Joe Duffy’s GodsTips Sports Handicapping Service
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Monthly Archives: September 2009
Matt River’s NFL Picks: Seahawks Cover to Bears
World champion sports betting handicapper Matt Rivers has a complimentary winner on the Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks. Sportsbooks have
Sometimes when plays seem a little easy in the NFL you need to take a step back and realize that more times than not the game is not going to be that easy. That is the case here with
I really do believe that with Matt Hasselbeck more than likely out, this game is going to be a black and blue defensive clinic by the Bears in the Great Northwest. Yes I do realize that Brian Urlacher is out but Lovie Smith’s squad has kept it together without their stud middle linebacker and just outplayed the Steelers last week in a gut check game.
One of my problems though and why this is just a free play is all of the line mov’t going with the Bears making me feel like I am going with the public and consequentially a square. The injury to the Seattle quarterback does play a part in that but just a part as it is my feeling too many people are of the belief that without a doubt Chicago is going to win this thing and win it going away and that makes me very very leary.
In summation, I am going to make a small play on Lovie’s boys because I do think they are too tough overall and will prevail here but because I feel that the majority of the gambling public is under this impression as well I just can’t go gaga on the visitors. You have to know when to hold them and when to fold them as the great Kenny Rogers said and I am not going to totally fold them here but I also won’t go all in because I’m afraid many others already have which more times than not signals the kiss of death.
23-17 Bears -2 at Sports Betting Sportsbook.
For more information: Last week Matt’s plays were released for free to every premium client and he swept the board with 150,000* on
Free NFL Pick: Broncos at Raiders
The Denver Broncos travel to the Bay Area to take on the Oakland Raiders.
As we said many times,
The Broncos have the most improved defense in the league because they are no longer the worst team in the NFL in the most overlooked category: incompletions on offense. It’s certainly not a disregarded statistic among professional bettors.
Last year the Broncos defense was always on the field, now they spending more time where defenses perform best: the sidelines.
Meanwhile Correll Buckhalter is one of the most underrated players in the NFL; overlooked because he never seems to finish a year. However, he’s healthy now and averaging 8.4 yards per carry. Yes we know Knowshown Moreno missed practice Friday, but he should play, giving the Broncos a great under-the-radar 1-2 punch. Again, this two headed monster is helping keep the defense off the field, the polar opposite of last year.
Forcing JaMarcus Russell to make bad decisions is the key to beating
Yes Nnamdi Asomugha is a great shutdown corner for
The Raiders are also without RG Robert Gallery, a key loss indeed. The Broncos have been very good on both sides of the ball.
Compare that to the Raiders, a team that gets 3.8 yards per rush against teams normally allowing 4.2, 5.7 yards per pass to 6.4 and 4.7 yards per play to 5.2.
The pick:
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NFL Lines: Colts vs Cardinals
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The fans at
Oddsmakers currently have the Cardinals listed as 2½-point favorites versus the Colts, while the game’s total is sitting at 48½.
Peyton Manning’s 48-yard touchdown pass to Pierre Garcon with
The Cardinals defeated
Kurt Warner passed for 243 yards with a pair of touchdowns for
Current streak:
Team records:
Arizona: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS When playing in September are 8-2 When playing on grass are 7-3 After being outgained are 9-1 When playing outside the division are 8-2
A few trends to consider:
Indianapolis is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games Indianapolis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis’s last 5 games when playing Arizona The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indianapolis’s last 9 games on the road Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games The total has gone OVER in 12 of Arizona’s last 14 games at home Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona’s last 5 games when playing Indianapolis Next up:
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NFL Handicapping: Broncos vs Raiders
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The Denver Broncos and the Oakland Raiders will meet on the gridiron at Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum on Sunday in a battle of division rivals.
Oddsmakers currently have the Broncos listed as 2-point favorites versus the Raiders, while the game’s total is sitting at 37.
The Broncos defeated
Correll Buckhalter rushed for 76 yards and a touchdown on nine carries for
The Raiders defeated
Darren McFadden rushed for 35 yards and the game-winning touchdown on 12 carries, while JaMarcus Russell passed for 109 yards in the win.
Current streak:
Team records:
Oakland: 1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS Denver most recently:
When playing in September are 7-3 When playing on grass are 4-6 After outgaining opponent are 6-4 When playing within the division are 5-5 Oakland most recently: A few trends to consider:
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland Denver is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Oakland Denver is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver’s last 6 games Oakland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver Oakland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Oakland’s last 15 games when playing Denver Oakland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Denver Next up:
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NFL Football Betting: Dolphins vs Chargers
| The Miami Dolphins and the San Diego Chargers will both be trying to pick up a win on Sunday when they battle at Qualcomm Stadium.
Oddsmakers currently have the Chargers listed as 6-point favorites versus the Dolphins, while the game’s total is sitting at 44.
