MNF Prop Bets Saints vs. 49ers

Expert handicapping picks are up for ESPN MNF action between the Saints and 49ers, but how about for fantasy football players who place bets online

The Monday nighter should provide NFL betting fans with fireworks tonight as the Saints look to go 2-0 while the 49ers are desperate for a win in their home opener. Here are some prop bets to try at Sportsbook.com.

Team to score first

Saints: -145

49ers: +115

Free pick: 49ers. They’ll be amped up at home and Frank Gore should run hard against a so-so run defense. Also, Patrick Willis will have the 49ers “D” fired up; if the Saints get the ball first, I think San Francisco will make a stop.

Longest touchdown of the game

Over 42.5: -115

Under 42.5: -115

Free pick: Over 42.5. We know how the Saints love to stretch the field, so it’s easy to imagine Drew Brees connecting with Devery Henderson, Robert Meachem or Marques Colston for a deep score. Even Alex Smith could come up with a big play since the Saints’ secondary likes to take chances and can get burned once in a while.

Alex Smith: Total passing yards

Over 223.5: -125

Under 223.5: -105

Free pick: Under 223.5. Baby steps for Alex after last week’s brutal performance against Seattle. He may do an OK job protecting the ball but the 49ers should use him somewhat conservatively while pounding the rock with Frank Gore. I see 200 yards and change for Smith but not more than 223.

Frank Gore: Total rushing yards

Over 84.5: -115

Under 84.5: -115

Free pick: Over 84.5. Adrian Peterson totalled 87 yards on 19 carries against the Saints in Week 1, averaging a healthy 4.6 yards per rush. I’d expect a similar effort from Gore – but with five or 10 more carries. That should get him over 84.5 yards and perhaps the century mark.

Will there be a defensive or special teams touchdown?

Yes: +150

No: -180

Free pick: No. The Saints scored a ton of defensive touchdowns last year but they scored twice as many as the next closest team; it was a bit of a fluke. Things should correct themselves this season. The 49ers also aren’t likely to score a defensive TD since Brees takes care of the ball well. Reggie Bush is a threat on punt returns but San Fran’s special teamers should tackle diligently for fear of Mike Singletary’s wrath.

Drew Brees: Total touchdown passes

Over 1.5: -180

Under 1.5: +140

Free pick: Over 1.5. The 49ers won’t make things easy for Brees but betting sharps should remember that even an “off” game for him would be, say, 250 yards and two scores. The Saints will have better luck passing the ball, a.k.a. avoiding Patrick Willis at all costs.

Reggie Bush: Total rushing plus receiving yards

Over 60.5: -125

Under 60.5: -105

Free pick: Over 60.5. Since Willis can handle Jeremy Shockey and David Thomas just fine, the Saints may try to use Bush’s speed on screens to get past him. Same goes for using Bush over Pierre Thomas in the running game at various points. I see Bush surpassing 60.5 yards easily tonight.

Vegas Scores and Odds NFL Picks: Texans-Redskins Best Bet in Handicapping Industry

Today’s football games is headlined by the live NFL scores which has has a sports handicapper’s best bet so strong that a sharp bettors Category 5 betting alert has been issued specifically for professional bettors on the Texans vs. Redskins.

The NFL point spread for this game has Houston -3 +105 or if you prefer the chalk it’s SportsBook with the Texans -2.5 -107

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Texans are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning home record, 1-6 off spread win.

Redskins are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, 4-12-5 ATS in their last 21 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.

Over/under trends: Under is 9-1-1 in Texans last 11 road games, over 7-1 last 8 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game, under 10-3-1 last 14 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game, over 21-8 last 29 vs. a team with a winning record.

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NFL Week 3 Vegas Experts Picks

The free pick and articles section has part 1 of the Bodog NFL tip sheet and newsletter. Let’s get to part 2.

The big storyline heading into Sunday’s matchup between 0-1 NFC South teams Tampa Bay and Carolina is the status of Panthers QB Matt Moore.

Moore was knocked out of Sunday’s 31-18 loss to the New York Giants after taking two hits late in the fourth quarter with what was called a concussion. But he passed the NFL-mandated tests and practiced late this week. He is expected to start Sunday against the Bucs. However, Moore was fairly awful while in there against New York, going 14-for-33 for 182 yards with one touchdown and three picks. All three interceptions came in the end zone and he also lost a fumble. Rookie Jimmy Clausen would start if there’s some late setback for Moore. The Panthers are 3.5-point favorites on Bodog’s NFL Odds.

