Sports gambler Joe Duffy has two free college football winners. What a weekend is in store! Saturday, six Wise Guys among nine college football winners. Yeah, our famed bubble burst angle finally lost last week. Talk about revenge, our top version applies three times. This is absurdly rare for it to pop up three times in the same day. You are in for a doozie! Get the picks now
GEORGIA -22.5 Florida
Big conference favorites with momentum of recent blowout wins against inferior teams is 53-16. One of our top projection models did 10,000 simulations and found them covering at a rate of 60 percent.
ILLINOIS -7.5 Nebraska
Away favorites off great defenses efforts versus an opponent off a terrible one are 83-33.
For the second time in three day, I go 5-0! This is the advanced analytics you get every damn day from Joe Duffy at OffshoreInsiders.com For those on the outside looking in…why?
Wise Guy plays are your maximum play. Majors are .75 of Wise Guy plays. Game of the Year and Game of the Month plays still involve the same straight betting as above. While we believe all gamblers need only bet our plays we realize some pick and choose selections. Said distinction is for such ala carte players. All units won quoted on systems are based on one unit per bet.
NBA
Wise Guy
Houston-Utah UNDER 232.5
Math total based on home/road splits of the respective teams goes under a whacked 320-168-18.
Denver-LA Lakers UNDER 229
ESPN Total of the Month
Math total based on home/road splits of the respective teams goes under a whacked 320-168-18. When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records. One could combine them for an overall record. The turbo under version goes under at a rate of 954-634-69. Combine the two and it goes under a jaw-dropping 106-46.
MIAMI -2 Portland
Interconference Game of the Month
Portland is 4-0 ATS covering by 13.3 points per game. Miami is 0-4 failing by -8.1. Massive regression to the mean angle based on spread records and margin of cover says to go with much worse team to the tune of 60-15-2. Going with much more disappointing offense is 441-332. This is based on based on delta points scored. Delta points scored is how many points they scored relative to the oddsmakers posted team total or implied total based on the odds and spread.
Major
Indiana-Chicago UNDER 233.5
Typo, we originally entered the wrong total at 227.5
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records. One could combine them for an overall record. The turbo under version goes under at a rate of 954-634-69.
Cleveland-Orlando UNDER 214.5
Math total based on home/road splits of the respective teams goes under a whacked 320-168-18.
The 76ers and Nets are off to somewhat predictable inauspicious starts to the 2022-23 NBA regular season.
Both teams are loaded with talent, but piecing the puzzle of success together falls on the shoulders of the head coach. And when the pieces won’t fit, the team finds a new puzzle master.
Philadelphia and Brooklyn undoubtedly have short leashes around the necks of Doc Rivers and Steve Nash. The SportsBetting odds reflect that notion as those two have the shortest odds to be the first head coach fired.
Additionally, there is a trio of Russell Westbrook trade-related props available. The former MVP is a heavy favorite to be dealt this season, and the Pacers top the list of potential destinations.
Russell Westbrook Next Team
Indiana Pacers 3-2
Charlotte Hornets 2-1
San Antonio Spurs 3-1
Utah Jazz 6-1
New Orleans Pelicans 8-1
Phoenix Suns 10-1
Brooklyn Nets 12-1
Will Russell Westbrook be traded during the season?
This 5-0 sweep is hardly rare and the incredible accuracy of advanced analytics continues to lap the industry. If you don’t have thousands of manhours of work done by a magical computer behind every pick, I have a hunch I know while you keep losing.
This is what you got from Joe Duffy’s Picks at OffshoreInsiders.com last night!
Wise Guy plays are your maximum play. Majors are .75 of Wise Guy plays. Game of the Year and Game of the Month plays still involve the same straight betting as above. While we believe all gamblers need only bet our plays we realize some pick and choose selections. Said distinction is for such ala carte players. All units won quoted on systems are based on one unit per bet.
NFL
Wise Guy
CHICAGO +8.5 New England
Bad road teams off a loss that was not a blowout are 261-169. Road teams winless on road, but good at home are incredibly undervalued to the tune of 195-134.
NBA
Wise Guy
HOUSTON -1 Utah
Western Conference Game of the Month
Utah is 3-0 straight up, while Houston is 0-3 and they are also a much better team ATS. This sets up an incredible regression to the mean that is 59-15-2. Also the oddsmakers are sending a message that it is an undervalued versus overvalued team with the game right around pick despite the records.
