What a day! Three MLB winners, led by AL Interdivisional Game of the Year and Juicy Lucy leading the way. Previously referred as a Dandy Dog, a Juicy Lucy is either a moneyline underdog or runline favorite in which we get at least +140 juice. We changed the name to reflect it includes runline chalk. Get the picks now
The New York Pinball Championship is returning for the second straight year after taking a twenty-plus year hiatus dating back to the 90’s. The NYCPC will be held from May 17-19 at the Skyline Hotel in downtown NYC and will feature many of today’s greats. For the full article: 2019 NYC Pinball Championships Odds & Event Preview
Four matches for Counter-Strike DreamHack Open Tours 2019 takes place on Friday, May 17. The most interesting could be one of the earlier matchups between mousesports and Instinct. Will mousesports win as the major favorite? Or, will Instinct pull off the upset? Check out analysis of that match along with analysis of G2-FrenchFrogs, Windigo-Valiance, and Avangar-Ghost. Read the full article here: Top eSports Betting Picks for the Week – May 13th Edition
Game of the night Monday around the majors features two National League contenders as the Milwaukee Brewers visit the NL East-leading Philadelphia Phillies, who are favored on the Mybookie Sportsbook MLB Betting Lines. The full article: Brewers vs Phillies MLB Odds, Preview & Prediction
The Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Indians, AL Central rivals, have played two series this season so far, but on Monday the Tribe visits the South Side of Chicago for the first time in 2019 to open a quick two-game set. Cleveland is favored on the latest MLB odds. Read the full article: How to Bet Indians vs White Sox MLB Spread & Expert Pick
The Second Jewel of the Triple Crown, the 2019 Preakness Stakes, takes place this Saturday at Pimlico Racecourse. Check out our top 6 Preakness Stakes prop odds, analysis, and a free pick for each! Read the rest of the article: 2019 Preakness Stakes Props
One three-game streak will end on Monday night as the Pittsburgh Pirates bring a three-game winning streak into Arizona, which has lost its past three. However, behind hard-throwing lefty Robbie Ray, the Diamondbacks are favored on the MLB Betting Lines. The full article: Pirates vs Diamondbacks MLB Week 7 Betting Lines & Game Preview
The Golden State Warriors travel to Houston to take on the Rockets in Game 6 on Friday, May 10. The Rockets must win two games to upset the Warriors and advance to the Western Conference Finals. Does Houston have what it takes to force a Game 7? Check out NBA Playoff betting odds, analysis, and a free pick for Rockets-Warriors Game 6! For the full article: Warriors vs Rockets NBA Playoffs Game 6 Odds, Preview & Prediction
The English Premier League season comes to a close this weekend with every club in action Sunday. Chelsea looks to ensure a third-place finish when it visits Leicester City, which currently sits ninth in the table. The Blues are slight road soccer betting favorites. Read the rest of the article: Leicester City vs Chelsea English Premier League Odds & Expert Pick
Two of the top teams in the NL throw down on the diamond on Friday, May 10 when the Chicago Cubs host the Milwaukee Brewers. Can the Brewers upset the Cubs on the road? Check out MLB betting odds, analysis, and a free pick for Brewers-Cubs on May 10! For the full article: Brewers vs Cubs MLB Odds, Game Preview and Prediction
The NASCAR Monster Energy Cup Series makes the first of two stops to Kansas Speedway this Saturday night for the running of the Digital Ally 400. Former race winner Kyle Busch opened as the favorite on NASCAR odds. The rest if the article here: 2019 Digital Ally 400 Odds, Preview & Expert Prediction
The San Jose Sharks battle the St. Louis Blues on Saturday in Game 1 of the NHL Western Conference Playoff Finals. San Jose takes on the Blues at home. Which team will get the series off to a great start? Check out our NHL Playoff betting odds, analysis, and a free pick for Sharks-Blues Game 1! The full article: Sharks vs Blues Stanley Cup Playoffs Game 1 Odds, Analysis and Pick
After a tough Game 1 loss, the Carolina Hurricanes return to the TD Garden on May 12 to battle the Boston Bruins. While Carolina hopes to even the series, Boston hopes to take a 2 games to 0 series lead. Who will prevail? Keep reading for NBA Playoffs betting odds, analysis, and a free pick for Hurricanes-Bruins Game 2! For the rest of the article: Hurricanes vs Bruins Stanley Cup Playoffs Game 2 Lines, Prediction & Pick
The Portland Trail Blazers and Denver Nuggets dance one more time on Sunday, May 12. Portland beat the Nuggets to force a Game 7. Can the Trail Blazers prevail over Denver in the Pepsi Center? See below for NBA Playoffs betting odds, analysis, and a free pick for Trail Blazers-Nuggets Game 7! For the full article: Trail Blazers vs Nuggets NBA Playoffs Game 7 Lines & Expert Preview
The Philadelphia 76ers beat the Toronto Raptors in Game 6 to force a Game 7. Can the 76ers keep it going against the Raptors in the final matchup in this series on Sunday? Or, will the Raptors come out ahead? Check out NBA Playoff odds, analysis, and a free pick for 76ers-Raptors Game 7! The rest of the article here: 76ers vs Raptors NBA Playoffs Game 7 Odds, Analysis & Betting Prediction
