World Series and MNF Betting Line 411

The Broncos will travel to New England to take on the Patriots in primetime on Monday. Here’s a look at that contest and the rest of the schedule in your Daily Sports Roundup.

World Series Odds

Las Vegas gives the Philadelphia Phillies a much better chance to end 25 years of misery in the City of Brotherly Love than the offshore and online sportsbooks. The land based Las Vegas betting line for the series is Tampa -135, while we saw Tampa open up at -180 at the Greek, it has dropped to -150. To say the least before betting the World Series line, shop around as the oddsmakers vary.

The Gridiron Spotlight

Placing wagers on the Broncos this season hasn’t been a lucrative pastime. Denver managed to pick up an ATS win over the Raiders in their season opener, but since then they’ve managed to go just 0-4-1 against the number. That puts the Broncos at 1-4-1 ATS on the season, a record which stands in contrast to their 4-2 straight-up mark. Last week against the Jaguars the Broncos were defeated 24-17 as a 3-point home favorite.

The Patriots have alternated ATS losses and wins so far this season – they managed to cover the spread twice, in Week 2 against the Jets and in Week 5 (after a bye) against the 49ers. New England was thumped 30-10 on the road against the Chargers last week, as 6-point underdogs. The Pats are 3-2 straight-up and 2-3 ATS on the season.

The oddsmakers opened the Patriots as 3-point home favorites against the Broncos, and that line stayed steady throughout the week. The total for the game is at 48 points. A strong menu as to who to bet tonight is at the homepage of OffshoreInsiders.com 
 
Other Notable Events

There are four games on the NHL’s schedule for Monday night: Pittsburgh at Boston, Dallas at the Rangers, Florida at Montreal, and Colorado at Los Angeles. The 6-1-1 Rangers lead the league in points, thanks in part to the jumpstart they got on the season over in Europe. The 4-0-1 Habs have yet to suffer a defeat in regulation time.

The Rest of the Schedule

The final week of the NBA’s exhibition schedule gets underway on Monday night, with Orlando at Atlanta, New York at New Jersey, Charlotte at Phoenix, and Portland at Sacramento. The league’s regular season will tip off with games Tuesday, October 28.

News from the Wire

DT Josh Shaw is OUT for Denver on Monday, while TE Tony Scheffler, WR Brandon Stokley, RB Ryan Torain, and RB Selvin Young are QUESTIONABLE. A host of Broncos, including WRs Brandon Marshall and Eddie Royal, are PROBABLE . . . LB Eric Alexander, DE Jarvis Green, RB LaMont Jordan, T Nick Kaczur, RB Laurence Maroney, WR Kelley Washington, CB Jonathan Wilhite are DOUBTFUL for the Patriots.

A Peek at the Future

Highlighting the Week 8 NFL schedule are Tampa Bay at Dallas, San Diego at New Orleans, Arizona at Carolina, the Giants at Pittsburgh, and Indianapolis at Tennessee. Chicago, Denver, Green Bay, and Minnesota are off next week . . . Games 1 and 2 of the World Series will be played on Wednesday and Thursday night, with the series shifting to Philadelphia for Games 3 through 5 on Saturday, Sunday, and Monday night.

Rudy Ray Moore

Rudy Ray Moore, also known as Dolemite has passed away. Excelon may buy NRG Energy and early voting is happening in Texas. Remember, there are betting odds on everything lives brings, such as the political betting odds which have Obama running away and Hollywood and entertainment betting odds

Broncos-Patriots Preview

The fans at Gillette Stadium will be treated to a game between the Denver Broncos and the New England Patriots when they take their seats on Monday.
Oddsmakers currently have the Patriots listed as 3-point favorites versus the Broncos, while the game’s total is sitting at 49.
The Broncos lost to Jacksonville 24-17 as a 3-point favorite in Week 6. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (48.5).
Jay Cutler threw for 192 yards with two touchdowns and an interception for Denver and Michael Pittman rushed for 109 yards on 20 carries.
The Patriots lost to San Diego 30-10 as a 6-point underdog in Week 6. The combined score fell UNDER the posted over/under total (45).
Matt Cassel threw for 203 yards with no touchdowns and an interception for New England, while Sammy Morris rushed for 26 yards and a touchdown on 10 carries.
Team records:
Denver: 4-2 SU, 1-4-1 ATS
New England: 3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS
Denver most recently:
When playing in October are 6-4
When playing on turf are 4-6
After being outgained are 4-6
When playing outside the division are 5-5