Ronnie Brown rushed for 136 yards on 24 carries with two scores for the Dolphins in their 27-23 loss to the Colts in Week 2.
Indianapolis covered as 3.5-point road favorites, while the game played OVER the 44-point total set by oddsmakers.
The Chargers lost to Baltimore 31-26 as a 1-point favorite in Week 2. The combined score went OVER the posted over/under total (41).
Philip Rivers passed for 436 yards with two touchdowns and two interceptions for Baltimore, while Vincent Jackson caught six passes for 141 yards and a touchdown.
Current streak: Miami has lost 2 straight games. Team records: Miami: 0-2 SU, 0-2 ATS San Diego: 1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS Miami most recently: When playing in September are 2-8 When playing on grass are 6-4 After outgaining opponent are 7-3 When playing outside the division are 6-4 San Diego most recently: A few trends to consider: Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing San Diego Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Diego The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami’s last 5 games when playing San Diego Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Diego The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego’s last 5 games when playing Miami The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego’s last 5 games when playing at home against Miami The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Diego’s last 7 games San Diego is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games at home Next up:
Miami home to Buffalo, Sunday, October 4 San Diego at Pittsburgh, Sunday, October 4 |
NFL Odds: Steelers vs Bengals
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Divisional bragging rights will be on the line on Sunday when the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Cincinnati Bengals meet at Paul Brown Stadium.
Oddsmakers currently have the Steelers listed as 4-point favorites versus the Bengals, while the game’s total is sitting at 37.
The Steelers lost to
Ben Roethlisberger rushed for 221 yards with a touchdown pass, an interception and a TD run, while Santonio Holmes caught five passes for 83 yards.
The Bengals defeated
Carson Palmer passed for 185 yards with three touchdown passes, two interceptions and a TD run for
Team records:
Cincinnati: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS Pittsburgh most recently:
When playing in September are 7-3 When playing on turf are 6-4 After outgaining opponent are 8-2 When playing within the division are 9-1 Cincinnati most recently: A few trends to consider:
Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 6 games Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games Cincinnati is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games at home Next up:
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NFL Football Handicapping: Bears vs Seahawks
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The Chicago Bears and the Seattle Seahawks will both be gunning for a victory on Sunday when they meet at Qwest Field.
Oddsmakers currently have the Bears listed as 3-point favorites versus the Seahawks, while the game’s total is sitting at 37.
The Bears defeated
Jay Cutler passed for 236 yards with two touchdowns for
The Seahawks lost to
Seneca Wallace threw for 127 yards with a touchdown and an interception in place of the injured Matt Hasselbeck for
Team records:
Seattle: 1-1 SU, 1-1 ATS When playing in September are 4-6 When playing on turf are 5-5 After being outgained are 7-3 When playing outside the division are 5-5
A few trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chicago’s last 10 games on the road The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago’s last 10 games Chicago is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle’s last 7 games at home The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Seattle’s last 11 games Seattle is 10-4-1 ATS in its last 15 games at home Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games Next up:
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NFL Football Odds: Saints vs Bills
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The fans at Ralph Wilson Stadium will be treated to a game between the New Orleans Saints and the Buffalo Bills when they take their seats on Sunday.
Oddsmakers currently have the Saints listed as 6-point favorites versus the Bills, while the game’s total is sitting at 52.
The Saints defeated
Drew Brees passed for 311 yards with three touchdowns and an interception for
The Bills defeated
Trent Edwards passed for 230 yards with two touchdowns and an interception for
Current streak:
Team records:
Buffalo: 1-1 SU, 2-0 ATS When playing in September are 5-5 When playing on turf are 7-3 After being outgained are 4-6 When playing outside the division are 8-2
A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans’s last 6 games New Orleans is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road New Orleans is 7-1-1 ATS in its last 9 games New Orleans is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo’s last 5 games Buffalo is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games Buffalo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home Next up:
Buffalo at |
NFL Football Lines: Browns vs Ravens
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The Cleveland Browns and the Baltimore Ravens will both be trying to pick up a win on Sunday when they battle at M&T Bank Stadium.
Oddsmakers currently have the Ravens listed as 14-point favorites versus the Browns, while the game’s total is sitting at 38½.
The Browns lost to
Brady Quinn threw for 161 yard with an interception for
The Ravens defeated
Joe Flacco passed for 190 yards with a pair of touchdowns and an interception for
Current streak:
Team records:
Baltimore: 2-0 SU, 2-0 ATS When playing in September are 3-7 When playing on turf are 6-4 After being outgained are 2-8 When playing within the division are 3-7
A few trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland’s last 5 games when playing Baltimore The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore Cleveland is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Cleveland’s last 24 games The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore’s last 5 games when playing Cleveland Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games Baltimore is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home Next up:
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