Favorites and Heisman Trophy winners historically haven’t fared well in college football championship games.
During the College Football Playoff era, favorites in the national championship are 0-5 against the spread.
Additionally, the last 12 Heisman winners playing in the title game are just 5-7 overall and 3-9 against the spread, according to data from SportsBetting.
LSU was installed as a 4.5-point favorite more than two weeks ago when the CFP line was set. Since then, the majority of the spread bets have been on the favorite.
“It’s hard to recall a championship football game that was so one-sided in terms of spread bets,” said SportsBetting.ag lines manager Robert Cooper. “Both the public bettors and professional bettors are on LSU so we’ll take a bath if they cover the spread.”
The spread moved to as high as -5.5 last week, but it dropped to -5 this morning as Clemson bettors took the points. The total has dropped two full points today as well after being 69.5 the last two weeks. And the mass majority of people betting the moneyline are taking a shot with the underdog
Here are the current CFP championship odds and percentages from SportsBetting:
Spread | % of Bets | Moneyline | % of Bets | Over/Under | % of Bets | |
Clemson | +5 | 20% | +175 | 77% | 67.5 | 59% |
LSU | -5 | 80% | -205 | 23% | 67.5 | 41% |
Finally, there are nearly 100 prop bets available for Monday’s game.
You can bet on just about anything such as player stats, first touchdown, margin of victory, broadcast sayings, President Trump and alumni sightings. Here are some of the prop bets available at SportsBetting