New England most recently:
When playing in October are 9-1
When playing on turf are 9-1
After being outgained are 7-3
When playing outside the division are 8-2

A few trends to consider:
Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New England
Denver is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games when playing New England
Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New England
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New England
New England is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home
New England is 21-3 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New England’s last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England’s last 6 games when playing at home against Denver
Next up:
Denver home to Miami, Sunday, November 2
New England home to St. Louis, Sunday, October 26

 

Wade Phillips Firing?

It now appears to be only a question of when. Will Wade Phillips be fired as head coach of the Dallas Cowboys? We posed that question to oddsmaker extraordinaire Mike Godsey of GodsTips, anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com GodsTips outlaw line is famous for its accuracy. The official outlaw line is what the odds would be if there was no consideration given to public perception and balancing the action.  It is the more accurate line from the standpoint of the bettor.

According to Godsey, here are the odds of anyone other than Wade Phillips coaching the Dallas Cowboys by:

·        Next week’s game (Tampa Oct. 26): 5/2

·        Before the last game of the season: Even

·        Before opening game 2009: 1/3

 

Stevie Vincent of BetOnSports360.com says the fact that genius-in-waiting Jason Garrett may not be ready for prime time and the Pokes injuries probably will get Phillips through this season, but he agrees there is little chance of his head coaching the Cowboys next year.

Bush, Shockey, Houshmandzadeh Updates and More

The NFL Network reports that Tony Romo will be the No. 1 QB for Dallas with Brad Johnson getting the start. ScoresOddsPicks.com is reporting key inactives include Willie Parker for the Steelers, Ravens Samari Rolle, Bills QB Trent Edwards.

Key actives T.J. Houshmandzadeh starts for Bengals, Reggie Bush and Jeremy Shockey plays for the Saints. Carolina starts Jonathan Stewart at RB but minus to starting offensive linemen according to OffshoreInsiders.com   

 

Sunday Betting Report

For those searching for a video of Sarah Palin on Saturday Night Live, try YouTube.com. For those who need information for our version of SNL (Sunday No Losers), you have come to the right place. The fantasy football players and sports bettors official NFL injury report is up. We just got late news from Mike Godsey, the top football handicapper, that Tony Romo was not on the Dallas Cowboys first bus coming from the hotel, indicating he will be the No. 3 QB for today.

Also, the objective rundown of all the top sports handicapping NFL picks and predictions is up. It is the football bettors Encyclopedia of Life.

Peyton Manning and the Colts will try to pick up a victory as road favorites against the Packers at Lambeau Field on Sunday afternoon. Here’s your Daily Sports Roundup.

The Gridiron Spotlight

The Colts are back over the .500 mark at 3-2 (2-3 ATS) after picking up back-to-back wins over the Texans and Ravens. That still leaves them with ground to make up on the first-place Titans (who they’ll play next week) in the AFC South, but they’ll gun for their third straight win on Sunday afternoon against the 3-3 (3-3 ATS) Packers at Lambeau Field. The oddsmakers have Indy pegged as a 1-point road favorite, with a total of 47.

Meanwhile, the Titans will be looking run their record to a perfect 6-0 (and 6-0 ATS) when they play a road game against the Chiefs on Sunday afternoon. Tennessee slipped past Baltimore 13-10 two weeks ago – they had a bye last week. Kansas City (1-4, 2-3 ATS) was also off last week, but they were blasted 34-0 by the Panthers prior to that down time. The Titans are favored by 8.5 points on the road, while the total is at 35.

Other games on the NFL’s Sunday schedule: San Diego at Buffalo (pick’em), Minnesota at Chicago (-3), Pittsburgh (-9.5) at Cincinnati, Dallas (-7) at St. Louis, Baltimore at Miami (-3), San Francisco at the Giants (-10.5), New Orleans at Carolina (-3), Detroit at Houston (-9), the Jets (-3) at Oakland, and Cleveland at Washington (-7.5). As well, the Sunday nighter will feature Seattle at Tampa Bay, with the Bucs favored by 10.5 points.