The 2019 Formula 1 season started a couple of months ago, but Sunday’s Spanish Grand Prix from Barcelona marks the circuit’s start of the European season. To little surprise, Lewis Hamilton is the F1 odds favorite because the Brit is favored in just about every race. The full article: 2019 Spanish Grand Prix Betting Lines, Preview & Prediction
Even though excitement reigns with the NBA Playoffs, the NHL Stanley Cup Playoffs, and the Triple Crown of horse racing, the NFL takes a backseat to nobody. Check out what happened this week in the sports league that never sleeps! Read the rest of the article: Updated Super Bowl LIV Odds, Cardinals Sign Murray, Seahawks Cut Players
The top two teams in the AL East will meet on Friday night in Game 1 of a three-game set when the Tampa Bay Rays host the New York Yankees with two of the top pitchers in baseball this season set to engage in what looks like an ‘old-school’ pitching matchup just waiting to happen. With both teams looking to send a message in this series opener, let’s find out which one of these World Series hopefuls is offering the best betting value. Read the full article here: Yankees vs Rays MLB Odds, Game Preview & Betting Predictions
Alert: night Wise Guy MLB added at 10:12 AM. We win again yesterday led by only Wise Guy on Phillies UNDER. 3:37 ET MLB winner and two night MLB led by a west coast Wise Guy! Grandmaster Sports Handicapper Joe Duffy has both NBA sides, both totals for Thursday. Get the picks now
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We have our first Game 7 – after three in the first round – of the 2019 Stanley Cup conference semifinal round as the Dallas Stars visit the St. Louis Blues on Tuesday night. It’s the fifth all-time Game 7 between the Central Division rivals. St. Louis is favored on the NHL betting lines. The full article: Stars vs Blues 2019 Stanley Cup Playoffs Odds & Game 7 Prediction
The Chicago White Sox somewhat overachieved in the early going, but they are trending downward heading into Game 2 of their series on Tuesday night at AL Central rival the Cleveland Indians. The Tribe are favored on the latest MLB odds. Read the rest of the article: White Sox vs Indians MLB Odds, Preview & Pick
The Arizona Diamondbacks will be looking for nothing short of payback when they take on the Tampa Bay Rays in the second game of a three-game Inter-League matchup on Tuesday. After getting completely overwhelmed in their series opener on Monday, let’s find out if the D-Backs can rebound or whether the Rays can hold it down at home for the second straight night. The full article: Diamondbacks vs Rays MLB Odds, Preview & Pick
The Atlanta Braves will be looking for payback after dropping the opener of their three-game set against the Los Angeles Dodgers on Monday. With the Braves looking to get back in the win column after having their modest winning streak snapped and L.A. looking to take care of business at home, let’s find out where the best value lies in this matchup of NL World Series hopefuls. Read the rest of the article: Braves vs Dodgers MLB Lines, Betting Analysis & Prediction
Liverpool vs Barcelona 2019 Champions League Odds & Game PreviewThe incomparable Lionel Messi and FC Barcelona will look to take care of business at home on Wednesday when they host a Liverpool side that will be without stars, Mohamed Salah and Robert Firmino when they square off in their UEFA Champions League semifinal showdown. Now, let’s find out which team is offering the best soccer betting value in this intriguing matchup of two of the world’s best soccer teams. For the full article: Liverpool vs Barcelona 2019 Champions League Odds, Second Leg Preview
The New York Mets will be looking to snap a four-game skid when they take on the San Diego Padres in the second game of their three-game set on Tuesday night. After ending up on the wrong end of a humbling loss in the series opener on Monday, let’s find out if New York can rebound in Game 2 or whether the Padres are the pick to extend their own modest winning streak. The full article: Mets vs Padres MLB Betting Odds, Game Preview & Expert Pick
The Philadelphia 76ers and Toronto Raptors throw down in a key Game 5 on Tuesday, May 7. The Raptors tied up the series with a 101-96 win in Game 4. Toronto will look to give them a significant 3-2 lead with a home win. Will the 76ers squash the Raptors’ dreams? Check out NBA Playoffs betting odds, analysis, and a free pick for Toronto-Philadelphia Game 5! Read the full article here: 76ers vs Raptors NBA Playoffs Game 5 Odds, Preview & Prediction
JDP has both NBA totals tonight and the strongest side plus two night MLB sides and four totals. With so many great systems we have won with together for years and many newly acquired ones, the future and present are even brighter than the unprecedented winning since 1988. Get the picks now
MLB free pick
NY METS (SYNDERGAARD -1.5 +125) San Diego (Quantrill) at Bovada
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Here is our latest in a series: a Godgepodge of thoughts on sports gambling strategy.
