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Worst spread teams in terms of margin of cover.

Team ATS Record ATS margin

Wisconsin 3-9 -8.6

South Florida 4-8 -7.9

San Diego State 3-9 -6.5

TCU 4-8 -6.2

LA Tech 6-6 -5.0

Western Michigan 4-8 -4.8

Best spread teams in terms of margin of cover.

Team ATS Record ATS margin

Cincinnati 7-5 +10.4

Utah State 9-3 +8.0

Iowa 7-5 +7.6

Washington State 10-2 +7.5

Fresno State 9-4 +7.3

Temple 8-4 +6.9

Syracuse 8-3-1 +6.8

Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer.

Players who are skipping the bowls to prepare for NFL draft: Iowa tight end Noah Fant, Michigan defensive lineman Rashad Gary, Houston defensive lineman Ed Oliver and Oklahoma State running back Justice Hill.

Bowl sharp intel:

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Ohio State, UAB, Syracuse, Penn State, North Texas OVER, Michigan UNDER

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Syracuse, Ohio State, Memphis, Iowa State, North Texas OVER, West Virginia UNDER

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Arkansas State, Purdue, Central Florida, West Virginia UNDER

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Fresno State opened at +3 now -4, West Virginia -6.5 now -1.5, Utah State -11 now -8, Memphis -2.5 now -5