Other Notable Events

The Red Sox and Rays will play Game 7 of the American League Championship Series on Sunday, after Boston roared back to tie the best-of-seven set with a win on Saturday.

Jon Lester will get the ball for Boston on Sunday. The lefthander was tagged for a loss by the Rays earlier in the series, surrendering five runs (four earned) on eight hits over 5 2-3 innings of work. The fading Rays will counter with Matt Garza, who earned a win over the Red Sox in this series by allowing just one earned run over six innings pitched.

The Rest of the Schedule

Racing fans get two big events to watch on Sunday. First off it’s Formula One and the Chinese Grand Prix, with Lewis Hamilton looking to lock down first place in the drivers championship. Hamilton has a five-point lead on Felipe Massa in those standings right now, with only two races left in the season. The hottest driver on the circuit, though, is Fernando Alonso; the Spaniard is coming off consecutive wins in Singapore and Japan.

The Sprint Cup Series will then stage the TUMS QuikPak 500 at Martinsville Speedway. Jimmie Johnson has a 69-point advantage on Jeff Burton in the Chase standings heading into this event, although Burton is coming off a victory in last week’s Bank of America 500 at Lowe’s Motor Speedway. Johnson has four career Cup wins at Martinsville Speedway, while teammate Jeff Gordon has picked up seven wins there.

There are just two National Hockey League games on tap for Sunday – it’s Carolina at Anaheim, and Vancouver at Chicago. The Hawks will be playing their second game under new head coach Joel Quenneville; Denis Savard was fired Thursday afternoon.

Finally, there’s a single Canadian Football League game on Sunday afternoon, with Hamilton at Saskatchewan at 3:00pm ET. The Roughriders are 13-point home favorites.

A Peek at the Future

The Monday Night Football matchup this weekend features Denver at New England, with the Patriots pegged as 3-point home favorites . . . a rare Tuesday night college football contest sees Ohio at Temple this week, while there are a pair of games on Thursday (Auburn/West Virginia, New Mexico/Air Force), and another on Friday (Boise State/San Jose State) . . . the Formula One season will end in Brazil on November 2.

Powell Endorses Barack Obama

Colin Powell went with the frontrunner Barack Obama. General Powell announced on Meet the Press he supports the runaway leader in the political betting odds for President. Columnist Deroy Murdock disagrees, but we report, you decide.

Sunday NFL Betting Rundown

There is no debate whatsoever that GodsTips is the top NFL betting service of all-time and they have the AFC Game of the Year going today.  However, there are some other documented winning football betting services going nuts for today. They have also added the Tampa Rays-Boston Red Sox Game 7 winner.

While GodsTips is the winningest sports handicapper ever based on units won, Stevie Vincent is tops in winning percentage both in the NFL handicapping and NFL and college football betting combined.

Stevie Vincent has had some of the great runs that sports handicappers have ever achieved. He did it again going 5-1 yesterday to make it a 15-2 NCAAF run and 18-4 all football plays. Take everything you won on Bernard Hopkins beating Kelly Pavlik and in the Fulltiltpoker.net Invitational and invest it today.

Several 80% or better angles apply on the Great One‘s Level 4 and Level 5 pro football best bets. Click now to purchase. From Detroit to Columbus, it’s a marathon in handicapping and Vincent wins more than anyone else based on winning percentage.

Now let’s go to the power of 620 sports services behind every selection.

Authenticated Plays (explanation) are 15-3 in football including Oregon State yesterday, Duke Saturday, October 4, USC Oct. 11. They are 8-0 NFL regular season including the Bengals on Sept. 21 and the Chargers over on Sept. 22, Redskins last Sunday, Sept. 28, the Ravens Monday Sept. 29, the Bengals on Oct. 5 and Jaguars Oct. 12. Another Authenticated Play on Indianapolis/Green Bay against the Vegas NFL line.

No. 1 sports service the last two years combined, is a stunning 66.4 percent with Key Plays of the Day including 15-4 in football this season, college and pro counting NFLX. Yesterday Nebraska was the latest winner. They are 6-0 NFL regular season including the Bengals on Sept. 21, the Chargers over on Sept. 22 and Washington Sept. 28, and Baltimore on Sept. 29. Seahawks/Buccaneers on Sunday Night Football. 

