Tag Archives: football weather

College Football Sharp Bet Moves, Free Pick, Weather

College football sharp report for Saturday, November 16 sees the not-so-shocking road favorites again taking center stage. We see one of the biggest favorites in history as a major sportsbook liability and some fairly low-profile games as sharp versus square.

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Alabama, Kansas State, Virginia Tech, Texas

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Eastern Michigan, Ohio State, Southern Miss

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Rice, Georgia State, Northern Illinois, Duke

To critical weather.

GameWind Speed
Tulane at Temple15 mph
Wisconsin at Nebraska17 mph
UL Monroe at Georgia Southern16 mph
West Virginia at Kansas State16 mph
Texas at Iowa State15 mph
Louisville at NC State19 mph

Free winning pick from Joe Duffy:

INDIANA +14.5 Penn State

Bubble burst angles that has to do with fading teams off devastating losses is 394-284. I have several nuanced versions of it. True, in some cases, this season has not been the best. However, the theory is the higher they go, the harder they fall. This applies here and this version is 11-2. It is arguably one of the strongest free picks of the season and got enormous consideration for a premium pick at Joe Duffy’s Picks.

Top expert pick on today’s card is from LateInfo: 7:30 Big Red is a major figure and pioneer in offshore betting. He has unique access to professional oddsmakers and gamblers. All his bets are based on consulting with elite handicappers, pro bettors and linesmakers and tops the list of sources for LateInfo. Fourth straight NCAAF winner is Oklahoma vs. Baylor side.  Get the picks now

LateInfo goes back to the scorephone days and is only activated when critical info comes in from a proven big money source.

Critical Football Weather Updates: Rain, Wind, Plus College Football Sharp Moves

To say the least, sharps are rolling in the dimes with pro gamblers’ chief advisor Joe Duffy winning in every sport. Duffy has one of the biggest bets of the year going tomorrow, with details below and at OffshoreInsiders.com. The public is again loving road favorites, but the big story this week is rain and winds will play a substantial factor in sports handicapping. 

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Appalachian State, Florida Atlanta, Arizona State, Texass

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Eastern Michigan, Kent, Florida Atlantic, Stanford 

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Kent, New Mexico, Clemson

Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. College Football Total of the Year among eight CFB, two Wise Guys continues historic run. Though we only care about winners, not marquee games, the Wisconsin-Ohio State side is included.  Get the picks now

High chance of precip 

GamePrecipitation chance
Illinois at Purdue80%
Wisconsin at Ohio State80%
Ohio at Ball State85%
Miami Ohio at Kent81%
Akron at Northern Illinois55%
Eastern Michigan at Toledo85%
Virginia at Louisville69%
Missouri at Kentucky56%
Notre Dame at Michigan89%

Strong Winds

GameWind Speed
Appalachian St at South Alabama16 mph
Illinois at Purdue15 mph
Ohio at Ball State18 mph
Nevada at Wyoming18 mph
New Mexico State at Georgia Southern16 mph
Eastern Michigan at Toledo16 mph
Florida Intl at Middle Tenn St20 mph
Missouri at Kentucky16 mph
Notre Dame at Michigan17 mph

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College Football Weather, Pros vs. Joes and Sharp Intel College Football, NBA, College Basketball (Must See)

Here is the sharpest of sharp bets for Saturday, November 17. Where the pros are betting? Joe Duffy is on an 859-695 explosion, a massive Saturday with six Wise Guys including Mountain West Conference Total of the Year plus five Majors. Outworking the competition and the bookies, I have eight basketball winners, two are Wise Guys.  Get the picks now

Sunday six NFL winners, plus Wise Guy plays on both side and total Monday so far. Alert: we go to 17-2 with primetime NFL and we have the sides and totals for SNF and MNF!

College football sharp:

High winds

Michigan State-Nebraska 19 mph

Texas Tech-Kansas State 19 mph

Air Force-Wyoming 16 mph

UNLV-Hawaii 18 mph

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: NC State, Boston College, Ohio State, West Virginia OVER, Ole Miss OVER

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: NC State, Texas Tech, Ohio State, Ole Miss OVER, NC State OVER, Ohio State OVER

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: TCU, Wake Forest OVER

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Minnesota opened +3 now -2.5, Southern Miss opened +2.5 now -2, Marshall opened -24 now -27.5, Virginia Tech opened +3.5 now +6.5

NBA sharp:

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Golden State

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: LA Lakers   

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Phoenix, Orlando

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: none

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College basketball sharp:

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Michigan, Villanova

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Providence, Michigan

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes:

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: none

 

 

 

 

MNF, NBA Sharp Action, Pros vs. Joes, Major Live Moves, Computer System

Rare, I mean utterly rare losing day for JDP. So now is the time to jump on because the bookies have hell to play. Oh, we had one of our worst NFL Sundays in 30 years in the business and finished the football weekend five games above .500. Let that sink in. A nightmare for us is going five games above .500 in football.

Very rare case of MNF side and total.  Buy early because we have four NBA led by two Wise Guys led by systems we got from a powerful syndicate. These lines are all but certain to move.  Get the picks now

Tennessee-Dallas (-5, 40) 

Total opened at 42. Sportsbooks such as Bovada have seen 66 percent of bets and 65 percent of money on the OVER with 64 percent of bets and 58 percent of money on Dallas.

Free pick is New York-Chicago OVER 212.5

Analysis: When two teams are trending UNDER, the game goes over at an 840-665 rate. Plus our outlaw total is 216.

Biggest public consensus in term of percentage of bets: Orlando, Golden State, Houston OVER, Boston OVER

Most lopsided bets in term of percentage of money and biggest sportsbook liabilities: Orlando, Golden State, Cleveland OVER, Houston OVER

Sharp versus square metrics AKA pros versus Joes: Golden State OVER

Biggest line moves with opening odds followed by current odds: Utah opened at -1, now +2, Denver -2.5 now pick, Detroit -5.5 now -3.5.

Best teams to bet on in terms of margin of cover (against the spread record followed by margin): Milwaukee 6-2-1 covering by an average of 11.4 points per game, Portland 7-3 by 7.1, Charlotte 7-3 by 6.8 points per game, LA Clippers 5-4 by 6.7.

Best teams to bet against in terms of margin of cover (against the spread record followed by margin): Houston 2-6 -9.8, Washington 2-7 -9.7, Cleveland 4-5 -7.7.