We do have to give our disclaimer. NFL handicapping is much like coaching. Week to week adjustments are mandatory for successful football betting. Hence, we only wager “lunch money” as to not even subconsciously bias our in-season handicapping by being married to season long futures bets.

Still the Pokes are looking ripe at 15-1.  Why? As any of our long-time clients know, and we have documented many times, football is ultimately won by players who touch the pigskin. However great offenses are not judged by fantasy football stats such as points scored or total yards, but by how well they put the defense where defenses perform the best: on the sidelines.

The 2009-10 Dallas Cowboys may not be the Second Coming of Csonka, Kiick, and Morris, but the triumphant of Marion Barber, Tashard Choice, and Felix Jones has the makings of turning any defense into the No Name Defense II.

Furthermore, Jason Witten is the best tight end in the game, perfect for chain-moving, ball control. A better-than-average offensive line will protect the much maligned, but still upper echelon QB Tony Romo.

Dispensing of Terrell Owens is addition by subtraction. Reading defenses and having a thick enough skin to deal with fan and media criticism is imperative to being an elite quarterback.

But having to deal with a diva teammate who is ready to throw one under the bus at a moments notice is an encumbrance that Romo will no longer deal with.

A talented defense will be among the statistical leaders because they will be greatly aided by a meticulous clock-consuming offense.

No it won’t be a perfect season but the Dallas Cowboys will win the 2010 Super Bowl using the same model as the 1972 Miami Dolphins.     

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