Kal Elner, a handicapper out of Reading, PA hits a consistent 65 percent when “waiving his normal star rating system”.  He is also the all-time top NBA totals capper. He waived the rating with his “Added Rotation Game of the Year” on Florida Atlantic Tuesday, Sept. 30.  Added Rotation Parlay of the Year on Saturday, October 4 wins with Western Kentucky and Louisiana Lafayette. Saturday, Oct. 11 he crushed the books with his Big 12 Game of the Year Oklahoma State and the Mountain West Game of the Year on New Mexico. In addition, he is 13-3 with all NFL plays. Last week you got right here the Interconference Game of the Year on the New Orleans Saints. Cowboys/Rams is the National Conference Game of the Year. Plus for Game 7 of the ALCS, Elner has his 2008 Postseason Game of the Year in MLB Rays/Red Sox. 

Mon Valley Sports is the top team specialist in all of sports.  In 14 previous years, they have hit no worse than 53 percent in sides and totals involving the Steelers.  Over the last five years, they hit better than 64 percent and are 62.0 percent lifetime sides, totals in pre, regular and postseason. On Sept. 29 it was the Ravens/Steelers over and on Oct. 5 it was Jacksonville and over. Steelers/Bengals side is up now to beat the pointspread.

The hottest handicapper in the world is on a Canadian based site. He’s is on an 11-0 run and No. 12 in a row is a total in the NFL. He says this will be an over and one of the highest scoring games of the year to crush the sportsbooks.

There is a sports service out of Las Vegas on a fantastic, record shattering 39-4 run and has become the No. 1 football service in the land. They are hotter than a Suze Orman lovefest. We are not talking about Tim Calhoun. Yesterday they went 9-0 with Miami Fl, South Florida, Tennessee, New Mexico, Colorado under, Illinois and over, UCLA, and UAB. He’s 14-3 with NFC, AFC, NFL or Interconference Game of the Week plays this year (obviously he does not always have such plays every week, especially the latter two). Interconference Game of the Week Browns/Redskins, AFC Game of the Week Broncos/Patriots, NFC Cowboys/Rams (agrees with Elner).

Cy McCormick, head of MasterLockLine.com is well aware that cable TV Proline handicapper Jim Feist is advertising his 2008 Pro Football Game of the Year but says, “Jim Feist is a major player when it comes to marketing. When it comes to winning, professional gamblers know he’s not on the radar screen.”

The same can be said about Wayne Allyn Root with his NFL favorite of the year. McCormick also says the Sportsinfo video is almost as funny as the video of Sarah Palin on Saturday Night Live and just like Palin on SNL, “you are looking at the loser” joked McCormick.

Again get every single top NFL betting service on MasterLockLine.com. Today it’s $502 worth of selections for just $16. Click now to purchase

Red Sox-Rays ALCS Game 7 Vegas Odds

In Game 7 of the ALCS, OffshoreInsiders.com the top sports handicapping site of all time, reports the ALCS odds for Game 7 has Boston -130 over Tampa with a total of 8.5 over -120. The pitching matchup is Jon Lester for the Red Sox and Matt Garza for the Rays.

The projected World Series 2008 odds are Tampa would be 140 over the Philadelphia Phillies and Boston would be 160. The official odds though will be affected by who wins Game 7 tonight and in which manner.

Top All-Time NFL Betting Service With AFC GOY Sunday

Yet again the top sports betting expert makes you a fortune Saturday. GodsTips has all but clinched yet another winning week in football as we are 11-6 so far including 4-2 with Wise Guy plays: TCU, SMU, Arkansas, and Kansas. All we do is win and we are beyond excited about NBA season.

Last year GodsTips nails AFC, NFC, NFL and Moneyline NFL Games of the Year. What else is new? Already nine winning weeks in this year in 11 tries going back to preseason, get the AFC Game of the Year among five NFL winners Sunday up now. Click now to purchase

Simply put, if you are betting without the advice of GodsTips led by Joe Duffy and Mike Godsey, we can only thank you for keeping the bookmakers in business for the rest of us.

