NFL conference semi-final action and free picks from Joe Duffy, CEO of OffshoreInsiders.com
Titans-Ravens
- When big underdog playoff team has at least two more loss as a favorite 58-23-2 (Titans)
- Going against teams with a margin of +11.5 or better is 24-9 in postseason (Titans)
- Tannehill completed more than 70% of his passes for 2,742 yards during his 11 regular-season games. He had 22 touchdown passes and four rushing TDs while throwing only six interceptions. In six of his last seven regular-season games, he had a passer rating of 130.8 or better
- Both teams will run with Henry and Jackson
- Jackson two weeks off
The pick: UNDER 47
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Texans-Chiefs
- Playoff home teams off bye and win under specific circumstances that apply today a go-against of 14-1 (Tennessee)
- Big home favorites despite splits saying they are better on the road is 104-69-3 (Kansas)
- Teams in playoff revenge of same-season loss is 67-48 including 6-0 laying 9 or more winning by an average of 32.5-16
- Overall revenge however 14-16-2 since 2014
- Teams off a playoff comeback win after trailing by 14 or more are a fade of 56-47 (Kansas City)
- Reid tends to be more aggressive early
The pick: OVER 9.5 first quarter
Top expert pick on today’s card is from Joe Duffy. Two NFL Wise Guys Saturday. Sunday, two NFL Majors. Sunday, National Championship side all at OffshoreInsiders.com