Off another sweep with Air Force and Tulsa UNDER Joe Duffy is 37-11 in football including Tulsa under and Air Force last night. Saturday, three Wise Guys, five Majors in college football. We added MLB Wise Guy and Major.  Get the picks now

Biggest sharp versus square, AKA “pros versus Joes” moves: Southern Miss (by wide margin), Nevada, Arkansas

Biggest public consensus based on percentage of bets: Virginia Tech, Texas A&M, Hawaii, Ohio State, Northwestern

Biggest public consensus based on percentage of money: Boston College, Virginia Tech, Southern Miss, Texas A&M, Ohio State

Biggest line moves: Utah State opened at -18, now -27; Northwestern -9 down to -3, Auburn -20 down to -14.5

Free pick: Big momentum angle is 514-382-29 OLE MISS -6.5 to Arkansas 

Best teams to bet on based on margin of cover (ATS record, margin of cover): Appalachian State (already played this week) 4-0 by +18.5, Utah State 5-0 by +16.1, Cincinnati 5-1 by +15.1

Best teams to bet against based on margin of cover (ATS record, margin of cover): Louisville 1-5 by -16.8, UL Monroe 1-5 by -14.8, Navy 1-4 by -13

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Top over teams by margin: Toledo over 5-0 by 19.6 points per game, UMass 6-1 by +16, Utah State 5-0 by 14.4

Top under teams by margin: Miss State under 4-1 by -14.2, Auburn 5-1 by -10.2, Kentucky 4-2 by -9.2

Margin of cover is a long-time tool of original cappers used to measure the reliability of the often deceptive ATS and OU records. It is much like margin of victory, except it measures margin relative to the point spread or OU. With over-under, “overs” are listed first. Some Johnny-Come-Lately handicappers call this the sweat barometer.