Below is a sample of what you get on every report as this is the premium report of predominately winners from Saturday collegiate football.

Wise Guy plays are your maximum play.  Majors are .75 of Wise Guy plays. We always urge line shopping to compliment the sharpest plays in the world and release plays as early as possible to ensure more success. Often our plays are released before most sportsbooks have lines up.  If we released plays later in the day, it would allow us to shop for better lines than we are able to post.  But we are more concerned about YOU being able to shop for better lines.  Be aware that in many cases better lines will be available than the ones we post.

Game of the Year and Game of the Month plays still involve the same straight betting as above.  While we believe all gamblers need only bet our plays we realize some pick and choose selections.  Said distinction is for such ala carte players. All units won quoted on systems are based on one unit per bet.

In MLB, because so many systems are pitcher specific, please note it is now our policy to always specify pitchers unless otherwise noted.

CFB

Wise Guy…

ARKANSAS +7.5 Kentucky

We are tempted to go with Arkansas on the moneyline as going against home teams with a winning record off a loss is +97.1 units on the moneyline.

Arkansas has three losses, but all were to Top 5 teams in back to back to back weeks.

Kentucky has beaten just one good team all year and that was Louisville in August.

Kentucky‘s offense is very unimpressive averaging 4.0 yards per rush against teams normally allowing 4.2 and 5.1 yards per pass to 6.0.

Arkansas has faced the 11th toughest schedule compared to 44 to Kentucky.

The Wildcats mirror the Auburn team that Arkansas beat last week, in some ways, but no coaches have been fired this week.

Kentucky has a great defense, struggles on offense because of a lack of a proven quarterback and is expected to win.

Dicky Lyons, the Wildcats only real weapon is out. Lyons, 33 catches for 264 yards, has exactly the same catches as Kentucky‘s next best two receivers, running back Derrick

Locke and wide receiver/quarterback Randall Cobb, combined. Lyons also averaged 12.4 yards per punt return before sidelined for the season with torn knee ligaments during last Saturday’s 24-17 loss to South Carolina in Lexington.

Also the Wildcats have had good fortune this year, which is tough to maintain.

Kentucky‘s defense has netted 16 turnovers in six games. The Cats recovered two fumbles and one pick against Alabama and recovered two fumbles and picked off a pair of passes against South Carolina.

KANSAS +20 Oklahoma

 

Kansas only loss was by three points on the road to a very good USF squad. The ratings numbers don’t show the line to be justified. Kansas gets .6 more yards per play than their opponents normally allow and .4 less yards per play on defense than their foes get. KU is 20-3 straight up their last 23, so they are a good team.

Kansas has righted the ship after its loss at South Florida this season, developing a run game that had been missing early on. Jake Sharp ran for a season-high 118 yards and three touchdowns last week against Colorado in the best performance this year by a Jayhawks running back.

The Jayhawks will be seeking their second straight win against a top 5 opponent, having beaten No. 5 Virginia Tech in the Orange Bowl.

We know Bob Stoops is perfect straight up in the week after the Red River Shootout, but this is a lot of points against a quality team.

GEORGIA -14.5 Vanderbilt

 

Oh we have had so much success fading teams once the glass slipper is off. The Commodores lost their first game last week, now for the first time all year play consecutive road games and it’s against their toughest foe.

Vandy will for the first time this year get key yardage in the air, but they average 5.0 yards per pass against teams normally allowing 6.4.

Commodores have trailed in every game they’ve won, falling behind Auburn by 13 and

Ole Miss by 10. It finally bit them in the but, but now that UGA won’t have their guard down, is better than any team the ‘Dores faced, we see a big blowout.

Those who watch game films—and we subscribe to all of them, tell us UGA outmans

Vanderbilt everywhere. Now the other slipper comes off in blowout.

SMU +13.5 Houston

SMU is looking at each game as a building block and clearly is getting better. The Tulsa game gives you an idea how much they’re hoping we get things turned around,” said first year head coach June Jones. “In my eyes, we lost that game, and that’s not good enough. As a fan and as an SMU person who has been watching for 22 years, I think they sense that it is going to be different, that it is going to change.”

The most noticeable success has been in the Mustangs’ passing offense, which is ranked No. 11 in the country (293.1 yards per game). Other units, however, entered the season with nowhere near the depth present at quarterback and receiver.

