What a day! Three MLB winners, led by AL Interdivisional Game of the Year and Juicy Lucy leading the way. Previously referred as a Dandy Dog, a Juicy Lucy is either a moneyline underdog or runline favorite in which we get at least +140 juice. We changed the name to reflect it includes runline chalk. Get the picks now
The New York Pinball Championship is returning for the second straight year after taking a twenty-plus year hiatus dating back to the 90’s. The NYCPC will be held from May 17-19 at the Skyline Hotel in downtown NYC and will feature many of today’s greats. For the full article: 2019 NYC Pinball Championships Odds & Event Preview
Four matches for Counter-Strike DreamHack Open Tours 2019 takes place on Friday, May 17. The most interesting could be one of the earlier matchups between mousesports and Instinct. Will mousesports win as the major favorite? Or, will Instinct pull off the upset? Check out analysis of that match along with analysis of G2-FrenchFrogs, Windigo-Valiance, and Avangar-Ghost. Read the full article here: Top eSports Betting Picks for the Week – May 13th Edition
Game of the night Monday around the majors features two National League contenders as the Milwaukee Brewers visit the NL East-leading Philadelphia Phillies, who are favored on the Mybookie Sportsbook MLB Betting Lines. The full article: Brewers vs Phillies MLB Odds, Preview & Prediction
The Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Indians, AL Central rivals, have played two series this season so far, but on Monday the Tribe visits the South Side of Chicago for the first time in 2019 to open a quick two-game set. Cleveland is favored on the latest MLB odds. Read the full article: How to Bet Indians vs White Sox MLB Spread & Expert Pick
The Second Jewel of the Triple Crown, the 2019 Preakness Stakes, takes place this Saturday at Pimlico Racecourse. Check out our top 6 Preakness Stakes prop odds, analysis, and a free pick for each! Read the rest of the article: 2019 Preakness Stakes Props
One three-game streak will end on Monday night as the Pittsburgh Pirates bring a three-game winning streak into Arizona, which has lost its past three. However, behind hard-throwing lefty Robbie Ray, the Diamondbacks are favored on the MLB Betting Lines. The full article: Pirates vs Diamondbacks MLB Week 7 Betting Lines & Game Preview
Alert: night Wise Guy MLB added at 10:12 AM. We win again yesterday led by only Wise Guy on Phillies UNDER. 3:37 ET MLB winner and two night MLB led by a west coast Wise Guy! Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy has both NBA sides, both totals for Thursday. Get the picks now
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The Philadelphia 76ers host the Toronto Raptors in Game 6 on Thursday night with a lot at stake. Toronto has a 3-2 lead in the series. A Philadelphia loss and the 76ers go home for the rest of the playoffs. Check out NBA Playoff betting odds, analysis, and a free pick for Raptors-76ers Game 6! For the full article: Raptors vs 76ers NBA Playoffs Game 6 Odds, Preview & Prediction
The Portland Trail Blazers hope to even their best-of-seven series versus the Denver Nuggets on Thursday, May 9. Portland battles Denver at home down 2-3 in the series. Can the Trail Blazers pick it up enough to stave off elimination? Keep reading for NBA Playoff odds, analysis, and a free pick for Nuggets-Trail Blazers Game 6! Read the full article: Nuggets vs Trail Blazers NBA Playoffs Game 6 Lines, Analysis & Prediction
It’s the conclusion of an interleague series from Oakland on Thursday afternoon, meaning the Cincinnati Reds will again be adding the designated hitter in the AL park. However, the Athletics are favored on the MLB betting lines behind Chris Bassitt. For the full article: Reds vs Athletics MLB Odds, Preview & Prediction
The 2019 Stanley Cup Eastern Conference Finals and Western Conference Finals are set. In the Eastern Conference, the Boston Bruins battle the surprise Carolina Hurricanes. In the West, the St. Louis Blues takes on the San Jose Sharks. Check out updated Stanley Cup odds, previews of each series, and predictions! Read the rest of the article here: Updated 2019 Stanley Cup Odds, Conference Finals Preview & Predictions
For the first time this season, the Pittsburgh Pirates visit the NL Central rival St. Louis Cardinals, with Game 1 on Thursday night. Behind the inconsistent Michael Wacha, the Cards are MLB odds favorites in the opener. The full article: How to Bet Pirates vs Cardinals MLB Spread & Expert Pick
One of the most heated rivalries in the American League these days is when the Texas Rangers and Houston Astros meet – even though it seems one team is usually good that season and one isn’t. They open a set in Houston on Thursday night with the Astros solid favorites on the MLB betting lines. The rest of the article: Rangers vs Astros MLB Week 6 Lines & Game Analysis
We have our first Game 7 – after three in the first round – of the 2019 Stanley Cup conference semifinal round as the Dallas Stars visit the St. Louis Blues on Tuesday night. It’s the fifth all-time Game 7 between the Central Division rivals. St. Louis is favored on the NHL betting lines. The full article: Stars vs Blues 2019 Stanley Cup Playoffs Odds & Game 7 Prediction
The Chicago White Sox somewhat overachieved in the early going, but they are trending downward heading into Game 2 of their series on Tuesday night at AL Central rival the Cleveland Indians. The Tribe are favored on the latest MLB odds. Read the rest of the article: White Sox vs Indians MLB Odds, Preview & Pick
The Arizona Diamondbacks will be looking for nothing short of payback when they take on the Tampa Bay Rays in the second game of a three-game Inter-League matchup on Tuesday. After getting completely overwhelmed in their series opener on Monday, let’s find out if the D-Backs can rebound or whether the Rays can hold it down at home for the second straight night. The full article: Diamondbacks vs Rays MLB Odds, Preview & Pick
The Atlanta Braves will be looking for payback after dropping the opener of their three-game set against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Monday. With the Braves looking to get back in the win column after having their modest winning streak snapped and L.A. looking to take care of business at home, let’s find out where the best value lies in this matchup of NL World Series hopefuls. Read the rest of the article: Braves vs Dodgers MLB Lines, Betting Analysis & Prediction