The Bucs, who won just three games a year ago, opened with a 17-14 win over the Cleveland Browns despite being down 14-3 at one point. QB Josh Freeman completed 17 of 28 passes for 182 yards with two touchdowns and was intercepted once after missing the final two weeks of the preseason after breaking a bone in the tip of his right thumb.

The ground game should be the difference on Sunday. The Bucs were last against the run in the NFL last year and allowed 104 yards to Cleveland last week. In last year’s first meeting between these two, the Panthers had 267 rushing yards – the second-most in franchise history at the time – in a 28-21 victory. In the second meeting, a Carolina 16-6 win, Freeman passed for a career-high 321 yards, but was intercepted five times – the most picks by a Bucs QB since 1990.

Carolina has won 11 of the past 14 meetings in this series.

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The Baltimore Ravens have made a habit of spoiling home openers. AFC North rival Cincinnati could be next.

The Bengals are desperate for a win after being embarrassed by the New England Patriots on the road, failing to cover as +5 underdogs. NFL Odds have them listed as +3 underdogs at home.

This matchup could fall on the shoulders of Bengals QB Carson Palmer. Considering Ray Lewis and the Ravens defense are notorious for blowing up running backs, Bengals RB Cedric Benson may not have many lanes to run through.

That leaves Palmer and his superstar targets, Terrell Owens and Chad Ochocinco, to pick up the slack. In their last two meetings the Bengals came out on top. However, both games went under the 40-plus Total, putting the Over in this game in doubt.

For the Bengals defense they’ll have to do better than their ugly performance at New England. The Ravens a more balanced offensive attack than the Patriots with Ray Rice at running back, Anquan Boldin, Derrick Mason, and T.J. Houshmanzadeh at wide receiver and Joe Flacco at QB. They’ll be able to hurt the Bengals on the ground and through the air if Cincinnati decides to wait a half before making some stops.

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Usually when you hold a team without a touchdown in regulation you are going to win the game, and while the Atlanta Falcons did that last week in Pittsburgh, the Falcon offense was fairly inept and that led to a 15-9 overtime loss. Now Atlanta faces a near must-win in its home opener as Arizona comes to town and the Falcons are 7-point favorites on Bodog’s NFL Odds.

Matt Ryan was 27-for-44 for 252 yards with no touchdowns and a pick last week, but the real problem was Atlanta’s running game. Michael Turner managed just 42 yards on 19 carries and the Falcons finished with just 58 yards rushing on 25 carries (2.3 ypc). Aside from Roddy White, who caught 13 passes for 111 yards, the Falcons really had no offensive bright spots. The reason this game is so important for the Falcons is they could be staring at 0-3 if they lose here because they have to go to New Orleans next week. Atlanta is 13-3 at home the past two seasons in the regular season. Defensive tackle Jonathan Babineaux returns for Falcons after one-game suspension for arrest on marijuana charges

The Cardinals weren’t great in their opener, either, but they had the benefit of playing at St. Louis. Larry Fitzgerald, who still isn’t 100 percent from a knee injury suffered in the preseason, caught the go-ahead 21-yard touchdown catch with 6:13 to play. QB Derek Anderson was sharp in his first start, completing 22-for-41 for 297 yards with that TD and no picks. But the Cards had 10 penalties and four turnovers.

Arizona lost No. 3 WR Early Doucet in that victory; he could miss 3-6 weeks with what is being called a possible sports hernia. With Doucet out, Stephen Williams will move up to the No. 3 role behind Fitzgerald and Steve Breaston. Arizona is also hoping for the return of co-No. 1 running back Beanie Wells, who missed the opener with a bruised knee. Tim Hightower rushed for 54 yards against St. Louis but lost two fumbles. Safety Adrian Wilson had two interceptions, one sack and blocked field goal against the Rams and was named the NFC’s defensive player of the week. Wilson was the first NFL player to have all three in a game (pick, sack, blocked kick) since 2004.

These two teams haven’t met since the Cardinals defeated the Falcons 30-24 in the wild-card round of the playoffs after the 2008 season.