New York-Orlando UNDER 219.5
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records. One could combine them for an overall record. The turbo under version goes under at a rate of 951-631-69.
One similar to above, but based on home/road splits goes under 316-168-18. Angle that combined math and splits goes under a whacky 105-46-6.
Boston-Chicago UNDER 225
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records. One could combine them for an overall record. The turbo under version goes under at a rate of 951-631-69.
One similar to above, but based on home/road splits goes under 316-168-18. Angle that combined math and splits goes under a whacky 105-46-6.
Major
San Antonio-Minnesota UNDER 233
Math total based on home/road splits goes under 316-168-18.
All signs point toward Aaron Judge re-signing with the New York Yankees.
But what if the league’s most popular player ditches his pinstripes for a new uni next year? Where would Judge fit best, and which franchise could shell out enough greenbacks?
SportsBetting has set odds for Judge’s next team, and the Top 3 teams with the best chances all reside in the National League.
Aaron Judge Next Team Odds
San Francisco Giants 2-1
New York Mets 3-1
Los Angeles Dodgers 4-1
Houston Astros 6-1
Texas Rangers 8-1
Boston Red Sox 8-1
Toronto Blue Jays 10-1
Chicago White Sox 10-1
Philadelphia Phillies 13-1
Additionally, the sportsbook posted World Series MVP odds Monday, and the favorites should be no surprise.
After blasting a series-clinching home run on his birthday Sunday, Bryce Harper is the overall favorite for MVP.
Yordan Alvarez, who put up MVP-like numbers during the regular season is second on the list, while rookie teammate Jeremy Pena has the third-best odds. Here’s the full list:
It’s easy to overreact to early-season losses in the NBA. But it seems that all of the abhorrent reactions to the Los Angeles Lakers start are warranted.
L.A. dropped to 0-3 following yesterday’s home loss to Portland, and afterward LeBron James said the team’s mood was “s—ty.”
Well, the oddsmakers have taken note of that stench and dropped the Lakers significantly on the NBA Finals odds board.
Just one week ago, SportsBettingassigned the Lakers with 22-1 odds and reported that 9% of the book’s entire championship wagering handle was on L.A., which was the second-highest percentage after Golden State (18%).
Now, the Lake Show is well down the list with 33-1 odds, and the drop marks the biggest odds movement through the first week of the season.
It’s worth noting that the Lakers have the exact same title odds as the Cavaliers.
As far as L.A.’s playoff outlook…the numbers aren’t pointing toward a happy place.
Will the Lakers make the NBA Playoffs? (play-in tournament does not count)
Market report for Saturday. We look at line moves, public betting trends, betting splits, contrarian info and more.
💰💰💰Top expert pick is from piping hot Grandmaster, Joe Duffy. Last Saturday I went 12-1 for you. I may not top that but will come close. Of course, I am piping in every sport. 10-1 lately college football.Sorry, actually cheated myself with an earlier quoted record! 10-5 this postseason in MLB and 7-3 NBA start!12 college football winners led by five Wise Guys including College Football Game of the Year. Think I give too many winners? Just bet Wise Guys. NLCS side, plus five NBA Wise Guys among six hoops.Again, if you say we release too many winners for your comfort level, just bet Wise Guysall at OffshoreInsiders.com
Collegiate football market report!
🏈Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: UTEP, Miami Ohio, Houston
🏈Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Hawaii; Texas State UNDER, Air Force UNDER
🏈Largest line moves, opener to current: Kent -19.5 to -15.5, Fresno -13 to -9.5.
🏈Biggest splits. Teams listed have a highest percent of cash compared to bets: Eastern Michigan, Vanderbilt; East Carolina UNDER, LA Tech UNDER, Texas Tech UNDER
There is a belief that contrarian betting is one of the strongest tools of professional gamblers. The books win more often than lose and fading the public is what many sharps exploit as a weapon. Most contrarian handicapper love to fade based on percentage of bets, believing the squarest intel comes from the smallest wagers. Others believe percentage of money is the most effective tool, because they are rooting for the same bets as the always profitable sportsbooks. The above link shows the most successful professional gamblers have a sliding scale.
The theory is to bet against the public. However, some use the splits and bet on the teams that have a significantly higher percentage of money than bets.
Friday market report for October 21 sports betting picks!
