Entire card at 9:45 ET or later.  Steam added at 2:06 ET. I am winning in everything. I am 32-13 in MLB including MLB Game of the Year +147. I am 5-1 in all football, 6-2 in preseason including Preseason Game of the Year winner. Two MLB sides including Wise Guy continues the roll.  Get the picks now 

Here is Joe Duffy’s Pitcher’s Report Card

Pittsburgh-Philadelphia

Bucs Joe Musgrove 9.00 ERA last four starts

• ERA is better on road at 4.02 compared to 5.35 at home but WHIP and OBP similar
• Best numbers at night at 4.10 ERA, .294 OBP and 1.17 WHIP

Phillies Jason Vargas 3.99 ERA , .307 OBP,

• Substantially better at home, especially ERA where it’s 2.95 compared to 5.23 road

Anti-splits angle is 1462-975 on runline +169.84 units and 4.4 ROI

• Phillies 10 games over .500 at home, Pirates 12 games under road

PITTSBURGH +1.5 -160

Arizona-San Francisco

Alex Young .289 OBP for season and 1.14 WHIP despite 4.04 ERA

• Says he is much better than ERA and undervalued
• Yet a horrid 7.53, .382, and 1.81 last three starts
• ERA better on road 3.27 compared to 4.67 home, though WHIP and OBP close

Tyler Beede last seven games 6.35 ERA, 1.70 WHIP

• Numbers a bit worse on road, but slightly better at night

The pick: OVER 9

Oakland-Kansas City

Homer Bailey 5.06, .327 OBP against

• One run last two starts over 12.2
• Atrocious road numbers 6.98 ERA, .350 OBP and 1.53 WHIP
• Home team is 16-9 in HOMEr Bailey’s starts

Brad Keller 7-13 though decent 3.95 ERA and .325 OBP

• KC 8-19 with him
• 3 ER last two starts over 12 IP, allowing just 11 baserunners
• Numbers also much better at home with .286 OPB and 1.12 WHIP compared to road at .349 and 1.46

Bad teams off a win +205.29 units

Less successful pitcher based on season-to-date numbers is +231.43 and 6.7 ROI

When both apply 17.7 ROI (big pitcher and team regression) but just 1-4 this season -2.5 units

Pick: Kansas City +138

Since Oct 20, UNDER 47-34-3 58 percent, 10 percent ROI