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Bodog NFL Newsletter for Week 3

Bodog is the chosen sportsbook of whales—big time bettors who demand the biggest reload bonuses and BettorsAdvice.com is the choice of pro bettors. Now here is Bodogs tip sheet for week 3 NFL picks.

Only three teams have won the Super Bowl following a 0-2 start: I mention this because that’s what is potentially facing the Minnesota Vikings should they get upset a home Sunday by a dangerous Miami team. Minnesota is a 6-point favorite on Bodog’s NFL Odds.

The Dolphins weren’t especially impressive in their Week 1 15-10 win at Buffalo. Both Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams rushed for more than 60 yards and QB Chad Henne was solid in going 21-for-34 for 182 yards with no picks, but the offense managed only one touchdown. The defense was excellent, holding Buffalo to a total of 166 yards – but these are the Bills we are talking about.

Minnesota got a little extra time to prepare for this one, having lost in the Thursday night opener to the Saints. But clearly that Viking offense missed No. 1 WR Sidney Rice as the Vikes managed only nine points after scoring 28 back in the NFC Championship Game on the same field. Brett Favre looked very rusty, completing 15 of 27 passes for 171 yards with a TD and an interception.

This should be an interesting matchup because the Dolphins run the ball more than almost any team in the league, while the Vikings have had one of the NFL’s best run defenses for years. In fact, Minnesota was No. 2 against the run last year after finishing No. 1 the previous three years. Thus possibly look for Miami to throw a little more than usual, especially to WR Brandon Marshall. He had eight catches for 53 yards in the opener and will have at least a five-inch height advantage on any Minnesota starting cornerback.

The Vikings have won nine consecutive regular-season games at home. Favre threw 21 touchdowns and only two interceptions in eight regular-season games at home in 2009.

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If you want proof that you need a good backup quarterback in the NFL, look no further than Sunday’s game in Detroit as both the Eagles and Lions will be startingtheir No. 2 quarterback as both clubs look to avoid 0-2 starts. The Eagles are 6.5-point favorites on Bodog’s NFL Odds.

Because Kevin Kolb suffered a concussion in Week 1, Michael Vick will start for the Eagles – the first time he has started a game since 2006. Vick looked like the Vick of old in relief of Kolb in last week’s 27-20 loss to the Packers, finishing with 175 yards passing and running for 103.

Vick became just the third Eagles quarterback to throw for at least 175 yards and run for at least 100 yards in the same game since 1960. Vick now has 10 career games with 100 yards rushing. However, it was a costly loss for Philly as not only did it lose Kolb, it also lost linebacker Stewart Bradley to a concussion (also expected out Sunday) and fullback Leonard Weaver and center Jamaal Jackson to season-ending injuries.

The Lions were the hard-luck losers of Week 1. They were pretty well dominated in Chicago but should have won the game on a last-second TD catch by Calvin Johnson. But an arcane rule meant Johnson’s catch was incomplete despite the fact he clearly did catch the ball. Detroit lost starting QB Matthew Stafford late in the first half of that one and Shaun Hill, who was 10-6 as a starter with the 49ers, will start Sunday. He was 9-for-19 for 86 yards with one pick in relief of Stafford last week. Detroit got two touchdowns from rookie RB Jahvid Best last week – the first rookie running back to score two touchdowns in his debut since LaDainian Tomlinson in 2001 – but only rushed for 20 yards.

These two teams haven’t met since 2007. Since 2000, Philadelphia is 35-16-1 following a loss.

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Probably the biggest star of Week 1 in the NFL was Houston Texans running back Arian Foster as he helped lead the Texans to an upset of the Indianapolis Colts – just Houston’s second win ever over its division rivals. But is a letdown imminent this week in Washington? Houston is a 3-point road favorite on Bodog’s NFL odds.

The Texans lead the NFL in rushing after one week thanks to Foster, who had 231 yards and three touchdowns in the 34-24 win over Indy. Not bad for a guy who spent most of last season on the Texans’ practice squad. It was the NFL’s second-best opening weekend rushing performance since 1933, topped only by O.J. Simpson’s 250 for Buffalo in 1973 against New England. It shattered the Houston team record of 158 yards.

