? Well Joeybagofdonuts will if he sees those stats. Two cumulative under teams go over 763-552-25. Regression to the mean wins with sides and totals and with low total is the case here. I bet at Bovada
Tough not to be a little superstitious as a bizarre 2020 has given way to a return to normalcy. Grandmaster Joe Duffy is 22-8 this calendar year in NBA off a 3-0 sweep last night. We are 29-16 overall. Prepurchase the winners
Wise Guy plays are your maximum play. Majors are .75 of Wise Guy plays. Game of the Year and Game of the Month plays still involve the same straight betting as above. While we believe all gamblers need only bet our plays we realize some pick and choose selections. Said distinction is for such ala carte players. All units won quoted on systems are based on one unit per bet.
NBA
Wise Guy
LA Lakers-Memphis UNDER 218
Total based on recent form and current total goes under 1600-1103-69. When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 1485-1136-50. When both apply, it goes under 210-125-13.
Major
SAN ANTONIO +8.5 LA Clippers
Road underdogs under .500 on ATS losing streak versus an unrested team on pointspread winning streak are 821-765-36. It is a classic regression to the mean where squares love hotter and better team, sharps know colder and worse team gets great value. When combined with a similar angle, it goes over 328-211-11.
MINNESOTA +11 Denver
Road underdogs under .500 on ATS losing streak versus an unrested team on pointspread winning streak are 821-765-36. It is a classic regression to the mean where squares love hotter and better team, sharps know colder and worse team gets great value. Fade teams off a win in which they gave up a lot of assists is 664-519-21.
Literally the entire Bet it Trinity is one fire! MasterLockLine’s college basketball is off to the best start of any entity in any sport in gambling history. Stevie Vincent’s pro basketball run is historic and he’s widely accepted as one of the two best pro basketball services ever. Duffy doing as well on 2021 just like he has in his entire career. It’s all at OffshoreInsiders.com
Free pick is from Joe Duffy’s Picks on:
UTAH -5 Brooklyn
Road favorites that shoot substantially more three-pointers than league average are 1312-1068-54. I will be the first to admit, the explanation isn’t as obvious as many of our systems. However, one can see how a superior team (obviously an away chalk is better, though in this case because of Duran quarantine) that shoots a lot of three-pointers is a likely blowout. We bet at GTBets
The Grandmaster is a stunning 16-4 in NBA in 2021 and 22-11 overall. Four NBA Wise Guys led by NBA Game of the Week. Three NBA and a college basketball Major. Our college basketball is a famed outsourced as we have a super sharp loving a lower-profile game and it just so happens to be a strong bet from our #1 simulator. I exploit the top computer systems program (with formulas procured from other ones), bar none the top two simulators, and the elite power ratings. This means essentially thousands of man-hours evaluate every game and you get the best of best. Get the picks now
Free NBA pick:
CHARLOTTE +8.5 Philadelphia
At 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS the Sixers have been better and hotter than the Hornets are 2-4 both outright and in the back pocket. Charlotte is off consecutive 15-point losses, while Philadelphia’s three game spread streak includes 25 and 15 points wins in their last two. The public salivates over hotter and better teams and oddsmakers know that, plus well, again regression. Regression to the mean based on overall record and spread streak saying go with inferior and colder team is 702-539-28.
Fading teams that had gave up lot of assists in their last game is 664-517-21. Bet at GTBets
Joe Duffy’s Picks is on fire! Everything is as usual in 2021. I am 13-3 overall includinga perfect 11-0 NBA. The link is specific why the gap is larger than it has been since early 90s between sharp and square bettors. Seven NFL led by two Wise Guys!Here is what many have waited for. Nine NBA led by four Wise Guys.This includes one side and one total where the top bets on our No. 1 simulator agrees with magical systems. Get the picks now
Tons of angles. Scorephone clients will recall that angle that has to do with teams off a loss under certain situations that we have won with literally since our debut in 1988. It works regular and postseason and applies here. Big road favorites versus team off at least one win is 484-331-16. Away favorites versus opponent off a close win is 356-234-9. Combine road favorites off a loss system with teams off a close win is 64-25 for 71.9 percent. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found them covering at a rate 66 percent.
