Duffy three free days today with purchase of weekly pick pack! I swept the entire portfolio last night and I am 7-1 last 8 Wise Guys. NBA Wise Guy plus two college basketball. My top simulator model has been in all postseason college and has a winner tonight with nearly an 80 percent chance of covering. Lock in long-term now! OffshoreInsiders.com

Free winner is on Boston at Sacramento. The Celtics are laying -4.5 at the Kings. The free winner bet at MYBookie is

BOSTON -4.5 Sacramento

Rest dynamics generally benefit the home team. When a team has more rest, about 66 percent of the time, it is the home team. However, when the road team is more rested, it nullifies the normal home court advantage and creates an off-line. The Kings are playing back-to-back games with Boston coming in with two days rest. Plus the Kings are off a four-game road trip, so will definitely be the less rested. This is a rare dynamic in the NBA for the road team. Fading far less rested home teams that according to my exclusive math line is overvalued is 111-64-1. 

Away favorites off a loss are generally a good bet because you have an angry superior team. We have such an angle that is 1065-864-35. As long as the team we are betting on did not have at least a five-game winning streak snapped, the winning percentage rises a bit on that angle.