Liverpool vs Barcelona 2019 Champions League Odds & Game PreviewThe incomparable Lionel Messi and FC Barcelona will look to take care of business at home on Wednesday when they host a Liverpool side that will be without stars, Mohamed Salah and Robert Firmino when they square off in their UEFA Champions League semifinal showdown. Now, let’s find out which team is offering the best soccer betting value in this intriguing matchup of two of the world’s best soccer teams. For the full article: Liverpool vs Barcelona 2019 Champions League Odds, Second Leg Preview
The New York Mets will be looking to snap a four-game skid when they take on the San Diego Padres in the second game of their three-game set on Tuesday night. After ending up on the wrong end of a humbling loss in the series opener on Monday, let’s find out if New York can rebound in Game 2 or whether the Padres are the pick to extend their own modest winning streak. The full article: Mets vs Padres MLB Betting Odds, Game Preview & Expert Pick
The Philadelphia 76ers and Toronto Raptors throw down in a key Game 5 on Tuesday, May 7. The Raptors tied up the series with a 101-96 win in Game 4. Toronto will look to give them a significant 3-2 lead with a home win. Will the 76ers squash the Raptors’ dreams? Check out NBA Playoffs betting odds, analysis, and a free pick for Toronto-Philadelphia Game 5! Read the full article here: 76ers vs Raptors NBA Playoffs Game 5 Odds, Preview & Prediction
JDP has both NBA totals tonight and the strongest side plus two night MLB sides and four totals. With so many great systems we have won with together for years and many newly acquired ones, the future and present are even brighter than the unprecedented winning since 1988. Get the picks now
MLB free pick
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Here is our latest in a series: a Godgepodge of thoughts on sports gambling strategy.
North Carolina Demonstrates What We’ve Said
We so often talk about how gamblers use inductive thinking rather than deductive.We are tired of hearing about handicapping guard play first and foremost.North Carolina won the National Championship because of a dominating inside game.Many teams have great guard play but few teams have a dominant paint presence. Vermont was this year’s small college darling because of Taylor Coppenrath the 6-foot-9 forward.
Sure you can win without dominant big men because there is not a plethora of such out there. But the biggest disappointments every year also happen to be guard oriented teams.
From Bill Walton and Lou Alcindor to Danny Manning to Scott May and Larry Bird, dominant big men are the X-factor in college hoops.
Outlaw Lines
We often get questions about our outlaw line, which is a valuable handicapping tool.We have a system that combines the Pinnacle, Olympic and Stardust opening lines, but is weighed based on which comes in first. It is very important to draw the distinction between steam moves and the opening line when evaluating which casinos are sharpest.
Steam moves are now worthless out of Vegas because of low limits and limited sharp action.However we still find the actual opening line from the Stardust very sharp.So “live” lines from the Strip have no value, but the actual opening line does.This is especially true in college basketball as the initial Vegas line is sharp.
Time Supersedes Number of Games
In both college basketball and the NBA, handicappers disproportionately reflect on recent games giving too little weight to overall performance to date.It’s true to a lesser extent in football, but true nonetheless. College football and baseball is where we most amalgamate recent occurrence into winning.Baseball it’s because over the endless season the peaks are valleys have a much longer shelf life, while our research and experience proves the most dramatic momentum swings and adjustments occur on the college gridiron. Depth is more of a factor and the surprises and disappointments are more pronounced.
That being said, when reasoning recent performance most of the public gambling sites go X-number of games back rather than what we’ve found to be the superior parameter, that being days back. For example going back five games in the NBA could be seven days for one team and perhaps 11 for the other.Looking at a pitcher’s last three starts is not always comparing apples to apples if one guy is the No. 1 starter in a four man rotation and the other guy is the fifth guy in a rotation that often skips the fifth starter.If for example because of injury one guy skipped a start or two, simply looking at the last three or five starts can be very deceptive.
In the NBA, we find recent performance is better defined by 10 days rather than five games. Baseball we go back seven days for teams and 30 days for pitchers.
Baseball stats
One of the articles that you the readers thanked us for the most as being extremely helpful was when we wrote about WHIP versus ERA in handicapping. WHIP (walks and hits per innings pitched) is too often ignored and balanced with ERA they each test the statistical reliability of the other.
Analogous is handicapping offense.We have always said that baseball’s real Triple Crown would be on base percentage, slugging percentage and runs produced. When it comes to handicapping offense, there is no question that is handicapping’s Triple Crown.Steve Mann a long-time baseball statistical guru always asserted that (on base percentage)* (slugging percentage) was the ultimate way to gauge offensive production.We consider that Gospel from a handicapping standpoint.
Duffy’s plays are part of the Dream Team at OffshoreInsiders.com. He is perhaps the most published and respected author on sports gambling theory and has been featured as a regular guest as the handicapping expert on the Rick Ballou Show on Sporting News Radio, the Meat and Potatoes gambling show, Pro Fantasy Sports Internet radio and Grogan’s Fantasy Football show. His Wise Guy Plays available exclusively at OffshoreInsiders.com are widely respected as the biggest play in the handicapping abyss. We don’t have the marketing budget of Jim Feist or Wayne Root and his Winning Edge. We make up for it with hard work and winning.
Taylor Coppenrath
Sports betting blog with sports handicapping picks from the best sports handicappers, pregame betting information, sports handicapping articles, links to live odds, free picks, sportsbook information and more. All pro gamblers go to this betting blog before placing a bet.