The Redskins also pulled off a Week 1 upset, beating Dallas 13-7 despite not scoring an offensive touchdown. Frankly, Washington had no business winning that game but scored on the final play of the first half thanks to a boneheaded call by Dallas and then survived a Tony Romo last-second TD on the final play of the game due to a Cowboys holding penalty. Donovan McNabb was 15-for-32 for 171 yards in his first game as a Redskin.

Houston, in its Texans format, has never started a season 2-0. The Redskins might have an advantage in that four former Texans coaches are now with the Redskins, including offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan. The Redskins haven’t won consecutive home games as an underdog in nine years. These two teams haven’t met since 2006.

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NFL Week 3 Expert Picks Top Sunday Betting Ledger

NFL betting alerts have been issued for the Dolphins vs. Vikings, Texans vs. Redskins, Buccaneers vs. Panthers week 3 NFL picks and odds and fantasy football.

Courtesy of OddsShark.com: Today in the Daily Sports Roundup: The Colts look to pick up their first win of the year versus the Giants, while the Pats battle the Jets, and the Chase for the Sprint Cup starts.

Colliding on the gridiron . . .

Manning will take on Manning to highlight the NFL’s Week 2 schedule on Sunday night, as the Giants travel to Indianapolis to battle with the Colts. The Giants (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) had no trouble at home against the Panthers in their first game of the season, winning 31-18. Eli Manning went 20-of-30 for 263 yards passing for New York in that victory, with three TD strikes to go along with three interceptions. The Colts (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) were upset 34-24 in Houston last week. Peyton Manning went 40-of-57 for 433 yards passing in that loss, with three TD strikes and no interceptions. Oddsmakers have Indianapolis listed as the 5-point favorite for Sunday’s matchup, with the total high at 48.

On the NFL’s afternoon schedule for Sunday it’ll be Pittsburgh at Tennessee (-5), Baltimore (-1.5) at Cincinnati, Philadelphia (-5.5) at Detroit, Arizona at Atlanta (-6.5), Miami at Minnesota (-5.5), Kansas City at Cleveland (-1.5), Tampa Bay at Carolina (-3.5), Buffalo at Green Bay (-13), Chicago at Dallas (-7.5), Seattle at Denver (-3), St. Louis at Oakland (-3.5), Jacksonville at San Diego (-7), Houston (-3) at Washington, and New England (-2.5) at the Jets. The Patriots rolled past the Bengals 38-24 at home in their Week 1 contest, while the Jets were beaten 10-9 at home by the Ravens. Jets QB Mark Sanchez went just 10-of-21 for 74 yards passing in that loss on Monday night.

Top expert pick on today’s card…

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As well, the Canadian Football League finishes off Week 12 of its season on Sunday with Winnipeg at Toronto and Edmonton at Montreal. The Argonauts (5-5 SU, 5-5 ATS) are 1-point home favorites against the Bombers (3-7 SU, 5-5 ATS), while the Als (7-3 SU, 5-5 ATS) are set as 12-point home favorites versus the Eskimos (2-8 SU, 3-7 ATS).

Meeting up on the diamond . . .

On the American League schedule for Sunday it’ll be the Yankees at Baltimore, Toronto at Boston, Oakland at Minnesota, Cleveland at Kansas City, Texas at Seattle, Detroit at the White Sox, and the Angels at Tampa Bay. Scott Kazmir (8-14, 5.99 ERA) is slated to get the ball against his old team on Sunday, while the Rays counter with Jeff Niemann (10-6, 4.32 ERA). Lefthander Kazmir was tagged with a loss by the Indians last time out (four runs over 5 2-3 innings), and Los Angeles is just 2-8 in his last 10 outings. Righthander Niemann took a no-decision against the Blue Jays in his most recent trip to the hill (three runs over five innings), and he last earned a win on August 3.

The National League on Sunday then features the Cubs at Florida, Atlanta at the Mets, Arizona at Pittsburgh, Washington at Philadelphia, Cincinnati at Houston, Milwaukee at San Francisco, Colorado at the Dodgers, and San Diego at St. Louis. Jon Garland (14-11, 3.49 ERA) is expected to take on Adam Wainwright (18-11, 2.50 ERA) in that Padres/Cardinals matchup. Righthander Garland beat the Rockies in his most recent start, surrendering just three runs (two earned) over his seven innings of work. Righthander Wainwright is coming off a loss to the Cubs in which he allowed five runs on 12 hits over eight innings pitched; Wainwright is 1-5 over his last six mound outings.

