NFL Football Handicapping: Vikings vs Lions

Divisional bragging rights will be on the line on Sunday when the Minnesota Vikings and the Detroit Lions meet at Ford Field.
Oddsmakers currently have the Vikings listed as 10-point favorites versus the Lions, while the game’s total is sitting at 45.
The Vikings defeated the Browns 34-20 as a 4.5-point favorite in Week 1. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (40).
Adrian Peterson rushed for 180 yards and three touchdowns on 25 carries for Minnesota and Brett Favre passed for 110 yards with a touchdown pass to Percy Harvin for Minnesota in the win.
The Lions lost to New Orleans 45-27 as a 14-point underdog in Week 1. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (50).
Matt Stafford passed for 205 yards with three interceptions and a TD run for Detroit, while Calvin Johnson caught three passes for 90 yards.
Team records:
Minnesota: 1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS
Detroit: 0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS
Minnesota most recently:
When playing in September are 3-7
When playing on turf are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing within the division are 7-3

Detroit most recently:
When playing in September are 3-7
When playing on turf are 0-10
After being outgained are 0-10
When playing within the division are 1-9

A few trends to consider:
Minnesota is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing Detroit
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota’s last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit’s last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Detroit’s last 15 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit’s last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Detroit is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Next up:
Minnesota home to San Francisco, Sunday, September 27
Detroit home to Washington, Sunday, September 27

 

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