🏀Biggest bets in terms of percentage of wagers: New Orleans, Indiana
🏀Biggest bets based on percentage of money: Detroit; Washington UNDER
🏀Largest line moves, opener to current: Indiana -3 to -7, Memphis -5 to -7
🏀Biggest splits. Teams listed have the highest percent of cash compared to bets: Washington, Detroit; Washington UNDER
💰💰💰Top expert pick is from the great and sizzling Joe Duffy. Sale! Normally $199 get the Bet it Trinity four day for $159! Joe Duffy is smoking in all sports, but hey we’ve been winning for you since 1988! 9-4 college football as App State stays under, 10-4 MLB playoffs, 4-2 NBA.College football total.NLCS side. Picks at OffshoreInsiders.com
What a great football season. College Football Game of the Year goes Saturday among nine college football winners. Then Sunday Wise Guy among seven NFL!
The San Francisco 49ers shot up the Super Bowl odds board Thursday night after news broke that they had acquired Christian McCaffrey in a trade with Carolina.
SportsBetting moved the Niners’ title odds from 16-1 to 14-1 initially, but quickly dropped them to 12-1, and now the odds are even lower.
“We were already pretty exposed in terms of futures liability with the Niners,” Robert Cooper, Head Trader at SportsBetting.ag said. “It seems like McCaffrey will be a good fit for that Shanahan system, and the bets are coming in heavy across the board despite San Fran looking like a very average team so far this season.”
The 49ers are 3-3, and could easily find themselves at 3-4 after this Sunday where they are 1.5-point underdogs at home against Kansas City.
The Niners are favored to take the NFC West and they jumped over Tampa Bay for the second spot in the NFC odds.
Super Bowl LVII Odds
Buffalo Bills 3-1
Philadelphia Eagles 5-1
Kansas City Chiefs 8-1
San Francisco 49ers 11-1
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14-1
Los Angeles Chargers 18-1
Baltimore Ravens 20-1
Minnesota Vikings 20-1
Dallas Cowboys 22-1
Green Bay Packers 22-1
Cincinnati Bengals 25-1
Los Angeles Rams 25-1
Miami Dolphins 40-1
Indianapolis Colts 55-1
Las Vegas Raiders 60-1
New England Patriots 60-1
New York Giants 66-1
New York Jets 66-1
Tennessee Titans 70-1
Arizona Cardinals 80-1
Jacksonville Jaguars 80-1
Cleveland Browns 100-1
Denver Broncos 100-1
Atlanta Falcons 125-1
New Orleans Saints 150-1
Detroit Lions 250-1
Pittsburgh Steelers 250-1
Seattle Seahawks 250-1
Washington Commanders 300-1
Carolina Panthers 500-1
Chicago Bears 500-1
Houston Texans 500-1
Joe Duffy is widely accepted as the top NFL capper of all-time and his picks are exclusively on OffshoreInsiders.com Holy hell, College Football GOY among weekend winners.
Thursday night NFL and college football betting splits, line moves and more.
💰💰💰Top expert pick on MasterLockline. Three free days with purchase of weekly pick pack, TODAY ONLY! The winning continues as MLL is 22-7 in all sports!
🔥🔥Biggest Play🔥🔥
The top technical handicapper in the world is ranked top 5 in both college and NBA this season and #1 in basketball combined. Thursday Night College Football GOY on Virginia vs. Georgia Tech
🔥🔥Hottest Handicapper🔥🔥
Service out of San Diego is the No. 1 handicapper west of Mississippi, which includes every Las Vegas based handicapper. NBA Game of the Month on Clippers vs. Lakers side. All at OffshoreInsiders.com
New Orleans-Arizona (-2.5,43.5)
You must shop around on the side because +3 can be had.
🏈Opened -3, 46
🏈Side: 60% of bets, but just 38% of handle on Arizona
🏈OU: 54% of bets and a stunning 80% of money on UNDER
Virginia-GA Tech (-3,47)
🏈Opened -3.5, 46.5
🏈Side: 57% of wagers, but just 43% of cash on GA Tech
🏈OU: 65% of tickets, 56% of money on UNDER
Troy-South Alabama (-3, 47)
🏈Opened -3, 54.5
🏈Side: 56% of bets, 53% of cash on USA
🏈OU: 64% of tickets, 89% of money on UNDER
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