Roaring around the track . . .

The Sprint Cup Series begins its playoffs on Sunday, as the Chase for the Sprint Cup launches with the Sylvania 300 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway. Denny Hamlin sits atop the reconfigured driver standings heading into Sunday’s race, and he’s the 9/2 oddsmakers’ co-favorite along with Jimmie Johnson to take the checkered flag. Johnson won the Lenox Industrial Tools 301 at New Hampshire back in June, while Hamlin won that race back in 2007. Kyle Busch is pegged at 11/2 odds to win the Sylvania 300, with Kevin Harvick and Tony Stewart both at 10/1, Jeff Gordon at 11/1, and Kurt Busch, Jeff Burton, and Clint Bowyer at 12/1. Defending race champion Mark Martin is at 50/1 odds.

Dolphins vs. Vikings Point Spread Picks Alert Issued

An NFL betting picks warning has been issued for the Dolphins vs. Vikings. Yes the squares did well on Notre Dame vs. Michigan State and Arizona vs. Iowa Hawkeyes football, but it’s rare when the betting public wins to days in a row.

This is a game in which the majority of professional bettors will be betting the winning sports prediction against the spread, while most of the square players will be betting on the losing Vegas odds pick. Oddsmakers have the NFL football point spread at Minnesota -5.5 or -6.

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Dolphins are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games but 11-25-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record and 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

Vikings are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 home games, 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a S.U. loss, 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.

Over/under trends: Under is 17-7 in Dolphins last 24 games following a S.U. win. Over is 36-17-3 in Vikings last 56 games following a S.U. loss, under 10-1 week 2.

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Cardinals vs. Falcons NFL Betting Picks Handicappers

The Cardinals vs. Falcons do battle in one of the top NFL match-ups, as far as bettors are concerned, this week.

Oddsmakers have posted an official and NFL Las Vegas point spread at Atlanta -6.5 or at some shop get the Cardinals at +7.

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Cardinals are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game, but 7-22 ATS in their last 29 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Falcons are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game, 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a S.U. loss, 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Over/under trends: Under is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 games following a S.U. win, but over 40-13 last 53 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game, but over 38-18 last 56 vs. a team with a losing record.

Under is 7-0 in Falcons last 7 games overall, series over 7-1.

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Buccaneers vs. Panthers Betting on NFL

This week’s NFL schedule has a game so strong for sports betting, that a sports bulletin has been issued for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers.

The NFL point spread for this game has Carolina -3.5 -105 at SportsBook or they are -3 -120 with the total at 38 or 38.5.

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Buccaneers are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games on grass.

Panthers are 7-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game, 8-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. NFC.  Carolina 7-2 series and favorite has covered five straight.

Over/under trends: Under is 8-0 in Buccaneers last 8 games overall, but over 13-4 last 17 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 13-3 in Panthers last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning road record

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Vegas Insider Alert Issued: Bears vs. Cowboys Pick

A Vegas Insider NFL betting odds alert has just been issued on the battle between the Chicago Bears vs. Dallas Cowboys.

NFL spread for this game is Dallas -7.5 with a total of 40.5. Shop around at sportsbooks as the line ranges from 7-to-8.

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Bears are 7-19-2 ATS in their last 28 games following a S.U. win, 2-8 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.

Cowboys are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games on fieldturf, 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.

Over/under trends: Under is 13-3 in Bears last 16 games following a ATS loss, Under is 7-1 in Cowboys last 8 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

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NFL Football: Eagles vs. Lions Morning Line Picks

Sports bettors and the top professional handicappers agree that one of the strongest bets is today’s contest between the Philadelphia Eagles vs. Detroit Lions.

Thus OffshoreInsiders.com is releasing a major sports betting alert on this game. Las Vegas scores and odds have the line posted at Philadelphia -6.5, though 5 Dimes has it at 7.

Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Eagles are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record, 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Lions are 7-19-2 ATS in their last 28 games following a ATS win, 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games on fieldturf, 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.

Over/under trends: Under is 22-8 in Eagles last 30 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Under is 6-1 in Lions last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

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NFL power ratings say that the offshore and Vegas betting odds should be Philadelphia -3.5 making Detroit a big computer play.

The best place to bet this game is at 5 Dimes as they have a 50 percent plus new player reward.