North Carolina Demonstrates What We’ve Said
We so often talk about how gamblers use inductive thinking rather than deductive.We are tired of hearing about handicapping guard play first and foremost.North Carolina won the National Championship because of a dominating inside game.Many teams have great guard play but few teams have a dominant paint presence. Vermont was this year’s small college darling because of Taylor Coppenrath the 6-foot-9 forward.
Sure you can win without dominant big men because there is not a plethora of such out there. But the biggest disappointments every year also happen to be guard oriented teams.
From Bill Walton and Lou Alcindor to Danny Manning to Scott May and Larry Bird, dominant big men are the X-factor in college hoops.
Outlaw Lines
We often get questions about our outlaw line, which is a valuable handicapping tool.We have a system that combines the Pinnacle, Olympic and Stardust opening lines, but is weighed based on which comes in first. It is very important to draw the distinction between steam moves and the opening line when evaluating which casinos are sharpest.
Steam moves are now worthless out of Vegas because of low limits and limited sharp action.However we still find the actual opening line from the Stardust very sharp.So “live” lines from the Strip have no value, but the actual opening line does.This is especially true in college basketball as the initial Vegas line is sharp.
Time Supersedes Number of Games
In both college basketball and the NBA, handicappers disproportionately reflect on recent games giving too little weight to overall performance to date.It’s true to a lesser extent in football, but true nonetheless. College football and baseball is where we most amalgamate recent occurrence into winning.Baseball it’s because over the endless season the peaks are valleys have a much longer shelf life, while our research and experience proves the most dramatic momentum swings and adjustments occur on the college gridiron. Depth is more of a factor and the surprises and disappointments are more pronounced.
That being said, when reasoning recent performance most of the public gambling sites go X-number of games back rather than what we’ve found to be the superior parameter, that being days back. For example going back five games in the NBA could be seven days for one team and perhaps 11 for the other.Looking at a pitcher’s last three starts is not always comparing apples to apples if one guy is the No. 1 starter in a four man rotation and the other guy is the fifth guy in a rotation that often skips the fifth starter.If for example because of injury one guy skipped a start or two, simply looking at the last three or five starts can be very deceptive.
In the NBA, we find recent performance is better defined by 10 days rather than five games. Baseball we go back seven days for teams and 30 days for pitchers.
Baseball stats
One of the articles that you the readers thanked us for the most as being extremely helpful was when we wrote about WHIP versus ERA in handicapping. WHIP (walks and hits per innings pitched) is too often ignored and balanced with ERA they each test the statistical reliability of the other.
Analogous is handicapping offense.We have always said that baseball’s real Triple Crown would be on base percentage, slugging percentage and runs produced. When it comes to handicapping offense, there is no question that is handicapping’s Triple Crown.Steve Mann a long-time baseball statistical guru always asserted that (on base percentage)* (slugging percentage) was the ultimate way to gauge offensive production.We consider that Gospel from a handicapping standpoint.
Duffy’s plays are part of the Dream Team at OffshoreInsiders.com. He is perhaps the most published and respected author on sports gambling theory and has been featured as a regular guest as the handicapping expert on the Rick Ballou Show on Sporting News Radio, the Meat and Potatoes gambling show, Pro Fantasy Sports Internet radio and Grogan’s Fantasy Football show. His Wise Guy Plays available exclusively at OffshoreInsiders.com are widely respected as the biggest play in the handicapping abyss. We don’t have the marketing budget of Jim Feist or Wayne Root and his Winning Edge. We make up for it with hard work and winning.
Taylor Coppenrath
Sports betting blog with sports handicapping picks from the best sports handicappers, pregame betting information, sports handicapping articles, links to live odds, free picks, sportsbook information and more. All pro gamblers go to this betting blog before placing a bet.