Yeah, the Notre Dame backdoor showed the bad beats didn’t magically disappear because of the calendar. But then my wife made my childhood good luck meal of pork and sauerkraut. I ate before any NBA tipped off and the kickoff of the second game (of course I had Ohio State). All 11 picks in the NBA in 2021 have been spread or totals blowouts, which means we have hit all 11. This is what happens when you work tirelessly discovering or spending big money acquiring the best computers systems that pro gamblers exploit.
Thanks to sportsbooks popping up in many states, and networks and high-profile websites hiring people who don’t know shit about gambling to make picks, tailed by Joey Bagofdonuts, the sharp versus square chasm is returning to levels I have not seen since the early 1990s. Here is every pick released by Joe Duffy’s Picks in 2021. 11 winners, zero losers, none close. OffshoreInsiders.com CEO Joe Duffy has substantial reason to be confident 2021 will be the most profitable in gambling history.
Saturday 5-0!
NBA
Wise Guy
Atlanta-Cleveland UNDER 233
Saturday Night NBA Total of the Year
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 821-546-38. A math total based on home/road splits goes under 279-146-12. When both apply, it goes under a crazy 68-21. In fact going back further 116-53.
NEW YORK +9 Indiana
Regression to the mean based on ats winning percentage says go with worse ats and SU team is 57-16-2 for 78.1 percent. Road underdogs under .500 on ATS losing streak versus an unrested team on pointspread winning streak are 821-764-36.
OKLAHOMA CITY +7.5 Orlando
Regression to the mean based on ats winning percentage says go with worse ats and SU team is 57-16-2 for 78.1 percent. One based purely on ats margin is 258-197. This is also possibly our strongest computer bet of the season so far! One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found them covering at a rate of 64 percent. Our second strongest model has OKC covering 63.5.
Major
Toronto-New Orleans OVER 213
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The over version goes over at a rate of 1247-912-66.
New York-Indiana UNDER 215
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The under version goes under at a rate of 821-546-38.
Offensive fireworks are expected at the CFP National Championship between Alabama and Ohio State.
SportsBetting opened the Crimson Tide as 7-point favorites, and the over/under of 75.5 points is the second-largest in CFP history.
When the Buckeyes and Tide met in the 2015 CFP semis, the teams combined to score 77 points. That game went well over the 58-point total, and Ohio State won as a 7.5-point underdog, which is still the biggest upset in CFP history.
Alabama has -250 moneyline odds to win the game while Ohio State has +220 odds to win outright.
Top 10 Biggest CFP Spreads 2020/21 Rose Bowl: Alabama (-19) vs. Notre Dame 2018/19 Orange Bowl: Alabama (-14.5) vs. Oklahoma 2019/20 Peach Bowl: LSU (-12.5) vs. Oklahoma 2016/17 Peach Bowl: Alabama (-12.5) vs. Washington 2018/19 Cotton Bowl: Clemson (-10.5) vs. Notre Dame 2015/16 Cotton Bowl: Alabama (-10) vs. Michigan State 2014/15 Sugar Bowl: Alabama (-7.5) vs. Ohio State 2014/15 Rose Bowl: Oregon (-7.5) vs. Florida State 2020/21 Sugar Bowl: Clemson (-7) vs. Ohio State 2020/21 CFP Championship: Alabama (-7) vs. Ohio State
Top 10 Highest CFP Over/Unders 2018/19 Orange Bowl: Alabama vs. Oregon (80.5) 2019/20 Peach Bowl: LSU vs. Oklahoma (75) 2014/15 Rose Bowl: Oregon vs. Florida State (74) 2014/15 CFP NCG: Oregon vs. Ohio State (72.5) 2020/21 Rose Bowl: Alabama vs. Notre Dame (65.5) 2020/21 Sugar Bowl: Clemson vs. Ohio State (65) 2019/20 Fiesta Bowl: Clemson vs. Ohio State (63.5) 2017/18 Rose Bowl: Oklahoma vs. Georgia (62.5) 2015/16 Orange Bowl: Clemson vs. Oklahoma (61.5) 2014/15 Sugar Bowl: Alabama vs. Ohio State (58)
Top 5 Biggest CFP Upsets 2014/15 Sugar Bowl: Ohio State (+7.5) over Alabama 2016/17 CFP NCG: Clemson (+6.5) over Alabama 2014/15 CFP NCG: Ohio State (+6) vs. Oregon 2018/19 CFP NCG: Clemson (+5) over Alabama 2015/16 Orange Bowl: Clemson (+3.5) over Oklahoma
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