Those areas, particularly the running game, are finally showing improvement. SMU racked up 151 rushing yards against Tulsa, with sophomore Chris Butler leading the way with 95 yards on nine carries. Butler (leg) is likely to be out for the Houston game, but other running backs on the roster have turned the rushing game into more than an afterthought.

Though they are 1-6 straight up and 16 straight to Division I teams, they have covered 2-of-3 by double digits and the one exception was a .5 point spread setback.

The Mustangs are clearly in building block, moral victory mode. We call them covers.

Major…

UL LAFAYETTE -3 Arkansas State

Going against road team off home win to conference against a team off double digit win to the conference is 303-199 +84.1 units. The status of ULL QB Mike Desormeaux keeps this as a Major, though there are other key indicators that would make it a Wise Guy.

MICHIGAN STATE +3.5 Ohio State

Going against road team off home win to conference against a team off double digit win to the conference is 303-199 +84.1 units.

COLORADO -3.5 Kansas State

This is a competitor consensus.  If we do not have a lean towards one side but it does not rise to the level of premium play, but get a strong play or consensus from the few other handicappers we respect, we pass it as a “competitor consensus”.

NEVADA -22.5 Utah State

 

This is a competitor consensus.  If we do not have a lean towards one side but it does not rise to the level of premium play, but get a strong play or consensus from the few other handicappers we respect, we pass it as a “competitor consensus”.

RUTGERS +1 Connecticut

Our official outlaw line is Rutgers -3.5. The official outlaw line is what the odds would be if there was no consideration given to public perception and balancing the action.  It is the more accurate line from the standpoint of the bettor.

CENTRAL MICHIGAN +2 Western Michigan

Our official outlaw line is Central Michigan -3.5. The official outlaw line is what the odds would be if there was no consideration given to public perception and balancing the action.  It is the more accurate line from the standpoint of the bettor.

BUFFALO -11 Army

Our official outlaw line is -16. The official outlaw line is what the odds would be if there was no consideration given to public perception and balancing the action.  It is the more accurate line from the standpoint of the bettor.

IOWA -4 Wisconsin

This is one of the top sharp versus squares games.  That means most of the sharp money is going one way and most of the sucker money the other way according to our offshore, Vegas and “outlaw” contacts.  We go with the sharp money.

PURDUE +155 (Moneyline) Northwestern

Go against a home team off an straight up loss with a winning record is +97.1 units on the moneyline including +11.8 this year. Also when both teams are averaging 21-28 points per game on offense and the road team gave up and scored 17 or less the previous game, the road team is 25-7 +39.2 units. Again, your wallet considers that better than 100 percent.

BOSTON COLLEGE -2.5 Virginia Tech

This game illustrates why ratings are so much more accurate than rankings. Virginia Tech’s success is because they average 175 yards rushing per game, but a closer look shows that they get just 3.8 yards per carry against teams normally allowing 4.2. Now they face a BC team that holds teams to .8 yards per rush below their normal average.

Overall they allow 4.2 yards per play to teams normally getting 4.7. Tech is actually below average on offense and on defense. They are a paper Hokie. BC is above average on both sides of the ball.

Even the rankings tells us that Tech is not as good as their record. The Hokies are ranked 107th nationally in total offense, averaging 292.8 yards per game, their lowest average since 1987, when Virginia Tech averaged 261.7 yards per game in Beamer’s first season.

The Hokies’ defense, which was ranked third, first, and second the last three seasons, is now ranked 35th, allowing an average of 314.3 yards per game.

Now they have two starters suffering season-ending injuries the last two games – rover back Davon Morgan (torn anterior cruciate ligament) and tailback Kenny Lewis (ruptured Achilles’). Morgan and Lewis were also the Hokies’ primary kick returners. This is the youngest team Frank Beamer ever coached.

MLB

Major…

BOSTON (BECKETT +131) Tampa (Shields)

Boston has gotten all of the momentum and now has won eight straight in potentially elimination games. Tampa has lost 7-of-9 to Shields.

When you are ready for more of the same Sunday including the AFC Game of the Year, come join the anchor of OffshoreInsiders.com and get the entire Sunday card for just $17. Click now to purchase