We go 2-0 yesterday plus a push. One run in eight innings, eight in ninth makes Phillies UNDER a push. Two more winning baseball for Friday night. Our sports science labs continue to research and discover. Yes, we did unearth totals metrics that apply cross-sports. That is why our totals have exploded in number of releases and winning percentage. 
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CFL free premium pick from Joe Duffy
CFL
Wise Guy
MONTREAL +13 Hamilton
More rested team under specific circumstances that apply today are 81-44-3. Early season underdog angle is 168-118-4. Road underdogs in losing streaks are 157-109-5. When both the first and third angles apply, it is a stunning 31-12-1.
Major
Hamilton-Montreal UNDER 58
High totals go under under specific circumstances that apply today at 339-251-8 rate.
Free WNBA pick from Joe Duffy’s Picks
PHOENIX -5 Indiana
Team with much worse ATS margin under specific circumstances that apply today are 238-106. This is a “free pick” rather than premium level plays you often get for free here. It is 6-2 this year off a very rare bad season.
7PM ET–Cubs (Hamels) at Reds (Gray)
- Hamels ERA of 1.00 in his last 5 starts though 4 ER last 14 IP
- ERA is 3.30 road, comparted to 2.58 home, though other numbers closer
- OPB is .322 at night, just .270 in days games
- Gray 6.00 ERA last three starts with .348 OBP, 1.53 WHIP
- Worse at home 4.26 ERA to 3.79 home but OBP and WHIP slightly better at home
- Cubs 14-19 since May 23 -8.87 units and -20.7 ROI
- Reds UNDER 76-40-3 since August 15, 2018
7PM ET–Braves (Soroka) at Mets (deGrom)
- Both pitchers better on road
- Soroka has forearm contusion last start and 5.54 ERA last three with .352 OBP, 1.46 WHIP
- FTY 2.07, .264, .97
- Much better road 1.05 ERA, .229, .80
- Also better at night 1.95, .261, .96
- DeGrom 2.45 ERA last 7 starts
- deGrom 3.73 ERA at home compared to 2.86 road; .290 OBP compared .269, though WHIP almost same
- Braves 143-137 road since April 15, 2016 +52.43 units and 17.5 ROI
- Mets OVER 22-11-3 recently
- Mets 15-5 at home for 25.3 percent ROI
8:10PM ET–Pirates (Archer) at Brewers (Chacin)
- Based on pitching numbers, will be ugly
- Archer horrible 8.42 road ERA (decent 3.89 home), 1.68 WHIP (1.36), .371 OBP (.316)
- Chacin 18 ER last 17 IP over four starts including 10.50 ERA last three with .429 OBP and 2.17 WHIP
- Pittsburgh over 34-13-3 since May 1
- Brewers 3-9 -9.3 units
8:40PM ET–Dodgers (Ryu) at Rockies (Senzatela)
- Ryu 9-1, 1.27 ETA, .225 OBP against, .84 WHIP
- Less dominating on road and night
- Senzatela 6.21 ERA home (3.92 road), though OBP and WHIP comparable
- LA Dodgers 3-6 recently -6.7 units
- Colorado 221-189 +33.56 units since April 3, 2017